Submi newspapers web sites magazines your town classifieds partners advertise he Enter Search Terms Advanced Search View all stories by date Back to headlines Larger Text Smaller Text Heyl's Half Acre Keystone poll bodes ill for GOP View all Heyl columns Hot Seate By David M. Brown and Brad Bumsted Full Keystone P View all Seate columns TRIBUNE-REVIEW Wednesday, November 1, 2006 Click here for th results of the Oc Democrat Bob Casey has opened up a 15-point lead over Republican U.S. Pittsburgh Tribu Pittsburgh Slots Sen. Rick Santorum -- more than double the lead the challenger held in WTAE-Channel Cold Cases September -- according to a Pittsburgh Tribune-Review/WTAE-TV Poll in Adobe Ac Capitol Cash Grab Keystone poll released today. format. All Special Reports The poll of 626 Casey leads Santorum 53 percent to 38 percent, with 9 percent undecided, voters in Pennsy according to the telephone poll of 626 registered voters conducted over five conducted Oct. All Multimedia days ending Sunday. The poll has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.9 the Center for O percentage points. Research at Fra NEWS Marshall Colleg Home page A Keystone poll conducted in late September showed Casey, the state Lancaster. The treasurer from Scranton, with a 7-point lead over Santorum, of Penn Hills, error was 3.9 pe City & Region points. the third-ranking Republican in the Senate. Westmoreland Fayette Key results "(Santorum) is falling further behind as voters seem to be rejecting his shift Education in course toward focus almost exclusively on the war on terror," said Casey opens State Keystone Poll director G. Terry Madonna, a political science professor at U.S. Senate r Lottery Franklin & Marshall College, Lancaster County. Iraqi war majo Nation Rendell widen World Top News "It's a campaign theme that's not Get Acrobat Read You're the Editor working well," Politics Madonna said. Politics Storms Iraq Casey's lead, Bush touts big Bird Flu combined with Dems assail G Trib p.m. Democratic Gov. Eastern state Ed Rendell's 25- North Suburbs election key point advantage East Suburbs over Republican Future rests o South/West challenger Lynn incumbents' o Suburbs Swann, could Republicans Health News portend disaster for Politics / Election Republicans on Analysis: GO News Tuesday, when voters head to the motivate base Road Work polls. Rendell, of Coal exec tar Police & Courts Philadelphia, leads Democrats Middle East Swann, the former Reports Tough tasks a Steelers star from Photo Galleries Sewickley Heights, it keeps powe Most Read by 58 percent to 33 Evangelical-G Articles percent, the poll weakens All Stories shows. GOP focuses SPORTS ahead of elec Political analysts BUSINESS are pondering whether the Democrats OPINION & margins favoring COMMENTARY Rendell and Casey will benefit fellow Democrats in congressional and Democratic p LIVING legislative races. brewing in Oh OBITUARIES Democrats ta "It's clearly not a positive sign for Republicans in real competitive races over Iraq stra TODAY IN lower on the ticket to have their headliners trailing this late in the campaign, but it's not necessarily a death knell," said Christopher Borick, political Black lawmak HISTORY science professor at Muhlenberg College in Allentown. "Pennsylvanians leadership po CENSUS have a clear record of splitting tickets." Dean defends ABOUT US attacks Bush Help Desk Votes for Casey or Rendell won't automatically translate into votes for other Minimum wag Democrats if a Republican candidate is perceived as having done a good Contact Us Democrats' p job, said Al Neri, editor of The Insider, a statewide political newsletter. Frank L. Craig, Editor "It's a very informed electorate," he said. Read All Po Robert Fryer, Managing Editor Joe Chudicek, Santorum trails Casey in nearly all regions, including by 3 points in Central Top Stories Multimedia Editor Pennsylvania, where Republicans traditionally enjoy their strongest support. Politics CUSTOMIZED Santorum leads only in Northwestern Pennsylvania, 50-41 percent, the poll RSS NEWS shows. Casey leads by 27 points in Allegheny County and 16 points in the FEEDS Election Spec southwest, where U.S. Rep. Melissa Hart, R-Bradford Woods, is seeking to What is RSS? beat back a strong challenge from Democrat Jason Altmire in the 4th Bush touts big Staff Blogs Congressional District. Dems assail G Newspapers in Eastern state Education Casey also leads by 33 points in Philadelphia and 27 points in the Philly election key AP Podcasts suburbs, where three Republican Congressmen are fighting for their Future rests o political survival. incumbents' o Voters may u Santorum, who is seeking a third term, has been hurt by his close ties to the Bush White House, analysts say. The president's approval ratings have Gingrich follow dropped to an all-time low in Pennsylvania. Only 32 percent hold a Analysis: Elec favorable opinion of Bush, and only 31 percent say he is doing an excellent bring Bush wo or good job. Bush wraps u Dems assail G Poll participant Charles K. Hillman, 68, of Monongahela, Washington County, said he will vote for Casey because he doesn't like the direction the Lieberman sa country is going under Republican control. Hillman is upset that American be debt to GO soldiers are dying in Iraq in what seems to be "a civil war." Parties spend target races "I do not trust Santorum, and I don't like Bush at all," he said. "I'm voting for N.H. makes G a change." Walter J. Nichols, 42, of Commodore, Indiana County, said he will vote for some automa Santorum because he is consistent in his views. Nichols likes Santorum's More voting e opposition to gun control and abortion. scrutiny poss "Santorum has a platform he sticks with. He believes in what he says, and Read A he stands for something," Nichols said. "Bob Casey seems to be the typical politician. Whatever you want to hear, he's going to say." News Santorum spokeswoman Virginia Davis dismissed the poll's significance. Election Spec Famous wars "No matter how you shake it, there's a range of numbers" in various polls, stuck in the m she said. Heavy floodin Washington k At least 55 polls have been conducted since January, all of them showing Casey with a lead of at least 5 points and as high as 23 points, according to Fire hits Orlan RealClearPolitics.com. Gatorland Read Davis, however, said Santorum will rely on superior Republican get-out-the- vote efforts. Sports "The investment we've made in our grassroots doesn't have a return until Seahawks sa election day," Davis said. times, win 16- Nelson makes Casey spokesman Larry Smar said the latest Keystone poll reflects that "Santorum's often desperate attacks are backfiring, and people clearly want return to Dalla a change." Rangers nam A's coach ma "They see Bob Casey talking about issues that concern them," such as Steelers drop health care and jobs, Smar said. loss to Denve Steelers fumb One in three of those polled who indicated they will vote for Casey said their primary motivation was to oust Santorum. Another third said the war in Iraq chances of re is the most important issue in determining their Senate vote. Twelve percent identified the war against terrorism as the most important issue. Read A NFL Rendell spokesman Dan Fee said the numbers are consistent with other recent independent polls. The lead won't change the governor's strategy, Raiders' Bray Fee said. for kneeing Seahawks sa "We are going to get out as many of our voters (to the polls) as we can," he said. times, win 16- Foot sidelines Swann spokesman Leonardo Alcivar disputed the poll's results. Bowler Straha Cole gets 5-y "It's simply not a 25-point race," he said. "If it were, Rendell wouldn't from Eagles continue to pour millions of dollars into negative ads." 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