S&P 500 Earnings Surprises Report 1-31-10

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S&P 500 Earnings Surprises Report 1-31-10
Description

The figures and charts below detail the 193 companies of the Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) 500 that have reported their earnings for the fourth quarter of 2009 as of January 28th. Of these 193 companies, 158 have reported positive earnings surprises, while 34 have reported negative earnings surprises and one did not surprise. Chain Bridge Investing has also included several summary charts at the beginning of the report to gain a deeper understanding of the changes occurring in this index of companies. All data from Stock Investor Pro.

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S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES FOR FOURTH QUARTER 2009

The figures and charts below detail the 193 companies of the Standard & Poor’s (“S&P”) 500 that have reported their earnings for the fourth quarter of 2009 as of January 28th. Of these 193 companies, 158 have reported positive earnings surprises, while 34 have reported negative earnings surprises and one did not surprise. Chain Bridge Investing has also included several summary charts at the beginning of the report to gain a deeper understanding of the changes occurring in this index of companies. All data from Stock Investor Pro.



Summary of EPS Surprises by Sector Positive Surprise 16 13 3 5 5 10 27 17 16 35 4 7 158 Negative Surprise 6 4 1 1 1 13 4 2 1 1 34 No Average % Surprise Surprise (5.09) 40.52 30.37 87.48 2.80 15.55 30.24 6.17 1 14.42 44.19 11.20 6.83 1



Sector # Reported Basic Materials 22 Capital Goods 17 Conglomerates 3 Consumer Cyclical 6 Consumer Non-Cyclical 6 Energy 11 Financial 40 Health Care 21 Services 19 Technology 35 Transportation 5 Utilities 8 Total 193



Largest Positive Surprises by Percentage Ticker Company % of Surprise AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. 968.60 WFC Wells Fargo & Company 900.00 EK Eastman Kodak Company 500.00 KBH KB Home 411.20 NUE Nucor Corporation 168.70 LEN Lennar Corporation 139.40 AKS AK Steel Holding Corporation 103.00 GNW Genworth Financial, Inc. 93.90 COF Capital One Financial Corp. 84.00 PH Parker-Hannifin Corporation 80.30



Largest Negative Surprises by Percentage Ticker Company % of Surprise MON Monsanto Company (566.70) HBAN Huntington Bancshares Incorpor (105.10) HOG Harley-Davidson, Inc. (99.40) AA Alcoa Inc. (83.60) FHN First Horizon National Corpora (50.90) RF Regions Financial Corporation (48.30) X United States Steel Corporatio (27.50) MS Morgan Stanley (20.30) ITW Illinois Tool Works Inc. (17.10) BAC Bank of America Corporation (14.30)



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SECTOR SUMMARIES OF REPORTING S&P 500 COMPANIES

Cash & Short-Term Investments as a Percentage of Total Assets Sector Basic Materials Capital Goods Conglomerates Consumer Cyclical Consumer Non-Cyclical Energy Financial Health Care Services Technology Transportation Utilities Total Total without Financials Sector Basic Materials Capital Goods Conglomerates Consumer Cyclical Consumer Non-Cyclical Energy Financial Health Care Services Technology Transportation Utilities Total Total without Financials Most Recent Quarter 7.7% 10.7% 15.7% 13.7% 3.6% 4.6% 24.4% 18.9% 4.6% 29.6% 5.2% 1.6% 20.6% 12.4% QoQ -5.4% -11.2% 8.2% 4.3% 4.6% 2.9% -8.9% -12.5% 0.8% -4.7% -21.5% -38.6% -6.3% -5.9% Prior Quarter 7.1% 8.8% 8.1% 12.6% 4.2% 4.6% 24.1% 17.8% 4.1% 27.6% 4.7% 1.9% 19.8% 10.2% YoY -0.1% -1.8% -8.9% -3.9% 9.0% -1.8% -5.1% 8.1% 5.3% 4.6% -14.3% -10.4% 0.3% 1.1% Last Year 4.9% 6.7% 6.0% 10.9% 4.3% 3.7% 24.2% 16.5% 5.2% 24.5% 3.5% 1.6% 19.3% 8.8% Total Interest-Bearing Debt as a Percentage of Total Assets Most Recent Quarter 26.0% 23.9% 62.8% 61.6% 25.8% 17.7% 27.5% 18.7% 27.3% 13.0% 25.9% 35.6% 29.0% 32.3% Prior Quarter 27.0% 23.7% 64.0% 62.9% 28.8% 18.2% 28.9% 20.2% 28.0% 13.4% 26.4% 35.8% 30.3% 33.4% Last Year 27.8% 23.8% 64.1% 61.4% 29.0% 13.2% 26.7% 17.4% 27.3% 14.8% 25.6% 36.2% 28.7% 33.3%



