Raw housing plans by ipr10496

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									                                                      Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




       Extracts from RLS - April 2004                                            RLS       RLS
                                                                            L/ Gross       Incomplete units
                   RLS ref
Line     Map ref                                Location                   plan appro         assessment
                                                                           units val       Vol.   Pri * Sec *
 1     3401 6279 4/044 WsM, Milton Hill                                           19          10       2     1
 2     3133 6225 4/087 WsM, Atlantic Rd South: Glencliffe Mansions                21          21       4     3
 3     3640 6210 4/261 Summer Lane residual master plan land                      60          60      12     8
 4     3549 6173 4/261bc adj Aspen Park Railway Triangle                          20            0      0     0
 5     4226 5734 4/297 Winscombe - south of Sidcot Lane                       20 20           20       4     3
 6     3780 6270 4/320 St Georges Village WsM                                200 202         110      22    15
 7                       St Georges WsM - header                             560
 8     3741 6330 4/321 St Georges, WsM                                            24           24       5      3
 9     3751 6322 4/321h Land at St Georges, WsM (Bloor)                          108            0       0      0
 10    3727 6328 4/321i Land at St Georges, WsM (Mead)                           155           20       3      2
 11    3764 6313 4/321j Land at St Georges, WsM (Prowting)                        93            6       1      1
 12    3736 6351 4/321k Land at St Georges, WsM (Beazer)                         130            0       0      0
 13    3738 6309 4/321L Land at St Georges, WsM (Bryant)                          14            7       1      1
 14    3724 6366 4/322c Brimbleworth Farm, St Georges                             24           24       5      3
 15    4227 6608 4/342 Yatton - Wemberham Lane                                30 33            33       6      5
 16    4828 7111 4/347e Nailsea - The School Site                                 23            0       0      0
 17    4181 6922 4/348 Kenn - Stowell Concrete                                14 14            14       3      2
 18                      Portishead & North Weston - Header                 650
 19    4720 7720 4/352 Portishead & North Weston - Power gen plc                  25          25        5     4
 20    4176 7736 4/352g Portishead & North Weston - Crest Phase 6                 43           2        0     0
 21    4734 7737 4/352h Portishead & North Weston - Crest Phase 5                 81           0        0     0
 22    4718 7723 4/352r Port Marine Burlington Rd - Phase 8a                      37          37        5     3
 23    4728 7709 4/352j Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 9                  65           0        0     0
 24    4733 7715 4/352k Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 10                 65          65        4     3
 25    4752 7742 4/352l Powergen Site Portishead - Crest Phase 11                104          19        4     3
 26    4734 7727 4/352m Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 11                        34          26        5     4
 27    4741 7734 4/352n Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 12                        15           0        0     0
 28    4739 7724 4/352o Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 13                        95          95       19    13
 29    4746 7732 4/352p Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 14                        34          34        2     2
 30    4720 7710 4/352q Port Marine, Portishead - Phase 8                         64          64        3     2
 31    4748 7694 4/353 Portishead & North Weston - Dockside                  300 939         939       61    43
 32    4700 7658 4/353a Parish Wharf Estate Station Rd Portishead                 68          68        0     0




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.             c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                            Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
                                                                                                                                Thus assumed ann
                                                                                                   Data is %
Line
                        Notes from Local Plan                      2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
 1     all 4 bed houses                                                75   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  8  3
 2     2 bed flats                                                     75   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 16  5
 3     Outline only - residual land                                           20    50  70 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0 12
 4     17 * 1 , 3* 2 bed flats Res'd matters. Factor B                        20    80 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 5     B list no Planning permission                                                    20  40         60     80 100 100 100 100  0  0
 6     Mainly 3 bed houses                                             75   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 83 28
 7     Primary school site                                                                   line left blank
 8     Residual land B site                                                         50 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 9     2 or 3 bed houses                                             100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 10    1/3 flats Factor C                                            100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 20  0
 11    Almost all 2-4 bed houses includes 4/321m (4 units)           100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  6  0
 12    Almost all 2-4 bed houses                                     100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 13    4 bed houses                                                  100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  7  0
 14                                                                    50   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 12 12
 15    B list: no planning permission                                    0     0     0  20  50         80    100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 16    3/4/5 bed houses approved 3/03                                100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 17    B list: no planning permission                                    0     0     0  33  66       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 18    Master Plan to include school site. Affordable housing. Now gross 698 units
 19    Outline PP only                                                 30     90   100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  8 15
 20    incl 14* 2 bed flats Reduction Factor B                       100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  2  0
 21                                                                  100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 22    incl 12, 4bed and 6, 2 beds with 12, 1 bed and 7, 2 beds Factor C0
                                                                       5    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 19 19
 23    Apartment block: 1,2,3 bed flats Reduction Fac A              100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 24    Apartment block: 1,2,3 bed flats Reduction Fac A              100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 65  0
 25    Incl Affordable Housing and flats                             100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 19  0
 26    PP Reserved matters                                           100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 26  0
 27    PP Reserved matters - but under construction                  100    100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  0  0
 28    PP Reserved matters - incl 58 2 bed flats no factor             20     50   100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 19 29
 29    Includes waterside apartments Factor A                          70   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 24 10
 30    incl 45 flats - rest 2-4 bed houses Factor B                    20     50   100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100 13 19
 31    Marina & affordable housing. OUTLINE Factor A                                10  30  50         70     90 100 100 100 100  0  0
 32    Sheltered accommodation Zero pupils                             10   100    100 100 100       100     100 100 100 100 100  7 61




