PRESENTATION
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PRESENTATION
BY MR. ABDEL HAMID BOUAB
AT THE NATIONAL ECONOMIC SUMMIT IN ACCRA, GHANA
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INTRODUCTION
HONORABLE MINISTERS, EXCELLENCEIS, DISTINGUISHED
PARTICIPANTS, LADIES AND GENLEMEN.
WHAT AN HONOUR AND PRIVILEGE IT IS FOR ME TO MEET
WITH SUCH DISTINGUISHED REPRESENTATIVES OF SUCH
DIVERSE GOVERNMENT ORGANIZATIONS AND INSTITUTIONS
AS WELL AS FROM THE PRIVATE SECTOR, NGOs AND OTHER
IMPORTANT NATIONAL AND INTERNATIONAL BODIES.
YOUR GATHERING HERE IS A TRUE EXPRESSION OF A
PARTNERSHIP BETWEEN THE PUBLIC AND THE PRIVATE
SECTORS.
THIS SHOULD GO A LONG WAY TOWARDS MEETING THE
OBJECTIVES OF THE NATIONAL ECONOMIC SUMMIT.
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AS YOU KNOW, THE PRUPSOE OF THIS NATIONAL ECONOMCI
SUMMIT IS TO DEVELOP A NATIONAL CENSENSUS ON POLICY
MEASURES AND PROGRAME REQUIRED FOR ACCELERATED
ECONOMIC GROWTH WITHIN THE FRAMEWORK OF GHANA
VISION-2020.
CONSISTENT WITH THIS PURPOSE. THE THEME OF MY
PRESENTATION IS, "LET’S MOVE BEYOND POLICY ADVICE
TO GENERAL CONSENSUS FOR A PROGRAMME OF ACTION.”
1. FIRST OF ALL, LET ME BE VERY CLEAR. NO ONE
PRESENT HERE WOULD SUPPORT RETURNING TO THE
CONDITIONS PRIOR TO THE INTRODUCTION OF THE
ECONOMIC RECOVERY PROGRAMME IN 1983. CONDITIONS
THEN WERE UNACCEPTABLE.
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THE INTRODUCTION OF THE ECONOMIC REFORM
PROGRAMME IN 1983 HAD THREE MAIN
COMPONENTS: STABLIZATION, AND
LIBERALIZATION.
1. STABILIZATION, WAS ACHIEVED THROUGH
STABLISHING TARGETS FOR REVENUE
GENERATION, EXPENDITURE CEILINGS,
MONETARY TARGETS, AND SO ON;
2. REHABILITATION, WAS PLANNED FOR THE
IMPROVEMENT OF THE DECAYING PHYSICAL
INFRASTRUCTURE, AND IMPROVING THE FINANCIAL
INGRASTRUCTURE.
3. LIBERALIZATION, TOOK PLACE THROUGH THE
REMOVAL OF PRICE, TRADE, AND EXCHANGE RATE
CONTROLS.
STICKING WITH THE REFORMS WAS NECESSARY NOT
ONLY TO MAINTAIN DONOR SUPPORT, BUT ALSO TO
NURTURE CONFIDENCE AMONGST DOMESTIC
INVESTORS AND TO GENERATE THE NECESSARY
PRIVATE INVESTMENT.
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2. WHAT HAPPENED AFTER 1983?
OVERALL, GDP GROWTH RATES HAVE BEEN CONSISTENTLY
POSITIVE SINCE 1983. THE SERVICE SECTOR HAS EMERGED AS
THE LARGEST SECTOR IN THE ECONOMY, AS COMPARED
WITH THE DIRECT PRODUCTION ACTIVITY OF AGRICULTURE
AND MINING.
THE 1983 ECONOMIC RECOVERY PROGRAMME (ERP), HAS
ACHIEVED SOME SUCCESSES IN RESTORING MACRO-
ECONOMIC STABILITY.
THE FACT REMAINS, HOWEVER, THAT THOSE ACHIEVEMENTS
WILL NOT BE SUFFICIENT TO MEET THE GOVERNMENT’S
GHANA VISION-2029 TARGETS. ALTHOUGH GROWTH WAS
ACHIEVED, IT WAS NOT NECESSAIRLY FELT IN THE EVERY
DAY LIVES OF THE PEOPLE.
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AND I DON’T NEED TO REMIND THOSE PRESENT THAT
ECONOMIC GROWTH AND HUMAN DEVELOPMENT ARE NOT
LINKED AUTOMATICALLY.
MAINTAINING THE PRESENT POLICY FRAMEWORK WILL ONLY
ACHIEVE ONE-HALF OF WHAT IS REQUIRED. AS OTHERS
HAVE STATED, TO MEET ITS TARGETS, GHANA WILL HAVE TO
WORK TWICE AS HARD.
