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									A National Risk Assessment Framework for sudden onset natural hazards
Version 2.6                                June 2007


                                                                         1-year target                        2-year target             5-year target
                                                                          (mid 2007)                           (mid 2008)                (mid 2011)
PRIORITY AREA                                                                                            This date marks the end   This date marks the end
                                                                                                         of DMAP                   of the 3rd year of any
                                                                                                                                   program replacing

Outcome: Roles in the Framework established
     5.1.1 Agreement reached to implement                 • National Risk Assessment Framework
     National Risk Assessment Framework                     (scope, goals, draft implementation plan),
     • This outcome triggers the implementation of          Terms of Reference for NRAAG endorsed
       the framework.                                       by AEMC. (Dec 2006).
                                                          • Lead agency AEMC. –Completed.
     5.1.2 Advisory bodies established                    • Roles will be formally established with      • NRAAG and TRAAC         • NRAAG and TRAAC
     • National Risk Assessment Advisory Group              endorsement from AEMC (Dec 2006).              membership, Terms of      membership, Terms of
       (NRAAG) has been operating as a Working            • Revised TRAAC TOR agreed (Jun 2007).           Reference and work        Reference and work
       Group and will be formally established with        • Lead agency AEMC, supported by NRAAG           program reviewed          program reviewed
       endorsement from AEMC (Dec 2006). The                and TRAAC.                                     annually, reported to     annually, reported to
       Terms of Reference for NRAAG have been                                                              AEMC and amended as       AEMC and amended as
       prepared.                                                                                           required.                 required.
     • Technical Risk Assessment Advisory
       Committee (TRAAC) was established in
       December 2004. The Terms of Reference for
       TRAAC will be modified to reflect key
       technical role supporting NRAAG.
A National Risk Assessment Framework for sudden onset natural hazards
Version 2.6                                June 2007

                                                                             1-year target                          2-year target                5-year target
                                                                              (mid 2007)                             (mid 2008)                   (mid 2011)
     5.1.3 Framework significance maintained              •   Key recommendations on future priorities        • Annual evaluation          • Annual evaluation
     through monitoring, performance evaluation               and resource requirements prepared.               reported to AEMC.            reported to AEMC.
     and revision                                         •   Criteria for success of framework               • Key recommendations        • Key recommendations
     • This essential annual step is required to              established.                                      on future priorities and     on future priorities and
       measure success against performance                •   Performance Indicators to measure progress        resource requirements        resource requirements
       indicators. The framework can be adjusted to           against these criteria developed.                 included.                    included.
       accommodate changes in drivers, for example        •   1-year progress reported to AEMC. Report        • Framework modified as      • Framework modified as
       from emerging needs.                                   includes definitions of criteria for success,     necessary to meet new        necessary to meet new
                                                              performance indicators and required               developments.                developments.
                                                              information on risk, and strategy for
                                                              managing and accessing information.
                                                          •   Lead agency NRAAG supported by
                                                              TRAAC, NFRAG, NSIM, DOTARS, EMA,
                                                              GA, BOM and jurisdictions.

Outcome: Risk assessment methods developed and
baseline information produced
     5.1.4 Essential information on risk required         • Essential information on likelihood,              • Essential target           • Essential target
     for decision making defined                            consequence, uncertainty defined for the            information reviewed         information reviewed
     • Defining the required information on risk            types of risk addressed by the framework.           and modified as              and modified as
       establishes success criteria for the framework:      The Risk Assessment Guidelines (see 5.1.6)          required.                    required.
       e.g., ‘what do we want to achieve in managing        will describe outcomes-based processes that
       risk, and what do we need to know about risk         develop information to meet these needs.
       to achieve this?’                                  • Lead agency NRAAG supported by
                                                            TRAAC, NSIM, NFRAG.

A National Risk Assessment Framework for sudden onset natural hazards
Version 2.6                                June 2007

                                                                              1-year target                       2-year target               5-year target
                                                                               (mid 2007)                          (mid 2008)                  (mid 2011)
     5.1.5 A picture of natural hazards across            •   The first step in developing the document
     Australia developed                                      was to bring together knowledge for each of
     • We need to take stock of what we already               the natural hazards outlined in the COAG
       know about natural hazards across Australia to         review. A draft of the report was completed
       assist in defining current knowledge gaps on           in June 2006.
       the risks from these hazards.                      •   The second step is to consult with a wide
     • A multi-hazard document is being prepared              stakeholder base, including AEMC member
       that will meet this need and will bring together       jurisdictions, in hazard and emergency
       our understanding of natural hazards across            management, planning, risk research and
       Australia. The document will provide a new,            information management on content and
       central source of information on natural               conclusions prior to publication.
       hazards across Australia for policy makers and     •   Document to be published May 2007.
       risk management practitioners.                     •   Lead agency GA supported by BOM,
     • The document will assist priority setting for          Bushfire CRC, CSIRO, TRAAC, NRAAG,
       method development and information                     NFRAG.
       development. The document is a collaborative
       production, facilitated by GA.
     5.1.6 Risk Assessment Guidelines developed           • Risk Assessment Guidelines scoped and           • Broad stakeholder         • Guidelines modified as
     • Risk assessment guidelines will assist               existing best practice hazard-specific            comment sought and          required based on
       practitioners at all levels of government to         guidelines identified.                            considered.                 evaluation of their
       undertake risk assessments that support the        • Submission made for WTTME funding.              • Draft guidelines            effectiveness and
       National Risk Assessment Framework. The            • Lead agency NRAAG supported by                    produced (Jun 2008).        availability of new
       guidelines will be focussed on production of         TRAAC, NFRAG, GA, EMA, peak industry            • Guidelines published in     methods, data and
       consistent and improved information on risk,         and research organisations, NSIM.                 2008-09.                    decision support tools.
       i.e., outcomes.
     • The guidelines extend the relevant risk
       assessment components of the processes
       outlined in AS/NZS 4360:2004 and EMA’s
       Emergency Risk Management Applications

