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Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Extracts from RLS - April 2004 RLS RLS
L/ Gross Incomplete units
RLS ref
Line Map ref Location plan appro assessment
units val Vol. Pri * Sec *
1 3401 6279 4/044 WsM, Milton Hill 19 10 2 1
2 3133 6225 4/087 WsM, Atlantic Rd South: Glencliffe Mansions 21 21 4 3
3 3640 6210 4/261 Summer Lane residual master plan land 60 60 12 8
4 3549 6173 4/261bc adj Aspen Park Railway Triangle 20 0 0 0
5 4226 5734 4/297 Winscombe - south of Sidcot Lane 20 20 20 4 3
6 3780 6270 4/320 St Georges Village WsM 200 202 110 22 15
7 St Georges WsM - header 560
8 3741 6330 4/321 St Georges, WsM 24 24 5 3
9 3751 6322 4/321h Land at St Georges, WsM (Bloor) 108 0 0 0
10 3727 6328 4/321i Land at St Georges, WsM (Mead) 155 20 3 2
11 3764 6313 4/321j Land at St Georges, WsM (Prowting) 93 6 1 1
12 3736 6351 4/321k Land at St Georges, WsM (Beazer) 130 0 0 0
13 3738 6309 4/321L Land at St Georges, WsM (Bryant) 14 7 1 1
14 3724 6366 4/322c Brimbleworth Farm, St Georges 24 24 5 3
15 4227 6608 4/342 Yatton - Wemberham Lane 30 33 33 6 5
16 4828 7111 4/347e Nailsea - The School Site 23 0 0 0
17 4181 6922 4/348 Kenn - Stowell Concrete 14 14 14 3 2
18 Portishead & North Weston - Header 650
19 4720 7720 4/352 Portishead & North Weston - Power gen plc 25 25 5 4
20 4176 7736 4/352g Portishead & North Weston - Crest Phase 6 43 2 0 0
21 4734 7737 4/352h Portishead & North Weston - Crest Phase 5 81 0 0 0
22 4718 7723 4/352r Port Marine Burlington Rd - Phase 8a 37 37 5 3
23 4728 7709 4/352j Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 9 65 0 0 0
24 4733 7715 4/352k Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 10 65 65 4 3
25 4752 7742 4/352l Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 11 104 19 4 3
26 4734 7727 4/352m Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 11 34 26 5 4
27 4741 7734 4/352n Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 12 15 0 0 0
28 4739 7724 4/352o Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 13 95 95 19 13
29 4746 7732 4/352p Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 14 34 34 2 2
30 4720 7710 4/352q Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 8 64 64 3 2
31 4748 7694 4/353 Portishead & North Weston - Dockside 300 939 939 61 43
32 4700 7658 4/353a Parish Wharf Estate Station Rd Portishead 68 68 0 0
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
Thus assumed ann
Data is %
Line
Notes from Local Plan 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
1 all 4 bed houses 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 3
2 2 bed flats 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 16 5
3 Outline only - residual land 20 50 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 12
4 17 * 1 , 3* 2 bed flats Res'd matters. Factor B 20 80 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
5 B list no Planning permission 20 40 60 80 100 100 100 100 0 0
6 Mainly 3 bed houses 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 83 28
7 Primary school site line left blank
8 Residual land B site 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
9 2 or 3 bed houses 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
10 1/3 flats Factor C 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 0
11 Almost all 2-4 bed houses includes 4/321m (4 units) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 6 0
12 Almost all 2-4 bed houses 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
13 4 bed houses 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 7 0
14 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 12 12
15 B list: no planning permission 0 0 0 20 50 80 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
16 3/4/5 bed houses approved 3/03 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
17 B list: no planning permission 0 0 0 33 66 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
18 Master Plan to include school site. Affordable housing. Now gross 698 units
19 Outline PP only 30 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 15
20 incl 14* 2 bed flats Reduction Factor B 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 2 0
21 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
22 incl 12, 4bed and 6, 2 beds with 12, 1 bed and 7, 2 beds Factor C0
5 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 19 19
23 Apartment block: 1,2,3 bed flats Reduction Fac A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
24 Apartment block: 1,2,3 bed flats Reduction Fac A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 65 0
25 Incl Affordable Housing and flats 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 19 0