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                          2/24/2010
                                                         Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                                Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built                                   Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
                                                                       Gordano                 Nailsea                     St Katherines                     Churchill
 Line
        2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                              2005        2006       2007        2008        2009         2010        2011          2012         2013
   1        0     0      0       0      0 0                               1           1          1           1             1           1           1             1            1
   2        0     0      0       0      0 0                               1           1          1           2             2           2           2             3            3
   3       18    12     18       0      0 0                               0           1          2           3             4           5           5             6            7
   4        0     0      0       0      0 0                               0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
   5        0     4      4       4      4 4                               0           0          0           0             1           1           1             2            2
   6        0     0      0       0      0 0                               6           8          8           9            10          11          13            14           14
  7
  8         12      12       0       0       0       0                    0           0          1           2             2           2           2             2            3
  9          0       0       0       0       0       0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  10         0       0       0       0       0       0                    1           1          1           1             1           1           2             2            2
  11         0       0       0       0       0       0                    0           0          0           1             1           1           1             1            1
  12         0       0       0       0       0       0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  13         0       0       0       0       0       0                    0           0          0           1             1           1           1             1            1
  14         0       0       0       0       0       0                    1           2          2           2             2           2           3             3            3
  15         0       7      10      10       7       0                    0           0          0           0             1           2           2             3            3
  16         0       0       0       0       0       0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  17         0       5       5       5       0       0                    0           0          0           0             1           1           1             1            1
  18
  19         3       0       0       0      0        0                    1           2          2           2             2           2           3             3            3
  20         0       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  21         0       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  22         0       0       0       0      0        0                    1           2          2           2             2           2           3             3            3
  23         0       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  24         0       0       0       0      0        0                    2           2          2           2             2           2           3             3            3
  25         0       0       0       0      0        0                    1           1          1           2             2           2           2             2            2
  26         0       0       0       0      0        0                    2           2          2           2             2           3           3             3            3
  27         0       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0
  28        48       0       0       0      0        0                    1           3          7           7             7           8          10            11           12
  29         0       0       0       0      0        0                    1           1          1           1             1           1           1             1            1
  30        32       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          1           1             1           1           1             1            2
  31        94     188     188     188    188       94                    0           0          2           7            11          16          21            25           27
  32         0       0       0       0      0        0                    0           0          0           0             0           0           0             0            0




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.                c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                            2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




              Backwell

              Clevedon
Line
          2014        2015
 1                1           1
 2                3           3
 3                7           8
 4                0           0
 5                2           2
 6               14          14
 7
 8                3           3
 9                0           0
 10               2           2
 11               1           1
 12               0           0
 13               1           1
 14               3           3
 15               3           4
 16               0           0
 17               1           2
 18
 19               3           3
 20               0           0
 21               0           0
 22               3           3
 23               0           0
 24               3           3
 25               2           2
 26               3           3
 27               0           0
 28              12          12
 29               1           1
 30               2           2
 31              31          34
 32               0           0




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                       Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                    Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
                                    Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea         WsM N      WsM C      WsM S      Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School    S cluster E cluster cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    N cluster
                                       2005      2006      2007       2008       2009       2010       2011       2012       2013      2014        2015
 1    North Weston nya                       1         1         1          1          1          2          2          2          2           2           2
 2    WSM South                              2         2         2          3          3          3          4          4          4           4           4
 3    North Weston nya                       0         1         4          5          7          8          8          9         10         10           11
 4    North Weston nya                       0         0         0          0          0          0          0          0          0           0           0
 5    Winscombe                              0         0         0          0          1          1          2          3          3           3           3
 6    St George's                           10        13        13         15         16         17         19         19         19         19           19
 7    North Weston nya
 8    St George's                           0          0          1          3          3          3          3          4         4          4            4
 9    St George's                           0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 10   St George's                           2          2          2          2          2          2          2          2         2          2            2
 11   St George's                           1          1          1          1          1          1          1          1         1          1            1
 12   St George's                           0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 13   St George's                           1          1          1          1          1          1          1          1         1          1            1
 14   St George's                           1          3          3          3          3          4          4          4         4          4            4
 15   Yatton Inf / Yatton Jun               0          0          0          1          2          3          4          4         5          5            5
 16   Nailsea group nya                     0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 17   Yeo Moor Inf / Yeo Moor Jun           0          0          0          1          1          2          2          2         2          2            2
 18   Gordano / Pill group nya
 19   Gordano / Pill group nya              1          3          3          3          3          4          4          4         4          4            4
 20   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 21   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 22   Gordano / Pill group nya              1          3          3          3          4          4          4          4         4          4            4
 23   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 24   Gordano / Pill group nya              3          3          3          3          3          3          4          4         4          4            4
 25   Gordano / Pill group nya              2          2          2          3          3          3          3          3         3          3            3
 26   Gordano / Pill group nya              3          3          3          4          4          4          5          5         5          5            5
 27   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0
 28   Gordano / Pill group nya              2          6         11         12         12         14         15         16        17         17           17
 29   Gordano / Pill group nya              1          1          1          1          2          2          2          2         2          2            2
 30   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          1          2          2          2          2          2          2         2          2            2
 31   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          4         11         18         26         35         41        44         47           50
 32   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0          0          0          0          0          0          0         0          0            0




      Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.               c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                        2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




       Extracts from RLS - April 2004                                         RLS        RLS
                                                                         L/ Gross        Incomplete units
                   RLS ref
Line     Map ref                             Location                   plan appro          assessment
                                                                        units val        Vol.   Pri * Sec *
 33    4700 7662   4/353b Harbour Rd to cabstand Portishead - Persimmon        22             0      0    0
 34    4792 7663    4/354 Portishead & North Weston - Ashlands            800 1500       1500     294 210
 35    5382 7068    4/359 Long Ashton, land off Providence Lane             0 18              4      1    1
 36    3737 6184    4/362 Locking Castle (West Wick)                      450 600             0      0    0
 37    3128 6212 4/376 Manilla Cove, Manilla Place, WsM                           15        15        3     2
 38    4018 7099 4/384 Clevedon, Beach Avenue                                     16        16        3     2
 39    3619 6434 4/387m Ebdon Grounds, Wick St Lawrence                           5          5        0     0
 40    4377 7519 4/410 Portishead, Down Road - Charlecombe Caravan Park 0         80        61       12     9
 41    4425 6664 4/417 Yatton - North End                              40         36         0        0     0
 42    5364 6560 4/426 Winford, former Hospital in Kingston Lane       60         69         0        0     0
 43    4787 7606 4/429d The Vale, Wyndham Way                                     22         0        0     0
 44    4610 7080 4/430 Nailsea - North West                           200        463         0        0     0
 45    3561 6141 4/438 Locking Castle (Moor Lane) Residual land                   39        39        8     5
 46    3602 6169 4/438a Compton Mews, Area 2 Moor Lane                            72         0        0     0
 47    3590 6138 4/438e Weston Gardens Phase 2, Area 3 Moor Lane                  70         0        0     0
 48    3609 6151 4/438g Area 20 Moor Lane                                         48         0        0     0
 49    3533 6130 4/438i Area 14 Moor Lane                                         37         0        0     0
 50    3538 6119 4/438k Phase IIB Moor Lane Barratt                               62         0        0     0
 51    3571 6140 4/438L Area 18 Moor Lane                                         48        20        3     2
 52    3572 6133 4/438w,x,y Area 16 ,R3b,17a Moor Lane                           105       105       21    15
 53    3539 6134 4/438v&z Areas 11a & 6 Moor Lane                                133       103       14    10
 54    3546 6138 4/438o Area 7 Moor Lane                                          23         0        0     0
 55    3533 6115 4/438u Area 9 Moor Lane                                          95        95       12     9
 56    3552 6119 4/438q Area 15 Moor Lane                                         42        27        4     3
 57    3564 6131 4/438r Area 16 Moor Lane                                        132       132       26    18
 58    3563 6149 4/438s Area 13 Moor Lane                                         41        36        7     5
 59    3573 6150 4/438t Area 12 Moor Lane                                         41        41        8     6
 60    3505 6117 4/439 Airport View Caravan Park, Moor Lane                      130       130       25    18
 61    3508 6114 4/439a Airport View Caravan Park, Moor Lane                      37        37        7     5
 62    3674 6209 4/440 Plum Tree Farm, Summer Lane                                8          8        2     1
 63    3225 5834 4/442 Manor Farm Caravan Park, WsM                               20        20        4     3
 64    3622 6447 4/443 Orchard House, Ebdon Rd, WsM                               12        12        2     2




