Video Game Briefing January 2009

Document Sample
Video Game Briefing January 2009
Avista

Video Game Briefing Partners

Highlights:

• Market Cap for all public companies in global game sector is $74 billion; a decrease of 25% since the December Newsletter

• Over $1.8 billion of M&A deals in global sector (LTM)

• Over $1.6 billion raised in global sector (LTM)

• Weighted average share prices were down 5% in the last month using the median for PC/Console Game companies

• Weighted average share prices were up 3% in the last month using the median for Online Game companies



Game Index Performance by sub-sector (LTM)

The Online Games Index is the best performing game sector index at -29%



130.0

Indexes low point

120.0

20/11/2008

110.0



100.0



90.0



80.0



70.0



60.0



50.0



40.0



30.0

28/01/2008 28/03/2008 28/05/2008 28/07/2008 28/09/2008 28/11/2008 28/01/2009







Game Retailers Index Online Game Index Mobile Game Index PC/Console Game Index Game Distributor/Accessory Index S&P 500 Index









Note: the companies making up each index are those listed in the corresponding comps in the following pages. The indexes are based on a weighted market cap and are rebased to 100 at the start.









January 2009 Source: Capital IQ, Company Filings, Brokers & Press 1

Avista

Video Game Briefing Partners

Game Index Performance by region (LTM)

The Asia Game Index is the best performing regional game index at -23%



130.0





120.0





110.0





100.0





90.0





80.0





70.0





60.0





50.0





40.0





30.0

1/28/08 2/28/08 3/28/08 4/28/08 5/28/08 6/28/08 7/28/08 8/28/08 9/28/08 10/28/08 11/28/08 12/28/08 1/28/09







Asia Game Index North America Game Index Europe Game index S&P 500 Index









January 2009 Source: Capital IQ, Company Filings, Brokers & Press 2

Avista

Video Game Briefing Partners

Stock Comps (by sector & ranked by enterprise value):

Stock Price

(local Price as % Price as Enterprise

EV/Revenue EV/EBITDA P/E Share price movement(1)

currency) of LTM % of LTM Market Cap Value

(1/30/09) High Low (USDm) (USDm) CY 2007 CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2007 CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 CY 2007 CY 2008 CY 2009 CY 2010 L1M L3M L6M LTM

PC/Console Game Publishers/ Developers

Nintendo Co. Ltd. 28,300.00 44.3% 131.0% 40,412.9 27,410.5 1.56x 1.29x 1.46x 1.33x 5.3x 4.1x 4.3x 3.9x 12.0x 10.5x 11.0x 9.4x -5% -16% -42% -27%

Activision Blizzard, Inc. 9.00 46.7% 110.6% 11,919.5 8,983.5 2.22x 2.13x 1.78x 1.68x 16.1x 85.6x 8.8x NA 19.6x 17.3x 13.4x NA -9% -30% NA NA

Sega Sammy Holdings Inc. 1,145.00 84.3% 198.8% 3,221.0 2,763.2 0.53x 0.53x 0.52x 0.56x 6.1x 4.7x 4.0x NA NM 29.7x 20.0x NA -5% 13% -2% -18%

Electronic Arts Inc. 16.19 29.5% 109.5% 5,195.1 2,730.1 0.87x 0.60x 0.57x 0.49x NM 7.2x 4.0x 3.7x NM 32.6x 15.1x 9.5x 3% -41% -61% -62%

Konami Corp. 1,831.00 41.5% 135.9% 2,810.5 2,666.8 0.80x 0.73x 0.73x 0.69x 5.2x 4.2x 4.3x 3.7x 12.9x 10.3x 10.4x 8.2x -14% -6% -41% -33%

Square Enix Holdings Co., Ltd. 2,445.00 63.7% 133.3% 3,147.7 2,336.7 1.35x 1.21x 1.18x 1.25x 6.2x 4.8x 4.4x NA 23.5x 15.6x 14.1x 12.4x -5% -5% -18% -12%

Namco Bandai Holdings Inc. 911.00 54.7% 118.2% 2,505.6 1,412.6 0.27x 0.29x 0.28x 0.28x 2.0x 2.6x 2.6x 2.4x 12.2x 15.0x 13.0x 8.5x -9% -8% -27% -33%