A National Risk Assessment Framework for sudden onset natural hazards
Version 2.6                                June 2007

                                                                             1-year target                      2-year target                5-year target
                                                                              (mid 2007)                         (mid 2008)                   (mid 2011)
     5.1.7 Knowledge gaps defined and priorities          • Initial definition of knowledge gaps in       • Later iterations to        • Later iterations to
     identified                                             2006-07. The results from gap analysis at       define knowledge gaps        define knowledge gaps
     • This is an important, iterative process to           jurisdiction level will be brought to           performed in order to        performed in order to
       improve our knowledge of risk by defining            NRAAG by State and Territory delegates.         plan managing                plan managing
       knowledge gaps, managing these gaps and            • Working party established to define and         knowledge gaps for one       knowledge gaps for one
       consolidating the information gained.                scope project.                                  or more years in             or more years in
     • This process will identify resource needs          • Lead agency NRAAG supported by                  advance.                     advance.
       several years into the future and outline            TRAAC, NFRAG, NSIM.
       strategies to obtain those resources.
     5.1.8 Knowledge gaps managed                         • First annual work plan developed, based on    • Workplans will be          • Workplans will be
     • This will be achieved by developing and              current priorities.                             developed each year          developed each year
       implementing annual workplans, with                • Lead agency NRAAG supported by                  concurrent with an           concurrent with an
       progress measured against performance                TRAAC, NFRAG, NSIM.                             assessment of priorities     assessment of priorities
       indicators.                                                                                          (Mar 2007).                  (Mar 2011).
     • The accumulating evidence base contains
       information at a resolution or ‘granularity’
       that serves all levels of government, as

     5.1.9 Decision support tools for risk                • Lead agency NRAAG supported by                • Ongoing.                   • Ongoing.
     assessment developed                                   TRAAC, NFRAG, NSIM, GA, BOM,
     • This will occur incrementally according to the       CSIRO, States, Territories, non government.
       priorities set in the ‘Define knowledge gaps’
       and ‘Manage knowledge gaps’ process of this

A National Risk Assessment Framework for sudden onset natural hazards
Version 2.6                                June 2007

                                                                          1-year target                          2-year target             5-year target
                                                                           (mid 2007)                             (mid 2008)                (mid 2011)

Outcome: Information on risk managed and
     5.1.10 Strategy developed for managing               • Draft strategy prepared for managing
     information on risk and making it accessible           information on risk and making it available.
     Criteria for success of this outcome include:          This will set out how this will be achieved,
     • the capability for any government to                 roles, resource implications, a timetable for
       contribute its own information on risk and           implementation, Information Management
       supporting data, and gain access to the              solutions, IT requirements and specific
       information and supporting data of others,           skills required.
     • the capability for any government to               • Working party formed to scope project.
       consolidate information on risk from its own       • Lead agency NSIM supported by NRAAG,
       jurisdiction, for example from several               TRAAC, NFRAG.
       assessments spanning locations and different
       hazards, and
     • the capability for any State or the Australian
       Government to consolidate information on
       risk from numerous smaller jurisdictions.
     5.1.11 National evidence base developed              • Status of current evidence base, systems and    • Strategy implemented.   • Strategy implemented.
     through managing, sharing and consolidating            protocols assessed in strategy preparation.       Effectiveness of          Effectiveness of
     information                                          • Lead agency NRAAG supported by NSIM,              strategy reviewed in      strategy reviewed in
                                                            TRAAC, NFRAG.                                     evaluation process.       evaluation process.
     5.1.12 Risk management stakeholders                  • Communications strategy drafted and             • Strategy implemented    • Strategy implemented
     engaged through communications strategy                implementation begun.                             and reviewed as           and reviewed as
     • Engagement of stakeholders improves the            • Lead agency NRAAG supported by NSIM,              required.                 required.
       effectiveness of the framework by providing a        TRAAC, NFRAG, peak industry bodies.
       dialogue on framework goals, progress and
       availability of baseline information, guides
       and methods.


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