S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES



Revenue Growth



Operating Income Growth QoQ YoY 12.1% nm 30.5% 14.6% 13.1% 31.1% -40.1% nm 3.0% 14.8% 26.6% nm 6.0% 79.5% -40.7% 56.2% -23.7% nm 23.7% 221.4% -21.0% -18.0% -39.9% 2.1% -5.4% 1437.3% -7.8% nm



Net Income Growth QoQ YoY 0.1% nm 54.1% 51.0% 12.7% -4.1% -42.4% nm 26.6% -1.6% -59.9% nm -312.9% nm 1.1% 208.7% -11.8% nm 31.6% 10642.8% -13.1% -8.8% -39.1% 8.4% -5.3% nm 5.1% nm



* QoQ = Quarter-on-Quarter Growth, YoY = Year-on-Year Growth, nm = not material.



Sector Basic Materials Capital Goods Conglomerates Consumer Cyclical Consumer Non-Cyclical Energy Financial Health Care Services Technology Transportation Utilities Total Total without Financials



Bought (000s) 30 45 13 1 11 29 2,335 9 93 14 5 2,585 250



Insider Transactions for the Last Six-Months Sold (000s) Net (000s) (1,711) (1,681) (5,740) (5,695) (52) (39) (1,506) (1,505) (625) (614) (1,541) (1,512) (2,751) (416) (7,349) (7,340) (19,495) (19,402) (64,770) (64,756) (923) (923) (811) (806) (107,274) (104,689) (104,523) (104,273)



Buy-to-Sell % 1.8% 0.8% 25.0% 0.1% 1.8% 1.9% 84.9% 0.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.6% 2.4% 0.2%



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S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES

Ticker BBBY FDO MON APOL LEN STZ AA KBH LLTC SVU INTC JPM C CSX FAST FHN FRX IBM PH SCHW BAC BK COH EBAY HCBK MI MS MTB NTRS PGR SBUX SLM STT TSS USB WFC XLNX ACS AMD APH AXP BNI CMA COF ED FCX FITB GOOG GS IGT ISRG KEY LM LUV Company Bed Bath & Beyond Inc. Family Dollar Stores, Inc. Monsanto Company Apollo Group, Inc. Lennar Corporation Constellation Brands, Inc. Alcoa Inc. KB Home Linear Technology Corporation SUPERVALU INC. Intel Corporation JPMorgan Chase & Co. Citigroup Inc. CSX Corporation Fastenal Company First Horizon National Corpora Forest Laboratories, Inc. International Business Machine Parker-Hannifin Corporation Charles Schwab Corporation, Th Bank of America Corporation Bank of New York Mellon Corpor Coach, Inc. eBay Inc. Hudson City Bancorp, Inc. Marshall & Ilsley Corporation Morgan Stanley M&T Bank Corporation Northern Trust Corporation Progressive Corporation, The Starbucks Corporation SLM Corporation State Street Corporation Total System Services, Inc. U.S. Bancorp Wells Fargo & Company Xilinx, Inc. Affiliated Computer Services, Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. Amphenol Corporation American Express Company Burlington Northern Santa Fe C Comerica Incorporated Capital One Financial Corp. Consolidated Edison, Inc. Freeport-McMoRan Copper & Gold Fifth Third Bancorp Google Inc. Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. International Game Technology Intuitive Surgical, Inc. KeyCorp Legg Mason, Inc. Southwest Airlines Co. S&P 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 Most Recent Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 01/06/10 $ 0.43 $ 0.58 $ 0.15 35.20 01/06/10 0.47 0.49 0.02 4.50 01/06/10 (0.00) (0.02) (0.02) (566.70) 01/07/10 1.46 1.47 0.01 0.50 01/07/10 (0.48) 0.19 0.67 139.40 01/07/10 0.52 0.54 0.02 4.70 01/11/10 0.06 0.01 (0.05) (83.60) 01/12/10 (0.42) 1.31 1.73 411.20 01/12/10 0.31 0.35 0.04 13.30 01/12/10 0.40 0.46 0.06 14.70 01/14/10 0.30 0.40 0.10 33.30 01/15/10 0.61 0.74 0.14 22.30 01/19/10 (0.33) (0.33) (0.00) (1.20) 01/19/10 0.76 0.77 0.01 0.80 01/19/10 0.31 0.30 (0.01) (4.50) 01/19/10 (0.21) (0.32) (0.11) (50.90) 01/19/10 0.86 0.97 0.11 12.70 01/19/10 3.47 3.59 0.12 3.50 01/19/10 0.36 0.64 0.29 80.30 01/19/10 0.15 0.14 (0.01) (4.10) 01/20/10 (0.53) (0.60) (0.08) (14.30) 01/20/10 0.51 0.55 0.04 7.20 01/20/10 0.72 0.75 0.03 4.50 01/20/10 0.40 0.44 0.04 8.90 01/20/10 0.28 0.28 (0.00) (0.70) 01/20/10 (0.48) (0.54) (0.06) (12.30) 01/20/10 0.36 0.29 (0.07) (20.30) 01/20/10 0.87 1.04 0.17 20.00 01/20/10 0.66 0.82 0.16 24.60 01/20/10 0.37 0.41 0.04 11.10 01/20/10 0.28 0.33 0.05 18.70 01/20/10 0.44 0.41 (0.03) (7.00) 01/20/10 0.97 0.99 0.02 2.20 01/20/10 0.30 0.31 0.01 3.70 01/20/10 0.29 0.30 0.01 4.20 01/20/10 (0.01) 0.08 0.09 900.00 01/20/10 0.35 0.38 0.03 8.30 01/21/10 0.99 1.07 0.08 7.90 01/21/10 (0.18) 1.52 1.70 968.60 01/21/10 0.49 0.50 0.01 2.00 01/21/10 0.57 0.59 0.02 2.80 01/21/10 1.22 1.30 0.08 6.70 01/21/10 (0.50) (0.41) 0.09 18.30 01/21/10 0.45 0.83 0.38 84.00 01/21/10 0.76 0.67 (0.09) (12.30) 01/21/10 1.76 2.15 0.39 22.30 01/21/10 (0.31) (0.20) 0.11 35.50 01/21/10 6.48 6.79 0.31 4.80 01/21/10 5.20 8.20 3.00 57.80 01/21/10 0.20 0.25 0.05 26.90 01/21/10 1.71 1.95 0.24 14.30 01/21/10 (0.40) (0.30) 0.10 24.10 01/21/10 0.31 0.28 (0.03) (9.70) 01/21/10 0.07 0.10 0.03 47.10 Prior Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 09/23/09 $ 0.48 $ 0.52 $ 0.04 9.20 10/07/09 0.41 0.43 0.02 4.60 10/07/09 0.01 0.02 0.01 53.80 10/27/09 1.04 1.06 0.02 1.80 09/21/09 (0.46) (0.97) (0.51) (110.00) 10/01/09 0.41 0.54 0.13 32.40 10/07/09 (0.09) 0.04 0.13 142.60 09/25/09 (0.58) (0.87) (0.29) (49.50) 10/13/09 0.24 0.29 0.05 19.80 10/20/09 0.33 0.35 0.02 5.70 10/13/09 0.28 0.33 0.05 18.30 10/14/09 0.52 0.82 0.30 58.30 10/15/09 (0.38) (0.27) 0.11 29.50 10/13/09 0.71 0.74 0.03 4.70 10/12/09 0.33 0.32 (0.01) (1.50) 10/16/09 (0.32) (0.24) 0.08 25.30 10/20/09 0.86 0.85 (0.01) (1.50) 10/15/09 2.38 2.40 0.02 0.80 10/20/09 0.17 0.45 0.28 158.60 10/15/09 0.17 0.17 (0.00) (1.70) 10/16/09 (0.21) (0.26) (0.06) (26.80) 10/20/09 0.48 0.54 0.06 13.40 10/20/09 0.39 0.44 0.05 11.70 10/21/09 0.37 0.38 0.01 3.80 10/21/09 0.26 0.27 0.01 2.30 10/20/09 (0.68) (0.68) 10/21/09 0.27 0.38 0.11 39.20 10/20/09 0.66 0.97 0.31 47.90 10/21/09 0.84 0.77 (0.07) (8.10) 10/14/09 0.33 0.36 0.03 10.40 11/05/09 0.21 0.24 0.03 15.40 10/20/09 0.04 0.26 0.22 584.20 10/20/09 1.04 1.05 0.01 1.20 10/27/09 0.29 0.29 0.00 0.30 10/21/09 0.27 0.30 0.03 12.40 10/21/09 0.37 0.56 0.19 50.10 10/14/09 0.22 0.23 0.01 3.60 10/22/09 0.94 0.95 0.01 0.80 10/15/09 (0.42) (0.18) 0.24 57.00 10/15/09 0.43 0.47 0.04 8.50 10/22/09 0.38 0.54 0.16 42.50 10/22/09 1.28 1.36 0.08 6.00 10/20/09 (0.53) (0.10) 0.43 81.00 10/22/09 0.14 0.94 0.80 581.20 11/02/09 1.05 1.16 0.12 11.00 10/21/09 1.34 2.07 0.73 54.00 10/22/09 (0.17) (0.20) (0.03) (17.60) 10/15/09 5.42 5.89 0.47 8.70 10/15/09 4.24 5.25 1.01 23.90 11/05/09 0.17 0.19 0.02 11.80 10/20/09 1.48 1.64 0.16 11.00 10/21/09 (0.41) (0.52) (0.11) (26.50) 10/22/09 0.21 0.30 0.09 42.20 10/15/09 0.02 0.03 0.01 42.90



