BOSTON LOGAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT MONITORING REPORT ON SCHEDULED AND NON by armedman1

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									BOSTON-LOGAN INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
MONITORING REPORT ON SCHEDULED AND
      NON-SCHEDULED FLIGHT ACTIVITY
           Peak Period Surcharge Regulation
 740 CMR 27:00: Massachusetts Port Authority


        Report Number:                              005

        Monitoring Period:   March 2008 – September 2008

        Report Issue Date:                   May 1, 2008
Note:       This report reflects the Boston-Logan Airport flight activity monitoring
            under 740 CMR 27.03 Peak Period Surcharge Regulation on Aircraft
            Operations at Boston-Logan International Airport.

Findings: This report includes projected activity data for the Spring and Summer
          season, from March 2008 through September 2008. Current and
          projected near-term flight levels at Boston Logan are well below Logan’s
          good weather (VFR) throughput of approximately 120 flights/hour. As a
          result, average VFR delays are projected to be minimal and well
          below the 15 minutes threshold through September 2008.

            In the event demand conditions at the airport change significantly from
            the current projection, Massport will issue updates to this report.


Attachments

Table 1:    Summary Overview of Peak Period Surcharge Program

Table 2:    Summary Overview of Forecast Methodology

Table 3:    Aircraft Operations at Logan Airport Projected through September 2008

Table 4:    Projected Hourly Operations, Average Weekday of August 2008

Table 5:    Forecast Logan Average Weekday Operations, March 2008 through
            September 2008


Massport Contact:

Mr. Flavio Leo
Manager of Aviation Planning
617-568-3528
fleo@massport.com




Massachusetts Port Authority, May 1, 2008                                    Page 1
Table 1: Summary Overview of Peak Period Surcharge Program

   Monitor Schedules to Identify
   Overscheduling Conditions                               All Key Levers
                                                                   Levers
   6 Months in Advance
                                                          Are Adjustable to
                                                          Are Adjustable to
                                                           Address Future
                                                                    Future
        Provide Early-Warning to Users and                   Conditions
                                                             Conditions
        FAA for Voluntary Response



            Trigger Program When Projected VFR
            Delays Reach 15 Minutes per Operation



                 Impose Peak Period Surcharges ($150 near-term) for
                 Arrivals and Departures (Revenue Neutral)



                     Small Community Exemptions at August 2003 Service Levels




Table 2: Summary Overview of Forecast Methodology

        Scheduled passenger airline flights represent more than 85 percent of total
        aircraft operations. Passenger airline activity for the Fall and Winter periods
        were projected based on published advance airline schedules

        Forecasts of monthly activity for other segments (GA, Cargo, Charter) are
        based on the past three months of actual flight volume and historic patterns
        of monthly seasonality

        Day-of-week and time of day distributions for non-scheduled segments are
        based on analysis of Logan radar data

        Projections for each segment were combined to produce the forecast pattern
        of hourly flight activity for an average weekday, Saturday, and Sunday for
        the seven month period from March 2008 through September 2008




Massachusetts Port Authority, May 1, 2008                                        Page 2
    Table 3: Aircraft Operations at Logan Airport, Average Weekday Operations
    Projected Through September 2008

   1,500
                                                                                                1,287        1,286
                                                                                     1,238
   1,250                                                     1,138                                                      1,135
                                                   1,096                 1,095
                  992       981      1,024
   1,000


     750


     500


     250


         0
                 Dec '07 Jan '08    Feb '08        Mar '08   Apr '08    May '08 Jun '08         Jul '08    Aug '08 Sep '08

                          Actual                                                 Projections




    Table 4: Projected Hourly Operations, Average Weekday, August, 2008


  Logan
Operations
  130                                                                                                                          Current
                                                                                                                               Average
  120
                                                                                                                                 VFR
  110                                                                                                                          Capacity
                        Non-Scheduled
  100
                        Scheduled
    90
    80
    70
    60
    50
    40
    30
    20
    10
     0
             0    1   2    3   4    5     6    7     8   9    10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
                                                             Time of Day (Hour)

    Note: Includes projected services by scheduled airlines plus non-scheduled activity including general aviation, charter,
    and cargo operations.




    Massachusetts Port Authority, May 1, 2008                                                                         Page 3
Table 5: Forecast Logan Average Weekday Operations, Mar. 2008– Sep. 2008

                                     Forecast Daily Operations
  Hr Range    Mar '08    Apr '08    May '08   Jun '08    Jul '08    Aug '08    Sep '08

         0          11         12         12         13        12         12         11
         1           3          2          2          2         2          2          2
         2           3          3          4          4         4          4          4
         3           2          2          2          3         3          3          3
         4           3          3          3          4         3          3          3
         5          14         15         13         14        14         14         12
         6          57         56         53         52        51         51         51
         7          65         68         66         76        82         82         73
         8          80         83         84         88        90         90         83
         9          52         53         53         61        63         63         58
        10          60         62         58         68        74         75         65
        11          60         62         54         60        60         59         58
        12          53         57         62         81        89         90         70
        13          60         68         62         60        63         63         52
        14          63         57         53         73        77         77         68
        15          62         70         69         75        78         78         68
        16          72         77         76         88        91         91         83
        17          79         79         79         85        92         91         74
        18          79         89         85         92        95         96         88
        19          70         66         62         72        71         70         66
        20          64         60         50         60        64         65         49
        21          35         41         41         50        51         51         43
        22          35         34         33         34        34         34         32
        23          16         17         19         22        22         22         20
      Total      1,096      1,138      1,095      1,238     1,287      1,286      1,135




Massachusetts Port Authority, May 1, 2008                                        Page 4

								
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