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                             Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                                     Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
                                                                                                                                                            Thus assumed ann
                                                                                                            Data is %
Line
                      Notes from Local Plan                      2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
 33    Apartments 2 beds Reserved matters Factor A                 100  100  100    100 100 100  100  100  100  100  100    0    0
 34                                                                 10   40   60     80
       Outline consent and some phases under construction (75 under construction Ap 04) 100 100  100  100  100  100  100  150  450
 35    4 bed houses                                                100  100  100    100 100 100  100  100  100  100  100    4    0
 36                                                                100
       scheme replaced with 4/488 regen area - see line 4/477 comment   100  100    100 100 100  100  100  100  100  100    0    0
 37    11 terraced houses & 4 flats B site                                       25      50      75     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       4
 38                                                                                     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 39    all 1-2 bed flats   Factor B                                     100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    5       0
 40    73 * 4/5 bed houses                                               75     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   46      15
 41    2,3 & 4 bed houses                                               100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 42    CHEW VALLEY WILL TAKE ????                                       100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 43                                                                     100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 44    scheme withdrawn due to unsustainability issues (2004)                     3       6      27      48      70       91   100   100   100   100    0       0
 45    Residual land consents outstanding                                20      60     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    8      16
 46                                                                     100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 47    Mainly 2/3 bed houses                                             50     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 48                                                                     100     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 49    3 bed houses                                                      33      66     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 50    3 bed houses & 2 bed flats no factor                              25      75     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 51    incl 11 2 bed flats Factor C                                      75     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   15       5
 52    affordable housing                                                25      75     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   26      53
 53    1/3 are 2 bed flats Factor C                                      40      75     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   41      36
 54    3& 4 bed houses                                                   25      75     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 55    incl 1 & 2 bed flats Factor C                                     50      75     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   48      24
 56    incl 6*2 bed flats Factor C                                       75     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   20       7
 57                                                                      25      50      75     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   33      33
 58    Westbury subject to S106 B site                                   50     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   18      18
 59    Persimmon subject to S106                                         75     100     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   31      10
 60    Site clearance began 3/02                                         20      40      80     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100   26      26
 61                                                                      20      40      80     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    7       7
 62    Outline only                                                                     100     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 63    Convert site to all year residential caravan B list                               50     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0
 64    B list no permission yet                                                          50     100     100     100      100   100   100   100   100    0       0




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.                    c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                          2/24/2010
                                                        Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                               Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built                                   Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
                                                                      Gordano                 Nailsea                     St Katherines                     Churchill
 Line
        2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                             2005        2006        2007        2008        2009        2010        2011          2012         2013
  33        0     0       0      0      0 0                               0           0           0           0        0            0          0              0            0
  34      300   300     300      0      0 0                              11          42          63          86      114          123        137            158          170
  35        0     0       0      0      0 0                               0           0           0           0        0            0          1              1            1
  36        0     0       0      0      0 0                               0           0           0           0        0            0          0              0            0
  37         4       4       4       0       0      0                     0           0           1           1           1           1           1             1            2
  38        16       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           1           1           1           1           1             2            2
  39         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  40         0       0       0       0       0      0                     3           4           4           5           5           6           7             8            8
  41         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  42         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  43         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  44         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  45        16       0       0       0       0      0                     1           2           3           3           3           3           4             4            5
  46         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  47         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  48         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  49         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  50         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  51         0       0       0       0       0      0                     1           1           1           1           1           1           2             2            2
  52        26       0       0       0       0      0                     2           6           7           8           9          10          11            12           13
  53        26       0       0       0       0      0                     2           4           5           5           6           6           7             8            9
  54         0       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  55        24       0       0       0       0      0                     2           3           4           5           5           6           7             8            8
  56         0       0       0       0       0      0                     1           1           1           1           2           2           2             2            2
  57        33      33       0       0       0      0                     2           5           7          10          10          11          13            15           16
  58         0       0       0       0       0      0                     1           3           3           3           3           3           4             5            5
  59         0       0       0       0       0      0                     2           3           3           3           4           4           5             5            5
  60        52      26       0       0       0      0                     2           4           7           9          10          11          13            14           16
  61        15       7       0       0       0      0                     1           1           2           3           3           3           4             4            4
  62         8       0       0       0       0      0                     0           0           1           1           1           1           1             1            1
  63        10      10       0       0       0      0                     0           0           1           1           1           2           2             2            2
  64         6       6       0       0       0      0                     0           0           0           1           1           1           1             1            1




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.               c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                            2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




              Backwell

              Clevedon
Line
          2014        2015
 33             0           0
 34           181         189
 35             1           1
 36             0           0
 37               2           2
 38               2           2
 39               0           0
 40               8           8
 41               0           0
 42               0           0
 43               0           0
 44               0           0
 45               5           5
 46               0           0
 47               0           0
 48               0           0
 49               0           0
 50               0           0
 51               2           2
 52              13          13
 53               9           9
 54               0           0
 55               8           8
 56               2           2
 57              17          17
 58               5           5
 59               5           5
 60              16          16
 61               5           5
 62               1           1
 63               3           3
 64               2           2




