2010 Trendology: U.S. Men's Clothing Stores by TrendologyResearch

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									U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry

        © 2010 Edition
                          U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                      © 2010 Trendology Research



TABLE OF CONTENTS

               Economic Outlook Scenario Definitions
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Establishments
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Employees
               Industry Definition and Related Industries
               Related Industries
               U.S. Census Categories
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Strengths
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Weaknesses
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Opportunities
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Threats
               Written Analysis - Financial/Industry Statistics
               Written Analysis - Human Resources
               Written Analysis - Inputs/Suppliers
               Written Analysis - Consumers/Demand
               Written Analysis - Government Regulations
               Written Analysis - Technology
               Written Analysis - Environmental
               Written Analysis - Global Situation
               Written Analysis - Mergers & Acquisitions
               Written Analysis - Earnings & Profits
               Written Analysis - Executives News
               Written Analysis - Forecasts
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Establishments
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Employees
               Major Industry Players
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Employees
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Employees
               Definitions and Terms




   © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                  1
                              U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                           © 2010 Trendology Research




Copyright © 2010 By Trendology Research
Printed in USA

All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in any information or retrieval system
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recording or otherwise - without the express written permission of Trendology Research.

Note: Every effort has been made to verify and ensure the accuracy of the information within this
publication. However, if any errors exist in this publication Trendology Research disclaims any liability for
any loss or damage to any party as a result of the information or errors in this publication.




     © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                           2
                             U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                          © 2010 Trendology Research


Economic Outlook Scenarios
Economic Outlook Scenarios are a unique Trendology method of projecting future industry growth or
decline. Each year when the Trendology reports are published, there are many factors that will impact
an industry in the upcoming year. Many factors would have a positive impact (termed optimistic economic
outlook scenarios) and others would have a negative impact (termed optimistic economic outlook scenarios).

Trendology Research believes these scenarios provide a useful tool for our clients so that they can 1) see
the factors that will potentially impact their industry's economy and 2) choose within a range the growth or
decline in their industry based on these economic factors.

The projections are based on regression analysis of past historical industry trends. 2007 and 2008 figures are
fixed. The 2009-2011 figures are projections are impacted by the economic outlook scenarios. 2009 figures
are impacted because at the time of publication, final data for the last months of 2009 were not available.

• Optimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax cuts remain in place
                  2) Consumer confidence improves
                  3) U.S. dollar grows in value against competitive countries
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is effective
                  5) Housing foreclosures decrease
                  6) Interest rate cuts are effective in stimulating investment
                  7) U.S. government is effective at stopping possible terrorist attacks on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices decrease (supply increases or demand decreases due to conservation)
                  9) Illegal immigration decreases
                  10) Changes to trade regulation increases U.S. exports and improve trade balance
                  11) Federal health care bill does not become law



• Pessimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax increases are instituted
                  2) Consumer confidence continues to decline or remains constant
                  3) U.S. dollar continues to decline in value or remains at current value
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is ineffective
                  5) Housing foreclosures remain constant or increase
                  6) Interest rates cuts are mishandled and are not effective in stimulating investment
                  7) Terrorist attack on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices continue to increase or remain at current level
                  9) Illegal immigration continues
                  10) No changes to trade regulations
                  11) Federal health care bill becomes law




     © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                            3
                                                      U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                                                  © 2010 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Establishments
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                       Year                            % Change from Year to Year
   Scenarios                              2007             2008     2009        2010    2011   07-08    08-09     09-10      10-11
    Optimistic                           --               --        8590        8279    8124   --       -4.8%     -3.6%      -1.9%
      Stable                              8880             9025     8369        8266    7955    1.6%    -7.3%     -1.2%      -3.8%
    Pessimistic                          --               --        8149        8254    7785   --       -9.7%      1.3%      -5.7%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                     Industry Establishments (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                                   9200
                                                   9000
                        Number of Establishments




                                                   8800
                                                   8600
                                                   8400
                                                   8200                                           Number of Establishments
                                                   8000
                                                   7800
                                                   7600
                                                   7400
                                                          2007    2008   2009    2010   2011




      © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                                               4
                                        U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                                        © 2010 Trendology Research


Industry Sales
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                          Year
   Scenarios                  2007              2008      2009     2010      2011    07-08    08-09     09-10   10-11
    Optimistic               --                --        12665    12091     11982    --       -5.5%     -4.5%   -0.9%
      Stable                12767             13401      12064    12091     11962     5.0%   -10.0%      0.2%   -1.1%
    Pessimistic              --                --        11463    12090     11942    --      -14.5%      5.5%   -1.2%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                Industry Sales (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                      14000

                                      13500

                                      13000
                         Sales ($M)




                                      12500
                                                                                                  Sales ($M)
                                      12000

                                      11500

                                      11000
                                                 2007      2008     2009     2010    2011




      © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                                  5
                                                 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                                               © 2010 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Employees
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                                    Year
   Scenarios                      2007                  2008     2009      2010         2011    07-08       08-09       09-10   10-11
    Optimistic                   --                    --       86408     84855        83619    --          -4.3%       -1.8%   -1.5%
      Stable                    87472                 90278     84904     84854        83066     3.2%       -6.0%       -0.1%   -2.1%
    Pessimistic                  --                    --       83400     84854        82512    --          -7.6%        1.7%   -2.8%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                  Industry Employees (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                              92000

                                              90000
                        Number of Employees




                                              88000

                                              86000

                                              84000                                                     Number of Employees

                                              82000

                                              80000

                                              78000
                                                        2007    2008    2009    2010     2011




      © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                                                  6
                           U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                       © 2010 Trendology Research



Industry Definition and Related Industries
NAICS 44811: Men's Clothing Stores. This industry comprises
establishments primarily engaged in retailing a general line of new
men's and boys' clothing. These establishments may provide basic
alterations, such as hemming, taking in or letting out seams, or lengthening
or shortening sleeves.

Related Industries
              Women’s Clothing Stores
              Men’s Apparel Manufacturing
              Women’s Apparel Manufacturing
              Department Stores

U.S. Census Categories
NAICS 44811 – Men’s Clothing Stores is:
100% comparable to SIC 5611 – Men’s Clothing Stores




    © 2010 U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research           7
                             U.S. Men's Clothing Stores Industry
                                         © 2010 Trendology Research

								
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