2009 Trendology: U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring

Document Sample
2009 Trendology: U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring
U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry



© 2009 Edition

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research







TABLE OF CONTENTS



Economic Outlook Scenario Definitions

Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Establishments

Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)

Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Employees

Industry Definition and Related Industries

Related Industries

U.S. Census Categories

SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Strengths

SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Weaknesses

SWOT Analysis - External Industry Opportunities

SWOT Analysis - External Industry Threats

Written Analysis - Financial/Industry Statistics

Written Analysis - Human Resources

Written Analysis - Inputs/Suppliers

Written Analysis - Consumers/Demand

Written Analysis - Government Regulations

Written Analysis - Technology

Written Analysis - Environmental

Written Analysis - Global Situation

Written Analysis - Mergers & Acquisitions

Written Analysis - Earnings & Profits

Written Analysis - Executives News

Written Analysis - Forecasts

5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Establishments

5-Year Trend - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)

5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Employees

Major Industry Players

2008 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Establishments

2008 U.S. States - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)

2008 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Employees

2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Establishments

2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)

2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Employees

Definitions and Terms









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 1

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research









Copyright © 2008 By Trendology Research

Printed in USA



All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in any information or retrieval system

or transmitted in whole or in part, in any form or by any means - electronic, mechanical, photocopying,

recording or otherwise - without the express written permission of Trendology Research.



Note: Every effort has been made to verify and ensure the accuracy of the information within this

publication. However, if any errors exist in this publication Trendology Research disclaims any liability for

any loss or damage to any party as a result of the information or errors in this publication.









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 2

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research





Economic Outlook Scenarios

Economic Outlook Scenarios are a unique Trendology method of projecting future industry growth or

decline. Each year when the Trendology reports are published, there are many factors that will impact

an industry in the upcoming year. Many factors would have a positive impact (termed optimistic economic

outlook scenarios) and others would have a negative impact (termed optimistic economic outlook scenarios).



Trendology Research believes these scenarios provide a useful tool for our clients so that they can 1) see

the factors that will potentially impact their industry's economy and 2) choose within a range the growth or

decline in their industry based on these economic factors.



The projections are based on regression analysis of past historical industry trends. 2006 and 2007 figures are

fixed. The 2008-2010 figures are projections are impacted by the economic outlook scenarios. 2008 figures

are impacted because at the time of publication, final data for the last months of 2008 were not available.



• Optimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios

1) Tax cuts remain in place

2) Consumer confidence continues to decline leading to a recession

3) U.S. dollar grows in value against competitive countries

4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is effective

5) Housing foreclosures are minimal - mortgage companies and U.S. government solve crisis

6) Interest rate cuts are effective in stimulating investment

7) U.S. government is effective at stopping possible terrorist attacks on U.S. homeland

8) Oil prices decrease (supply increases or demand decreases due to conservation)

9) Illegal immigration decreases

10) Changes to trade regulation increases U.S. exports and improve trade balance









• Pessimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios

1) Tax increases are instituted

2) Consumer confidence improves or remains constant to avoid a recession

3) U.S. dollar continues to decline in value or remains at current value

4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is ineffective

5) Housing foreclosures are significant

6) Interest rates cuts are mishandled and are not effective in stimulating investment

7) Terrorist attack on U.S. homeland

8) Oil prices continue to increase or remain at current level

9) Illegal immigration continues

10) No changes to trade regulations









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 3

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research





Number of Industry Establishments

• Economic Outlook Scenarios



Economic Year % Change from Year to Year

Scenarios 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10

Optimistic -- -- 6505 7074 7652 -- 1.2% 8.7% 8.2%

Stable 6354 6427 6501 6862 7269 1.2% 1.1% 5.6% 5.9%

Pessimistic -- -- 6497 6650 6885 -- 1.1% 2.4% 3.5%



*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.









Industry Establishments (Stable Economy Scenario)

7400

7200

Number of Establishments









7000

6800

6600

Number of Establishments

6400

6200

6000

5800

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 4

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research





Industry Sales

• Economic Outlook Scenarios



Economic Year

Scenarios 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10

Optimistic -- -- 3709 4243 4812 -- 6.7% 14.4% 13.4%

Stable 3328 3477 3659 3965 4313 4.5% 5.2% 8.4% 8.8%

Pessimistic -- -- 3609 3687 3814 -- 3.8% 2.2% 3.5%



*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.









Industry Sales (Stable Economy Scenario)

5000

4500

4000

3500

Sales ($M)









3000

2500

Sales ($M)

2000

1500

1000

500

0

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010









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U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research





Number of Industry Employees

• Economic Outlook Scenarios



Economic Year

Scenarios 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10

Optimistic -- -- 89040 96823 104737 -- 1.2% 8.7% 8.2%

Stable 86973 87978 88982 93925 99493 1.2% 1.1% 5.6% 5.9%

Pessimistic -- -- 88924 91027 94248 -- 1.1% 2.4% 3.5%



*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.









Industry Employees (Stable Economy Scenario)

102000

100000

98000

Number of Employees









96000

94000

92000

90000 Number of Employees

88000

86000

84000

82000

80000

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 6

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research







Industry Definition and Related Industries

NAICS 6111691: Exam Preparation & Tutoring. This industry comprises

establishments primarily engaged in offering educational courses and

services, not elsewhere classified. Includes music schools, drama schools,

language schools, short-term examination preparatory schools, student

exchange programs, curriculum development, and vocational counseling,

except rehabilitation counseling. Dance schools are classified in 7911,

and rehabilitation counseling is classified in 8331.









Related Industries

Colleges & Universities

Book Publishing

Teachers & Instructors

Office Supplies



U.S. Census Categories

NAICS 611691 – Exam Preparation & Tutoring is almost comparable to:

12% of SIC 8299 – Exam Preparation and Tutoring









© 2009 U.S. Exam Preparation and Tutoring Industry - Trendology Research 7

U.S. Exam Preparation & Tutoring Industry

© 2008 Trendology Research







Internal Industry Strengths

• The National Association for College Ad

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