History of the Past Charting the Future

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History of the Past / Charting the Future Arkansas Governor’s Health Care Roundtable February 7, 2008 Where are we?? • Employer sponsored care remains primary financing strategy in most states • Proportion of uninsured continues to increase (48 million U.S. citizens) • Healthcare costs (public and private) continue to exceed other growth areas • Technology & pharmaceutical advances • Uncompensated care shifted to insured • Safety net providers fragmented • Medicaid / Medicare cost-containment questionable • Children growing responsibility of public sector • Private sector modifying benefits Health care’s Iron Triangle Quality Cost Access Healthcare Financing in Transition • 1910 Flexner Report – Medical education • 1928 Penicillin discovered • 1944 first patient treated • 1941 WWII Wage controls / Employers’ response • 1957 Hill Burton Act stimulates hospitals • 1965 Medicare / Medicaid established • 1973 Federal HMO Act • 1990s Employer / Medicaid HMO expansions • 1997 State Children’s Health Insurance Program • 2003 Medicare Modernization Act Current patchwork quilt of Arkansas health insurance coverage Income 300% FPL Private Insurance 200% FPL ARKids First B 100% FPL ARKids First A (Medicaid) 0 10 Medicaid for Pregnant Women/Family Planning Medicaid w/ Disability 20 30 40 50 60 70 Medicare Age Currently Uninsured: ~520,000 Views of health care: A right or benefit? Medicaid Benefit: Governmental obligation Drivers of heath care costs: Changing demographics Illness burden Medical research Technological advancements Consumer expectations Employer Benefit: Private sector responsibility Unable to afford Increasing health care costs Unwilling to support TURMOIL Cost sharing Limited benefits Defined contributions Dropped coverage Strategies used to manage health risk No Community Insurance Individual Fully-Insured Self-Insured Rating Insurance Small Group Large Group Current patchwork quilt of Arkansas health insurance coverage Income 300% FPL Private Insurance 200% FPL ARKids First B 100% FPL ARKids First A (Medicaid) 0 10 Medicaid for Pregnant Women/Family Planning Medicaid w/ Disability 20 30 40 50 60 70 Medicare Age Currently Uninsured: ~520,000 Private employers offering insurance Employer Size Total Over 1000 employees 100-999 employees 25-99 employees 10-24 employees <10 employees Arkansas 40.8% 94.0% 94.2% 55.8% 43.9% 16.4% United States 56.3% 98.9% 94.2% 82.6% 64.0% 35.7% 2005 Medical Expenditure Panel Survey, AHRQ 2004 Uninsured All Arkansans Mountain 22.6% Northwest 16.4% Urban 6.3% Suburban 16.0% Rural 15.9% Delta 15.8% Uninsured 19-64 years of age Mountain 31.2% Northwest 23.7% Urban 8.7% Suburban 21.5% Rural 22.8% Delta 22.8% Working Uninsured 19-64 years of age Mountain 26.4% Northwest 23.0% Urban 8.3% Suburban 19.1% Rural 20.2% Delta 16.5% Arkansas Hospitals by Type Obesity Trends* Among U.S. Adults BRFSS, 1990, 1998, 2006 (*BMI ≥30, or about 30 lbs. overweight for 5’4” person) 1990 1998 2006 No Data <10% 10%–14% 15%–19% 20%–24% 25%–29% ≥30% Annual Average Total* Costs Linked to Obesity - 2006 $4,500 Pharmacy Medical $3,000 Total difference $1,297 (54%) $1,238 $785 $1,500 $2,441 $1,597 $0 No Risk Obese *Includes medical (inpatient and outpatient) and pharmacy costs for 18-84 year old state employees. Average Annual Total* Costs Linked to Obesity compared with No Risk by Age Group $10,000 $9,000 $8,000 $7,000 $3,765 No Risk Obese $5,391 $8,860 $2,801 $2,160 $1,857 $6,000 $5,000 $1,382 $3,000 $2,000 $1,000 $0 18-24 $1,230 25-34 $1,991 $4,000 35-44 $2,409 45-54 $3,266 55-64 *Includes medical (inpatient and outpatient) and pharmacy costs for state employees. $4,338 $4,522 (104%) 65-74

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