UBI Soft Entertainment SA 10.60 29.7% 109.7% 1,292.8 1,199.1 0.89x 0.82x 0.78x 0.76x 2.7x 2.4x 2.4x 2.1x 11.8x NA 10.7x 10.6x -22% -37% -52% -55%

Capcom Co. Ltd. 1,635.00 44.9% 110.8% 1,127.1 963.4 1.12x 0.86x 0.84x 0.77x 7.1x 4.1x 4.0x 3.6x 20.8x 10.5x 9.9x 9.2x -5% -26% -36% -18%

Koei Co. Ltd. 870.00 46.8% 102.2% 666.2 570.0 1.61x 1.54x 1.49x 1.63x 5.9x 6.9x 6.7x 6.5x 8.1x 9.5x 9.2x 9.7x -7% -13% -37% -47%

Take-Two Interactive Software Inc. 7.19 25.7% 105.1% 558.5 348.2 0.37x 0.23x 0.29x 0.25x 8.7x 2.1x 11.4x 8.5x NM 4.1x 10.7x 3.9x -40% -45% -69% -52%

Infogrames Entertainment SA 4.07 23.9% 116.3% 302.9 315.8 0.72x 0.69x 0.71x NA 21.3x NA 3.6x NA NA NA NM NA -20% -53% -47% -58%

Midway Games Inc. 0.26 6.2% 167.7% 24.0 209.4 1.33x 1.01x 0.88x 0.85x NM NM NM 26.2x NM NM NM 13.0x 27% -84% -88% -88%

Soft-World International Corp. 81.00 65.6% 142.1% 298.2 193.9 1.22x 1.09x 0.96x 0.92x 4.3x 14.1x 13.0x 11.7x 11.4x 8.9x 7.1x 6.2x -3% 33% -18% 15%

THQ Inc. 3.96 16.9% 120.4% 265.5 106.4 0.10x 0.12x 0.11x 0.11x 0.5x NM 2.1x 1.8x 83.0x NM 18.3x 7.0x -11% -52% -74% -75%

Tecmo Ltd. 743.00 49.2% 138.1% 201.2 89.2 0.66x 0.66x 0.57x NA 3.6x 2.6x NA NA 18.3x 70.1x 15.6x NA -5% -1% -17% -33%

D3 Inc. 44,000.00 15.6% 112.5% 10.3 58.4 0.43x NA NA NA 7.3x NA NA NA 77.4x NA NA NA 11% -23% -72% -80%

Yuke's Co., Ltd. 336.00 60.0% 190.9% 40.5 48.1 0.73x 0.74x NA NA 2.6x NA NA NA 4.5x 6.8x NA NA 50% 86% 10% -12%

Jowood Productions Software AG 8.00 51.6% 120.8% 28.6 38.3 1.37x NA NA NA 9.2x NA NA NA 1.1x NA NA NA 14% 14% -17% -30%

SouthPeak Interactive Corp. 0.90 30.0% 163.6% 32.4 35.1 1.20x NA NA NA 10.8x NA NA NA 1.6x NA NA NA 14% -49% NA NA

Mindscape SAS 8.35 47.0% 104.4% 31.1 33.0 0.62x 0.48x 0.43x 0.38x 5.1x 3.9x 3.5x 2.5x 12.9x 14.9x NA 7.0x -19% -26% -45% NA

Tose Co. Ltd. 586.00 52.4% 110.6% 49.5 29.7 0.45x 0.43x 0.40x NA 3.1x 2.7x NA NA 13.1x 11.5x 9.6x NA -3% -5% -35% -40%

Softstar Entertainment Inc. 19.50 87.4% 234.1% 17.3 25.9 2.74x NA NA NA NM NA NA NA NM NA NA NA 85% 87% 35% 11%

City Interactive sp. z o.o. 7.11 67.7% 116.4% 26.5 25.5 4.68x NA NA NA 13.6x NA NA NA 26.3x NA NA NA -1% -7%

by registering with docstoc.com you agree to our
privacy policy

Successfully added document to cart!

Successfully added document to cart!