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                       Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                   Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
                                   Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea            WsM N       WsM C       WsM S       Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School   S cluster E cluster cluster     cluster     cluster     cluster     cluster     cluster     cluster     N cluster
                                      2005      2006      2007        2008        2009        2010        2011        2012        2013       2014        2015
 33   Gordano / Pill group nya              0         0          0           0           0           0           0           0           0           0        0
 34   Ashlands                             18        71        106         144         190         201         218         238         250        259       265
 35   Northleaze                            0         0          0           1           1           1           1           1           1           1        1
 36   North Weston nya                      0         0          0           0           0           0           0           0           0           0        0
 37   WSM South                             0          0           1          1           2           2          2           2          2           3            3
 38   Clevedon group nya                    0          0           2          2           2           2          2           3          3           3            3
 39   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 40   Gordano / Pill group nya              5          7           7          8           9           9         10          11         11          11           11
 41   Yatton Inf / Yatton Jun               0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 42   [Chew Valley SEC] Winford             0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 43   Gordano / Pill group nya              0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 44   Nailsea group nya                     0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 45   North Weston nya                      1          3           5          5           5           6          6           7          7           7            7
 46   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 47   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 48   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 49   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 50   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 51   North Weston nya                      1          2           2          2           2           2          2           2          2           2            2
 52   North Weston nya                      3          9          12         13          14          15         17          18         19          19           19
 53   North Weston nya                      3          6           8          9           9          10         11          12         12          12           12
 54   North Weston nya                      0          0           0          0           0           0          0           0          0           0            0
 55   North Weston nya                      4          6           7          8           9          10         10          11         11          11           11
 56   North Weston nya                      2          2           2          2           3           3          3           3          3           3            3
 57   North Weston nya                      4          8          12         16          17          18         20          22         23          23           23
 58   North Weston nya                      2          4           4          5           5           5          6           6          6           6            6
 59   North Weston nya                      4          5           5          5           6           6          7           7          7           7            7
 60   North Weston nya                      3          6          12         16          17          18         20          21         22          23           23
 61   North Weston nya                      1          2           3          4           5           5          6           6          6           7            7
 62   North Weston nya                      0          0           1          1           1           1          1           1          1           1            1
 63   WSM South                             0          0           1          2           2           3          3           3          3           4            4
 64   North Weston nya                      0          0           1          1           1           2          2           2          2           2            2




      Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.                c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                             2/24/2010
                                                 Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




     Extracts from RLS - April 2004                                       RLS         RLS
                                                                     L/ Gross         Incomplete units
                 RLS ref
Line Map ref                                   Location             plan appro           assessment
                                                                    units val         Vol.   Pri * Sec *
 65  4266 5754 4/445 Winscombe, Brae Road Observatory Fields            0 29               0      0     0
 66  5417 7019 4/446 Long Ashton, land to south of Long Ashton Road     0 100              0      0     0
 67  4108 7093 4/448 Clevedon, Moor Lane, Staddons Timber Yard          0 29             29       4     3
 68  4075 7152 4/450 Clevedon, 35 Princes Road                          0 13               0      0     0
 69  3350 5990 4/451 1-15 Newbolt Close WsM                                10              0      0     0
 70  3191 6099 4/458 Rear of Atlantic Hotel                                78              0      0     0
 71  3194 6056 4/462 68-72 Walliscote Rd WsM                               10            10       0     0
 72  3138 6230 4/463 Highbury Hotel, 52 Atlantic Road WsM                  16              0      0     0
 73  3109 6215 4/464 Rozel Hotel, Birnbeck Rd WsM                          48            48       3     2
 74  5252 7569 4/465 Elizabeth House, Heywood Court, Pill                  26            13       0     0
 75  3146 6239 4/466 39 South Rd WsM                                       11            11       2     2
 76  3266 6051 4/467 Old Calor Gas Rectors Way WsM                         12            12       2     2
 77  3225 6153 4/468 87 Meadow Street WsM                                  11            11       0     0
 78  4060 7165 4/469 13 Herbert Road, Clevedon                             14            14       1     1
 79  3177 6037 4/472 57 Beach Road WsM                                    109           109       0     0
 80  4109 7119 4/473 47 Old Street Clevedon                                11              9      2     1
 81  5345 7009 4/474 Long Ashton research site                            342           342      67    48
 82  3192 5984 4/475 United Reform Church Moorland Rd WsM                  12            12       1     1
 83  4677 7567 4/476 Wheelers Garage High St Portishead                    10            10       0     0
 84  3336 6025 4/477 WsM Football Club                                    814           814    107     76
 85  3086 6224 4/478 Royal Pier Hotel Birnbeck rd WsM                      16            16       0     0
 86  4680 7610 4/479 Former Council Depot Albert Rd, Portishead            50            50       0     0
 87  4787 7587 4/480 Moor Farm Portbury Common, Portishead                 43            43       8     6
 88  4129 7066 4/481 Central Way, Clevedon                                 22            22       1     1
 89  Nailsea               dummy line to bring data to PD plan                 0           0      0     0
 90  Clevedon              dummy line to bring data to PD plan                82         82      16    11
 91  Portishead            dummy line to bring data to PD plan              305         305      60    43
 92  Weston super Mare dummy line to bring data to PD plan                  971         971    190 136
 93  Other areas           dummy line to bring data to PD plan              862         862    169 121
 94             spare line                                                                        0     0
 95                                                                 3324 10726        7924 1263 902
                                                                                                1553   1109




    Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                           Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                                   Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
                                                                                                                                                       Thus assumed ann
                                                                                                          Data is %
Line
                            Notes from Local Plan                     2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
 65                                                                      90    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 66    3-5 bed houses                                                    75    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 67    9*1 flats, 9*2 bed &11*3-4 bed hses: Factor C used                  0    65   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  19
 68    All 1 or 2 bed flats - Factor A                                  100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 69    Special case as replacement dwellings - nil gain                  33    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 70    Sheltered Accomm McCarthy & Stone - nil pupils                    33    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 71     1 bed flats Assume nil pupils                                   100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100  10   0
 72    1/2/3 bed flats Factor A                                          60    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 73    2 bed flats Factor A                                             100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100  48   0
 74    Assume nil gain as replacement housing                           100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100  13   0
 75    1 &2 bed flats on A list no factor                                      100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  11
 76    Outline consent                                                         100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  12
 77    All studio flats. Assume nil pupils                               25     70   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   3   5
 78    All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A                              100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100  14   0
 79    Restricted to age 55+ British Legion: B list no pupil yield              25    70      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  27
 80    8*2 bed houses; 3*2 bed flats B site no factor                   100    100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   9   0
 81    A list (20% affordable)                                                  10    30       55      75     90    100      100     100      100 100   0  34
 82    All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A                                      25    70      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   3
 83    Subject to S 106 6*1 bed flats. Factor B                                100   100      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  10
 84                                                                       (cat                  -                            offsets delays etc)
       Incl 146* 2 bed flats B list. Factor C includes 600 units at 4/48810 A regeneration area50type unknown - assume cat C 100
                                                                                25    25               75   100     100              100      100 100  81 122
 85     List B Assume all retirement flats. Nil pupils                                25       70     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 86    Outline consent but nil net gain so no net increase in pupils                  25       70     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   0
 87    Outline consent                                                          25    70      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0  11
 88    All 2 bed flats: Reduction Factor A                                      35    55      100     100   100     100      100     100      100 100   0   8
 89     These lines provide for volumes of houses (not flats) to                                                             100     100      100 100   0   0
 90     align the existing plans as listed in detail above to those                   36       36      43     50     50      100     100      100 100   0   0
 91        contained in longer term planning for housing in the                                                              100     100      100 100   0   0
 92      area. The other areas are distributed according to BT                                         24     47     63      100     100      100 100   0   0
                                 decision.
 93                                                                      12     26    39       46      56     66     80      100     100      100 100 103 121
 94
 95    With lower reproduction reduction factors applied                                           This model assumes completions as:           1111    1298
       Without reduction factors applied




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.                  c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                        2/24/2010
                                                          Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                                  Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built                                  Weston Consortium
Thus assumed annual volume of completions
                                                                        Gordano                 Nailsea                     St Katherines                     Churchill
 Line
        2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012                               2005        2006        2007        2008        2009        2010        2011          2012         2013
  65        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  66        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  67       10     0       0      0      0   0                               0           1           1           1           2           2           2             2            2
  68        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  69        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  70        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  71        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  72        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  73        0     0       0      0      0   0                               1           1           1           1           1           2           2             2            2
  74        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  75        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           1           1           1           1           1           1             1            1
  76        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           1           1           1           1           1           1             2            2
  77        3     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  78        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           1             1            1
  79       49    33       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  80        0     0       0      0      0   0                               1           1           1           1           1           1           1             1            1
  81       68    86      68     51     34   0                               0           2           7          13          18          23          28            31           34
  82        5     4       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  83        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  84        0   204     204    204      0   0                               4          10          10          20          31          41          45            51           54
  85        4     7       5      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  86       13    23      15      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  87       19    13       0      0      0   0                               0           1           2           3           3           4           4             4            5
  88        4    10       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           1           1           1           1             1            1
  89        0     0       0      0      0   0                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0             0            0
  90       29     0       6      6      0  41                               0           0           2           2           2           3           3             7            8
  91        0     0       0      0      0 305                               0           0           0           0           0           0           0            21           21
  92        0     0     233    223    155 359                               0           0           0           0          16          32          43            71           76
  93      112    60      86     86    121 172                               7          16          24          29          38          47          61            79           84
  94
  95     1059    1051    1145      777    509       976    7924            62       138         199        267         353          420        496            616          660




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.                  c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                           2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




              Backwell

              Clevedon
Line
          2014        2015
 65               0           0
 66               0           0
 67               2           2
 68               0           0
 69               0           0
 70               0           0
 71               0           0
 72               0           0
 73               2           2
 74               0           0
 75               1           1
 76               2           2
 77               0           0
 78               1           1
 79               0           0
 80               1           1
 81              38          40
 82               0           0
 83               0           0
 84              60          65
 85               0           0
 86               0           0
 87               5           5
 88               1           1
 89               0           0
 90               8           8
 91              21          26
 92              81          96
 93              88          95
 94
 95           698         744




