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Opportunity of mobile broadband outweighs threat to fixed vendors.doc by aarkstore


									The growth of mobile broadband subscribers may be creating anxiety among vendors fearing that substitution of
fixed broadband will reduce the market for access equipment. However, Ovum believes the impact of any
substitution will be limited in the long run. In a selected few markets, mobile substitution will be one of several
factors limiting growth of fixed broadband subscribers, which will reduce the addressable market for fixed
broadband equipment. But in many others, the fixed broadband market is already mature and the growth of mobile
broadband will expand the market for fixed backhaul equipment as mobile traffic increases. A few fixed access
vendors are adapting existing FTTH type of products currently, but we expect over time that many more will
venture into this new market with an expanded and targeted access product portfolio.

Table of Contents :

Executive summary

In a nutshell

Ovum view

Growth of mobile broadband subscribers and mobile traffic creating opportunity for FTTH vendors

Key messages

Mobile broadband will compete with lower fixed-speed tiers

Throughput can be trickier to predict and measure

Mobile broadband subscriber growth will outpace fixed broadband

But overwhelming majority of mobile broadband subscribers will be consumers on handsets

Complementary growth in many markets, substitution in selected few

Divide between emerging and developed markets

Dig beyond the country level to demographics

Determinants of fixed-mobile broadband access substitution

The evolution of devices will be a significant determinant in choice between wireline and mobile access

Wireless networks will need to match wireline networks in consumer experience

Rise of integrated operators

FONTocells anyone?

Challenges and questions remain about the complexity and diversity of opportunities

Initial wins indicate vendors taking note; some product tweaks under way
How significant is the mobile backhaul market for FTTx equipment likely to be?

List of Figures

Figure 1: The effect of mobile broadband on fixed broadband subscribers and access networks will be complex

List of Figures
Figure 1: Qtel structure

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