Summary of Changes in Estimates and Forecasts from Last by qcu12966

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									     Summary of Changes in Estimates and Forecasts from Last
                             Month
                                      (1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 HA)
                    Area Production   Imports         Use      Exports    Loss   Ending    Total Supply
                Harvested                                                        Stocks
Australia
  2005/2006            25      200          0           0         100       0       100           200
Austria
  2004/2005             0        0         -7          -5            0      0         -2            -7
Belgium-Luxembourg
  2004/2005             0        0          0           0           -6      0         6              0
Benin
  2005/2006           -25      -25          0           0          -25      0         0            -25
Brazil
  2005/2006             0        0        25            0            0      0        25             25
Bulgaria
  2003/2004             0        0        -16         -10            0      0         -6           -16
  2004/2005             0        0        -41         -30            0      0        -17           -47
  2005/2006             0        0        -35         -40            0      0        -12           -52
Burkina
  2005/2006            25      100          0           0          50       0        50           100
China; Peoples Republic of
  2005/2006             0        0       500         500             0      0         0           500
Egypt
  2005/2006             0      -50        25            0            0      0        -25           -25
Germany
  2000/2001             0        0          0           0            2      0         -2             0
  2001/2002             0        0          5           0            2      0         1              3
  2002/2003             0        0          2           0            0      0         3              3
  2003/2004             0        0          6           0            7      0         2              9
  2004/2005             0        0          2           0            3      0         1              4
India
   2003/2004         -155      200          0           0          75       0       125           200
  2004/2005             0        0          0           0         -100      0       225           125
  2005/2006          -400     -400          0           0            0      0       -175          -175
Japan
  2005/2006             0        0        -50         -35            0      0        -15           -50
Kazakhstan; Republic of
  2005/2006             0       50          0           0          50       0         0             50
Korea; Republic of
  2004/2005             0        0         -1           0            0      0         -1            -1
  2005/2006             0        0        -25         -25            0      0         -1           -26
Lithuania
  2005/2006             0        0          5           0            0      0         5              5
Mexico
  2005/2006            -4      -50        50            0            0      0         0              0
                     Area Production             Imports          Use     Exports     Loss     Ending      Total Supply
                 Harvested                                                                     Stocks
Pakistan
  2004/2005                0          0            300              0          -175        0       475            300
  2005/2006                0        250            -300             0           100        0       325            425
Russian Federation
  2005/2006                0          0             50              50           0         0           0            50
Syria
  2005/2006               23        175              0              0           125        0        50            175
Tajikistan; Republic of
  2005/2006                0         25              0              0           25         0           0            25
Togo
  2005/2006               -40        -85             0              0           -70        0       -15             -85
Turkey
  2005/2006               -30       -150           100              0           -50        0           0           -50
Turkmenistan
  2005/2006                0         50              0              0            0         0        50              50
Uganda
  2005/2006                0         -60             0              0           -25        0       -35             -60
United States
  2004/2005                0          0              0            170            0    -170             0                0
  2005/2006                0        542              0              0           200    -58         400            542


World Total           Area           Production           Imports        Use          Loss      Exports       Ending
                      Harvested                                                                               Stocks
   1999/2000                    0          0                 0             0           0           0               0
   2000/2001                    0          0                 0             0           0           2               -2
   2001/2002                    0          0                 5             0           0           2               1
   2002/2003                    0          0                 2             0           0           0               3
   2003/2004               -155            200              -10           -10          0           82             121
   2004/2005                    0          0                253           135         -170        -278            687
   2005/2006               -426            572              345           450         -58         480             732

                                                                                                                  12/9/2005
Early Release                                            (1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)
                                       Begin                            Total                                      End
Country                        Area    Stocks    Prod      Imports     Supply       Use      Exports    Loss     Stocks