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                      Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                   Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
                                   Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea         WsM N      WsM C      WsM S       Backwel Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School   S cluster E cluster cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster    cluster     cluster     N cluster
                                      2005      2006      2007       2008       2009       2010       2011       2012        2013       2014        2015
 65   Winscombe                             0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 66   Birdwell                              0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 67   Clevedon group nya                    0         1         2          2          3          3          3           3           3           3        3
 68   Clevedon group nya                    0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 69   WSM South assumed                     0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 70   WSM South assumed                     0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 71   WSM South                             0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 72   WSM Central                           0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 73   WSM South                             2         2         2          2          2          2          3           3           3           3        3
 74   Crockerne                             0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 75   WSM South                             0         1         1          1          2          2          2           2           2           2        2
 76   WSM South                             0         1         1          1          2          2          2           2           2           2        2
 77   WSM South                             0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 78   Clevedon group nya                    1         1         1          1          1          1          1           1           1           1        1
 79   WSM South                             0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 80   Clevedon group nya                    1         1         1          1          1          1          2           2           2           2        2
 81   Birdwell                              0         4        12         22         31         39         45          49          53         56        58
 82   WSM South                             0         0         0          0          0          1          1           1           1           1        1
 83   Gordano / Pill group nya              0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 84   WSM South                             6        16        16         33         51         69         73          79          84         90        94
 85   WSM Central                                     0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 86   Gordano / Pill group nya              0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 87   Gordano / Pill group nya                        1         4          5          5          6          6           7           7           8        8
 88   Clevedon group nya                    0         0         0          1          1          1          1           1           1           1        1
 89   Nailsea group nya                     0         0         0          0          0          0          0           0           0           0        0
 90   Clevedon group nya                    0         0         3          3          4          5          6          11          12         12        13
 91   Gordano / Pill group nya              0         0         0          0          0          0          0          36          36         36        42
 92   North Weston nya                      0         0         0          0         27         54         72         119         125        133       148
 93   Spread across 4 clusters             12        26        40         49         62         77         96         122         128        133       140
 94
 95                                       104       232        335        445        584        689         786        950        995       1033      1078




      Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.               c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                      2/24/2010
                                                      Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




       Extracts from RLS - April 2004                                             RLS      RLS
                                                                             L/ Gross      Incomplete units
                   RLS ref
Line     Map ref                                Location                    plan appro        assessment
                                                                            units val      Vol.   Pri * Sec *

       * Primary and Secondary pupil predictions are based on
             19.6 pupils per 100 new homes based on 7 Primary years: this equates to         30.8   age 0-11
             14.0 pupils per 100 new homes based on 5 Secondary years: this equates to       14.0   age 11-16

Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
        Only data in bold                                                    Actual      % of predictions
           red is used                                                        Yield       used as above
Year      PRI       SEC                      Evidence base                PRI     SEC   PRI     SEC info
    1      60         50    Winford Hospital 2003            77 units      23.4    16.9 119.4    121 2004
    1                       BAJ site, Hutton 2002          180 units       18.9    10.0    96      71
    1                       The Elms, Nailsea 2002         290 units       35.5    23.8 181.1    170
    1                       The Vale, Portishead 2002       469 units      26.9    15.4 137.2    110
    2      60         50    Ebdon Grounds, Worle 2002       599 units      27.9    17.7 142.3    126 2005
    2                       BAJ site, Hutton 2003          181 units       23.8    20.4 121.4    146
    2                       Moor Lane, WsM 2002            565 units       27.4     8.1 139.8      58
    3      60         50                                                                    0       0 2006
    4      70         60    The Elms, Nailsea 2003         290 units       29.7    20.0 151.5    143 2007
    5      75         65    Ebdon Grounds 2003             630 units       31.7    17.9 161.7    128 2008
    6      80         70                                                                    0       0 2009
    7      90         90    North End, Yatton 2002         287 units       19.5    12.5    99      89 2010
    8                       North End, Yatton 2003         287 units       26.5    12.5 135.2      89 2011
    8      90         90                                                                    0       0 2011
    9      90         90                                                                    0       0 2012
   10      90         90                                                                    0       0 2013
   11      90         90    Railway Triangle WsM 2002        303 units     27.7    12.5 141.3      89 2014
   12     100        100                                                                    0       0 2015
   13                                                                                       0       0 2016
   14                                                                                       0       0 2017
   15                                                                                       0       0 2018
   16                                                                                       0       0 2019
   17                       Brampton Way, Portishead 2002     270 units    16.3    11.9    83      85 2020
   18                                                                                       0       0 2021
   19                                                                                       0       0 2022
   20                       Southern Way Clevedon 2003        403 units    25.3    13.4 129.1      96 2023
   21                       Southern Way Clevedon 2002        403 units    25.3     9.7 129.1      69 2024




