Who Wants to be a Millionaire? No-Fault Auto Insurance Fraud in New York
March 2002
Robert P. Hartwig, Ph.D., Senior Vice President & Chief Economist Insurance Information Institute 110 William Street New York, NY 10038
Tel: (212) 346-5520 Fax: (212) 732-1916 bobh@iii.org www.iii.org
Insurance Fraud in the U.S. Costs Billions!
Health $61.4 billion 64%
Total = $96.2 Billion (1999)
Life $11.8 billion 12% Disability $0.5 billion 1% Prop./Casualty $22.4 billion 23%
Source: Conning & Co.
Comparative Statistics: PIP Claims Costs
Growth in Total PIP Claims Costs*
30%
1% 2. 3
Four Quarters Ending 2000:3rd
PIP Claims Costs
20%
% .0 4.9% 15 1
6% % % 0. 10.3 0.2 1 1
PIP Costs in New York are growing faster than in any other no-fault state—by far .
% .3 4.1% .3% 0% % 4 2 3 3. % % 2. 2 .6 0 0.
10%
0%
N
A
I
PA
O
D
TX
FL
C
Y
E
S
Y
J N
-
M
-10%
C
-20%
% .4 7
M
N
D
9% 8. -
% .2 12 -
SC
2% 7. 1
T
I H
N
D
U
M
K
*Change in “pure premium” Source: Insurance Information Institute from ISO Fast Track Data
K
Growth in Total PIP Claims Costs*
Four Quarters Ending 2000:4th
30%
5% 8. 2 % % .0 3 18 17.
PIP Claims Costs
2% % 4. 9 1 2. 1 5% % 0. 9 1 9.
20%
PIP Costs in New York grew faster than in any other no-fault state—by far .
% .3 4.2% 4.1% 9% 4 2. 1% .6% 0. -1
10%
0%
A
I
N
PA
O
D
J N
TX
FL
M
M
N
SC
N
D
U
M
H
K
K
C
-10%
3% % 5. -5.5 9% 1. % .9 -1 3 -1
-20%
*Change in “pure premium” Source: Insurance Information Institute from ISO Fast Track Data
D
C
Y
E
Y
S
I
T
Growth in Total PIP Claims Costs*
30%
% .6 28
Four Quarters Ending 2001:2nd PIP Claims Costs
5% 9. 1 % % .4 .0 0% % 14 14 3. 1 .3 11
% .7 24
20%
Growth NY’s PIP Costs slowed significantly during the first half of 2001 but costs remain extremely high.
8% .5% .4% 7% 5. 5 5 4.
10%
0%
% % .6 % % % 1 2 1. 0.7 2.4 3.0% -3.6 -
A
I
N
PA
O
D
C
E
Y
Y
J N
SC
TX
FL
M
M
H
M
D
K
U
N
N
-10%
-20%
*Change in “pure premium” Source: Insurance Information Institute from ISO Fast Track Data
C
D
K
S
I
T
Comparative Statistics: Profitability
Return on Net Worth Private Passenger Auto (%),
20
1991-2000
16.2 14.3 12.2 14.2 11.4 8.6 7.5 10.7 7.3 7.0 8.0 8.2 10.0 9.8 13.5 11.6 13.9 12.4 10.1
15
New York Florida U.S.
13.0 12.1
10
10.6
5
2.8
7.7 6.2 4.8 2.2 -1.1 -3.6
0 91 -5
Source: NAIC.
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
Return on Net Worth Private Passenger Auto (%),
21
1991-2000
16.2
16
12.2
New York Florida
10.7 8.6 7.3 7.0 8.0
13.5
13.0
13.9 12.4 10.0 9.8
11
7.5
8.2 6.2 4.8
6
2.8
1
-1.1
-4 91
Source: NAIC.