MY          2005/2006
Afghanistan                      50       13       85            0         98        70          15        0         13
Albania                           1        7        1           34         42        35           0        0          7
Algeria                           0       11        0           40         51        45           0        0          6
Angola                            2        2        5            3         10         5           3        0          2
Argentina                       335      573      650          125      1,348       640         100        9        599
Armenia; Republic of              0         1        0           1          2         1            0       0           1
Australia                       310     1,953    2,600           0      4,553        60        2,950    -125       1,668
Austria                           0       30        0          110        140       115           6        0         19
Azerbaijan; Republic of         100      110      300            0        410        25         250        0        135
Bahrain                           0       15        0            75        90         75          1        0         14
Bangladesh                       50      346       70         1,750     2,166      1,800          0        5        361
Belarus                           0       10        0           35         45        40           0        0          5
Belgium-Luxembourg                0       28        0          175        203       100          80        0         23
Benin                           300      271      600            0        871        10         625        0        236
Bolivia                          20       35       48           15         98        60           5        0         33
Brazil                          900     5,081    4,750         225     10,056      4,000       2,000    -100       4,156
Bulgaria                          2       14       10           25         49        40           0        0          9
Burkina                         575      397     1,250           0      1,647         4        1,175       0        468
Burma; Union of                 300       77       270           3        350       200           75       0         75
Cambodia                          0        6        0           20         26        20           0        0          6
Cameroon                        200      170      500            0        670        45         450        0        175
Canada                            0       90        0          325        415       335           5        0         75
Central African Republic         25       10       15            0         25         5          15        0          5
Chad                            350      123      350            0        473        15         325        0        133
Chile                             0       22        0           65         87        70           0        0         17
China; Peoples Republic of     5,100   10,563   24,500       16,500    51,563    43,000          25    -1,500     10,038
Colombia                          75       68      260          160       488       400          10         5         73
Congo; Democratic Rep of the     30        5       15           15         35        30           0        0          5
Costa Rica                        1        1        1            2          4         3           0        0          1
Cote d'Ivoire                   265      358      570            0        928        50         550        0        328
Croatia                           0        4        0           10         14        10           0        0          4
Cuba                              4        7        4           40         51        45           0        0          6
Cyprus                            0        1        0            2          3         2           0        0          1
Czech Republic                    0       36        0          200        236       200           5        0         31
Denmark                           0        1        0            1          2         1           0        0          1
Dominican Republic                4        2        3            5         10         8           0        0          2
Ecuador                           3       17        9           45         71        60           0        0         11
Egypt                           270      770     1,050         575      2,395      1,000        700       13        682
El Salvador                       1       26         1          90        117         90          0        0         27
Estonia                           0        9        0           60         69        60           0        0          9
Ethiopia                         60       17       70            0         87        60          10        0         17
France                            0       38        0          200        238       180          30        0         28
Germany                           0       31        0          350        381       260          80        0         41
Ghana                            25       10       40            0         50        15          20        0         15
Greece                          385      500     1,900          20      2,420       400        1,450      50        520
Guatemala                         2       26        3          125        154       125           0        0         29
Guinea                           14        7       14            0         21         0          15        0          6
Haiti                             7        2        5            4         11        10           0        0          1
Honduras                          2        3        4           11         18        15           0        0          3
Hong Kong                         0       60        0          320        380       300          25        0         55
Hungary                           0        4        0           21         25        20           0        1          4
India                          8,900    8,286   18,600         800     27,686    16,750        1,800       0       9,136
Indonesia                        10      478       32         2,300     2,810      2,300         20       50        440
Iran                            158      180      580           25        785       550          75        0        160
Iraq                             20       19       30           70        119       100           0        0         19
Ireland                           0        1        0            1          2         1           0        0          1
Israel                           10       62       80            5        147         5          95        0         47
Italy                             0      147        0          800        947       800          15       10        122
Japan                             0      141        0          725        866       750           0        0        116
Kazakhstan; Republic of         200      148      675            0        823        50         625        0        148
Kenya                            37       10       20           40         70        55           5        0         10

