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Quality – A look at all the LSC quality systems, how they relate
Document Sample
The Way forward for Young People
in Yorkshire and the Humber
Andy Brown
Regional Director of Young People’s Learning
LSC
The Economic Context
The region’s labour market
• Total employment is forecast to contract by 4.3% in
2009, by 3.8% in 2010 and 0.4% in 2011 with no net
growth until 2012. ILO unemployment rose to 8.8%
(UK rate is 7.6%)
• Male unemployment is higher than female
unemployment (10.6% and 6.7% respectively). Part-
time male employment has risen to 10,000 since late
2007.
• Employment rate for 16-17 year olds has fallen from
50% (Q4 1997) to 29% (Q2 2009).
• Spatial impacts - the intensity and severity of the
jobs market impact are not evenly spread and
spatially concentrated.
What many expected to be a recession of the Service
Sector has instead hit the usual suspects hardest…
While there have been
significant job losses in the
East Riding of Yorkshire
North East Lincolnshire Impact of the Recession on Local Employment 2007-2009 Financial and Business
Kingston Upon Hull
North Lincolnshire
Yorks and Humber
Services sectors, losses in
Richmondshire
Scarborough
Retailing, Manufacturing and
Rotherham
Hambleton
Calderdale
Doncaster
Harrogate
Wakefield
Sheffield
Barnsley
Bradford
Kirklees
Ryedale
Construction have hit the
Craven
Leeds
Selby
York
areas with traditional industry
UK
0.0 mixes hardest.
-1.0 -0.65 118,000 FTE jobs are expected
-1.36
to be shed in Y&H, 14% of the
-2.0 UK total of 834,000.
-1.92
% Change
-3.0
The largest absolute job
-2.99 -2.99 losses are being seen in Leeds
-3.19
(25,000), Sheffield (15,000), and
-4.0 -3.68
-4.02 Bradford (10,000). Although
-4.43
-4.27
-4.45 proportionately the hardest hit
-5.0 areas include Calderdale,
-5.11
-5.41
-5.22 -5.18 Barnsley and Hull.
-6.0 -5.69 -5.78
-6.04 -6.09
-6.27
-7.0 -6.84 -6.76
-6.93
-8.0
UK employment rates show the
impact of the recession on younger
age groups…
UK employment rates show the
impact of the recession on younger
age groups…
The employment rate for 16-19 year olds
fell from 52% to 42% between 2004 and
2008
Consequent decline in Young People in
Jobs without training
10.4% in July 2008 to 7.4% in July 2009
Demographics
Participation
& NEET
Demographics
Population of those aged 16-18 in Yorkshire and the Humber
2009 210,400
2010 205,200
2011 200,200
2012 197,800
2013 195,500
Ethnic group of 16-18 population
White Mixed Asian/ Black/ Non
British British white
N&NE 99.3 0.7
Lincs
N&E 98.4 0.8 1.6
Yorks
South 87.8 2.3 5.5 2.4 12.2
Yorks
West 81.4 3.7 11.6 2.4 18.6
Yorks
Region 88.5 2.2 6.5 1.7 11.5
NEET
• Stubbornly high
• 13,596 (Nov 08 - Jan 09 average)
• 11,531 not known
• 7.9% NEET Yorkshire and the Humber
• 6.7% NEET England
• NEET down only 0.3% Nov - Jan average
• NEET down only 0.4% July - Sept average
The Entitlement
The Entitlement
• A high quality training place for every young
person – international competitive skills
• Raising the participation age to 17 by 2013
18 by 2015
• Means meeting the needs of all learners
e.g. those with learning difficulties and or
disabilities
• Applies throughout the year
• The key driving factor behind local planning
• The key driving factor behind curriculum
change
Success and Achievement
Further Education
Success Rates of Starters
2005-6 2006-7 2007-8
Yorkshire 73.6% 75.4% 78.5%
and the
Humber
National 75.1% 77.4% 79.9%
Apprenticeship
Success Rates of Starters
2006-7 2007-8 2008-9
Yorkshire 61.5% 67.9% 69.3%
and the
Humber
National 61.2% 65.3% 67.2%
Schools and Colleges Average
Level 3 Point Score per Entry
2005-6 2006-7 2007-8
Yorkshire 200.4 199.8 202.0
and the
Humber
National 206.2 207.5 209.4
Key Priorities for the Region
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
Supporting high achievers to progress
Changing the balance of level 3 provision
• Collaboration to provide strong choice and value
for money
• Expansion of diplomas
• One in five young people taking the
apprenticeship route by 2020
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
A stronger portfolio of level 1 and level 2
provision
46.9% of young people in Y&H gained 5 A*-Cs at
GCSE including English and Maths in 2009
Providing the right curriculum mix for the 53.1%
• High quality relevant level 2 opportunities
• Foundation learning - nationally recognised
qualifications and clear progression routes
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
NEET
• Directing funding away from areas of
demographic decline and towards areas with high
NEET
• Increasing the availability of mainstream
provision that starts throughout the year
• Converting Entry to Employment to Foundation
Learning – no separate programme or systems
• Aligning £34m of ESF NEET funding
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
Learners with Learning Difficulties and or
Disabilities
• Directing funding to increasing the supply of high
quality local specialist provision
• Commissioning appropriate provision from the
network of Independent Specialist Providers
Vulnerable groups
• Directing resources to high quality provision
which meets their needs (e.g. looked after children, teenage
mothers, young offenders)
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
Allocating growth places in FE and schools
Commission additional provision from providers
responding to priorities set out in Local Area
Statement of Needs and the Regional
Commissioning Statement
To prepare to meet the entitlement
for all
Information, Advice and Guidance
• High quality advice on the full range of options
available, within the context of the current and
future job markets.