-3.6
92
93
94
95
96
97
98
99
00
Private Passenger Auto: 6 Least Profitable States, 2000
(Profit as a % of Direct Premium Earned)
New York 0.0
-1.2 -2.6
Texas
Montana
Florida
S. Carolina
Louisiana
-2.0
-4.0
-3.2
-3.3 -4.0
-6.0
•NY ranked 44th in terms of profitability in 2000
-8.0
•FL ranked 48th
-10.0
Source: NAIC; Insurance Information Institute
-9.8
Private Passenger Auto: 6 Least Profitable States, 2000
(Profit as a % of Direct Premium Earned)
U.S. 8 6 4 2 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 -10
Source: NAIC; Insurance Information Institute
7.7
New York
Texas
Montana
Florida
S. Carolina
Louisiana
•NY ranked 44th in terms of profitability in 2000 •FL ranked 48th
-1.2 -2.6 -3.2 -3.3
-4.0
-9.8
PIP Fraud and Abuse in New York State
New York vs. US:1987-2000*
300% 250% 200% 150% 100% 50% 0%
19 87 19 88 19 89 19 90 19 91 19 92 19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00
Change in PIP Loss Costs:
By 2000, growth in New York PIP loss costs were more than twice (121%) the national average.
U.S.
New York
*Through 4 quarters ending 2000:3 rd. Source: American Insurance Association/ISO FastTrack; Insurance Information Institute
New York vs. US:1993-2001*
250% 200%
Change in PIP Loss Costs:
In 2001:II, cumulative growth in New York PIP loss costs was more than twice (106%) the national average.
150%
100%
50%
0%
19 93 19 94 19 95 19 96 19 97 19 98 19 99 20 00 20 01
U.S.
New York
*Through 4 quarters ending 2001:2nd. Source: American Insurance Association/ISO FastTrack; Insurance Information Institute
Personal Injury Protection Paid Claim Frequency
2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 NY MA CO FL DE UT MN NJ US*
*US excludes New York
2.24
Year 2000
2.17 2.10 1.90 1.85 1.83
PIP frequency is 33% above the US average
1.80 1.80 1.68
Source: Insurance Information Institute and Insurance Services Office.
Personal Injury Protection Paid Claim Frequency
2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.0 NY MA CO FL DE UT MN NJ HI US*
*US excludes New York and Florida
2.27
2.26 2.11
Year Ending 2001:2nd
1.90 1.87 1.86 1.80
PIP frequency is 42% above the US average
1.68 1.60 1.60
Source: Insurance Information Institute and Insurance Services Office.
PIP Claim Severity 1995-2000: New York vs. United States
Average PIP Claim New York
$6,700 $6,064 $5,675 $4,862 $4,969 $4,699 $4,963 $8,335
Other No-Fault States*
$3,976
$4,183
$4,352
$4,523
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
* Excluding Michigan
Source: Fast Track Monitoring System, Fourth Quarter 2000 Report
Impact on Cost of Auto Insurance in New York State
Projected Average Auto Insurance Expenditure in NY State Assuming No Meaningful Reform
$1,600 $1,500 $1,400
$1,317 $1,578
$1,439
$1,300
$1,210
$1,200 $1,100 $1,000 $900 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Insurance Information Institute
$1,096
$957
Projected Average Cost of No-Fault Auto Insurance Fraud in NY State Assuming No Meaningful Reform
$400
$321
$300
$242
$200
$124
$177
$100
$81
$0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Source: Insurance Information Institute
Impact on New Auto Plan (Residual Market)
New Residual Market PPA Applications Growth 09/30/00 – 09/30/01
Florida New York Connecticut Pennsylvania Virginia Rhode Island New Jersey California Texas Michigan
36.8% 34.0% 22.0% 21.7% 14.5% 12.4% -5.0% 122.3% 79.8% 438.9%
Source: AIPSO; Morgan Stanley Research
New Residual Market PPA Applications
All Other 41% 181,770 New York 40% 174,598
All Other 42% 391,802 New York 42% 388,066
Florida 2% 9,695
New Jersey 17% 73,849
Florida 6% 52,246
NewJersey 10% 89,859
09/30/2000 – Total of 439,912 Applications
09/30/2001 – Total of 741,973 Applications
Source: AIPSO; Morgan Stanley Research
How Do We Know It’s Fraud & Abuse?
How Do We Know It’s Fraud?
• NY PIP: Definitely Issue of Fraud
Not medical inflation (+4.6% in 2001)
Not “surge” in accidents (e.g., weather, road rage, etc.)