26 PP Reserved matters 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 26 0
27 PP Reserved matters - but under construction 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
28 PP Reserved matters - incl 58 2 bed flats no factor 20 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 19 29
29 Includes waterside apartments Factor A 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 24 10
30 incl 45 flats - rest 2-4 bed houses Factor B 20 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 13 19
31 Marina & affordable housing. OUTLINE Factor A 10 30 50 70 90 100 100 100 100 0 0
32 Sheltered accommodation Zero pupils 10 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 7 61
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
Gordano Nailsea St Katherines Churchill
Line
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
1 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 3 3
3 18 12 18 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 7
4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 0 4 4 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2
6 0 0 0 0 0 0 6 8 8 9 10 11 13 14 14
7
8 12 12 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3
9 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
11 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
12 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
14 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
15 0 7 10 10 7 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 3 3
16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 0 5 5 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1
18
19 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
20 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
23 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3
25 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
26 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
27 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
28 48 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 7 7 7 8 10 11 12
29 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
30 32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
31 94 188 188 188 188 94 0 0 2 7 11 16 21 25 27
32 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Backwell
Clevedon
Line
2014 2015
1 1 1
2 3 3
3 7 8
4 0 0
5 2 2
6 14 14
7
8 3 3
9 0 0
10 2 2
11 1 1
12 0 0
13 1 1
14 3 3
15 3 4
16 0 0
17 1 2
18
19 3 3
20 0 0
21 0 0
22 3 3
23 0 0
24 3 3
25 2 2
26 3 3
27 0 0
28 12 12
29 1 1
30 2 2
31 31 34
32 0 0
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea WsM N WsM C WsM S Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School S cluster E cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster N cluster
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
1 North Weston nya 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
2 WSM South 2 2 2 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
3 North Weston nya 0 1 4 5 7 8 8 9 10 10 11
4 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
5 Winscombe 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 3
6 St George's 10 13 13 15 16 17 19 19 19 19 19
7 North Weston nya
8 St George's 0 0 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4
9 St George's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
10 St George's 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
11 St George's 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
12 St George's 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
13 St George's 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
14 St George's 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
15 Yatton Inf / Yatton Jun 0 0 0 1 2 3 4 4 5 5 5
16 Nailsea group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
17 Yeo Moor Inf / Yeo Moor Jun 0 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
18 Gordano / Pill group nya
19 Gordano / Pill group nya 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4
20 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
21 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
22 Gordano / Pill group nya 1 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4
23 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
24 Gordano / Pill group nya 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4
25 Gordano / Pill group nya 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
26 Gordano / Pill group nya 3 3 3 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5
27 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
28 Gordano / Pill group nya 2 6 11 12 12 14 15 16 17 17 17
29 Gordano / Pill group nya 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
30 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