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S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES (CONTINUED)

Ticker MDP PBCT PCP PNC PPG UNH UNP WDC XRX APD BBT EXC GE HBAN HOG JCI KMB MCD SLB STI AAPL AKS AMGN DGX ETN HAL JEC SEE TXN ZION ABC ALTR BHI BTU BXP DD DV EMC FPL GILD GLW GWW JNJ MCK MHP MOLX NUE PTV QLGC RF SHW SYK TLAB TRV Company Meredith Corporation People's United Financial, Inc Precision Castparts Corp. PNC Financial Services PPG Industries, Inc. UnitedHealth Group Inc. Union Pacific Corporation Western Digital Corp. Xerox Corporation Air Products & Chemicals, Inc. BB&T Corporation Exelon Corporation General Electric Company Huntington Bancshares Incorpor Harley-Davidson, Inc. Johnson Controls, Inc. Kimberly-Clark Corporation McDonald's Corporation Schlumberger Limited SunTrust Banks, Inc. Apple Inc. AK Steel Holding Corporation Amgen, Inc. Quest Diagnostics Incorporated Eaton Corporation Halliburton Company Jacobs Engineering Group Inc. Sealed Air Corp. Texas Instruments Incorporated Zions Bancorporation AmerisourceBergen Corp. Altera Corporation Baker Hughes Incorporated Peabody Energy Corporation Boston Properties, Inc. E.I. du Pont de Nemours & Comp DeVry Inc. EMC Corporation FPL Group, Inc. Gilead Sciences, Inc. Corning Incorporated W.W. Grainger, Inc. Johnson & Johnson McKesson Corporation McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc., T Molex Incorporated Nucor Corporation Pactiv Corporation QLogic Corporation Regions Financial Corporation Sherwin-Williams Company Stryker Corporation Tellabs, Inc. Travelers Companies, Inc., The S&P 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 Most Recent Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 01/21/10 $ 0.45 $ 0.49 $ 0.05 10.10 01/21/10 0.08 0.08 (0.00) (1.20) 01/21/10 1.64 1.61 (0.03) (2.00) 01/21/10 0.78 0.90 0.12 15.70 01/21/10 0.73 0.86 0.13 17.20 01/21/10 0.73 0.81 0.08 10.40 01/21/10 1.04 1.08 0.04 4.00 01/21/10 1.36 1.85 0.49 36.10 01/21/10 0.22 0.25 0.03 14.70 01/22/10 1.14 1.16 0.02 1.80 01/22/10 0.21 0.27 0.06 28.60 01/22/10 0.86 0.92 0.06 7.20 01/22/10 0.26 0.28 0.02 7.30 01/22/10 (0.27) (0.56) (0.29) (105.10) 01/22/10 (0.32) (0.63) (0.31) (99.40) 01/22/10 0.29 0.43 0.14 48.80 01/22/10 1.25 1.17 (0.08) (6.40) 01/22/10 1.02 1.03 0.01 1.30 01/22/10 0.64 0.67 0.03 4.70 01/22/10 (0.75) (0.64) 0.11 14.20 01/25/10 2.09 3.67 1.59 76.00 01/25/10 0.20 0.41 0.21 103.00 01/25/10 1.12 1.05 (0.07) (5.90) 01/25/10 0.96 0.97 0.01 0.90 01/25/10 1.23 1.35 0.12 9.80 01/25/10 0.27 0.28 0.01 3.70 01/25/10 