Friday, December 09, 2005                                                                                       Page 1 of 4
                                         Begin                         Total                                    End
Country                          Area    Stocks     Prod    Imports   Supply       Use    Exports    Loss     Stocks
Korea; Democratic Peoples Rep      19       10        55        10        75        65         0        0         10
Korea; Republic of                  1      419         1      1,225     1,645     1,225       10       10        400
Kyrgyzstan; Republic of            45       37       185          0       222         5      180        0         37
Latvia                              0        4         0        10        14        10         0        0          4
Lebanon                             0        1         0         3         4         3         0        0          1
Lithuania                           0        4         0        20        24        20         0        0          4
Macedonia, Republic of              1        2         1         5         8         6         0        0          2
Madagascar                         30       11        60         0        71        50        10        0         11
Malawi                             47       92        90         0       182        10        90        0         82
Malaysia                            0       39          0      250        289      250          0       0         39
Mali                              540      387      1,150        0      1,537       20      1,100       0        417
Mauritius                           0       14         0        65        79        65         0        0         14
Mexico                            126     1,369      700      1,250     3,319     1,900      200       25       1,194
Moldova; Republic of                0        4         0        10        14        10         0        0          4
Morocco                             1       30         1       150       181       150         0        0         31
Mozambique                        155       43       110         5       158        10       100        0         48
Netherlands                         0        3         0         5         8         5         1        0          2
Nicaragua                           4        2        10         0        12         1         9        0          2
Niger                               5        3         5         0         8         4         1        0          3
Nigeria                           380      144       420        45       609       360       125        0        124
Norway                              0        0         0         0         0         0         0        0          0
Pakistan                         3,150    3,880     9,750     1,700    15,330    11,750      350       25       3,205
Panama                               0        1         0         3         4         3        0        0           1
Paraguay                          250      102       400         0       502        30       350        0        122
Peru                              100      322       320        75       717       440        10        0        267
Philippines                         5       51        12       150       213       165         0        0         48
Poland                              0       19         0       200       219       200         1        0         18
Portugal                            1       98         1       275       374       300         2        0         72
Romania                             0       32         0        50        82        60         0        0         22
Russian Federation                  0      222         0      1,500     1,722     1,500        0        0        222
Senegal                            40       36        90          0       126        20       70        0         36
Serbia and Montenegro               0        2         0         8        10         8         0        0          2
Singapore                           0        8         0        55        63         0        55        0          8
Slovakia                            0        2         0        10        12        10         0        0          2
Slovenia                            0       12         0        45        57        45         0        0         12
Somalia                            12        1         7         5        13        12         0        0          1
South Africa; Republic of          30       68        95       120       283       225         0        0         58
Spain                              90      174       500        65       739       260       300        0        179
Sri Lanka                           5        1         5         5        11        10         0        0          1
Sudan                             170      310       370         0       680         8       425        0        247
Sweden                              0        1         0         1         2         1         0        0          1
Switzerland                         0       10          0       40         50       40         0        0         10
Syria                             235      499      1,600        0      2,099      725       825        0        549
Taiwan                              0      488         0      1,225     1,713     1,250        0        0        463
Tajikistan; Republic of           280      195       625         0       820       150       500        0        170
Tanzania; United Republic of      500      232       550          0       782        70      450        0        262
Thailand                           11      580        54      2,150     2,784     2,175        1       25        583
Togo                              140      147       230         0       377        15       230        0        132
Tunisia                             2       13        10       100       123       110         0        0         13
Turkey                            600     1,685     3,550     3,450     8,685     7,050      100        0       1,535
Turkmenistan                      600       559     1,000         0     1,559       425      550        0         584
Uganda                            375      135       165         0       300        20       150        0        130
Ukraine                             0       19         0        60        79        65         0        0         14
United Kingdom                       0       13         0       85         98        85         0       0          13
United States                    5,533    5,538    23,703       40     29,281     6,000    16,400     -19       6,900
Uruguay                             0        1         0         3         4         3         0        0          1
Uzbekistan; Republic of          1,450    1,298     5,600        0      6,898      900      4,450       0       1,548
Venezuela                          10       34        60        40       134       100         0        0         34
Vietnam                            32      188        65       700       953       750         0        0        203
Yemen                              40        9        65         0        74        25        40        0          9
Zambia                            350      315       350         0       665        65       325        0        275
Zimbabwe                           330      161       350         0       511        90       250       15       156
World Total                     34,798   51,512   112,285    41,761   205,558   114,849    41,295   -1,501    50,915




Friday, December 09, 2005                                                                                    Page 2 of 4
                                        Begin                        Total                                End
Country                         Area    Stocks    Prod    Imports   Supply     Use    Exports   Loss    Stocks

