Emerging Technologies Future of the Internet by mirit35

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									Emerging Technologies:
 Future of the Internet

george.sadowsky@attglobal.net

 3rd Global Knowledge Partnership Conference
            Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
        Presentation Outline
1. Much of future Internet will be evolutionary
2, Location awareness and new devices
3. Niche markets will grow
4. True internationalization is emerging
5. Threat of digital hooliganism
6. Policy development won’t keep up


                                                  2
Much change will be evolutionary
 • Internet still in infancy
 • Only one billion connected
 • Broadband less universal, will grow
 • Bigger, faster, more access, lower
   costs, etc, more of the same but better
 • But many current problems will persist
     – Ex.: connectivity in Africa and rural areas
                                                     3
Location awareness, new devices
 •   Internet of “things”, expanded IPv6 address space
 •   GPS and location awareness (uni- or bi-)
 •   Miniaturization: Moore’s law
 •   Convergence: telephony, broadcast, computing, mobility
     – Battery technology a limiting factor
     – Telephony --> Telemobility?
     – Complex privacy issues
 • Forerunners by Google:
     – Bid for 700 MHz spectrum
     – Open standards model for “open phones”

                                                       4
     Niche markets will grow
• Cost of posting ~ 0; cost of search ~0
• Ingenuity in defining markets
  – Employment, romance, buy/sell, books (Amazon),
    orphans, social/professional relationships, eBay,
    e-Lance, hotels, real estate, airline seats,
    securities, micropayments, agriculture, etc.
• Some e-markets will fail
  – Social networks and their privacy implications
• How to exploit for developing countries?
  – Example: Free e-commerce via OpenEntry
  – Example: Outsourcing to individuals via eLance
                                                        5
     True internationalization
• UNICODE consortium founded in 1990
   – Almost all world scripts included and coded
   – Latest version appears very durable
• Internationalized domain names arriving
   – Initial tests very promising
   – Applications layer now needs work
• Implications for minority scripts
   – Special importance for education
   – Where is the responsibility for local content?

                                                      6
  Threat of digital hooliganism
• Can we curtail destructive behavior?
   – Internet is at risk
   – Will Internet really need fundamental change?
   – Is there any good solution to spam?
• Cybercrime
   –   Governments lack resources, enforcement lags
   –   Legislation is non-uniform, cooperation issues
   –   Penalties vary, not proportional to damage
   –   Technical community not invited to help
• Second billion users at real risk
                                                        7
      Policy development won’t
               keep up
• International focus on governance issue
• Slow development of policy dialogue
  – WSIS and WGIG
  – Internet Governance Forum (IGF)
  – Significant focus on ICANN
  – Difficulty (inability?) to converge
  – Most governance issues are national in scope, not
    really recognized as such
  – Distracts from focus upon user empowerment
• A discouraging situation
                                                    8
        Presentation Outline
1. Much of future Internet will be evolutionary
2, Location awareness and new devices
3. Niche markets will grow
4. True internationalization is emerging
5. Threat of digital hooliganism
6. Policy development won’t keep up


                                                  9
       Thank you

george.sadowsky@attglobal.net
     GK3 - Kuala Lumpur

								
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