31 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 4 11 18 26 35 41 44 47 50
32 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Extracts from RLS - April 2004 RLS RLS
L/ Gross Incomplete units
RLS ref
Line Map ref Location plan appro assessment
units val Vol. Pri * Sec *
33 4700 7662 4/353b Harbour Rd to cabstand Portishead - Persimmon 22 0 0 0
34 4792 7663 4/354 Portishead & North Weston - Ashlands 800 1500 1500 294 210
35 5382 7068 4/359 Long Ashton, land off Providence Lane 0 18 4 1 1
36 3737 6184 4/362 Locking Castle (West Wick) 450 600 0 0 0
37 3128 6212 4/376 Manilla Cove, Manilla Place, WsM 15 15 3 2
38 4018 7099 4/384 Clevedon, Beach Avenue 16 16 3 2
39 3619 6434 4/387m Ebdon Grounds, Wick St Lawrence 5 5 0 0
40 4377 7519 4/410 Portishead, Down Road - Charlecombe Caravan Park 0 80 61 12 9
41 4425 6664 4/417 Yatton - North End 40 36 0 0 0
42 5364 6560 4/426 Winford, former Hospital in Kingston Lane 60 69 0 0 0
43 4787 7606 4/429d The Vale, Wyndham Way 22 0 0 0
44 4610 7080 4/430 Nailsea - North West 200 463 0 0 0
45 3561 6141 4/438 Locking Castle (Moor Lane) Residual land 39 39 8 5
46 3602 6169 4/438a Compton Mews, Area 2 Moor Lane 72 0 0 0
47 3590 6138 4/438e Weston Gardens Phase 2, Area 3 Moor Lane 70 0 0 0
48 3609 6151 4/438g Area 20 Moor Lane 48 0 0 0
49 3533 6130 4/438i Area 14 Moor Lane 37 0 0 0
50 3538 6119 4/438k Phase IIB Moor Lane Barratt 62 0 0 0
51 3571 6140 4/438L Area 18 Moor Lane 48 20 3 2
52 3572 6133 4/438w,x,y Area 16 ,R3b,17a Moor Lane 105 105 21 15
53 3539 6134 4/438v&z Areas 11a & 6 Moor Lane 133 103 14 10
54 3546 6138 4/438o Area 7 Moor Lane 23 0 0 0
55 3533 6115 4/438u Area 9 Moor Lane 95 95 12 9
56 3552 6119 4/438q Area 15 Moor Lane 42 27 4 3
57 3564 6131 4/438r Area 16 Moor Lane 132 132 26 18
58 3563 6149 4/438s Area 13 Moor Lane 41 36 7 5
59 3573 6150 4/438t Area 12 Moor Lane 41 41 8 6
60 3505 6117 4/439 Airport View Caravan Park, Moor Lane 130 130 25 18
61 3508 6114 4/439a Airport View Caravan Park, Moor Lane 37 37 7 5
62 3674 6209 4/440 Plum Tree Farm, Summer Lane 8 8 2 1
63 3225 5834 4/442 Manor Farm Caravan Park, WsM 20 20 4 3
64 3622 6447 4/443 Orchard House, Ebdon Rd, WsM 12 12 2 2
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
Thus assumed ann
Data is %
Line
Notes from Local Plan 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
33 Apartments 2 beds Reserved matters Factor A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
34 10 40 60 80
Outline consent and some phases under construction (75 under construction Ap 04) 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 150 450
35 4 bed houses 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 4 0
36 100
scheme replaced with 4/488 regen area - see line 4/477 comment 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
37 11 terraced houses & 4 flats B site 25 50 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 4
38 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
39 all 1-2 bed flats Factor B 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 5 0
40 73 * 4/5 bed houses 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 46 15
41 2,3 & 4 bed houses 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
42 CHEW VALLEY WILL TAKE ???? 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
43 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
44 scheme withdrawn due to unsustainability issues (2004) 3 6 27 48 70 91 100 100 100 100 0 0
45 Residual land consents outstanding 20 60 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 8 16
46 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
47 Mainly 2/3 bed houses 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
48 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
49 3 bed houses 33 66 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
50 3 bed houses & 2 bed flats no factor 25 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
51 incl 11 2 bed flats Factor C 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 15 5
52 affordable housing 25 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 26 53
53 1/3 are 2 bed flats Factor C 40 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 41 36
54 3& 4 bed houses 25 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
55 incl 1 & 2 bed flats Factor C 50 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 48 24
56 incl 6*2 bed flats Factor C 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 20 7
57 25 50 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 33 33
58 Westbury subject to S106 B site 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 18 18
59 Persimmon subject to S106 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 31 10
