June 14, 2004
IEA, IGU Joint Workshop, Paris
Tony Kaiser
Introduction
EU Turbines - a newly launched association for the voice of European Gas and Steam Turbine manufacturers and a partner to discuss R&D and policy issues CO2 policy and regulation – impact on investment behaviour
Press Conference
European Association of Gas and Steam Turbine Manufacturers
Barcelona, May 26, 2004
Presence in Europe
General Secretary Dr. Claudia Weise Lyoner Strasse 18 60528 Frankfurt am Main, Germany Phone +49 69 66 03 - 17 48 Fax +49 69 66 03 - 15 66
President Gérard Brunel Lyoner Strasse 18 60528 Frankfurt am Main, Germany
Manager European Affairs Udo Kremer Diamant Building, Boulevard A. Reyers 80 1030 Brussels, Belgium Phone +32 2 706 - 82 11 Fax +32 2 706 - 82 10
E-Mail claudia.weise@vdma.org
E-Mail udo.kremer@mcm.be
Founder Members
Mission EUnited Turbines is the voice of the Gas and Steam Turbine Industry in Europe, bringing together the industry leaders. EUnited Turbines is the key contact to the European Union, representing the Turbine Manufacturers’ view on core issues such as energy, environmental and R&D policy. EUnited Turbines is the platform for co-operation between all stakeholders - from customers to universities.
R&D Concepts for future Power Plant Technology
2050
Vision
Zero emission power plant 2020 Time Scale
Steam Turbine PP η = 55% HybridCombined Solutions Cycle η ≥ 65% Gasification Steam Turbine PP Air Fractionation η = 50% Oxyfuels Combined Cycle η ≥ 60%
2015
Prospects Confirmed Targets
R&D Forecast
Source: Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour Germany 2003
2010
Efficiency
2005
Priority: Reduction of Emissions Operating Efficiency
CO2Separation
Priority: Zero Emission
Short-term
Medium-term
Long-term
Turbo-Power for Europe Sustainable and long-term energy supply Gas and Steam Turbines are essential elements.
form the basis for the world-wide power generation and oil & gas transportation. are the platform for renewable and conventional energy technology due to the capability of using all types of resources - from biomass to hydrogen, from gas to coal. have high potential to increase further process efficiency as they are the efficiency-critical component.
Increase of process efficiency is the key to sustainable energy supply.
saving resources results directly in CO2 reduction and economic benefit. is the key driver for competitiveness which is pre-requisite for acceptance of new technologies. Conventional energy sources (gas, coal or oil) will continue to be the major contributor to world energy supplies for decades yet- gas and steam turbines provide the most environmental-friendly, economic and effective conversion.
Zero emission power is possible with conventional energy sources through an efficiency increase together with an intelligent carbon management strategy.
Turbo-Power for Europe Sustainable and long-term energy supply Conclusions for R&D activities
A critical mass European R&D activity for gas and steam turbines is essential for a sustainable and long-term energy supply. The research concept shall reflect the crucial role of process efficiency throughout Power Generation, Oil & Gas and Process Industries. By joint effort with the European Union, the European Gas and Steam Turbine Industry will maintain its world-wide technology leadership, enhance its global competitiveness and contribute significantly to the European CO2 reduction target.
Regulatory Framework Power plants Long lifetime, huge investments Missing or unclear regulations - e.g. rules for CO2 trading - lead to Uncertainty in future CO2 cost Delayed investments, “boom-bust risk” Higher risk for investors Pressure on depreciation period, short pay back Potential risk to supply security
Future Gas Supply Gas Quality Constant quality at low price levels? Fuel flexibility to mitigate commercial risks from volatile gas prices? GT technology will be available if gas suppliers and users talk to each other early and on a regular basis (EU Turbines)
Increase of efficiency Power Plant Technology
70 65 Net efficiency [%] 60 55 50 45 40 35 2020
Gas & Oil fired Gas Turbine Gas & Oil fired Gas + Steam Turbine
Target 2050
Status
Gas + Steam Turbine Coal Gasification Coal-fired Steam Turbine
Legend:
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
1300
1400
1500
1600
components plants
Temperature [°C]
Source: Federal Ministry of Economics and Labour Germany 2003
Our industry is innovative and solution-orientated.
World-wide energy production
Source: World Energy Council 1999
24.800
3%
Renewables Hydro Nuclear Natural Gas Oil
24.000
Terra-Watt-hours (TWh)
21.000 18.000 15.000 12.000 9.000 6.000 3.000 0
19.400
2%
20% 16% 15% 8% 38%
15.200 11.700
1% 19% 17% 12% 12% 39%
1990
1% 19% 17% 13% 31-35% 11% 39%
2000 Year
16% 16% 17% 9% 40%
2010
Coal
2020
We are committed to an integrated energy approach utilising the advantages of fuel and technology diversity.
Organisation
General Assembly Gérard Brunel (President) Dr. Josef Meyer (Vice-President) Mark Papworth (Vice-President) Manager European Affairs Udo Kremer General Secretary Dr. Claudia Weise
Public Relations Committee Press, Fairs, Internet
Technology Committee Energy Policy, R&D, Standardisation
European Affairs Committee Directives, Policy External Affairs
Market Committee Turbine Market Survey
R&D Working Group
...
Emission Working Group
....
Turbo-Power for Europe Sustainable and long-term energy supply
Two major challenges in Europe are:
The Lisbon aim is to make Europe the most competitive and dynamicbased economy in the world by 2010. The Kyoto Protocol is one of the most advanced environmental treaties in the world.
The European Gas and Steam Turbine Manufacturers are strongly committed to these ambitious targets. They are key industry players as they provide the highly sophisticated core component for Power Generation, Oil & Gas and Process Industries. This Industry is successful in the global marketplace due to its technology leadership. A sustainable and long-term energy supply in Europe needs an energy and technology mix using all resource options. The European Gas and Steam Turbine Manufacturers commit themselves to an integrated energy approach utilising the advantages of fuel and technology diversity.