No corresponding increase in claiming in other auto coverages
PIP Fraud Reports up sharply (up 246%, 1995-2001)
PIP is leading type of fraud reported to NY Insurance Dept. Increase in PIP fraud masking overall decline in NY fraud
– Excluding PIP, fraud reports in NY fell 32% from 1995-2001
Percentage Change in New York Paid Claim Severities from 1987
250% 200%
Bodily Injury Liability Personal Injury Protection Property Damage Liability Collision Comprehensive
150%
100%
50%
0% 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: Fastrack (ISO, NAII), American Insurance Association Analysis.
New York Average Loss Costs
$200 $180 $160 $140 $120 $100 $80 $60 $40 $20 $0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: Fastrack (ISO, NAII), American Insurance Association Analysis.
Bodily Injury Liability Collision
Personal Injury Protection Comprehensive
Property Damage Liability
Paid Claim Severity: Property Damage Liability Coverage
$2,500 $2,000
New York
$1,500
Countrywide
$1,000
$500
$0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: Private Passenger Auto – Fast Track Data
Paid Claim Severity: Collision Coverage
$3,000 $2,500
New York
$2,000 $1,500
Countrywide
$1,000 $500 $0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: Private Passenger Auto – Fast Track Data
Paid Claim Severity: Comprehensive Coverage
$1,400 $1,200
New York
$1,000 $800 $600 $400 $200 $0 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Source: Private Passenger Auto – Fast Track Data
Countrywide
Types of Fraud Committed?
• The Many Faces of PIP Fraud in NY
Provider Billing Practices
Durable Medical Supplies Transportation Services Lost Wages Household Help
Exotic/Dubious Treatments Excessive Frequency Identity Theft Bounced Checks Forgery
New York Insurance Fraud Reports, 1995 - 2001
16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Auto Collision Damage Auto Theft No-Fault Auto
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
New York Insurance Fraud Reports, 1995 - 2001
16,000 14,000
12,372 15,219
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000
Workers' Compensation No-Fault Auto
9,659
9,191
7,042 5,214 4,393
4,000 2,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
1,733 851 758 698 661 798 862
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
NY Insurance Fraud Bureau Investigations Opened, 1996 - 2001
2,500 Total No-Fault Auto
1,833
2,000
1,934
1,500
1,317
1,238 1,004 939
1,000
500
195
295 132 127 88 62
0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
Composition of Fraud Reports, 1995 vs. 2001
1995
Total Reports = 20,205
No-Fault Auto 22% Auto Theft 7.6% Auto Collision 10% Workers' Comp 3.9%
All Other 16% Health Accident 6%
2001
Total Reports = 26,028
No-Fault Auto 59%
Workers' Comp 4% Auto Collision 4%
Health Accident 23%
All Other 29%
Auto Theft 8%
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
New York Insurance Fraud Reports, 1995 - 2001
16,000 14,000
12,372 15,219
12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 1995
Health/Accident No-Fault Auto
9,659
9,191
7,042 5,841 4,712 4,393 2,637 2,359 2,205 5,214 5,457
1,572
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
No-Fault Fraud: A Growing Problem
30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001
Source: New York Department of Insurance; Insurance Information Institute.
Total All Types of Fraud No-Fault Auto Fraud
Abuses of the Legal System
• Abuse of the Legal System
Suits are Exploding
100% - 200% increase at most companies
Small number of law firms generate majority of suits Complaints to insurance department mostly generated by providers and attorneys
Inequities in the Arbitration Process
Differences in Claiming Behavior in New York State
Average PIP Payments in Metro NYC versus Rest of State
Average Total Payment Per PIP Claimant
$4,627 $4,393 $2,806 $3,295 $4,342 $6,898
1992
1997
NYC Metro Outside NYC Metro
2000
Source: Insurance Research Council
PIP Claim Frequencies, Selected Territories
5.27 5.03 3.55 2.82 1.88 1.63 1.86 1.43 1.34
Kings County Bronx County (1) Queens County (3)
Buffalo
Albany
Syracuse
White Plains
Rochester
Binghamton
2.23
Source: Insurance Research Council, Trends in Auto Injury Claims, 2000 Edition.