OVERALL, THE GOVERNMENT FULLY RECOGNIZES THAT A
SHIFT IN THE POLICY FRAMEWORK IS REQUIRED. THAT IS
THE VERY REASON FOR THIS NATIONAL ECONOMIC SUMMIT.
LET US MOVE ON AND NOT DWELL FURTHER ON THE PAST! I
JUST WANTED TO EMPHASIZE THAT GOING BACKWARDS IS
NOT AN ACCEPTABLE OPTION!
4. LET US NOW LOOK TOWARDS THE FUTURE
THE GOVERNMENT OF GHANA IS EMBARKING UPON A
CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK TO REGAIN MACRO-ECONOMIC
STABILITY, AND PROMOTE SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC
GROWTH WITHIN THE LONG-TERM PERSPECTIVE OF GHANA
VISION-2020.
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OVER THE PAST EIGHTEEN MONTHS, AS OTHER SPEAKERS
HAVE NOTED, THE GOVERNMENT HAS HELD A
NUMBER OF FORAS, WORKSHOPS AND CONFERENCES.
BASED ON THIS VALUABLE PRACTICAL EXPERIENCE AND
INPUT FROM THESE CONFERENCES, THE GOVERNMENT HAS
GAINED INSIGHTS TO ENABLE IT TO IMPLEMET A CONSISTENT
STRATEGY TO REGAIN MACRO-ECONOMIC STABILITY.
PROMOTE THE LIBERALIZATION PROCESS AND PRIVATE
SECTOR DEVELOPMENT WITH A VIEW TO ACHIEVING
SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT.
THE POLICY MEASURES AND REFORM PROGRAMMES
DESIGNED BY THE GOVERNMENT WITHINTHESE FORAS
SHOULD LARGELY ACHIEVE THESE OBJECTIVES.
THE PRESIDENT’S ADDRESS YESTERDAY MORNING HAS
PROVIDED THE POLICY AND REFORM FRAMEOWRK, WHICH IS
COMPREHENSIVE AND WHICH, WITHIN A NATIONAL
CONCENSUS, WILL EMBARK THE COUNTRY ON A COURSE OF
RECOVERY AND ECONOMIC GROWTH.
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FOR MY PART, I WISH TO ADDRESS THE FRAMEWORK IN
WHICH THESE REFORMS SHOULD BE PUT IN PLACE TO
ENSURE MAXIMUM SUCCESS. THE PRIORITIES AND
SEQUENCING IN INTRODUCING AND IMPLEMENTING THESE
NEW STRATEGIES WILL BE OF CRITICAL IMPORTANCE TO
THEIR SUCCESS. THEY WILL GAIN FURTHER IN THEIR
EFFICIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS IF INTRODUCED WITHIN
THE FOLLOWING PARAMETERS:
1ST. A COMPREHENSIVE CRITICAL MASS OF POLICIES,
REGULATIONS AND PROGRAMMES IS NEEDED TO ADDRESS
LARGE FINANCIAL IMBALANCES AND DEEP-ROOTED
BOTTLENECKS.
THE ADJUSTMENT EFFORTS GHANA UNDERTOOK IN THE
EARLY 1980’S SUCCEEDED ONLY PARTIALLY, BECAUSE THEY
TENDED TO BE PIECEMEAL.
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ACCORDINGLY, MORE WIDE-RANGING STRUCTURAL
REFORMS, AIMED AT REDRESSING THE FISCAL POSITION AND
ENHANCING MONETARY POLICY, NEED TO BE PUT IN PALCE
WITHIN THE GOVERNMENT’S PROPOSED MEDIUM-TERM
STRATEGY.
IN PARTICULAR, THE BURDEN OF FISCAL ADJUSTMENT
SHOULD REST ON BOTH THE REVENUE AND EXPENDITURE
SIDES TO BRING ABOUT A MORE DURABLE AND
SUSTAINABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE FISCAL POSITION.
AT THE SAME TIME, THE REFORM OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR
AND THE MOVE TO INDIRECT INSTRUMENTS OF MONETARY
CONTROL SHOULD ENABLE THE MONETARY AUTHORITIES TO
MOBILIZE FINANCIAL SAVINGS MORE EFFECTIVELY WHILE
FOSTERING MORE EFFICIENT USE OF CREDIT.
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2ND. REFORMS MUST BE THOROUGHLY PREPARED TO
ACHIEVE GOVERNMENT OBJECTIVES.
