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Consumer Price Index
Price Changes!!
Share with the class some prices that you
remember have changed?
CD player
Movie Tickets
Stamp
Milk
Prices really do change even for the exact
same goods.
Why should we care?
Thereare many reasons, but the probably
the most important reason is that we need
to make sure that our wage increases are
roughly in line with inflation. If wages are
increasing more slowly than prices, then
people's incomes are decreasing even
though their wages are increasing
nominally.
CPI
Itwas precisely these concerns that led
the United States Bureau of Labor
Statistics to start publishing the CPI in
1917. Inflation was very high during World
War I, and there was considerable labor
strife.
What is the CPI?
The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a
measure of the average change over time
in the prices paid by urban consumers for
a market basket of consumer goods and
services.
How is the CPI used?
The CPI affects nearly all Americans
because of the many ways it is used.
Following are major uses:
As an economic indicator.
As a deflator of other economic series.
As a means of adjusting dollar values.
What goods and services
does the CPI cover?
FOOD AND BEVERAGES (breakfast cereal, milk, coffee, chicken, wine, full
service meals, snacks)
HOUSING (rent of primary residence, owners' equivalent rent, fuel oil,
bedroom furniture)
APPAREL (men's shirts and sweaters, women's dresses, jewelry)
TRANSPORTATION (new vehicles, airline fares, gasoline, motor vehicle
insurance)
MEDICAL CARE (prescription drugs and medical supplies, physicians'
services, eyeglasses and eye care, hospital services)
RECREATION (televisions, toys, pets and pet products, sports equipment,
admissions);
EDUCATION AND COMMUNICATION (college tuition, postage, telephone
services, computer software and accessories);
OTHER GOODS AND SERVICES (tobacco and smoking products, haircuts
and other personal services, funeral expenses).
Is the CPI the best measure of inflation?
Inflation has been defined as a process of
continuously rising prices or, of a continuously
falling value of money.
The CPI measures inflation as experienced by
consumers in their day-to-day living expenses;
Inflation
Inflationis defined as the percentage
increase in the CPI for a given year
For example, the CPI in 1997 was 160.5;
in 1998 it was 163.0.
The inflation rate for 1998 was
(163.0 – 160.5)
160.5
= 1.6%
How Do We Use the CPI?
In 1990, gasoline cost $1.16 per gallon (on
average). In 1997, the average price was
$1.23. Did the cost of gasoline go up or
go down?
$1.16 and $1.23 are called current prices.
According to these current prices, it looks
like gas got more expensive. Is this
accurate?
Let’s compare the prices taking into
account the changing value of money
We wish to know:
$1.16 in 1990 dollars is equivalent to x in 1997 dollars?
160.50 (1997 CPI) x (1997 dollars)
130.70 (1990 CPI) = 1.16 (1990 dollars)
x = (160.50 / 130.70) * 1.16
x = 1.42
So when Americans paid $1.16 per gallon for gasoline in
1990, it was equivalent to someone paying $1.42 in 1997,
which is considerably more than what they were actually
paying in 1997 ($1.23). The $1.42 value is what we call
constant dollars.
The price of gasoline was cheaper in 1997 than in 1990!
1 dz of Eggs
Let’s open file CPI.xls
In 1925 cost $0.55
In 2008 cost $1.09
Let’s Convert the current 1925 value of
$0.55 to constant 2008 dollars to
determine the answer.
Was 1 dz of Eggs more expensive in 2008
or did it “cost” less than in 1925?
½ gallon of milk
In 1920 it costs $0.33
In 2008 it costs $1.29
Convert the current 1920 value of $0.33 to
constant 2008 dollars to determine the
answer.
Was ½ gallon of milk more expensive in
2008 or did it “cost” less than in 1920?
Gas
Data shows that the average price of a
gallon of gasoline (regular) in 1976 was
$0.64. In 1998 it was $1.06.
Convert the current 1976 value of $0.64 to
constant 1998 dollars to determine your
answer.
Was gasoline more expensive in 1998 or
did it “cost” less than in 1976?
Red delicious apples
In1989, red delicious apples cost on
average $0.57 per pound. In 1995, they
cost $0.83 per pound.
Were apples more or less expensive in
1995 than in 1989?
T-Shirt
In1912 a T-shirt cost $0.45. In 2008 a t-
shirt cost $10. Which one is more
expensive?
Let’s Try Another One
A 1966 Schwinn 5-Speed Fastback bicycle
cost $69.95
What would that cost today?
Let’s Try Another One
2008 CPI by 1966 CPI and multiply
Divide
by $69.95
(215.3 / 32.4) * 69.95 = $464.82
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