MY          2004/2005
Afghanistan                       50       13       85         0       98       70        15      0         13
Albania                            1        7        1        34       42       35         0      0          7
Algeria                            0        4        0        52       56       45         0      0         11
Angola                             2        4        5         3       12        5         5      0          2
Argentina                        374      515      675       110     1,300     620        98      9        573
Armenia; Republic of               0        1        0         1         2       1         0      0          1
Australia                        314      894     3,000        1     3,895      65      2,002   -125      1,953
Austria                            0       17        0       144      161      125         6      0         30
Azerbaijan; Republic of           80       70      225         0      295       25       160      0        110
Bahrain                            0       16        0        75       91       75         1      0         15
Bangladesh                        44      316       60      1,700    2,076    1,725        0      5        346
Belarus                            0       15        0        45       60       50         0      0         10
Belgium-Luxembourg                 0       11        0       205      216      115        73      0         28
Benin                            300      186      670         0      856       10       575      0        271
Bolivia                           20       27       48        25      100       60         5      0         35
Brazil                          1,172    4,626    5,900      212    10,738    4,200     1,557   -100      5,081
Bulgaria                           2       20        10       34        64      50         0      0         14
Burkina                          550      196     1,180        0     1,376       4       975      0        397
Burma; Union of                  300       64      270         3      337      210        50      0         77
Cambodia                           0        6        0        20       26       20         0      0          6
Cameroon                         220      115      500         0      615       45       400      0        170
Canada                             0       87        0       365      452      360         2      0         90
Central African Republic          35       10       30         0       40        5        25      0         10
Chad                             425       63      375         0      438       15       300      0        123
Chile                              0       15        0        77       92       70         0      0         22
China; Peoples Republic of      5,690   12,808   29,000     6,385   48,193   38,500       30    -900     10,563
Colombia                          65      103      240       141      484      400        11      5         68
Congo; Democratic Rep of the      30        5       15        15       35       30         0      0          5
Costa Rica                         1        1        1         2        4        3         0      0          1
Cote d'Ivoire                    300      323      600         0      923       65       500      0        358
Croatia                            0        3        0        10       13        9         0      0          4
Cuba                               4        8        4        40       52       45         0      0          7
Cyprus                             0        1        0         2        3        2         0      0          1
Czech Republic                     0       36        0       230      266      220        10      0         36
Denmark                            0        1        0         1        2        1         0      0          1
Dominican Republic                 4        2        3         5       10        8         0      0          2
Ecuador                            3       16        9        57       82       65         0      0         17
Egypt                            307      601     1,332      400     2,333     950       600     13        770
El Salvador                        1       25        1        95      121       95         0      0         26
Estonia                            0       12        0        67       79       70         0      0          9
Ethiopia                          60       17       70         0       87       60        10      0         17
France                             0       44        0       242      286      215        33      0         38
Germany                            0       23        0       373      396      280        85      0         31
Ghana                             25       10        30       10        50      30         10     0         10
Greece                           375      390     1,800       10     2,200     500      1,150    50        500
Guatemala                          2       22        3       115      140      110         4      0         26
Guinea                            14       10       14         0       24        0        17      0          7
Haiti                              7        3        5         4       12       10         0      0          2
Honduras                           2        3        4        11       18       15         0      0          3
Hong Kong                          0       72        0       318      390      300        30      0         60
Hungary                            0        7        0        27       34       25         4      1          4
India                           9,000    4,186   19,000       800   23,986   15,000      700      0       8,286
Indonesia                          10      366       32     2,400    2,798    2,250       20     50         478
Iran                             167      115      615        50      780      550        50      0        180
Iraq                              20       19       30        70      119      100         0      0         19
Ireland                            0        1        0         1        2        1         0      0          1
Israel                            14       43      119         5      167        5       100      0         62
Italy                              0      143        0       962     1,105     925        23     10        147
Japan                              0      141        0       815      956      815         0      0        141
Kazakhstan; Republic of          216      133      680         0      813       40       625      0        148
Kenya                             37       10       20        40       70       55         5      0         10
Korea; Democratic Peoples Rep     19       10       55        10       75       65         0      0         10
Korea; Republic of                 1      409        1      1,343    1,753    1,325        9      0        419