HERE, THE ESTBALISHMENT OF THE “NATIONAL
INSTITUTIONAL RENEWAL PROGRAMME (NIPR)” WOULD
PROVIDE THE NECESSARY FRAMEWORK FOR THE
INTRODUCTION OF REFORMS WITH: ADEQUATE PREPARATION
AND GREATER EFFECTIVENESS AND SUCCESS.
3RD. THE PROPER SEQUENCING OF REFORMS WILL HELP
ACHIEVE THE DESIRED OBJECTIVES IN AN ORDERLY
MANNER.
HERE, ALSO, DOMESTIC FINANCIAL POLICIES AND EXCHANGE
RATE ADJUSTMENTS SHOULD BE SOUGHT TO STRENGTHEN
GHANA’S EXTERNAL SECTOR POSITION AS A PREREQUISITE
TO LIBERALIZING THE TRADE REGIME. A PROGRESSIVE AND
SEQUENCED POLICY OF DECONTROLLING PRICES,
LIBERALIZING THE MARKET SYSTEM AND REFORMING THE
INVESTMENT INCENTIVES SHOULD SUCCEED IN MAKING THE
DOMESTIC AND EXPORT MARKETS MORE COMPETITIVE.
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4TH. THE PROMPT ADAPTATION OF POLICIES TO ADDRESS
ADVERSE EXOGENOUS DEVELOPMENT IS ESSENTIAL.
GHANA’S PROBLEMS STEMMED, IN PART, FROM THE RAPID
EXPANSION OF GOVENRMENT EXPENDITURE IN RESPONSE TO
THE BOOM IN COMMODITIES EXPORTS IN THE 1980’s and THE
FAILURE TO ADJUST POLICIES IN A TIMELY MANNER WHEN
THOSE PRICES DROPPED IN THE FIRST HALF OF THE 1980’s
THE GOVERNMENT’S NEW STRATEGY SHOULD REMAIN
FLEXIBLE AND ADAPTABLE TO BE ABLE TO DEAL WITH
EXTERNALLY GENERATED FACTORS.
5TH. SUSTAINED AND CONTINUOUS ADJUSTMENT AND
REFORM ARE KEY TO LIMITING THE COSTS AND
MAXIMIZING THE BENEFITS OF POLICIES.
THIS WILL AVOID THE PITFALLS OF AN “ON AGAIN, OFF
AGAIN” APPROACH, WHICH WOULD ENTAIL NOT ONLY AN
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EROSION OF EARLIER PROGRESS DURING THE “OFF” PERIODS,
BUT ALSO A HIGH START-UP COST OF REGAINING THE LOST
MOMENTUM.
FURTHERMORE, APART FROM THE DIRECT BENEFITS OF
THESE MORE STEADY POLICIES, GHANA WILL GREATLY
BENEFIT FROM THE ADDED CONFIDENCE THAT CONTINUITY
WOULD INSTILL IN BOTH DOMESTIC AND FOREIGN
INVESTORS.
6TH. AN OUTWARD-ORIENTED AND MARKET-BASED
STRATEGY WOULD HELP PROMOTE STABILITY AND
GROWTH.
THE LIBERALIZATION OF THE ECONOMY, COMBINED WITH AN
APPROPRIATE EXCHANGE RATE POLICY AND UNDERPINNED
BY SUITABLE FINANCIAL POLICIES, WOULD CONTRIBUTE TO
GROWTH IN THE TRADABLE GOODS SECTOR.
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A SUBSTANTIAL EXPANSION OF NON-TRADITIONAL EXPORTS
WILL ALSO CONTRIBUTE TO THE OVERALL GROWTH OF THE
ECONOMY AND TO THE STRENGTHENING OF THE BALANCE
OF PAYMENTS POSITION.
IN ADDITION, THE GROWTH OF THE ECONOMY, BY
EXPANDING THE TAX BASE, WOULD ALSO FACILITATE THE
IMPROVEMENT OF THE BUDGET POSITION.
IN TURN, THIS WOULD ENABLE THE MONETARY AUTHORITIES
TO SHIFT CREDIT RESOURCES TO INCREASINGLY SUPPORT
THE PRIVATE SECTOR WHILE REDUCING INFLATION. THE
OPENNESS OF THE ECONOMY, BY FOSTERING DOMESTIC
COMPETITION AND EFFICIENCIES, WOULD HELP IN
ENHANCING PRICE STABILITY.
7TH. THE PACE OF STABILIZATION POLICIES AND THE
REFORM PROCESS SHOULD BE TAILORED TO THE SPECIFIC
CIRCUMSTANCES OF THE COUNTRY.
IN PARTICULAR, IND ETERMINING THE PACE OF REFORMS,
THE GOVERNMENT SHOULD STRIKE A CAREFUL BALANCE
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WITH PUBLIC ACCEPTABILITY TO AVOID SOCIAL TENSIONS
WHICH COULD DISRUPT THE REFORM PROCESS.
