asrg-1 by shimeiyan

VIEWS: 2 PAGES: 31

									Size and Cost of the Problem

        Steve Atkins
     SpamCon Foundation
       Word to the Wise
         So… How bad is it?
   4% don’t find spam annoying
   96% find it annoying, or worse

   That’s 161,000,000 US end users
   Or 628,000,000 end users worldwide
    End users are really annoyed
   AOL users reported 4,000,000 pieces of
    spam on February 20th

   On March 5th, they reported 5,500,000
    pieces of spam
       It’s going to get worse - AOL
3500


3000


2500


2000
                                                                                                         Measured
                                                                                                         Predicted
1500


1000


500


  0
       20-Feb 5-Mar 20-Mar 5-Apr 20-Apr 5-May   20-   5-Jun 20-Jun   5-Jul   20-Jul 5-Aug 20-Aug 5-Sep
                                                May
     More email, more spam
45
40
35
30
25                                             Spam
20                                             Email
15
10
 5
 0
     2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
  More email, yet more spam
250

200

150
                                                Spam
                                                Email
100

50

 0
      2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
 Ridiculous amounts of spam
160000
140000
120000
100000
                                                   Spam
80000
                                                   Email
60000
40000
20000
    0
         2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
          What does it cost?
   $30-50/yr in direct costs to every end
    user
          What does it cost?
   $30-50/yr in direct costs to every end
    user
   $730/yr in lost productivity for every
    employee
          What does it cost?
   $30-50/yr in direct costs to every end
    user
   $730/yr in lost productivity for every
    employee
   $8,900,000,000/yr total cost to US
    corporations
       Receiving spam costs?
   $30-50/yr in direct costs to every end
    user
   $730/yr in lost productivity for every
    employee
   $8,900,000,000/yr total cost to US
    corporations
   $650,000,000 this year in anti-spam
    and content filtering products
       Receiving spam costs?
   $30-50/yr in direct costs to every end
    user
   $730/yr in lost productivity for every
    employee
   $8,900,000,000/yr total cost to US
    corporations
   $650,000,000 this year in anti-spam
    and content filtering products
   $1-2/spam in lost productivity
Costs to a spammers ISP?
   A dialup provider estimates $2,000 -
    $10,000 to deal with a single spamming
    dialup customer
Costs to a spammers ISP?
   A dialup provider estimates $2,000 -
    $10,000 to deal with a single spamming
    dialup customer
   A large end user ISP estimates $8 to
    handle each incoming complaint
Costs to a spammers ISP?
   A dialup provider estimates $2,000 -
    $10,000 to deal with a single spamming
    dialup customer
   A large end user ISP estimates $8 to
    handle each incoming complaint
   A large end user ISP may receive
    hundreds of thousands or millions of
    complaints a month
       Profits to the spammer
   The spam-related pornography business
    is estimated at $3,200,000,000 in 2002

   The Arizona AG seized $30,000,000
    from one “grow 1-3 inches” spam group

   Around 70% of spam has illegal content
Al Ralsky
                  Al Ralsky
   200 mailservers
                 Al Ralsky
   200 mailservers
   140,000,000 / hour
                 Al Ralsky
   200 mailservers
   140,000,000 / hour
   3,360,000,000 / day
                 Al Ralsky
   200 mailservers
   140,000,000 / hour
   3,360,000,000 / day
   23,520,000,000 / week
                 Al Ralsky
   200 mailservers
   140,000,000 / hour
   3,360,000,000 / day
   23,520,000,000 / week
   1,226,400,000,000 / year
                       Al Ralsky
1,226,400,000,000 / year
At $1/spam that’s
 Nearly 5 years output of the US mint

 A pile of dollar bills a third of the way to the moon

 Nearly one fifth of the US national debt

 A line of dollar bills from the earth to the sun a

  quarter of the way back
         A Freemail Provider
   80% of incoming mail blocked at the
    router
   Cost of spam still nearly $12,000/mo
         A Freemail Provider
   80% of incoming mail blocked at the
    router
   Cost of spam still nearly $12,000/mo
   If the IP based blocking weren’t used
    then the cost of spam would increase to
    $180,000 - $324,000/mo
       A Hosting Provider
A spammer providing $9,500/mo revenue
       A Hosting Provider
A spammer providing $9,500/mo revenue
Initial blacklisting blocks
 $16,500/mo of innocent customers
       A Hosting Provider
A spammer providing $9,500/mo revenue
Initial blacklisting blocks
 $16,500/mo of innocent customers



Second stage blacklisting blocks
 $38,500/mo of innocent customers
              Indirect Costs
   15% of solicited email doesn’t reach
    recipients mailboxes
   Mail blocking by imperfect mail filters
    causes significant losses to legitimate
    business use of email
   The deluge of spam also causes
    significant losses
               In Summary
   There’s a lot of spam
   It’s causing massive costs
   It’s getting worse
   It’s going to keep getting worse until
    the problem is alleviated or the mail
    system collapses
   That’s all, folks!
        Steve Atkins
     steve@blighty.com

http://word-to-the-wise.com/
(follow the whitepapers link)

    http://spamcon.org/

								
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