• Direct the information, advice and guidance
services at reducing the number of young people
in the ‘not known’ category
National Priorities and key national
changes
14-19 Qualification Strategy
14-19 Strategy
NATIONAL ROUTES
14-19 Qualification
Hierarchy by 2011/12
• Should do a full national route (1 of 4)
• If not available, then component
• If component not available then Stand Alone
• Before funding anything else
The commissioning cycle
October – December 2009
Local and regional
• Data analysis
• 14-19 plan refresh
• Local Area Statement of Need
• Regional Commissioning Statements
•
October 09 –Jan 2010
National
• Funding envelope confirmed
• National Statement of Priorities published
January – March 2010
• January - Consolidated / sustainable
baseline allocations (without negotiated growth)
communicated to providers: 16 – 18 Learner Responsive
(School Sixth Form and FE Youth);
January – March 2010
• January/Feb – potential growth numbers discussed
with providers
• February – growth agreed with shadow RPG
• March – final schools and FE allocations issued to
providers
The National Commissioning
Framework – the system post April
The National Commissioning Framework
Issued 16th November
Details on how the system will work including:
Planning and allocations
Funding, payment and Assurance
Provider quality assurance system
Commissioning for LLDD
Academies
Apprenticeships
Learner eligibility
Youth custody
Data
Consultation responses by 5th Feb to
NCFConsultation@lsc.gov.uk
National Commissioning Framework
• Timetable for delivery
- Development, including testing in 2009
- Consultation period: November 2009 – February 2010
- Consultation report – February 2010
- Revised version for approval - March 2010
- Published by YPLA – April 2010
- Guidance applies to planning process for provision to be
delivered in 2011/12 Academic Year
- Some aspects, including funding flows, apply from April 2010
National Budgets and funding
policy
Local area indicators and progress
towards entitlement
GCSEs inc English
in the achievement
in the achievement
PP Inequality gap
PP Inequality gap
% Participation of
Achievement of 5
% 16-18 year old
% Level 2 @ 19
% Level 3 @ 19
and maths (%)
17 year olds in
or more A*-C
education or
of L3 @ 19
of L2 @ 19
training
NEET
North East Lincolnshire 45.4 65 34 20 21 72 6.4 (6.3)
North Lincolnshire 45.0 73 43 31 26 76 6.2 (5.8)
East Riding 51.8 77 48 (52.4) 30 28 87 4.0 (4.0)
Kingston upon Hull 36.5 65 34 21 21 75 10.6 (9.2)
North Yorkshire 58.1 80 56 33 (28) 25 74 4.8 (3.3)
York 59.1 74 51 25 (27) 29 77 4.2 (3.3)
Barnsley 39.1 63 34 27 29 69 7.9 (7.1)
Doncaster 42.4 64 35 23 26 72 7,7 (7.2)
Rotherham 46.5 68 (74.1) 39 26 29 71 6.9 (7.1)
Sheffield 44.0 68 (74.2) 42 22 21 75 8.5 (7.8)
Bradford 41.2 68 (73.5) 40 21 20 78 8.8 (8.1)
Calderdale 50.5 74 46 26 23 76 8.3 (6.4)
Kirklees 47.0 69 45 25 25 77 9.7 (6.5)
Leeds 45.6 68 (75.2) 42 (49.0) 28 30 71 9.5 (6.8)
Wakefield 49.1 70 43 25 26 67 10.2 (6.9)
Yorkshire and the Humber 46.9 73 44 28 25 74 7.9
England 49.7 77 50 25 24 79 6.7
PSA Targets
• 82% of young people achieve Level 2 by the age
of 19 in 2011
• 54% of young people achieve Level 3 by age 19
• Reduce the proportion of 16-18 year olds NEET
to 7.7% by 2010
• Reduce gap in attainment of Level 3 at 19
between those who were in receipt of free
school meals and those who were not
• Address the disadvantage that individuals
experience because of their
gender, race, disability, age, sexual
orientation, religion or belief
Projected participation
• 97% of 16 year olds participating in
education or training in 2010-11
• 92% of 17 year olds participating
Investment Strategy
16-18 budget is rising to match participation
• Increase of £450 million for learning places in
2010-11 (6.2% increase in participation)
• Base rate for funding maintained for 2010-11
• Real terms increases of 0.9% in 2011-12 and
2012-13
• Efficiency savings of 3% across 2011-13
• Increasing funding for Additional Learning
Support
• Increasing funding for specialist LLDD 12.9% in
2010-11
• Changes in EMAs
Implications for E&D
Real opportunity for:
1. Local planning to mean stronger response to community needs
2. No more NEET
100% participation 16-19 to be 100% purposeful participation
3. To focus decision makers on narrowing the gap