State
(1) Remainder (3) Remainder
Increase in Appearance of Fraud and Buildup
Percentage of NY PIP Claims
25%
16% 13%
1992 2000
5%
Appearance of Fraud
Source: Insurance Research Council
Appearance of Buildup
NY PIP Claimants Reporting Three or More Injuries
Percentage of Claimants Reporting 3+ Injuries
47% 34% 20%
1997 vs. 2000
1997 2000
23% 23%
17%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
New York PIP Claimants Visiting More Professionals
Percentage of NY PIP Claimants Visiting 4+ Professionals
1997 vs. 2000
27%
1997 2000 9% 4% 7% 6% 6%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Use of Chiropractors Among NY PIP Claimants
Percentage of Claimants
46%
1997 vs. 2000
31% 19% 13% 1997 2000
15%
17%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Use of Physical Therapists Among NY PIP Claimants
Percentage of Claimants
43%
1997 vs. 2000
28% 16% 17% 20%
1997 2000
14%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
More Visits to Providers Among NYC PIP Claimants
Percentage of Claimants
51% 46% 37% 16% 4% 4% 53% 33% 33%
More than 10 visits to general practitioner
NYC Metro
More than 25 visits to chiropractor
Other Metro
More than 25 visits to physical therapist
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Increased Use of MRI in Metro NYC
Percentage of PIP Claimants
1997 vs. 2000
50% 38%
1997 2000
14% 13%
16% 14%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Use of Durable Medical Equip. & Pain Clinics by NY PIP Claimants
Percentage of Claimants
32% 31%
6%
7% 3%
4%
NYC Metro
Other Metro
DME Pain Clinics
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Attorney Involvement Higher in NYC Metro Area
Percentage of NY PIP Claimants
48% 52%
1997 vs. 2000
19% 13%
22% 14%
1997 2000
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Time to Report Injury by Location
Number of Days from Accident to Report of Injury to Insurer
14% 16% 27% 66% 43% 63%
5% 6% 7% 6%
Percentage of NY PIP Claimants
24%
24%
More than 30 Days 8-30 Days 2-7 Days 0-1 Days
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
Time to Submit Medical Bills by Location
Number of Days from First Treatment to First Bill Received by Insurer
27% 54% 29%
Percentage of NY PIP Claimants
73% 46%
71%
Over 45 Days 0-45 Days
NYC Metro
Other Metro
Rest of State
Source: Insurance Research Council
PIP Fraud in NY
Actual Case Studies
PIP Fraud in NY
Case Study 1
Treatment and Testing for Mr. H
Chiropractic
Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug Sep
Total Treatments
12 13 12 6 11 14 11 5 9 13 11 5 4 2 2 0
8 38 41 43
Physical Therapy
Oct Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug Sep
Accupuncture
Diagnostic
Oct
Treatment and Testing for Mr. B
Chiropractic
Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug Sep
Total Treatments
4 9 7 6 5 8 6 5 4 8 6 5 5 7 7 0
14 23 24 26
Physical Therapy
Oct Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug
Accupuncture
Misc Sep
Oct
Treatment and Testing for Mrs. P
Chiropractic
Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug Sep
Total Treatments
7 10 13 2 8 9 12 0 7 9 12 0 5 7 1 4
17 28 29 32
Physical Therapy
Oct Jul Aug
Sep Oct Jul Aug
Accupuncture
Misc Sep
Oct
Treatment and Testing for Mrs. D
Chiropractic
Jul Aug
Sep Oct* Jul Physical Aug Therapy Sep Oct * Jul Accupuncture Aug Sep Oct* Jul Aug Sep Oct *
7 10 1 1
Total Treatments
9 12 11 16
8 11 10 16
45
48
8 11 10 15
44
Misc
19
Total Treatments and Testing, 482
Chiropractic
Jul Aug
Sep Oct* Jul Physical Aug Therapy Sep Oct * Jul Accupuncture Aug Sep Oct* Jul Aug Sep Oct *
32 42 39 26
Total Treatments
32 44 43
149
30
139
28 41 39 25
23 27 6 5
133
Misc
61
Where Do You Find the Time Mrs. D?