0.58 0.58 0.01 0.90 01/25/10 0.39 0.40 0.01 1.80 01/25/10 0.49 0.52 0.03 5.30 01/25/10 (1.64) (1.26) 0.38 23.10 01/26/10 0.46 0.52 0.06 12.80 01/26/10 0.29 0.34 0.05 17.60 01/26/10 0.35 0.43 0.08 23.60 01/26/10 0.29 0.43 0.14 47.80 01/26/10 0.36 0.38 0.03 7.00 01/26/10 0.41 0.44 0.03 6.30 01/26/10 0.83 1.00 0.17 20.50 01/26/10 0.30 0.33 0.03 8.60 01/26/10 0.76 0.79 0.03 4.40 01/26/10 0.85 0.93 0.08 9.90 01/26/10 0.42 0.44 0.02 3.80 01/26/10 1.24 1.39 0.15 12.50 01/26/10 0.97 1.02 0.05 4.70 01/26/10 1.19 1.19 0.00 0.10 01/26/10 0.40 0.51 0.11 26.90 01/26/10 0.22 0.24 0.02 11.10 01/26/10 0.07 0.18 0.11 168.70 01/26/10 0.50 0.53 0.03 6.40 01/26/10 0.29 0.31 0.03 8.80 01/26/10 (0.34) (0.51) (0.17) (48.30) 01/26/10 0.52 0.71 0.19 35.50 01/26/10 0.82 0.82 0.00 0.50 01/26/10 0.07 0.08 0.01 11.10 01/26/10 1.49 2.12 0.63 42.70 Prior Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 10/29/09 $ 0.34 $ 0.34 $ 0.01 1.50 10/15/09 0.08 0.08 0.01 6.70 10/20/09 1.63 1.54 (0.09) (5.40) 10/22/09 0.31 1.00 0.69 225.70 10/15/09 0.89 0.97 0.08 8.50 10/20/09 0.76 0.89 0.13 16.60 10/22/09 1.00 1.02 0.02 1.60 10/22/09 0.94 1.25 0.31 33.50 10/22/09 0.12 0.14 0.02 19.70 10/21/09 1.12 1.15 0.03 2.60 10/19/09 0.22 0.23 0.01 5.50 10/23/09 0.96 0.96 0.00 0.20 10/16/09 0.20 0.22 0.02 8.40 10/22/09 (0.28) (0.33) (0.05) (19.10) 10/15/09 0.21 0.11 (0.10) (48.40) 10/27/09 0.51 0.52 0.01 2.60 10/22/09 1.13 1.40 0.27 23.60 10/22/09 1.11 1.15 0.04 3.70 10/23/09 0.63 0.65 0.02 3.50 10/22/09 (0.65) (0.76) (0.11) (17.50) 10/19/09 1.42 1.82 0.40 27.80 10/27/09 0.01 0.06 0.05 400.00 10/21/09 1.27 1.49 0.22 17.60 10/20/09 0.96 1.02 0.06 6.30 10/19/09 0.92 1.21 0.29 32.00 10/16/09 0.26 0.29 0.03 12.80 11/16/09 0.68 0.63 (0.05) (6.90) 10/28/09 0.33 0.38 0.05 15.90 10/19/09 0.40 0.42 0.03 6.30 10/19/09 (1.24) (1.41) (0.17) (13.30) 11/03/09 0.40 0.44 0.04 10.30 10/13/09 0.19 0.19 0.00 1.10 11/04/09 0.36 0.26 (0.10) (26.80) 10/20/09 0.23 0.49 0.26 114.90 10/27/09 0.35 0.47 0.13 36.20 10/20/09 0.33 0.45 0.12 36.00 10/27/09 0.65 0.76 0.11 16.40 10/22/09 0.21 0.23 0.02 10.60 10/27/09 1.41 1.38 (0.03) (2.30) 10/20/09 0.67 0.78 0.11 16.20 10/26/09 0.39 0.42 0.03 8.20 10/14/09 1.34 1.51 0.17 12.80 10/13/09 1.13 1.20 0.07 5.90 10/27/09 1.02 1.07 0.05 5.00 10/26/09 1.05 1.07 0.02 1.90 10/27/09 0.15 0.18 0.03 20.80 10/22/09 (0.15) (0.10) 0.05 34.20 10/21/09 0.51 0.54 0.03 5.30 10/21/09 0.18 0.21 0.03 19.30 10/20/09 (0.25) (0.37) (0.12) (45.70) 10/20/09 1.35 1.51 0.16 11.70 10/20/09 0.69 0.69 10/26/09 0.06 0.06 0.00 5.30 10/22/09 1.31 1.61 0.30 22.70



