Docstoc

The Simple Algebra of the IS-LM Model and the Aggregate Demand .. - DOC

Document Sample
The Simple Algebra of the IS-LM Model and the Aggregate Demand .. - DOC Powered By Docstoc
					                        The Microfoundations of the Money Demand Function
                                    The Baumol-Tobin Model
                             Humberto Barreto (barretoh@wabash.edu)

How do people decide how much of their wealth to hold as money? This is the question underlying
the money demand function.

The answer, as usual, is that each individual solves an optimization problem.


Developed in the 1950s, the Baumol-Tobin Model is a transactions theory of money demand
because it emphasizes the role of money as a medium of exchange. Holding money makes
transactions (buying and selling) more convenient—you do not have to go to the bank every time
you want to buy something. The cost of this convenience is the foregone interest you would have
received on the funds had they been in an interest bearing asset.

Assume you plan to spend a given, fixed amount of Y dollars gradually over the course of a year.
How much money should you hold throughout the year? What, in other words, is the optimal size of
average money holdings?

After Setting Up the Problem, we'll find Find the Initial Solution, then do Comparative Statics.
We're especially interested in how money demand responds to the interest rate and income because
the money demand function we used in the IS/LM—AD/AS Model used money demand function
L(i, Y), with dL/di < 0 and dL/dY > 0, remember?


Setting Up the Problem:
Goal:                          min total costs

Endogenous Variables:          N, the number of trips to the bank, which then determines average cash
                               holdings, or money demand

Exogenous Variables:           i, the nominal interest rate
                               Y, the amount of spending the individual plans to do
                               F, the cost of each trip to the bank



Further Understanding the Problem
See sheets Idea1 and Idea2 in BaumolTobin.xls


Idea 1: Average Cash Holdings equals how much cash the person has on hand each day
                          divided by 365 days in a year

Formula for Day 1 cell in sheet Idea1:

=$B$4-(A10-0.5)/365*$B$4


582678c7-49dc-44ce-8115-a558cbcb566a.doc Page 1 of 5
Idea 2: Average Cash Holdings equals Y/2N
Idea 2B: This means that total foregone interest equals i x Y/2N
Set the Number of
 Trips to the Bank
                              in Idea2 sheet.

So, as N increases, the cost of foregone interest falls AND the total cost of going to the bank rises.
The separate graphs look like this:

The Cos t of Foregone Income depends on i, Y, a nd N, like this:

Y                 $     10 ,0 00  amo unt of d ol lars to be spen t grad ual l y over the year
i                            10 % i nterest ra te p er year

                                                                       Cos t of Foregone Incom e
                    i x Y /2 N
N                Co st o f forego ne i nco me
                                                           $600.00
             1    $       50 0.00
                                                           $500.00
             5    $       10 0.00
                                                           $400.00
           73     $          6.85                          $300.00
          36 5    $          1.37                          $200.00
                                                           $100.00
                                                              $-
                                                                       0          100     200        300   400
                                                                                           N




The Cos t of Going to the bank depe nds on F and N, like this:

F                 $        5.00     pe r un it cost o f each tri p to the b ank

                         FN
N                Co st o f Goi ng to the Ba nk
                                                                       Costs of Going to the Ba nk
             1    $          5.00
             5    $        25 .0 0
                                                           $2,000.00
           73     $       36 5.00
          36 5    $ 1,82 5.00                              $1,500.00

                                                           $1,000.00

                                                             $500.00

                                                                 $-
                                                                           0       100     200       300   400
                                                                                            N




The tension in the problem is easy to see. As N rises, the Cost of Foregone falls, but the Cost of
Going to the Bank rises. How many trips should be taken? The cost minimizing amount.




582678c7-49dc-44ce-8115-a558cbcb566a.doc Page 2 of 5
Finding the Initial Solution:

• Graphically
That’s easy. Put the two graphs together. See Underlying Graph sheet.

The Total Cos t is the s um of the tw o indiv idua l costs .