August 2000
Monday Tuesday
TMJ-Dental, Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Chiropractic 1
Wednesday
Thursday
Friday
Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Chiropractic 4
Chiropractic-Off, Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Chiropractic 7
14
MRI, Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, 3 Chiropractic 2 Chiropractic, MRI Transportation, Neuro-Consult, Physical Therapy, Neuro-Tests, 8 Acupuncture 9 10 Acupuncture, Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Physical Therapy, 15 Chiropractic 16 Chiropractic 17
Whirlpool, Supplies, Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Chiropractic 11
18
Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, Transportation, 23 21 Chiropractic 22 MRI, Acupuncture, PT, Diag – ROM, 28 Chiropractic 29 30
Acupuncture, Physical Therapy, 24 Chiropractic 25
31
PIP Fraud in NY
Case Study 2
Low Impact, High Cost Claim
Damage to Vehicle $0 Amount Billed for Claimant $17,188
The Anatomy of a Minimal Impact Claim: The Red Flags
Date of Loss 03/21/00; Reported by Claimant Attorney 06/13/00 • Claimant Atty refused vehicle inspection • Pictures provided by SIU showed No Physical Damage
• Independent medical exam came back negative • Claimant “No-Showed” for scheduled vehicle inspection and examination under oath • Investigative/legal costs to date: $3,626 (could go much higher)
PIP Fraud in NY
Case Study 3
Where’s the Impact?
• Date of Loss 03/20/00
Service Category Total Amount Billed = $21,862
$998 $4,755 $9,394
• 3 claimants involved; 2 claimants accounted for $20,122 of amount billed.
• 2 claimants accounted for nearly 240 treatments (PT, Chiro, Acup, H/C, ES, and MT). • Expensive diagnostics were provided within 2 weeks from DOL (totaling $4,462).
$2,254 $4,462
Physical Therapy Manipulation Office Visits
MRI's ME/Supplies
• Medical equipment/Supplies accounted for $4,755 of amount billed.
PIP Fraud in NY
Case Study 4
Big Car, Small Thump, Big Bucks
• Single claimant
Major Service Categories
• Billed $16,666 • 112 separate treatments
3,112
$3,583
$3,135
• 180 days from DOL to last treatment
$3,027
$804 $1,198 $1,807 Electrodiagnostics Physical Therapy Hospital Services
• Services included sensory and motor nerve testing, a breathing capacity test, manual traction therapy, muscle tests, and various other therapies
MRIs CT Scans Radiology Other
Where Does it All Go?
• Medical Services includes
Acupuncture, electrical stimulation, hot and cold packs, manual traction, chiropractic, and physical therapy
Total Billed Services = $16, 666
$2,285 $4,228
• Diagnostics includes
MRIs, CAT scans, X rays, nerve testing, and muscle testing
$714 $9,439
• Other includes
ER/Ambulance, hospital services, office visits, lab work, manipulation, and supplies
• Supplies includes
ER/Ambulance, hospital services, office visits, lab work, manipulation, and supplies
Medical Services ME/Supplies
Diagnostics Other
Here’s the Diagnosis
• Treatments were rendered for 14 different Diagnoses Codes.
• There was a change of body region being treated subsequent to DOL
• Diagnoses included
Unspecified site of sprain and strain Intervertebral disc disorder Lumbago Headache Post concussion syndrome Unspecified chest pain
Cumulative Cost Calendar
May 1999
Monday
3
Tuesday
4
Wednesday
5
Thursday
6
**Date of Loss** Lutheran Med Ctr
Friday
7
Manipulation, Other, Off Visit $3,497 14 Physical Therapy
10
Supplies, Other, Physical Therapy $4096 17 Lutheran Med Ctr
11
12 $3,135
Physical Therapy
13
18 $4162
19
20 $4229
21
$7363
24
31
25
26
27
28
PIP Fraud in NY
Solutions
Solutions to NY’s PIP Problem
• What Is Being Done
Legislative & Administrative Action Required
Key elements of solution
– Reduce 180 day provider claiming window & 90 reporting window (Regulation 68) – Remove inequities in arbitration process (mandatory arbitration) – Enhanced ability to challenge questionable medical treatments – Cost containment initiatives (e.g., treatment guidelines) – Strengthen criminal penalties for insurance fraud (e.g., runners)
• Bogged Down
NY Appellate Court stayed implementation of shorter reporting deadlines on Feb. 20 (2nd stay in 5 months)
30 days for reporting claim (down from 90) 45 days for submission of med bill (down from 180) Need legislature to act on non-administrative reforms
Who Wants to be a Millionaire? No-Fault Auto Insurance Fraud in New York
March 2002
Robert P. Hartwig, Ph.D., Senior Vice President & Chief Economist Insurance Information Institute 110 William Street New York, NY 10038
Tel: (212) 346-5520 Fax: (212) 732-1916 bobh@iii.org www.iii.org