2010 Trendology: U.S. Family Clothing Stores

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2010 Trendology: U.S. Family Clothing Stores Powered By Docstoc
					U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry

           © 2010 Edition
                         U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                      © 2010 Trendology Research



TABLE OF CONTENTS

               Economic Outlook Scenario Definitions
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Establishments
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               Economic Outlook Scenario - Estimated Number of Employees
               Industry Definition and Related Industries
               Related Industries
               U.S. Census Categories
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Strengths
               SWOT Analysis - Internal Industry Weaknesses
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Opportunities
               SWOT Analysis - External Industry Threats
               Written Analysis - Financial/Industry Statistics
               Written Analysis - Human Resources
               Written Analysis - Inputs/Suppliers
               Written Analysis - Consumers/Demand
               Written Analysis - Government Regulations
               Written Analysis - Technology
               Written Analysis - Environmental
               Written Analysis - Global Situation
               Written Analysis - Mergers & Acquisitions
               Written Analysis - Earnings & Profits
               Written Analysis - Executives News
               Written Analysis - Forecasts
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Establishments
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               5-Year Trend - Estimated Number of Employees
               Major Industry Players
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2009 U.S. States - Estimated Number of Employees
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Establishments
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Industry Sales ($Millions)
               2009 U.S. Metropolitan Areas - Estimated Number of Employees
               Definitions and Terms




   © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                 1
                             U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                           © 2010 Trendology Research




Copyright © 2010 By Trendology Research
Printed in USA

All rights reserved. This publication may not be reproduced, stored in any information or retrieval system
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Note: Every effort has been made to verify and ensure the accuracy of the information within this
publication. However, if any errors exist in this publication Trendology Research disclaims any liability for
any loss or damage to any party as a result of the information or errors in this publication.




     © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                          2
                            U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                          © 2010 Trendology Research


Economic Outlook Scenarios
Economic Outlook Scenarios are a unique Trendology method of projecting future industry growth or
decline. Each year when the Trendology reports are published, there are many factors that will impact
an industry in the upcoming year. Many factors would have a positive impact (termed optimistic economic
outlook scenarios) and others would have a negative impact (termed optimistic economic outlook scenarios).

Trendology Research believes these scenarios provide a useful tool for our clients so that they can 1) see
the factors that will potentially impact their industry's economy and 2) choose within a range the growth or
decline in their industry based on these economic factors.

The projections are based on regression analysis of past historical industry trends. 2007 and 2008 figures are
fixed. The 2009-2011 figures are projections are impacted by the economic outlook scenarios. 2009 figures
are impacted because at the time of publication, final data for the last months of 2009 were not available.

• Optimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax cuts remain in place
                  2) Consumer confidence improves
                  3) U.S. dollar grows in value against competitive countries
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is effective
                  5) Housing foreclosures decrease
                  6) Interest rate cuts are effective in stimulating investment
                  7) U.S. government is effective at stopping possible terrorist attacks on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices decrease (supply increases or demand decreases due to conservation)
                  9) Illegal immigration decreases
                  10) Changes to trade regulation increases U.S. exports and improve trade balance
                  11) Federal health care bill does not become law



• Pessimistic Economic Outlook Scenarios
                  1) Tax increases are instituted
                  2) Consumer confidence continues to decline or remains constant
                  3) U.S. dollar continues to decline in value or remains at current value
                  4) U.S. government's economic stimulus package is ineffective
                  5) Housing foreclosures remain constant or increase
                  6) Interest rates cuts are mishandled and are not effective in stimulating investment
                  7) Terrorist attack on U.S. homeland
                  8) Oil prices continue to increase or remain at current level
                  9) Illegal immigration continues
                  10) No changes to trade regulations
                  11) Federal health care bill becomes law




     © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                           3
                                                     U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                                                    © 2010 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Establishments
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                         Year                              % Change from Year to Year
   Scenarios                         2007                    2008     2009       2010       2011   07-08    08-09     09-10      10-11
    Optimistic                      --                      --       29569      30874      32338   --       -2.5%      4.4%       4.7%
      Stable                       29182                   30315     29449      30492      31651    3.9%    -2.9%      3.5%       3.8%
    Pessimistic                     --                      --       29328      30109      30965   --       -3.3%      2.7%       2.8%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                     Industry Establishments (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                                   32000
                                                   31500
                        Number of Establishments