Y                 $ 10 ,0 00    amo unt of do ll ars to be spen t grad ual ly ove r the ye ar
i                         10 % i nterest ra te , co mpou nde d dai l y so that i/36 5 is d ai ly i nterest rate
F                             5 co st per tri p to the ba nk


                      i x Y /2 N           FN          i x Y /2 N + FN                           Figure 18 -2 : The Cos t of Holding Mone y
                       Co st o f                                           $140.00                                                               Tota l
                      Fo re gon e   Co st o f Goi ng
N                       Inco me      to th e Bank      To tal   Cost
                                                                           $120.00                                                               Cost
              5   $      10 0.00     $     25 .0 0      $        12 5.00   $100.00
           7.5    $       66 .6 7    $     37 .5 0      $        10 4.17                                                                      Cost of Going
                                                                              $80.00
            10    $       50 .0 0    $     50 .0 0      $        10 0.00                                                                       to the Bank
          12 .5   $       40 .0 0    $     62 .5 0      $        10 2.50      $60.00
            15    $       33 .3 3    $     75 .0 0      $        10 8.33      $40.00                                                                 Cost of
          17 .5   $       28 .5 7    $     87 .5 0      $        11 6.07                                                                            Foregone
            20    $       25 .0 0    $    10 0.00       $        12 5.00
                                                                              $20.00
                                                                                                                                                    Intere st
                                                                                 $-
                                                                                             0               5           10            15      20               25
                                                                                                                                 N

                                                                           BaumolTobin.xls



• Excel’s Solver
       See sheet Optimization in BaumolTobin.xls

Execute Tools: Solver. The Solver dialog box has been configured for you. The goal to Min Total
Costs in cell B6 by choosing N in cell B14, given the exogenous variables, Y, i, and F.

            Excel's Solver gets very close, but not exactly equal to 1. That's a numerical algorithm for
            you. When little is gained, it stops hunting for a better solution and announces that it has
            converged to a solution.

            You can tighten the convergence criterion by clicking on the Options button in the Solver
            dialog box. Explore Convergence, Precision, and Tolerance.




582678c7-49dc-44ce-8115-a558cbcb566a.doc Page 3 of 5
• Calculus
       Here's the analytical solution.

                                          iY
                                min TC         FN
                                          2N
                                dTC       iY
                                           2
                                               F
                                 dN      2N
                                At a min, this derivative is equal to zero, so
                                   iY
                                    *2  F  0
                                 2N
                                iY      *2
                                    N
                                2F
                                        iY
                                N* 
                                        2F
                                At i = 10%,Y = $10,000, and F = $5/trip,
                                          0.10 * $10,000
                                N*                       10
                                               2 *5

                                                                                        Y
Notice that N* is not money demand. Money demand is average cash holdings, M d           , and
                                                                                       2N
must be calculated like this:

                                          Y      YF
                                 M d*        
                                           iY     2i
                                        2
                                          2F
                                At i = 10%, Y = $10,000, and F = $5/trip,
                                            (10,000)* (5)
                                 M d*                     $500
                                               2 * (0.1)


                                         d*       YF
The equation for optimal money holding, M           , is the money demand function, L(Y,i) that
                                                  2i
we were trying to derive. Notice how it behaves as expected—increases in Y lead to increases in
money demand and increases in i lead to decreases in money demand.


• Comparing Excel and Calculus

Although Solver didn't give us exactly 1, for all intents and purposes we are getting the same answer
(as shown by the data in the Optimization sheet).




582678c7-49dc-44ce-8115-a558cbcb566a.doc Page 4 of 5
Comparative Statics

There are three exogenous variables in the model and they all appear in the optimal money demand
equation. We can do comparative statics from the perspective of Y, i, and F.

In each case, we can proceed analytically, taking the derivative of the optimal money demand
function, or numerically, changing the exogenous variable by an arbitrary, finite amount and
recalculating the optimal solution. Of course, the Comparative Statics Wizard add-in makes the
latter approach much easier.




582678c7-49dc-44ce-8115-a558cbcb566a.doc Page 5 of 5

				
DOCUMENT INFO
Shared By:
Categories:
Tags:
Stats:
views:102
posted:3/1/2010
language:English
pages:5