60 Site clearance began 3/02 20 40 80 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 26 26
61 20 40 80 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 7 7
62 Outline only 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
63 Convert site to all year residential caravan B list 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
64 B list no permission yet 50 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
Gordano Nailsea St Katherines Churchill
Line
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
34 300 300 300 0 0 0 11 42 63 86 114 123 137 158 170
35 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
36 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
37 4 4 4 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2
38 16 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
39 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
40 0 0 0 0 0 0 3 4 4 5 5 6 7 8 8
41 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
42 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
43 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
44 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
45 16 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 3 3 4 4 5
46 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
47 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
51 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2
52 26 0 0 0 0 0 2 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
53 26 0 0 0 0 0 2 4 5 5 6 6 7 8 9
54 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
55 24 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 4 5 5 6 7 8 8
56 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
57 33 33 0 0 0 0 2 5 7 10 10 11 13 15 16
58 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 3 3 3 4 5 5
59 0 0 0 0 0 0 2 3 3 3 4 4 5 5 5
60 52 26 0 0 0 0 2 4 7 9 10 11 13 14 16
61 15 7 0 0 0 0 1 1 2 3 3 3 4 4 4
62 8 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
63 10 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
64 6 6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Backwell
Clevedon
Line
2014 2015
33 0 0
34 181 189
35 1 1
36 0 0
37 2 2
38 2 2
39 0 0
40 8 8
41 0 0
42 0 0
43 0 0
44 0 0
45 5 5
46 0 0
47 0 0
48 0 0
49 0 0
50 0 0
51 2 2
52 13 13
53 9 9
54 0 0
55 8 8
56 2 2
57 17 17
58 5 5
59 5 5
60 16 16
61 5 5
62 1 1
63 3 3
64 2 2
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea WsM N WsM C WsM S Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School S cluster E cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster N cluster
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
33 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
34 Ashlands 18 71 106 144 190 201 218 238 250 259 265
35 Northleaze 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
36 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
37 WSM South 0 0 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 3 3
38 Clevedon group nya 0 0 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3
39 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
40 Gordano / Pill group nya 5 7 7 8 9 9 10 11 11 11 11
41 Yatton Inf / Yatton Jun 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
42 [Chew Valley SEC] Winford 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
43 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
44 Nailsea group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
45 North Weston nya 1 3 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7
46 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
47 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
48 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
49 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
50 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
51 North Weston nya 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
52 North Weston nya 3 9 12 13 14 15 17 18 19 19 19
53 North Weston nya 3 6 8 9 9 10 11 12 12 12 12
54 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
55 North Weston nya 4 6 7 8 9 10 10 11 11 11 11
56 North Weston nya 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
57 North Weston nya 4 8 12 16 17 18 20 22 23 23 23
58 North Weston nya 2 4 4 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6
59 North Weston nya 4 5 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 7 7
60 North Weston nya 3 6 12 16 17 18 20 21 22 23 23
61 North Weston nya 1 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 7 7
62 North Weston nya 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
63 WSM South 0 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 4 4
64 North Weston nya 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Extracts from RLS - April 2004 RLS RLS
L/ Gross Incomplete units
