Rnd 7 Projected Jobs for the WashCog Planning Region

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Rnd 7 Projected Jobs for the WashCog Planning Region Powered By Docstoc
					 RND 7 Model Results and
Comparison with RND 6.3/6.0
      Pct Change in National Projections Jobs &Pop

12%
10%
8%
6%
4%
2%
0%
       00-05      '05-10    '10-15    '15-20     '20-25    '25-30

               BLS/W&P (jobs)    Labor cohorts    Revised Jobs
          Rnd 7 Projected Jobs for the WashCog
                    Planning Region
5,000

4,500

4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000
        2000   2005   2010       2015         2020      2025   2030

                      Intermediate      Low      High
               Rnd 7 Projected Population for the
                  WashCog Planning Region
9,000
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
        2000      2005   2010       2015         2020      2025   2030

                         Intermediate      Low      High
          Rnd 7 Projected HHs for the WashCog
                    Planning Region
3,500

3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
        2000   2005   2010       2015         2020      2025   2030

                      Intermediate      Low      High
            Comparison of RND 7 and RND 6.3 Job
        Projections for the WASHCOG Planning Region
                        (Intermediate Scenario)
4,500

4,000

3,500

3,000

2,500
          2000   2005       2010       2015      2020   2025   2030

                                   Rnd 7      Rnd 6.3
            Comparison of RND 7 and RND 6.3 Pop
        Projections for the WASHCOG Planning Region
                        (Intermediate Scenario)
7,000
6,500
6,000
5,500
5,000
4,500
4,000
          2000   2005       2010       2015      2020   2025   2030

                                   Rnd 7      Rnd 6.3
            Comparison of RND 7 and RND 6.3 HH
        Projections for the WASHCOG Planning Region
                        (Intermediate Scenario)
3,000

2,500

2,000

1,500

1,000
          2000   2005       2010       2015      2020   2025   2030

                                   Rnd 7      Rnd 6.3
       Total Projected Change, 2000- 2030
2500
                             2,089.9
2000
                                       1,549.7
1500              1,307.9
        1,148.5
1000                                             792.6
                                                         640.9
500

  0
           Emp                    Pop               HHs

                   RND 7 Change    RND 6.3 Change
      Change in Jobs - RND 7 and RND 6.3

400
350
300
250
200
150
100
50
 0
      '00-'05   '05-'10    '10-'15    '15-'20   '20-'25   '25-'30

                          RND 7      RND 6.3
      Change in Pop - RND 7 and RND 6.3

500

400

300

200

100

 0
      '00-'05   '05-'10    '10-'15    '15-'20   '20-'25   '25-'30

                          RND 7      RND 6.3
      Change in HHs - RND 7 and RND 6.3

180
160
140
120
100
 80
 60
 40
 20
  0
      '00-'05   '05-'10    '10-'15    '15-'20   '20-'25   '25-'30

                          RND 7      RND 6.3
      Ratios of Projected Change, 2000- 2030
 3
                          2.64
2.5                              2.42

 2       1.82
1.5
                1.18
 1
                                            0.69
                                                   0.49
0.5

 0
        Pop to Emp       Pop to HHs        HHs to Emp

                       RND 7     RND 6.3
       Projected Pop to Jobs Ratio for the WASHCOG
                      Planning Region
1.75


1.60


1.45


1.30
        2000   2005   2010       2015      2020   2025   2030

                             Rnd 7      Rnd 6.3
          Projected Commutation Rates for the
             WASHCOG Planning Region
8.0%

7.5%

7.0%

6.5%

6.0%

5.5%

5.0%
       2000   2005   2010      2015      2020   2025   2030

                            RND 7     RND 6
           Projected Employment Ratio for the
              WASHCOG Planning Region

82.0%
81.0%
80.0%
79.0%
78.0%
77.0%
76.0%
75.0%
        2000   2005   2010      2015      2020   2025   2030

                             RND 7     RND 6
           Projected Elderly Pop Rates for the
             WASHCOG Planning Region
23.0%
21.0%
19.0%
17.0%
15.0%
13.0%
11.0%
 9.0%
 7.0%
 5.0%
        2000   2005   2010      2015      2020   2025   2030

                             RND 7     RND 6
               Projected Youth Pop Rates for the
                 WASHCOG Planning Region

40.0%
35.0%
30.0%
25.0%
20.0%
15.0%
10.0%
5.0%
        2000       2005   2010      2015      2020   2025   2030

                                 RND 7     RND 6
          Projected HH Size for the WASHCOG
                     Planning Region

2.65

2.60

2.55

2.50

2.45

2.40

2.35
       2000   2005   2010      2015      2020   2025   2030

                            RND 7     RND 6