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.              c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                2/24/2010
                                                      Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                              Assumptions of rate of occupancy of planned developments
                                                                                                                                                             Thus assumed ann
                                                                                                     Data is %
Line
                        Notes from Local Plan                2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2005 2006
                                                            Different formula factors: arbitrary assessment
                                                            These reduce the pupil predictions to the % stated
                                                            Factor A: flats                                              33%
                                                            Factor B: developments unlikely to produce many pupils       20%
                                                            Factor C: where flats are part of plan                       67%
Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:                                                                 Planning data is
                                                                 Exercise to test rule on yield                                                      Planning dept data assume
                                                                     Weighted data by units                                                  Nailsea     15     21
Year                                                          PRI SEC          Vol      #         #                                        Clevedon      23     34
    1                                                          23.4     16.9      77       18       13                                    Portishead    387    532
    1                                                          18.9       10     180       34       18                            Weston super Mare     590    661
    1                                                          35.5     23.8     290     103        69                                   Other areas    148    174
    1                                                          26.9     15.4     469     126        72                                                 1163 1422
    2                                                          27.9     17.7     599     167       106
    2                                                          23.8     20.4     181       43       37                                               Data above is allocated to t
    2                                                          27.4       8.1    565     155        46                                       Nailsea      0       0
    3                                                             0         0               0        0                                     Clevedon      23     27
    4                                                          29.7       20     290       86       58                                    Portishead    396    639
    5                                                          31.7     17.9     630     200       113                            Weston super Mare     571    478
    6                                                             0         0               0        0                                   Other areas    120    155
    7                                                          19.5     12.5     287       56       36                                                 1111 1298
    8                                                          26.5     12.5
    8                                                             0         0               0        0
    9                                                             0         0               0        0
   10                                                             0         0               0        0
   11                                                          27.7     12.5     303       84       38
   12                                                             0         0               0        0
   13                                                             0         0               0        0
   14                                                             0         0               0        0
   15                                                             0         0               0        0
   16                                                             0         0               0        0
   17                                                          16.3     11.9     270       44       32
   18                                                             0         0               0        0
   19                                                             0         0               0        0         Wide spread average yield per
   20                                                          25.3     13.4     403     102        54                  100 units =
   21                                                          25.3       9.7    403     102        39                 26.7    14.8
                                                                               4947 1320           731                  PRI    SEC




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.              c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                   2/24/2010
                                                            Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                                                   Estimated Secondary pupils from houses not yet built                             Weston Consortium
      Thus assumed annual volume of completions
                                                                          Gordano                 Nailsea                    St Katherines                Churchill
       Line
              2007 2008 2009 2010 2011               2012             2005        2006       2007        2008        2009        2010        2011     2012        2013




       Rate of growth is confidential
      Planning data of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:
anning dept data assumes completions as:                Total
                   14      99      99      99  99   112     558
       Year        63      10      10      10  10    26     186
            1     460     395    395      395 395   384   3343
            1     637     415    387      210 130   111   3141
            1     173     140    155      145 155   164   1254
            1 1347 1059 1046              859 789   797 8482
            2
ata above is2allocated to these areas as:               Total
            2       0       0       0       0   0     0       0
            3      60      15      10      11   0    41     186
            4     508     523    503      188 188   399 3343
            5     311     361    467      431 159   363 3141
            6     180     152    165      147 161   172 1254
            7 1059 1051 1145              777 509   976 7924
            8
            8
            9
           10
           11
           12
           13
           14
           15
           16
           17
           18
           19
           20
           21




            Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.              c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                                    2/24/2010
                                                    Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




              Backwell

              Clevedon
Line
          2014        2015




Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:


Year
   1
   1
   1
   1
   2
   2
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   8
   9
  10
  11
  12
  13
  14
  15
  16
  17
  18
  19
  20
  21




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.           c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                 2/24/2010
                                                     Estimated Pupil Places from Residential Land Survey April 2003




                                    Estimated Primary pupils from houses not yet built
                                    Church'l Church'l Gord/Pill Clevedon Nailsea       WsM N       WsM C      WsM S     Backwel   Church'l
Line Allocated to Primary School    S cluster E cluster cluster    cluster  cluster    cluster     cluster    cluster   cluster   N cluster
                                       2005      2006      2007       2008     2009       2010        2011       2012      2013     2014      2015




Rate of growth of pupils from new houses in % terms of pupil predictions above, assumed as:


Year
   1
   1
   1
   1
   2
   2
   2
   3
   4
   5
   6
   7
   8
   8
   9
  10
  11
  12
  13
  14
  15
  16
  17
  18
  19
  20
  21




       Brett Townsend, GM Financial Services Ltd.             c3bdcc0a-a046-4761-a2ef-c10bbe3aeb9e.xls                                               2/24/2010

								
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