ID=23505 Revised: 12/23/06 Karl Eric Wunderlich Education Ph.D., Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1994 Thesis Topic: Anticipatory Route Guidance for Large-Scale Traffic Networks M.S., Industrial and Operations Engineering, University of Michigan, 1991 B.S., Industrial Engineering and Management Sciences, Northwestern University, 1988 Employment History 1995 - Present: Mitretek Systems, Washington, DC 1992 - 1995: The MITRE Corporation, Washington, DC 1990 - 1992: University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI Work Experience Dr. Wunderlich is a Fellow at the Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) site in Washington, DC, serving as a project manager or senior advisor on numerous analytical tasks related to surface transportation. He is a key contributor to projects sponsored by the USDOT ITS Joint Program office, the Federal Highway Administration (FHWA) Office of Operations, FHWA Office of Research and Development, FHWA Office of Interstate and Border Planning, and the Federal Lands Division of FHWA. The analytical projects at his direction deal with the evaluation of impacts of ITS deployment and other operational improvements. Dr. Wunderlich is a recognized expert in the use of simulation and modeling techniques to evaluate ITS impacts, and has been involved in several notable projects in this area. He has served as a key advisor to the FHWA on a number of modeling procurement activities, including the Next Generation Traffic Simulation (NGSIM) project, the Integrated Corridor Management (ICM) initiative, the ITS Deployment Analysis System (IDAS) development task force, and the Metropolitan Model Deployment Initiative (MMDI). Dr. Wunderlich is regularly invited to make presentations at participate in panel sessions of the ITS America Annual Meeting, the ITS World Congress and TRB-sponsored events. In addition, he has been an invited speaker at key FHWA events, including the FHWA Annual Meeting. In 2001, at Dr. Wunderlich directed and hosted a 22-minute FHWA-sponsored documentary video, “Scheduled Lives, Stressful Drives.” Dr. Wunderlich is a frequent guest lecturer and collaborates with academic research efforts at the University of Michigan, the University of Maryland, George Mason University, Virginia Tech University, the University of Waterloo (Canada), and Rutgers University. 2004 - Present: Dr. Wunderlich is involved in a range of FHWA-sponsored research projects, including a number of studies examining the long-term impact of traveler information on travel predictability and on-time reliability. He has directed evaluations of 511 services (Salt Lake City), congestion maps (Los Angeles), broadcast radio traffic reports (Washington DC), urban truck reliability (Long Beach/Los Angeles), and personalized congestion services (Cincinnati, Minneapolis). Dr. Wunderlich is a leading researcher in the assessment of information accuracy on traveler information user benefits. He is also active in the study of delays and travel time variability resulting from work zones. Working with the Federal Lands Division of FHWA, Dr. Wunderlich led the development of QuickZone-FLH, a work zone delay estimation tool tailored to meet the needs of rural road construction projects. QuickZone-FLH was delivered in
March 2005, and has been applied to a number of rural projects across the nation, including Glacier, Zion and Yosemite National Parks. Dr. Wunderlich is a leader and innovator in the development of open source communities to preserve and maintain intellectual capital (software, methods, and data) resulting from FHWA-sponsored research projects. He provided the original impetus and vision for the NGSIM program to transform the traditional FHWA role of market competitor in traffic simulation to a facilitator role broadly enhancing the fidelity of existing tools. He initiated the QuickZone Partnership Program for the collective development of the QuickZone work zone delay estimation software. He is currently assisting FHWA in the development of open source communities for the Transportation Analysis and Simulation System (TRANSIMS) program and the NGSIM program. 