RLS ref
Line Map ref Location plan appro assessment
units val Vol. Pri * Sec *
65 4266 5754 4/445 Winscombe, Brae Road Observatory Fields 0 29 0 0 0
66 5417 7019 4/446 Long Ashton, land to south of Long Ashton Road 0 100 0 0 0
67 4108 7093 4/448 Clevedon, Moor Lane, Staddons Timber Yard 0 29 29 4 3
68 4075 7152 4/450 Clevedon, 35 Princes Road 0 13 0 0 0
69 3350 5990 4/451 1-15 Newbolt Close WsM 10 0 0 0
70 3191 6099 4/458 Rear of Atlantic Hotel 78 0 0 0
71 3194 6056 4/462 68-72 Walliscote Rd WsM 10 10 0 0
72 3138 6230 4/463 Highbury Hotel, 52 Atlantic Road WsM 16 0 0 0
73 3109 6215 4/464 Rozel Hotel, Birnbeck Rd WsM 48 48 3 2
74 5252 7569 4/465 Elizabeth House, Heywood Court, Pill 26 13 0 0
75 3146 6239 4/466 39 South Rd WsM 11 11 2 2
76 3266 6051 4/467 Old Calor Gas Rectors Way WsM 12 12 2 2
77 3225 6153 4/468 87 Meadow Street WsM 11 11 0 0
78 4060 7165 4/469 13 Herbert Road, Clevedon 14 14 1 1
79 3177 6037 4/472 57 Beach Road WsM 109 109 0 0
80 4109 7119 4/473 47 Old Street Clevedon 11 9 2 1
81 5345 7009 4/474 Long Ashton research site 342 342 67 48
82 3192 5984 4/475 United Reform Church Moorland Rd WsM 12 12 1 1
83 4677 7567 4/476 Wheelers Garage High St Portishead 10 10 0 0
84 3336 6025 4/477 WsM Football Club 814 814 107 76
85 3086 6224 4/478 Royal Pier Hotel Birnbeck rd WsM 16 16 0 0
86 4680 7610 4/479 Former Council Depot Albert Rd, Portishead 50 50 0 0
87 4787 7587 4/480 Moor Farm Portbury Common, Portishead 43 43 8 6
88 4129 7066 4/481 Central Way, Clevedon 22 22 1 1
89 Nailsea dummy line to bring data to PD plan 0 0 0 0
90 Clevedon dummy line to bring data to PD plan 82 82 16 11
91 Portishead dummy line to bring data to PD plan 305 305 60 43
92 Weston super Mare dummy line to bring data to PD plan 971 971 190 136
93 Other areas dummy line to bring data to PD plan 862 862 169 121
94 spare line 0 0
95 3324 10726 7924 1263 902
1553 1109
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
Thus assumed ann
Data is %
Line
Notes from Local Plan 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
65 90 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
66 3-5 bed houses 75 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
67 9*1 flats, 9*2 bed &11*3-4 bed hses: Factor C used 0 65 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 19
68 All 1 or 2 bed flats - Factor A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
69 Special case as replacement dwellings - nil gain 33 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
70 Sheltered Accomm McCarthy & Stone - nil pupils 33 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
71 1 bed flats Assume nil pupils 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 10 0
72 1/2/3 bed flats Factor A 60 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
73 2 bed flats Factor A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 48 0
74 Assume nil gain as replacement housing 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 13 0
75 1 &2 bed flats on A list no factor 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 11
76 Outline consent 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 12
77 All studio flats. Assume nil pupils 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 3 5
78 All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 14 0
79 Restricted to age 55+ British Legion: B list no pupil yield 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 27
80 8*2 bed houses; 3*2 bed flats B site no factor 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 9 0
81 A list (20% affordable) 10 30 55 75 90 100 100 100 100 100 0 34
82 All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 3
83 Subject to S 106 6*1 bed flats. Factor B 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 10
84 (cat - offsets delays etc)
Incl 146* 2 bed flats B list. Factor C includes 600 units at 4/48810 A regeneration area50type unknown - assume cat C 100
25 25 75 100 100 100 100 100 81 122
85 List B Assume all retirement flats. Nil pupils 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
86 Outline consent but nil net gain so no net increase in pupils 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 0
87 Outline consent 25 70 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 11
88 All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A 35 55 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 0 8
89 These lines provide for volumes of houses (not flats) to 100 100 100 100 0 0
90 align the existing plans as listed in detail above to those 36 36 43 50 50 100 100 100 100 0 0
91 contained in longer term planning for housing in the 100 100 100 100 0 0
92 area. The other areas are distributed according to BT 24 47 63 100 100 100 100 0 0
decision.
