# VASSAR COLLEGE Economics 209 Probability and Statistics

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```					                                          VASSAR COLLEGE
Economics 209
Probability and Statistics
Fall 2002                                                               Mr. Lunt
Blodgett 134
Extension 7396
E-mail: lunt@vassar.edu
Office Hours
Monday 3:30-5:00,
Thursday 10:30-11:30
( and by appointment)

Required Textbook

Ashenfelter, Levine, and Zimmerman, Statistics and Econometrics: Methods and Applications.
Wiley 2002. (Denoted ALZ hereinafter.)

Course Requirements

There will be two midterm exams , a scheduled final, and prob lem sets which will be turned in and
graded. Problem sets must be turned in by the due date. The lowest grade on a problem set is discarded
so you can consider one problem set to be optional. Your grade in the class will be based upon the
following:

Problem Sets               20%
Lower Midterm              15%
Higher Midterm             25%
Final Exam                 40%

However if the grade on the final exam is lower than the weighted average of the midterm grades the
weight of the final is reduced to 30% and the weights on the midterms are increased are increased to
20% and 30% respectively.

Computing

We will use the statistics program Stata and the spreadsheet program Microsoft Excel. The former
is a very powerful statistics/econometrics package and the latter is one of the most widely used
spreadsheet programs. Both programs are available on the machines in the Economics Lab. Instruction
will be provided on the use of each of these programs.

Students With Disabilities

Academ ic accommodations are available for students with documented disabilities. Please schedule an appointment
with me early in the semester to discuss any accomm odation tha t may be nee ded for the course. All
accommodations must be approved through the Office of Disability and Support Services (ext. 7584) as indicated
in their accommodation letter.

Intern

There will be an intern for the class. His name is M. Adeel Saleem. He will have regular office hours
which will be announced in class.

September 2, 4                    Descriptive Statistics, Introduction to Microsoft Excel
Handout # I Descriptive Statistics.

September 9,11,16                 Probability
ALZ: Chapter 2.

September 18, 23,25,30            Random Variables
ALZ: Chapters 3, 4.
Handout # II The Poisson Distribution

Wednesday, Oct 2                  Exam # I

October 7 ,9, 21                  Jointly Distributed Random Variables
ALZ: Chapter 5
Handout # III Jointly Distributed Random Variables

October 11 - 20                   Break

October 23, 28, 30                The distribution of sample statistics
ALZ: Chapter 6

November 4, 6                     Estimation, Confidence Intervals
ALZ: Chapter 7.
Handout IV: Properties of Estimators

November 11,13,18                 Hypothesis Testing
ALZ : Chapter 8
Handout V: Hypothesis Testing

Wednesday, November 20            Exam # II

November 25,27, December 2,4,9    Regression
ALZ: Chapters 9-13

TBA                               Scheduled Final Exam

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