2000 - 2003: Dr. Wunderlich invented the widely-referenced Heuristic On-line Web-Linked Arrival Time Estimation (HOWLATE) methodology that applies dynamic programming techniques to archives of observed roadway congestion to quantify the impact of regular traveler information utilization by urban commuters. The HOWLATE project was selected as a finalist for the Best Research in ITS (2002) by the Intelligent Transportation Society of America. Dr. Wunderlich led the QuickZone user delay estimation tool development effort. QuickZone 1.0 was released in May 2002 (QuickZone 2.0 in June 2005) and has 100+ users nationwide and internationally. Dr. Wunderlich also managed a number of research projects for the FHWA Work Zone and Mobility Integrated Product Team ranging from an estimation of nationwide capacity loss from work zones using web-mining techniques to leading a work zone performance measure development task. In the area of performance measurement, Dr. Wunderlich initiated and led the development of the Urban Congestion Report (UCR) effort for the FHWA Office of Operations. This innovative project employed webmining tools to produce a report on trends in congestion (seen in ten urban areas) every month within ten working days. Prior to the UCR effort, the lead time for similar congestion data collected using more traditional techniques was 18-24 months. 1996 - 1999: Dr. Wunderlich directed the Mitretek modeling effort in support of the FHWA MMDI evaluation effort in Seattle. The Seattle MMDI evaluation effort broke new ground in the evaluation of incremental extensions of roadway surveillance and the assessment of emissions impacts resulting from the reduction in stop-and-go traffic. Dr. Wunderlich also played a leadership role in a FHWA task on incorporating ITS into the planning process, directing the traffic simulation component of the Seattle 2020 case study. Dr. Wunderlich has developed a number of calibration and consistency tests for linking the static regional planning model with a time-variant traffic simulation. These techniques maintain the impacts of the ITS deployment at an aggregate level, and allows for meaningful feedback between the models. Dr. Wunderlich and his colleague, James Bunch, received the Advanced Technology in the Public Interest from Mitretek for their work on the project in 1999. The project was also selected as a finalist for the Best Research in ITS (2000) by the Intelligent Transportation Society of America. 1992 - 1995: Dr. Wunderlich participated as a part of a research team in the national ITS systems architecture for the FHWA. He worked in the development of quantitative analysis methods for cross-architecture benefits evaluation, including coordinated use of traffic and communication simulations. 1989 - 1992: As a graduate research assistant with the University of Michigan IVHS Traffic Modeling Research Group, Dr. Wunderlich participated in the conceptualization and development of the Simulation of Anticipatory Vehicle Network Traffic (SAVANT) iterative route guidance algorithm.
Professional Honors • • • • • • • • • • • • Outstanding Contribution Recognition (Policy, Evaluation and Advocacy Forum), Intelligent Transportation Society of America, 2004. Finalist, Best ITS Research Project (HOWLATE), Intelligent Transportation Society of America, 2002. Finalist, Best ITS Research Project (PRUEVIIN), Intelligent Transportation Society of America, 2000. Invited Participant, Japan Technology Management Program, 1993. National Needs Fellow, University of Michigan, 1989. Deutsches Akademishes Austauschdienst (DAAD) Research Fellow, Germany, 1988. ICP Award Winner, QuickZone Project, Mitretek Systems, 2005. Vice President’s Distinguished Accomplishment Award, Mitretek Systems, 2003, 2004, and 2005. Outstanding Program Team Award, UCR Project, Mitretek Systems, 2003. Board of Trustees Award, Traveler Information Systems Project, Mitretek Systems, 2001. Advanced Technology in the Public Interest Award, Mitretek Systems, 1999. Director’s Distinguished Achievement Award, Mitretek Systems, 1996 and 1998.
Foreign Languages Dr. Wunderlich can proficiently read, write and speak German. Technical Reports Toppen, A., and Wunderlich K., Understanding Key Tradeoffs for Cost-Effective Deployment of Surveillance to Support Advanced Traveler Information Systems, May 2004. USDOT Electronic Data Library (EDL), http://www.its.dot.gov/library.htm, Document #13991. Shah, V., Larkin, J., Bunch, J., and Wunderlich, K. Estimating Aggregate Regional User On-Time Reliability Benefit from ATIS: Seattle Case Study, May 2004, EDL #13992. Jung, S., Wunderlich, K., and Toppen, A., The Evaluation of Advanced Traveler Information Services Impact on Truck Travel Time Reliability Using the Simulated Yoked Study Concept, May 2004, EDL #13988. Vasudevan, M., Larkin, J., Toppen, A., and Wunderlich, K. A Comparison of Mobility Impacts on Urban Commuting Between Broadcast Advisories and Advanced Traveler Information Services, February 2004, EDL #13968. Toppen, A., and Wunderlich, K. Travel Time Data Collection for the Measurement of ATIS Accuracy, June 2003, EDL #13867. Shah, V., Toppen, A., Vasudevan, M., Wunderlich, K., Jung, S., and Larkin, J. On-Time Reliability Impacts of Advanced Traveler Information Systems (ATIS), Volume III: Implications for ATIS Investment Strategies, May 2003. EDL #13859. Vasudevan M., and Wunderlich, K. An Analysis of the Worst Commuting Days in Washington DC (June 1 2000 – May 31 2001), November 2002. EDL#13782.
