Risk, Cost of Capital, Capital budget
2003,10,30
Present value
Cash flow C_0,C_1, …, C_T T NPV= Ct
(1
t 0
r )t
1/(1+r) is the discount factor What’s the real discount factor
Cost of capital
NPV, cash flow, 1/(1+r) are related Given NPV and cash flow, we can find r=? This r is the require return Knowing r and cash flow, we can find NPV. Having r and NPV, we can verify cash flow.
Cost of capital
The require return is the cost of capital to invest in the company (project) R=R_F + Beta*(R_M-R_F) R_F: risk-free rate R_M-R_F: market-risk premium Company beta: Beta
Beta
Estimation of Beta Real-World Betas: stability of Beta, Using and industry Beta Equity beta, asset beta Beta_asset= Debt/asset *Beta_debt + equity/asset * Beta_equity
Beta of a company
Cyclicality of revenues Operating leverage Financial leverage
The Firm versus The Project
Corporate discount rate, Hurdle rate, cutoff rate, benchmark, and cost of capital are synonymous.
Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC)
WACC=equity/asset * R_asset + debt/asset *R_debt *(1-Taxes) R_debt =interest
Liquidity
Market-impact factor