8TH. CONSISTENT WITH THE PRECEDING POINT, THE
SUSTAINABILITY OF REFORMS AND ADJUSTMENT
PROCESSES REQUIRES PUBLIC SUPPORT.
I AM CONVINCED THAT THE CONSENSUS EMERGING FROM
THE CURRENT NATIONAL ECONOMIC SUMMIT
DELIBERATIONS, TOGETHER WITH THE GOVERNMENT’S
EFFORTS TO PROVIDE MORE INFORMATION ON ECONOMIC
VARIABLES AND DEVELOPMENTS, WILL GREATLY
CONTRIBUTE TO ACCELERATING THE PACE OF REFORMS IN
THE FIRST HALF OF THE NEXT YEAR. CONTINUOUS PUBLIC
AND STAKEHOLDER SUPPORT MUST BE SECURED
THROUGHOUT THE REFORM PROCESS.
FURTHERMORE, THE “EIRP” FRAMEWORK WILL ENSURE THAT
THE ECONOMIC SUMMIT “PROGRAMME OF ACTION” WHICH
WILL EMERGE FROM YOUR DELIBERATIONS WILL ENHANCE
THE GOVERNMENT’S CONCEPTUAL AND ANALYTICAL
POLICIES AND AMELIORATE THE SOCIAL CONDITIONS.
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9TH. AN EFFECTIVE ADMINISTRATION IS ESSENTIAL TO
THE PREPARATION AND IMPLEMENTATION OF THE
COMPREHENSIVE REFORM PROCESS.
GHANA HAS A HIGHLY COMPETENT AND EFFECTIVE CIVIL
SERVICE THAT WILL BE ABLE TO IMPLEMENT THE REQUISITE
REFORMS. THIS IS PARTICULARLY APPARENT IN THE
MOBILIZATION OF DOMESTIC REVENUE AND CONTROL OF
GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE.
THE RFORM OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR, TOGETHER WITH AN
EFFECTIVE POLICY AND INSTITUTIONAL FRAMEWORK FOR
THE MOBILIZATION OFHOUSEHOLD SAVINGS AND FOR
GREATER TRANSPARENCY AND ACCOUNTABILITY, WOULD
CONTRIBUTE TO ENHANCING THE GOVERNMENT’S
CAPABILITIES IN ROMOTING SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC
GROWTH.
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CONCLUSION
IN CONCLUSION, HONORABLE MINISTERS, EXCELLENCIES
DISTINGUISHED PARTICIPANTS, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN.
THOSE ARE A FEW IDEAS WHICH MAY ENABLE US TO
EMBARK UPON A PROCESS OF CONTINUED REFORM,
LIBERALIZATION AND ADJUSTMENT OF THE ECONOMY IN
GHANA.
AS I MENTIONED EARLIER, THIS FRAMEWORK SHOULD BE
PERCEIVED IN A FLEXIBLE AND SEQUENTIAL APPROACH. IT
WILL AFFORD THE COUNTRY TO REGAIN MACRO-ECONOMIC
STABILITY, STRENGTHEN THE ROLE OF THE PRIVATE SECTOR,
AND ACHIEVE SUSTAINABLE ECONOMIC GROWTH.
LET US, THEREFORE, CONTINUE, BY WORKING TOGETHER
THROUGH CONSENSUS, IN AN UNWAVERING THE FOCUSED
MANNER.
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WE AT THE UNITED NATIONS STAND READY TO ASSIST IN
THESE ENDEAVOURS AND, PARTICULARLY, IN
STRENGTHENING THE MACRO-ECONOMIC FRAMEWORK, AND
ASSISTING IN THE REFORM OF THE FINANCIAL SECTOR AND
THE MOBILIZATION OF HOUSEHOLD SAVINGS.
WE WOULD ALSO PROVIDE THE NECESSARY SUPPORT IN
ACHIEVING INCREASED TRNASPARENCY, PREDICTABILITY,
PARTICIPATION AND ACCOUNTABILITY IN THE NATIONAL
DEVELOPMENT PROCESS.
HONORABLE MINISTERS, EXCELLENCIES, DISTINGUISHED
PARTICIPANTS, LADIES AND GENTLEMEN, I WOULD LIKE TO
EXPRESS MY DEEPEST GRATITUDE TO THE GOVERNMENT
AND PEOPLE OF GHANA FOR PROVIDING THIS OPPORTUNITY
FOR THE UNITED NATIONS TO PARTICIPATE IN THIS
NATIONAL ECONOMIC SUMMIT AND TO SHARE OUR VIEWS
WITH YOU.
THANK YOU.
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