COST OF LIVING AND INFLATION RATES

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COST OF LIVING AND INFLATION RATES

The first cost of living index to be calculated took July          purchased by households in the UK. The indices are
1914 as 100 and was based on the pattern of expenditure           compiled using a selection of around 650 goods and
of working-class families in 1914. The cost of living             services, and the prices charged for these items are
index was superseded in 1947 by the general index of              collected at regular intervals at about 150 locations
retail prices (RPI), although the older term is still             throughout the country. The Office for National Statistics
popularly applied.                                                (ONS) reviews the components of the indices once every
   The Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP)                 year to reflect changes in consumer preferences and the
was introduced in 1997 to enable comparisons within the           establishment of new products. The table below shows
European Union using an agreed methodology. In 2003               changes made by the ONS to the CPI ‘shopping basket’
the National Statistician renamed the HICP as the                 in 2007.
Consumer Prices Index (CPI) to reflect its role as the main           CPI excludes a number of items that are included in
target measure of inflation for macroeconomic purposes.            RPI, mainly related to housing such as council tax and a
The RPI and indices based on it will continue to be               range of owner-occupier housing costs, such as mortgage
published alongside the CPI. Pensions, benefits and                payments. The CPI covers all private households,
index-linked gilts continue to be calculated with reference       whereas RPI excludes the top 4 per cent by income and
to RPI or its derivatives.                                        pensioner households who derive at least three-quarters
                                                                  of their income from state benefits. The two indices use
CPI AND RPI                                                       different methodologies to combine the prices of goods
                                                                  and services, which means that since 1996 the CPI
The RPI and CPI measure the changes month by month                inflation measure is on average less than the RPI inflation
in the average level of prices of goods and services              measure.


‘SHOPPING BASKET’ OF GOODS AND SERVICES
Changes to the CPI* 2007 basket of goods and services include:

Goods and Services Group                  Removed items                               New items
Food and non-alcoholic beverages          vegetable oil; brie; Brussels sprouts;      olive oil; pro-biotic drink; courgettes;
                                          pre-packed fresh vegetables                 broccoli
Clothing and footwear                     child’s wellington boots; men’s leather     –
                                          boots
Housing and household services            –                                           shower head
Furniture and household goods             –                                           portable or free-standing electric fan
Health                                    UV protection sunglasses (non-              –
                                          designer frames); designer spectacle
                                          frames
Transport                                 –                                           satellite navigation system
Communication                             –                                           mobile downloads (eg ringtones)
Recreation and culture                    portable colour television (CRT);           flat panel television (14–25″); digital
                                          VHS video recorder; portable CD             (DAB) radio; pre-recorded DVD
                                          radio cassette; car CD/radio auto-          (non-film) from chart; recordable DVD
                                          changer; widescreen (CRT) television;       (price per DVD from pack of 5–25);
                                          blank VHS cassette; pre-recorded            digital photography processing (print
                                          video; 35mm compact camera; mail            of up to 50 photographs)
                                          order develop and print photography
                                          services; digital television installation
                                          fee; decorative outdoor plant pot
Restaurants and hotels (catering)         –                                           onboard catering (rail, sea and air);
                                                                                      vending machine canned/bottled
                                                                                      fizzy drink
Miscellaneous goods and services          gemstone cluster ring                       diamond solitaire ring; credit
                                                                                      card charges; mortgage fees;
                                                                                      toothbrush

* RPI goods and services are grouped together under different classifications
                                                                            Cost of Living and Inflation Rates         569

INFLATION RATE                                                 each month in an Indices bulletin and electronically on
                                                               the National Statistics website (W www.statistics.gov.uk).
The twelve-monthly percentage change in the ‘all items’        They are also available as a recorded telephone message
index of the RPI or CPI is referred to as the rate of          (T 020-7533 5866).
inflation. As the most familiar measure of inflation, RPI is
often referred to as the ‘headline rate of inflation’. CPI is   PURCHASING POWER OF THE
the main measure of inflation for macroeconomic                 POUND
purposes and forms the basis for the government’s
inflation target, which is currently 2 per cent. The            Changes in the internal purchasing power of the pound
percentage change in prices between any two months/            may be defined as the ‘inverse’ of changes in the level of
years can be obtained using the following formula:             prices: when prices go up, the amount which can be
                                                               purchased with a given sum of money goes down. To find
   Later date RPI/CPI − Earlier date RPI/CPI                   the purchasing power of the pound in one month or year,
                                             × 100
              Earlier date RPI/CPI                             given that it was 100p in a previous month or year, the
                                                               calculation would be:
eg to find the CPI rate of inflation for 2006, using the
                                                                                      Earlier month/year RPI
annual averages for 2005 and 2006:                                           100p ×
                                                                                       Later month/year RPI
               102.3 − 100.0
                             × 100 = 2.3                       Thus, if the purchasing power of the pound is taken to be
                   100.0                                       100p in 1975, the comparable purchasing power in 2000
From 14 February 2006 the reference year for CPI was           would be:
re-based to 2005=100 to improve price comparison                                           34.2
clarity across the EU. None of the underlying data, from                         100p ×         = 20.1p
                                                                                          170.3
which the re-referenced series was calculated, was revised.
Historical rates of change (such as annual inflation            For longer term comparisons, it has been the practice to
figures), calculated from the re-based rounded index            use an index which has been constructed by linking
levels, were revised due to the effect of rounding. The CPI     together the RPI for the period 1962 to date; an index
rate of inflation figure given in the table below may differ      derived from the consumers expenditure deflator for the
by plus or minus 0.1 percentage points from the figure          period from 1938 to 1962; and the pre-war ‘cost of living’
calculated by the above equation. The change of reference      index for the period 1914 to 1938. This long-term index
period and revision due to rounding does not apply to the      enables the internal purchasing power of the pound to be
RPI which remains unchanged.                                   calculated for any year from 1914 onwards. It should be
   The RPI and CPI figures are published by the Office for        noted that these figures can only be approximate.
National Statistics on either the second or third Tuesday of


                        Annual average RPI          Purchasing power of £      Annual average CPI         Rate of inflation
                        (1987 = 100)                (1998 = 1.00)              (2005 = 100)*              (RPI/CPI)
1914                       2.8                      58.18
1915                       3.5                      46.54
1920                       7.0                      23.27
1925                       5.0                      32.58
1930                       4.5                      36.20
1935                       4.0                      40.72
1938                       4.4                      37.02
There are no official figures for 1939–45
1946                       7.4                      22.01
1950                       9.0                      18.10
1955                     11.2                       14.54
1960                     12.6                       12.93
1965                     14.8                       11.00
1970                     18.5                        8.80
1975                     34.2                        4.76
1980                     66.8                        2.44                        18.0
1985                     94.6                        1.72                         6.1
1990                    126.1                        1.29                        71.5                     9.5/7.0
1995                    149.1                        1.09                        86.0                     3.5/2.6
1998                    162.9                         1.0                        91.1                     3.4/1.6
2000                    170.3                        0.96                        93.1                     3.0/0.8
2005                    192.0                        0.85                       100                       2.8/2.1
2006                    198.1                        0.82                       102.3                     3.2/2.3

* In accordance with an EU Commission regulation all published CPI figures were re-based to 2005 = 100 with effect from 14
February 2006, replacing the 1996 = 100 series

						
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