Friday, December 09, 2005                                                                              Page 3 of 4
                                        Begin                         Total                                  End
Country                         Area    Stocks     Prod    Imports   Supply       Use    Exports   Loss    Stocks
Kyrgyzstan; Republic of           46       32       185         0       217         5       175      0         37
Latvia                             0        4         0        15        19        15         0      0          4
Lebanon                            0        1         0         3         4         3         0      0          1
Lithuania                          0        7         0        24        31        25         2      0          4
Macedonia, Republic of             1        2         1         5         8         6         0      0          2
Madagascar                        30       11        60         0        71        50        10      0         11
Malawi                            47      102        90         0       192        10        90      0         92
Malaysia                           0       36         0       254       290       250         1      0         39
Mali                             533      257      1,100        0      1,357       20       950      0        387
Mauritius                          0        19        0         65        84        65        5      0          14
Mexico                           105     1,144      625      1,810     3,579     2,050      135     25       1,369
Moldova; Republic of               0        4         0        10        14        10         0      0          4
Morocco                            1       29         1       150       180       150         0      0         30
Mozambique                       155       38       110         5       153        10       100      0         43
Netherlands                        0        4         0        10        14         8         3      0          3
Nicaragua                          4        2        10         0        12         1         9      0          2
Niger                              5        3         5         0         8         4         1      0          3
Nigeria                          380      129       420        70       619       375       100      0        144
Norway                             0        0         0         0         0         0         0      0          0
Pakistan                        3,190    2,030    11,300     1,700    15,030    10,750      375     25       3,880
Panama                             0        1         0         3         4         3         0      0          1
Paraguay                         215      129       300         0       429        30       297      0        102
Peru                              94      226       298       221       745       415         8      0        322
Philippines                        5       43        11       157       211       160         0      0         51
Poland                             0       15         0       205       220       200         1      0         19
Portugal                           1       99         1       325       425       325         2      0         98
Romania                            0       40         0        77       117        85         0      0         32
Russian Federation                 0      197         0      1,450     1,647     1,425        0      0        222
Senegal                           42       26       100         0       126        20        70      0         36
Serbia and Montenegro              0        4         0         8        12        10         0      0          2
Singapore                          0        8         0        55        63         0        55      0          8
Slovakia                           0        4         0        15        19        10         7      0          2
Slovenia                           0       11         0        47        58        45         1      0         12
Somalia                           12        1         7         5        13        12         0      0          1
South Africa; Republic of         26       98        95       124       317       249         0      0         68
Spain                             90      114       500        75       689       280       235      0        174
Sri Lanka                          5        3         5         3        11        10         0      0          1
Sudan                            210       78       525         0       603         9       284      0        310
Sweden                             0        2         0         1         3         2         0      0          1
Switzerland                        0       13         0        47        60        45         5      0         10
Syria                            234      299      1,600        0      1,899      700       700      0        499
Taiwan                             0      351         0      1,337     1,688     1,200        0      0        488
Tajikistan; Republic of          290      157       800          0       957       150      612      0        195
Tanzania; United Republic of     500      152       525         0       677        70       375      0        232
Thailand                          12      418        57      2,282     2,757     2,150        2     25        580
Togo                             200      122       325         0       447        15       285      0        147
Tunisia                            2       13        10       100       123       110         0      0         13
Turkey                           700     1,278     4,150     3,409     8,837     7,000      152      0       1,685
Turkmenistan                     550      399       950         0      1,349      415       375      0        559
Uganda                           400       80       200         0       280        20       110     15        135
Ukraine                            0       13         0        66        79        60         0      0         19
United Kingdom                     0       15         0        83        98        85         0      0         13
United States                   5,284    3,506    23,251       29     26,786     6,693    14,409   146       5,538
Uruguay                             0       1          0        3          4        3          0     0           1
Uzbekistan; Republic of         1,456     923      5,200        0      6,123      875      3,950     0       1,298
Venezuela                         10       29        60        45       134       100         0      0         34
Vietnam                           27      135        48       680       863       675         0      0        188
Yemen                             40        9        65         0        74        25        40      0          9
Zambia                           375      255       350         0       605        65       225      0        315
Zimbabwe                         330      176       350         0       526       100       250     15        161
World Total                    35,870   40,717   120,407    33,135   194,259   108,797    34,681   -731    51,512




Friday, December 09, 2005                                                                                 Page 4 of 4

								
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