                                                   31000
                                                   30500
                                                   30000
                                                   29500                                              Number of Establishments
                                                   29000
                                                   28500
                                                   28000
                                                   27500
                                                            2007    2008     2009   2010   2011




      © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                                                  4
                                        U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                                    © 2010 Trendology Research


Industry Sales
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                        Year
   Scenarios                  2007           2008       2009     2010      2011   07-08   08-09    09-10   10-11
    Optimistic               --             --         74780    84279     94466   --      -2.8%    12.7%   12.1%
      Stable                70087          76940       74363    79881     86248    9.8%   -3.3%     7.4%    8.0%
    Pessimistic              --             --         73946    75483     78030   --      -3.9%     2.1%    3.4%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                               Industry Sales (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                      100000
                                       90000
                                       80000
                                       70000
                         Sales ($M)




                                       60000
                                       50000
                                                                                              Sales ($M)
                                       40000
                                       30000
                                       20000
                                       10000
                                           0
                                                2007     2008     2009     2010   2011




      © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                            5
                                                U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                                              © 2010 Trendology Research


Number of Industry Employees
• Economic Outlook Scenarios

   Economic                                                                   Year
   Scenarios               2007                      2008       2009     2010      2011      07-08       08-09       09-10   10-11
    Optimistic            --                        --        776706   826873    864790      --          -1.5%        6.5%    4.6%
      Stable            750122                    788708      775641   810501    843638       5.1%       -1.7%        4.5%    4.1%
    Pessimistic           --                        --        774577   794130    822486      --          -1.8%        2.5%    3.6%

*Economic Outlook Scenarios only apply to projected years.




                                                  Industry Employees (Stable Economy Scenario)
                                              860000
                                              840000
                        Number of Employees




                                              820000
                                              800000
                                              780000
                                                                                                     Number of Employees
                                              760000
                                              740000
                                              720000
                                              700000
                                                       2007     2008   2009    2010   2011




      © 2010 U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry - Trendology Research                                                              6
                          U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                       © 2010 Trendology Research



Industry Definition and Related Industries
NAICS 44814: Family Clothing Stores . This industry comprises
establishments primarily engaged in retailing a general line of new clothing
for men, women, and children, without specializing in sales for an individual
gender or age group. These establishments may provide basic alterations,
such as hemming, taking in or letting out seams, or lengthening or shortening
sleeves.

Related Industries
              Women’s Clothing Stores
              Men’s Clothing Stores
              Women’s Apparel Manufacturing
              Department Stores

U.S. Census Categories
NAICS 44814 – Family Clothing Stores is 100% comparable to
SIC 5651 – Family Clothing Stores




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                             U.S. Family Clothing Stores Industry
                                          © 2010 Trendology Research




• Internal Industry Strengths

• January sales were good for clothing retailers. Well-to-do shoppers increased their spending and middle
income shoppers spent just a bit more than January of last year. Mall-based clothing stores saw a 6.4% rise in
January over last year. A cautionary note, however - Jan. 2009 sales were down 14% from the year before.
• The 32 retailers that Seeking Alpha track
				
DOCUMENT INFO
Description: The 2010 Trendology report on the U.S. Family Clothing Stores industry characterizes the industry in three descriptive methods: qualitative analysis, quantitative data and lists of major industry players. The written analysis includes financial issues, technology issues, human resources issues, supplier issues, consumer issues, government regulations, global factors, major industry news highlights, major earnings and profit reports, major mergers and acquisitions, and our exclusive industry SWOT analysis (industry internal strengths, internal weaknesses, external opportunities and external threats). Along with the trend analysis, quantitative data includes five-year trends (2007-2011) on number of establishments, industry and number of employees. This data is developed through Trendology's economic model using regression analysis based on historical industry trend data. Forecasts are available for 2011. Quantitative data for current year 2010 is provided for the U.S., 50 U.S. states, and 900 metro areas. The report also lists up to ten of the industry's major players, their current sales and stock symbol (for public companies). Color charts and graphs run throughout the report to highlight trends and are ready for presentations and displays. Links to Internet sources in the report are useful for additional research and data gathering.
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Trendology Research is a leading market research company that publishes hundreds of the largest U.S. industry reports annually. Our reports provide timely, accurate written analysis on industry trends and essential industry statistics. Featuring description color charts and graphs, our reports are ready-to-use for presentations and business plans. Trendology also publishes summary printed reports especially designed for researchers and libraries as one-stop reference sources for the largest U.S. industries.