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S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES (CONTINUED)

Ticker VZ WAT X YHOO ABT ATI BA BMC CAT COP CTXS ETFC GD HES HRS ITW LSI MUR MWV NSC OI PX QCOM ROK SII SO STJ SWK SYMC TER UTX VAR VLO WLP AEP AMZN ARG BAX BCR BDX BEN BLL BMS BMY CA CAH CB CELG CL CNX COL D DHR EK Company Verizon Communications Inc. Waters Corporation United States Steel Corporatio Yahoo! Inc. Abbott Laboratories Allegheny Technologies Incorpo Boeing Company, The BMC Software, Inc. Caterpillar Inc. ConocoPhillips Citrix Systems, Inc. E TRADE Financial Corporation General Dynamics Corporation Hess Corp. Harris Corporation Illinois Tool Works Inc. LSI Corporation Murphy Oil Corporation MeadWestvaco Corp. Norfolk Southern Corp. Owens-Illinois, Inc. Praxair, Inc. QUALCOMM, Inc. Rockwell Automation Smith International, Inc. Southern Company, The St. Jude Medical, Inc. Stanley Works, The Symantec Corporation Teradyne, Inc. United Technologies Corporatio Varian Medical Systems, Inc. Valero Energy Corporation WellPoint, Inc. American Electric Power Compan Amazon.com, Inc. Airgas, Inc. Baxter International Inc. C.R. Bard, Inc. Becton, Dickinson and Co. Franklin Resources, Inc. Ball Corporation Bemis Company, Inc. Bristol Myers Squibb Co. CA, Inc. Cardinal Health, Inc. Chubb Corporation, The Celgene Corporation Colgate-Palmolive Company CONSOL Energy Inc. Rockwell Collins, Inc. Dominion Resources, Inc. Danaher Corporation Eastman Kodak Company S&P 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 Most Recent Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 01/26/10 $ 0.54 $ 0.54 $ (0.00) (0.40) 01/26/10 1.09 1.12 0.03 2.50 01/26/10 (1.44) (1.83) (0.40) (27.50) 01/26/10 0.11 0.11 (0.00) (1.80) 01/27/10 1.17 1.18 0.01 0.80 01/27/10 0.23 0.36 0.13 57.20 01/27/10 1.36 1.77 0.41 29.80 01/27/10 0.68 0.76 0.08 12.40 01/27/10 0.28 0.41 0.13 47.00 01/27/10 1.12 1.16 0.05 4.00 01/27/10 0.52 0.66 0.14 27.40 01/27/10 (0.04) (0.04) 0.00 2.40 01/27/10 1.57 1.58 0.01 0.60 01/27/10 0.91 1.23 0.32 35.00 01/27/10 0.95 1.08 0.14 14.30 01/27/10 0.74 0.61 (0.13) (17.10) 01/27/10 0.11 0.18 0.08 71.40 01/27/10 0.85 0.85 0.00 0.20 01/27/10 0.23 0.22 (0.01) (4.80) 01/27/10 0.84 0.82 (0.02) (2.60) 01/27/10 0.47 0.49 0.02 4.50 01/27/10 1.09 1.09 0.00 0.10 01/27/10 0.56 0.62 0.06 10.70 01/27/10 0.36 0.54 0.18 51.70 01/27/10 0.09 0.09 (0.00) (1.10) 01/27/10 0.30 0.31 0.02 5.10 01/27/10 0.62 0.64 0.02 2.70 01/27/10 0.73 0.89 0.16 21.40 01/27/10 0.37 0.40 0.03 8.70 01/27/10 0.15 0.17 0.02 