2009 Trendology: U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing by TrendologyResearch

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The 2009 Trendology report on the U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing industry characterizes the industry in three descriptive methods: qualitative analysis, quantitative data and lists of major industry players. The written analysis includes financial issues, technology issues, human resources issues, supplier issues, consumer issues, government regulations, global factors, major industry news highlights, major earnings and profit reports, major mergers and acquisitions, and our exclusive industry SWOT analysis (industry internal strengths, internal weaknesses, external opportunities and external threats). Along with the trend analysis, quantitative data includes five-year trends (2006-2010) on number of establishments, industry and number of employees. This data is developed through Trendology's economic model using regression analysis based on historical industry trend data. Forecasts are available for 2010. Quantitative data for current year 2009 is provided for the U.S., 50 U.S. states, and 900 metro areas. The report also lists up to ten of the industry's major players, their current sales and stock symbol (for public companies). Color charts and graphs run throughout the report to highlight trends and are ready for presentations and displays. Links to Internet sources in the report are useful for additional research and data gathering.

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									U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry

         © 2009 Edition
                         U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                      © 2008 Trendology Research



TABLE OF CONTENTS

               Economic Outlook Scenario Definitions
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Establishments
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Employees
               Industry Definition and Related Industries
               Related Industries
               U.S. Census Categories
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Strengths
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Weaknesses
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Opportunities
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Threats
               Written Analysis - Financial/Industry Statistics
               Written Analysis - Human Resources
               Written Analysis - Inputs/Suppliers
               Written Analysis - Consumers/Demand
               Written Analysis - Government Regulations
               Written Analysis - Technology
               Written Analysis - Environmental
               Written Analysis - Global Situation
               Written Analysis - Mergers & Acquisitions
               Written Analysis - Earnings & Profits
               Written Analysis - Executives News
               Written Analysis - Forecasts
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Establishments
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Employees
               Major Industry Players
               2008 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2008 U.S. States - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2008 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Employees
               2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2008 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Employees
               Definitions and Terms




   © 2009 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry - Trendology Research                 1
                             U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                           © 2008 Trendology Research




Copyright © 2008 By Trendology Research
Printed in USA

All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in any information or retrieval system
or transmitted in whole or in part, in any form or by any means - electronic, mechanical, photocopying,
recording or otherwise - without the express written permission of Trendology Research.

Note: Every effort has been made to verify and ensure the accuracy of the information within this
publication. However, if any errors exist in this publication Trendology Research disclaims any liability for
any loss or damage to any party as a result of the information or errors in this publication.




     © 2009 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry - Trendology Research                                          2
                            U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                         © 2008 Trendology Research


Economic Outlook Scenarios
Economic Outlook Scenarios are a unique Trendology method of projecting future industry growth or
decline. Each year when the Trendology reports are published, there are many factors that will impact
an industry in the upcoming year. Many factors would have a positive impact (termed optimistic economic
outlook scenarios) and others would have a negative impact (termed optimistic economic outlook scenarios).

Trendology Research believes these scenarios provide a useful tool for our clients so that they can 1) see
the factors that will potentially impact their industry's economy and 2) choose within a range the growth or
decline in their industry based on these economic factors.

The projections are based on regression analysis of past historical industry trends. 2006 and 2007 figures are
fixed. The 2008-2010 figures are projections are impacted by the economic outlook scenarios. 2008 figures
are impacted because at the time of publication, final data for the last months of 2008 were not available.

• Optimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax cuts remain in place
                  2) Consumer confidence continues to decline leading to a recession
                  3) U.S. dollar grows in value against competitive countries
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is effective
                  5) Housing foreclosures are minimal - mortgage companies and U.S. government solve crisis
                  6) Interest rate cuts are effective in stimulating investment
                  7) U.S. government is effective at stopping possible terrorist attacks on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices decrease (supply increases or demand decreases due to conservation)
                  9) Illegal immigration decreases
                  10) Changes to trade regulation increases U.S. exports and improve trade balance




• Pessimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax increases are instituted
                  2) Consumer confidence improves or remains constant to avoid a recession
                  3) U.S. dollar continues to decline in value or remains at current value
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is ineffective
                  5) Housing foreclosures are significant
                  6) Interest rates cuts are mishandled and are not effective in stimulating investment
                  7) Terrorist attack on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices continue to increase or remain at current level
                  9) Illegal immigration continues
                  10) No changes to trade regulations




     © 2009 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry - Trendology Research                                           3
                                                      U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                                                   © 2008 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Establishments
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                         Year                            % Change from Year to Year
   Scenarios                             2006              2007       2008        2009    2010   06-07    07-08     08-09      09-10
    Optimistic                          --                --           397         406     416   --        0.5%      2.2%       2.3%
      Stable                               393               395       397         405     413    0.5%     0.5%      1.9%       2.1%
    Pessimistic                         --                --           397         403     410   --        0.5%      1.5%       1.8%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                      Industry Establishments (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                                    415
                         Number of Establishments




                                                    410

                                                    405

                                                    400

                                                    395                                             Number of Establishments

                                                    390

                                                    385

                                                    380
                                                          2006     2007    2008    2009   2010




      © 2009 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry - Trendology Research                                                                4
                                        U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                                    © 2008 Trendology Research


Industry Sales
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                          Year
   Scenarios                  2006           2007       2008       2009      2010   06-07   07-08     08-09   09-10
    Optimistic               --             --         99711     103283    107455   --       3.5%      3.6%    4.0%
      Stable                94352          96371       99264     102316    105710    2.1%    3.0%      3.1%    3.3%
    Pessimistic              --             --         98817     101349    103965   --       2.5%      2.6%    2.6%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                               Industry Sales (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                      108000
                                      106000
                                      104000
                                      102000
                         Sales ($M)




                                      100000
                                       98000
                                                                                                Sales ($M)
                                       96000
                                       94000
                                       92000
                                       90000
                                       88000
                                                2006      2007      2008     2009   2010




      © 2009 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry - Trendology Research                                               5
                                                 U.S. Aircraft Manufacturing Industry
                                                                © 2008 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Employees
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                                     Year
   Scenarios                      2006                   2007     2008     2009         2010    06-07       07-08       08-09   09-10
    Optimistic                   --                     --       78487    80250        82120    --           0.5%        2.2%    2.3%
      Stable                    77660                  78068     78476    79963        81604     0.5%        0.5%        1.9%    2.1%
    Pessimistic                  --                     --       78466    79676        81089    --           0.5%        1.5%    1.8%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                   Industry Employees (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                               82000

                                               81000
                         Number of Employees




                                               80000

                                               79000

                                               78000                                                    Number of Employees

                                               77000

                                               76000

                                  
								
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