93 12 26 39 46 56 66 80 100 100 100 100 103 121
94
95 With lower reproduction reduction factors applied This model assumes completions as: 1111 1298
Without reduction factors applied
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
Gordano Nailsea St Katherines Churchill
Line
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
65 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
68 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
70 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
71 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
72 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
73 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2
74 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
75 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
76 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2
77 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
78 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1
79 49 33 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
80 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
81 68 86 68 51 34 0 0 2 7 13 18 23 28 31 34
82 5 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
83 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
84 0 204 204 204 0 0 4 10 10 20 31 41 45 51 54
85 4 7 5 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86 13 23 15 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
87 19 13 0 0 0 0 0 1 2 3 3 4 4 4 5
88 4 10 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
89 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
90 29 0 6 6 0 41 0 0 2 2 2 3 3 7 8
91 0 0 0 0 0 305 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 21 21
92 0 0 233 223 155 359 0 0 0 0 16 32 43 71 76
93 112 60 86 86 121 172 7 16 24 29 38 47 61 79 84
94
95 1059 1051 1145 777 509 976 7924 62 138 199 267 353 420 496 616 660
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Backwell
Clevedon
Line
2014 2015
65 0 0
66 0 0
67 2 2
68 0 0
69 0 0
70 0 0
71 0 0
72 0 0
73 2 2
74 0 0
75 1 1
76 2 2
77 0 0
78 1 1
79 0 0
80 1 1
81 38 40
82 0 0
83 0 0
84 60 65
85 0 0
86 0 0
87 5 5
88 1 1
89 0 0
90 8 8
91 21 26
92 81 96
93 88 95
94
95 698 744
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea WsM N WsM C WsM S Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School S cluster E cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster N cluster
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
65 Winscombe 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
66 Birdwell 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
67 Clevedon group nya 0 1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3
68 Clevedon group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
69 WSM South assumed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
70 WSM South assumed 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
71 WSM South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
72 WSM Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
73 WSM South 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3
74 Crockerne 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
75 WSM South 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
76 WSM South 0 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2
77 WSM South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
78 Clevedon group nya 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
79 WSM South 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
80 Clevedon group nya 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2
81 Birdwell 0 4 12 22 31 39 45 49 53 56 58
82 WSM South 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1
83 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
84 WSM South 6 16 16 33 51 69 73 79 84 90 94
85 WSM Central 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
86 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
87 Gordano / Pill group nya 1 4 5 5 6 6 7 7 8 8
88 Clevedon group nya 0 0 0 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1
89 Nailsea group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
90 Clevedon group nya 0 0 3 3 4 5 6 11 12 12 13
91 Gordano / Pill group nya 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 36 36 36 42
92 North Weston nya 0 0 0 0 27 54 72 119 125 133 148
93 Spread across 4 clusters 12 26 40 49 62 77 96 122 128 133 140
94
95 104 232 335 445 584 689 786 950 995 1033 1078