10.40 01/27/10 1.14 1.15 0.01 0.80 01/27/10 0.56 0.63 0.07 12.30 01/27/10 (0.49) (0.28) 0.21 43.10 01/27/10 1.02 1.16 0.14 13.70 01/28/10 0.46 0.50 0.04 8.50 01/28/10 0.72 0.85 0.13 17.90 01/28/10 0.69 0.65 (0.04) (5.90) 01/28/10 1.03 1.03 (0.00) (0.10) 01/28/10 1.34 1.39 0.06 4.10 01/28/10 1.20 1.30 0.10 8.00 01/28/10 1.41 1.54 0.13 9.30 01/28/10 0.71 0.84 0.13 18.10 01/28/10 0.34 0.45 0.11 32.40 01/28/10 0.41 0.47 0.06 13.50 01/28/10 0.42 0.43 0.01 2.40 01/28/10 0.46 0.57 0.11 24.20 01/28/10 1.46 1.66 0.20 13.60 01/28/10 0.62 0.62 (0.00) (0.30) 01/28/10 1.18 1.21 0.04 3.00 01/28/10 0.74 0.78 0.04 5.70 01/28/10 0.73 0.76 0.03 4.50 01/28/10 0.60 0.63 0.03 4.70 01/28/10 1.03 1.12 0.09 8.50 01/28/10 0.18 1.08 0.90 500.00 Prior Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 10/26/09 $ 0.59 $ 0.60 $ 0.01 1.50 10/27/09 0.77 0.81 0.04 4.70 10/27/09 (2.87) (2.11) 0.76 26.60 10/20/09 0.07 0.13 0.06 83.10 10/14/09 0.90 0.92 0.02 2.70 10/21/09 0.03 0.01 (0.02) (64.30) 10/21/09 (2.12) (2.22) (0.10) (4.60) 10/29/09 0.58 0.66 0.08 13.80 10/20/09 0.06 0.64 0.58 1,042.90 10/28/09 0.94 1.00 0.06 6.30 10/21/09 0.41 0.43 0.02 4.60 10/27/09 (0.06) (0.66) (0.60) (1,000.00) 10/28/09 1.40 1.48 0.08 5.70 10/28/09 0.55 0.74 0.19 34.30 10/27/09 0.76 0.83 0.07 8.80 10/20/09 0.53 0.63 0.10 19.50 10/28/09 0.04 0.18 0.14 400.00 11/04/09 0.99 0.98 (0.01) (1.40) 10/28/09 0.27 0.50 0.23 87.30 10/27/09 0.79 0.81 0.02 2.90 10/28/09 0.93 0.95 0.02 1.80 10/28/09 1.00 1.02 0.02 1.70 11/04/09 0.52 0.64 0.12 23.30 11/09/09 0.27 0.37 0.10 38.60 10/29/09 0.15 0.07 (0.08) (52.40) 10/28/09 0.98 0.99 0.01 0.80 10/21/09 0.58 0.59 0.01 2.40 10/21/09 0.62 0.77 0.15 24.20 10/28/09 0.33 0.36 0.03 9.10 10/28/09 0.11 0.14 0.03 25.00 10/20/09 1.12 1.14 0.02 2.00 10/29/09 0.74 0.78 0.04 5.00 10/27/09 (0.33) (0.39) (0.06) (17.50) 10/28/09 1.38 1.78 0.41 29.50 10/29/09 0.85 0.93 0.08 9.50 10/22/09 0.33 0.45 0.12 37.20 10/29/09 0.67 0.68 0.01 1.20 10/15/09 0.97 0.98 0.01 1.30 10/21/09 1.28 1.31 0.03 2.70 11/04/09 1.25 1.25 0.00 0.20 10/27/09 1.33 1.60 0.27 20.20 10/29/09 1.17 1.24 0.07 5.90 10/27/09 0.39 0.40 0.01 2.30 10/22/09 0.51 0.52 0.01 1.80 10/22/09 0.40 0.42 0.02 4.50 11/05/09 0.43 0.54 0.11 25.30 10/22/09 1.27 1.56 0.29 22.40 10/22/09 0.54 0.56 0.02 3.70 10/29/09 1.11 1.12 0.01 0.80 10/22/09 0.66 0.48 (0.18) (26.80) 11/03/09 0.87 0.84 (0.03) (3.70) 10/30/09 0.90 0.99 0.09 9.50 10/22/09 0.86 0.89 0.03 3.00 10/29/09 (0.19) (0.23) (0.04) (19.20)



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S&P 500 EARNINGS SURPRISES (CONTINUED)