Shah, V., Toppen, A., Vasudevan, M., Wunderlich, K., Jung, S., and Larkin, J. On-Time Reliability Impacts of Advanced Traveler Information Systems (ATIS), Volume II: Extensions and Applications of The Simulated Yoked Study Concept, March 2002. EDL#13630. Wunderlich K., and Hardesty, D. A Snapshot of Summer 2001 Work Zone Activity, February 2002, EDL#13793. Shah, V., and Wunderlich, K. Detroit Freeway Corridor ITS Evaluation, July 2001. EDL#13586. Wunderlich, K., Hardy, M., Larkin, J., and Shah, V., On-Time Reliability Impacts of Advanced Traveler Information Services (ATIS): Washington DC Case Study, January 2001. EDL#13335. Jensen, M., Cluett, C., Wunderlich, K, and DeBlasio, A., Metropolitan Model Deployment Initiative: Seattle Evaluation Report, May 2000. EDL#13701. Wunderlich, K., Bunch, J., and Larkin, J., Seattle Metropolitan Model Deployment Initiative Evaluation: Methodology and Results from Modeling, September 1999. EDL#11345. Bunch, J., Hatcher, S., Larkin, J., Nelson, G., Proper, A., Roberts, D., Shah, V., and Wunderlich, K., Incorporating ITS into Corridor Planning: Seattle Case Study, August 1999. EDL#11303. Glassco, R., Proper, A., Shah, V., and Wunderlich, K., Studies of Potential Transportation System Benefits Using Traffic Simulation: Volume II, July 1997. Glassco, R., Proper, A., Salwin, A., and Wunderlich, K., Studies of Potential Transportation System Benefits Using Traffic Simulation, June 1996. EDL#1721. Koch, B., Wunderlich, K, and Yablonski, A., Modeling Analyses for IVHS Architecture Evaluation, December 2003. EDL#6783.
Journal Publications Vasudevan, M., Wunderlich, K., and Toppen, A. A Comparison of Mobility Impacts on Urban Commuting Between Broadcast Advisories and Advanced Traveler Information Services, Transportation Research Record (2005) Vol. 1910, pp. 38-44. Toppen, A., Jung, S., Shah, V., and Wunderlich, K. Toward a Strategy for Cost-Effective Deployment for Advanced Traveler Information Systems, Transportation Research Record (2004) Vol. 1899, pp. 27-34. Vasudevan, M., Wunderlich, K., Larkin, J., and Toppen, A., Making the Most of Limited Data in the Evaluation of Advanced Traveler Information Services (ATIS) Through Resampling Techniques, Transportation Research Record (2004) Vol. 1897, pp. 1-8. Shah, V., Wunderlich, K., Toppen, A., and Larkin, J., Potential of Advanced Traveler Information Systems to Reduce Travel Disutility, Transportation Research Record (2003) Vol. 1826, No. 03-3208. Shah, V., Wunderlich, K., and Larkin, J., Time Management Impacts of Pre-trip Advanced Traveler Information Systems: Findings From A Washington, DC Case Study, Transportation Research Record (2001). No. 1774, No. 01-0477. Wunderlich, K., Bunch, J., and Larkin, J., Seattle MMDI Evaluation: Results and Key Findings from Modeling, Transportation Research Record (2000), Vol. 1739, No. 00-0676. Wunderlich, K., Kaufman D., and Smith, R. Link Travel Time Prediction for Decentralized Route Guidance Architectures, IEEE Transactions on Intelligent Transportation Systems (2000), Vol. 1, No. 1. Kaufman, D.E., Smith, R.L., and Wunderlich, K. User-Equilibrium Properties of Fixed Points in Iterative Dynamic Routing/Assignment Methods, Transportation Research: C (1998), Vol. 6, No. 1, pp. 1-16. Wunderlich, K., A Simulation-Based Assessment of Route Guidance Benefits Under Variable Network Congestion Conditions, Mathematical and Computer Modeling (1998), Vol. 27, No. 9-11, pp. 87-101. Wunderlich, K., An Evaluation Framework for Real-Time Mode Shift Benefit Assessment, ITS Journal (1997), Vol. 3(4), pp. 271-286. Other Presentations/Publications Wunderlich, K., Roberts, D., and McGurrin, M. Measures of Travel Reliability and the National Strategy to Reduce Congestion, accepted for presentation at the Transportation Research Board 2007 Annual Meeting, Washington DC, January 2007. Hardy, M., Wunderlich, K., Larkin, J. and Nedzesky, A. Estimating User Costs and Economic Impacts of Roadway Construction in Six Federal Lands Projects, accepted for presentation at the Transportation Research Board 2007 Annual Meeting, Washington DC, January 2007. Vasudevan, M., and Wunderlich, K. Quantifying Commute Stress-Reducing Impacts of Traveler Information Services (ATIS), accepted for presentation at the Transportation Research Board 2007 Annual Meeting, Washington DC, January 2007.
