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Business Analysis March 4, 2000 Introduction to Business Analysis March 4, 2000 Purpose: Discuss basic approach to understanding businesses, identifying critical drivers of success and ultimately discern viability of business idea • Objectives of analysis Agenda: • Using Frameworks • Group Application and Elevator Pitches Limit: 1 hour Business Analysis Three Central Questions of Strategy to Understand Viability of Business Why are some industries fundamentally more attractive than others? Why are some firms more successful than others? How can we make this firm more successful? Business Analysis Are Some Industries Fundamentally More Profitable Than Others? 10% Average Return on Sales 1971-1990 5% 7.0% 5.6% 4.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0% Soft Drinks Photographic Equipment Book Printing Farm Machinery Bread, Cake, Etc. Source: Dun & Bradstreet/HBS case 9-792-066 Business Analysis Developing the Ability to Quickly Focus in on Key Issues Know the “Rules” for the Business • Where does growth come from? • Where does profitability come from? • Who are the Winners? • Who are the Dogs? Why? Why? • What are the major implications, opportunities and threats? 1. Define Business and Industry 2. Analyze / Apply Frameworks 3. Develop Understanding Business Analysis Analyzing Different Aspects of The Business/Industry Frameworks can be useful tools for evaluating different aspects of a business to focus in on critical performance drivers and key opportunities There are a number of potentially useful frameworks for better understanding businesses. Among the more frequently used are: • Four C’s • Porter’s Five Forces One size does not fit all -Goal is to logically think through the Business model Business Analysis Frameworks The Four C’s Customers • Who are the major customers? Competitors • Who are the key competitors? Costs • Key drivers of costs? • Margins and trends over time? Competencies • Strength, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Strengths (SWOT) analysis • What are the firm capabilities that can add value in the industry? • Who are the highest value customers? How do I identify them? • What are the key customer trends in this industry? • What valueadded services can we provide to them? • What are some of the key competitor trends? • What strategies are winners and losers pursuing? • What are the economics of the industry? Business Analysis Frameworks Porter’s Five Forces New Entrants Threat of New Entrants Industry Competitors Bargaining Power Bargaining Power Suppliers Buyers of Suppliers Intensity of Rivalry of Buyers Threat of Substitutes Substitutes “The state of competition in an industry depends on five basic forces. The collective strength of these forces determines the ultimate profit potential of an industry.” “Knowledge of the underlying sources of competitive pressure provides groundwork for strategic agenda of action.” Business Analysis Entry Barriers Examples Experience Curve Marginal Cost Marginal Cost Economies of Scale Time Volume To enter industries that have start off with lower marginal costs means that barriers to entry are lower Business Analysis Entry Barriers (continued) Capital Requirements: Fixed vs. Variable Costs Pharmaceutical Industry Fixed Costs Total Cost Management Consulting Fixed Costs Volume Business Analysis Key is to Move From Framework Application to “So What” Five Steps to Insight • Clearly Identify Relevant Business(es) • Evaluate Frameworks to Identify Critical Drivers of Success • Categorize and prioritize to develop hypotheses • Pressure-test hypotheses via Stars and Dogs • Merge understanding of business with Industry trends/events, competitive actions, and company competencies to identify key issues and insights Business Analysis BACKUP Business Analysis Frameworks Porter’s Five Forces Entry Barriers Economies of scale Proprietary product differences Brand identity Switching costs Capital requirements Access to distribution Rivalry Determinants Industry growth Fixed (or storage) costs/value added Intermittent overcapacity Product differences New Entrants Brand identity Switching costs Absolute cost advantages Proprietary learning curve Access to necessary inputs Proprietary low-cost product design Government policy Expected retaliation Concentration and balance Informational complexity Threat of New Entrants Diversity of competitors Corporate stakes Exit barriers Industry Competitors Bargaining Power Suppliers of Suppliers Intensity of Rivalry Determinants of Supplier Power Differentiation of inputs Switching costs of suppliers and firms in the industry Presence of substitute inputs Supplier concentration Bargaining Power of Buyers Buyers Determinants of Buyer Power Bargaining Leverage Buyer concentration versus firm concentration Buyer volume Price Sensitivity Price/total purchases Product differences Brand identity Impact on quality/ performance Threat of Substitutes Buyer switching costs relative to firm switching costs Buyer information Importance of volume to supplier Cost relative to total purchases in the industry Impact of inputs on cost or differentiation Threat of forward integration relative to threat of backward integration by firms in the industry Substitutes Determinants of Substitution Power Relative price performance of substitutes Switching costs Buyer propensity to substitute Ability to backward integrate Substitute products Pull-through Buyer profits Decision makers incentives
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