Ticker EL EMN EQT F FII GNW GR JNPR JNS KLAC LEG LIFE LLL LLY LMT MKC MMM MO MOT MSFT OXY PG RHI RTN SNDK T TROW TWC TXT XEL ZMH Company Estee Lauder Companies Inc., T Eastman Chemical Company EQT Corporation Ford Motor Company Federated Investors, Inc. Genworth Financial, Inc. Goodrich Corporation Juniper Networks, Inc. Janus Capital Group Inc. KLA-Tencor Corporation Leggett & Platt, Inc. Life Technologies Corp. L-3 Communications Holdings, I Eli Lilly & Co. Lockheed Martin Corporation McCormick & Company, Incorpora 3M Company Altria Group, Inc. Motorola, Inc. Microsoft Corporation Occidental Petroleum Corporati Procter & Gamble Company, The Robert Half International Inc. Raytheon Company SanDisk Corporation AT&T Inc. T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. Time Warner Cable Inc. Textron Inc. Xcel Energy Inc. Zimmer Holdings, Inc. S&P 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 500 Most Recent Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 01/28/10 $ 1.21 $ 1.28 $ 0.07 5.60 01/28/10 1.00 1.14 0.14 14.00 01/28/10 0.39 0.52 0.14 35.10 01/28/10 0.26 0.43 0.17 65.40 01/28/10 0.53 0.51 (0.02) (3.00) 01/28/10 0.10 0.19 0.09 93.90 01/28/10 0.90 0.83 (0.07) (7.40) 01/28/10 0.26 0.32 0.07 25.50 01/28/10 0.19 0.20 0.01 3.10 01/28/10 0.27 0.28 0.01 2.60 01/28/10 0.24 0.26 0.03 10.60 01/28/10 0.72 0.80 0.08 11.60 01/28/10 1.85 1.98 0.13 6.90 01/28/10 0.92 0.91 (0.01) (1.00) 01/28/10 1.99 2.17 0.18 9.20 01/28/10 0.91 0.91 0.00 0.20 01/28/10 1.21 1.30 0.09 7.30 01/28/10 0.40 0.39 (0.01) (1.30) 01/28/10 0.08 0.09 0.01 7.10 01/28/10 0.59 0.74 0.15 24.80 01/28/10 1.25 1.30 0.05 4.30 01/28/10 1.43 1.49 0.07 4.60 01/28/10 0.05 0.09 0.04 66.70 01/28/10 1.23 1.30 0.07 5.30 01/28/10 0.70 1.18 0.49 69.80 01/28/10 0.51 0.51 01/28/10 0.55 0.57 0.02 2.90 01/28/10 0.88 0.91 0.03 3.20 01/28/10 0.09 0.15 0.07 76.50 01/28/10 0.36 0.37 0.01 1.90 01/28/10 1.08 1.12 0.04 3.80 Prior Quarterly EPS Surprise Date Consensus Reported Difference % Surprise 10/30/09 $ 0.34 $ 0.85 $ 0.51 151.50 10/22/09 1.13 1.38 0.25 22.20 10/29/09 0.17 0.22 0.05 30.20 11/02/09 (0.12) 0.26 0.38 322.20 10/22/09 0.52 0.56 0.04 8.30 10/29/09 (0.02) 0.18 0.20 957.10 10/22/09 1.03 1.12 0.09 8.70 10/22/09 0.21 0.23 0.02 11.10 10/22/09 0.15 0.15 0.01 3.40 10/29/09 0.02 0.15 0.13 782.40 10/22/09 0.28 0.34 0.06 22.30 10/27/09 0.62 0.73 0.12 18.70 10/27/09 1.85 2.12 0.27 14.80 10/21/09 1.02 1.20 0.18 17.90 10/20/09 1.83 2.07 0.24 13.10 09/24/09 0.54 0.57 0.03 5.40 10/22/09 1.17 1.37 0.20 16.90 10/21/09 0.47 0.48 0.02 3.20 10/29/09 0.00 0.02 0.02 400.00 10/23/09 0.32 0.40 0.08 25.80 10/22/09 1.08 1.14 0.06 5.90 10/29/09 0.99 1.06 0.07 7.40 10/21/09 0.04 0.06 0.02 62.20 10/22/09 1.16 1.25 0.09 8.10 10/20/09 0.26 0.75 0.49 187.40 10/22/09 0.50 0.54 0.04 8.40 10/23/09 0.46 0.50 0.04 8.50 11/05/09 0.75 0.76 0.01 1.20 10/27/09 (0.03) 0.02 0.05 171.40 10/29/09 0.50 0.48 (0.02) (4.80) 10/22/09 0.86 0.88 0.03 2.90



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