Wunderlich, K. They Only Look at the Cover Sheet – and Other Lessons Learned From the Urban Congestion Reporting (UCR) Project, presented at the North American Travel Monitoring Expo and Conference, http://www.trb.org/conferences/NATMEC/pres/Wunderlich.pdf , Minneapolis, June 2006. Wunderlich, K. 511 Evaluation from the HOWLATE Perspective, presented at the 2006 ITS America Annual Meeting, Philadelphia, May 2006. Wunderlich, K., Hardy, M., and Hardesty, D. Characterizing Nationwide Work Zone Activity: Key Findings from Website Content Analyses, 2001-2003, presented at the Transportation Research Board 2005 Annual Meeting, Washington DC, January 2005. Wunderlich, K. Making Sense of Nationwide Travel Reliability: Lessons Learned from the Urban Congestion Reporting (UCR) Project, presented at the North American Travel Monitoring Expo and Conference, http://www.trb.org/Conferences/NATMEC/35-Wunderlich.pdf , San Diego, June 2004. Toppen, A., Shah, V., Larkin, J., and Wunderlich, K., Time Management Benefits of ATIS for Unfamiliar Drivers, Proceedings of the 9th World Congress on Intelligent Transport Systems, October 2002. Wunderlich, K. Incorporating ITS into Planning Analyses: Summary of Key Findings From A Seattle 2020 Case Study, FHWA-OP-02-031 May 2002. EDL#13605. Wunderlich, K., and Dimassimo, R. Scheduled Lives, Stressful Drives: How Advanced Traveler Information Systems are Changing the Way We Think About Urban Mobility (22-minute documentary video), FHWA-OP01-039, June 2001. Wunderlich, K., and Larkin, J., Impacts of Supplementing Web-Based Urban Freeway ATIS with Parallel Arterial Travel Time Data, Proceedings of the 6th World Congress on Intelligent Transportation Systems, November 1999. Wunderlich, K., Using Travel Time Perception Models for Traveler Information Systems Evaluation. Proceedings of the 1998 IEEE International Conference on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, October 1998. Wunderlich, K., Bunch, J. and Roberts D. Modeling Impacts of ITS Deployment on a Congested Corridor: Seattle Case Study. Proceedings of the SAE Future Transportation Technology Conference, August 1998. Wunderlich, K., Predicting Saturation Market Penetration Levels for ATIS User Services. Proceedings of the 4th Annual World Congress on Intelligent Transportation Systems, Berlin, Germany, October 1997. Wunderlich, K., An Assessment of Pre-Trip and En Route ATIS Benefits in a Simulated Regional Urban Network. Proceedings of the 3rd Annual World Congress on Intelligent Transportation Systems, October 1996. Wunderlich, K., Van Aerde, M., Hellinga, B., and Harding, J., Macro-Level Traffic Simulation and Case Study Development for IVHS Systems Architecture Evaluation, Proceedings of the ITS America Fifth Annual Meeting, March 1995. Wang, T.R., and Wunderlich, K., A Framework for Generic Modular ATMS/ATIS Support in IVHS Traffic Simulation, Proceedings of the 1994 Winter Simulation Conference, December 1994. Kaufman, D.E., Smith, R.L., and Wunderlich K., An Iterative Routing/Assignment Method for Anticipatory Real-Time Route Guidance, Transactions of the VNIS'91 SAE Conference, Dearborn, MI. October 1991.