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Extracts from RLS - April 2004 RLS RLS
L/ Gross Incomplete units
RLS ref
Line Map ref Location plan appro assessment
units val Vol. Pri * Sec *
* Primary and Secondary pupil predictions are based on
19.6 pupils per 100 new homes based on 7 Primary years: this equates to 30.8 age 0-11
14.0 pupils per 100 new homes based on 5 Secondary years: this equates to 14.0 age 11-16
Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
Only data in bold Actual % of predictions
red is used Yield used as above
Year PRI SEC Evidence base PRI SEC PRI SEC info
1 60 50 Winford Hospital 2003 77 units 23.4 16.9 119.4 121 2004
1 BAJ site, Hutton 2002 180 units 18.9 10.0 96 71
1 The Elms, Nailsea 2002 290 units 35.5 23.8 181.1 170
1 The Vale, Portishead 2002 469 units 26.9 15.4 137.2 110
2 60 50 Ebdon Grounds, Worle 2002 599 units 27.9 17.7 142.3 126 2005
2 BAJ site, Hutton 2003 181 units 23.8 20.4 121.4 146
2 Moor Lane, WsM 2002 565 units 27.4 8.1 139.8 58
3 60 50 0 0 2006
4 70 60 The Elms, Nailsea 2003 290 units 29.7 20.0 151.5 143 2007
5 75 65 Ebdon Grounds 2003 630 units 31.7 17.9 161.7 128 2008
6 80 70 0 0 2009
7 90 90 North End, Yatton 2002 287 units 19.5 12.5 99 89 2010
8 North End, Yatton 2003 287 units 26.5 12.5 135.2 89 2011
8 90 90 0 0 2011
9 90 90 0 0 2012
10 90 90 0 0 2013
11 90 90 Railway Triangle WsM 2002 303 units 27.7 12.5 141.3 89 2014
12 100 100 0 0 2015
13 0 0 2016
14 0 0 2017
15 0 0 2018
16 0 0 2019
17 Brampton Way, Portishead 2002 270 units 16.3 11.9 83 85 2020
18 0 0 2021
19 0 0 2022
20 Southern Way Clevedon 2003 403 units 25.3 13.4 129.1 96 2023
21 Southern Way Clevedon 2002 403 units 25.3 9.7 129.1 69 2024
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
Thus assumed ann
Data is %
Line
Notes from Local Plan 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
Different formula factors: arbitrary assessment
These reduce the pupil predictions to the % stated
Factor A: flats 33%
Factor B: developments unlikely to produce many pupils 20%
Factor C: where flats are part of plan 67%
Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as: Planning data is
Exercise to test rule on yield Planning dept data assume
Weighted data by units Nailsea 15 21
Year PRI SEC Vol # # Clevedon 23 34
1 23.4 16.9 77 18 13 Portishead 387 532
1 18.9 10 180 34 18 Weston super Mare 590 661
1 35.5 23.8 290 103 69 Other areas 148 174
1 26.9 15.4 469 126 72 1163 1422
2 27.9 17.7 599 167 106
2 23.8 20.4 181 43 37 Data above is allocated to t
2 27.4 8.1 565 155 46 Nailsea 0 0
3 0 0 0 0 Clevedon 23 27
4 29.7 20 290 86 58 Portishead 396 639
5 31.7 17.9 630 200 113 Weston super Mare 571 478
6 0 0 0 0 Other areas 120 155
7 19.5 12.5 287 56 36 1111 1298
8 26.5 12.5
8 0 0 0 0
9 0 0 0 0
10 0 0 0 0
11 27.7 12.5 303 84 38
12 0 0 0 0
13 0 0 0 0
14 0 0 0 0
15 0 0 0 0
16 0 0 0 0
17 16.3 11.9 270 44 32
18 0 0 0 0
19 0 0 0 0 Wide spread average yield per
20 25.3 13.4 403 102 54 100 units =
21 25.3 9.7 403 102 39 26.7 14.8
4947 1320 731 PRI SEC
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
Gordano Nailsea St Katherines Churchill
Line
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Rate of growth is confidential
Planning data of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
anning dept data assumes completions as: Total
14 99 99 99 99 112 558
Year 63 10 10 10 10 26 186
1 460 395 395 395 395 384 3343
1 637 415 387 210 130 111 3141
1 173 140 155 145 155 164 1254
1 1347 1059 1046 859 789 797 8482
2
ata above is2allocated to these areas as: Total
2 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 60 15 10 11 0 41 186
4 508 523 503 188 188 399 3343
5 311 361 467 431 159 363 3141
6 180 152 165 147 161 172 1254
7 1059 1051 1145 777 509 976 7924
8
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Backwell
Clevedon
Line
2014 2015
Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
Year
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003
Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea WsM N WsM C WsM S Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School S cluster E cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster cluster N cluster
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
Year
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
8
9
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd. c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls 2/24/2010
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