Investor presentation – October 2005
www.hydro.com
Forward-looking statements/ use of non-GAAP financial measures
In order to utilize the “safe harbor” provisions of the United States Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, Hydro is providing the following cautionary statement: This presentation contains certain forward-looking statements with respect to the financial condition, results of operations and business of the Company and certain of the plans and objectives of the Company with respect to these items. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty because they relate to events and depend on circumstances that will occur in the future. The actual results and developments may differ materially from those expressed or implied in the forward-looking statements due to any number of different factors. These factors include, but are not limited to, changes in costs and prices, changes in economic conditions, and changes in demand for the Company's products. Additional information, including information on factors which may affect Hydro's business, is contained in the Company's 2004 Annual Report on Form 20-F filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. With respect to each non-GAAP financial measure Hydro uses in connection with its financial reporting and other public communications, Hydro provides a presentation of what Hydro believes to be the most directly comparable GAAP financial measure and a reconciliation between the non-GAAP and GAAP measures. This information can be found in Hydro’s earnings press releases, quarterly reports and other written communications, all of which have been posted to Hydro’s website (www.hydro.com).
Page 2
Cautionary Note
The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation material, such as expected recoverable resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosure in our Form 20-F, SEC File No. 1-9159, available from us at our Corporate Headquarter: Norsk Hydro, N-0240 Oslo, Norway. You can also obtain this form from the SEC by calling 1-800-SEC-0330.
Page 3
Energy and aluminium - two strategic industries
Global industries Increasing demand for energy Positive growth outlook for aluminium
Page 4
Consistently delivering profitable growth
Oil and gas production
1 000 boe/day 1 000 tonnes
Aluminium production
750
2 000
1 500
500
1 000
250
500
0 1998 2003 2008E
0 1998 2003 2010E
Page 5
Positive safety development
25 20 15 10 5 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Lost time injuries
Restricted work cases
Medical treatment cases
Reported injuries per million hours, Hydro employees
Page 6
Highlights
Record high earnings High oil price and good cost control Encouraging exploration results Agreement to acquire Spinnaker Exploration Company Mixed Aluminium results Solid financials
Page 7
High oil price driven by supply concerns
OPEC spare capacity at low levels
Million bbl/day
5 4 3
USD per bbl
60 50 40 30
2
20
1 0 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
10 0
OPEC spare capacity
Sources: Pira, Reuters, Platts
Brent dated
Brent forward
Page 8
Primary aluminium market
Aluminium inventories (days of consumption) 2 200 2 000 USD per tonne 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1 000 1997 Aluminium price (LME 3m) 70 65 60 55 45 40 35 30 25 20 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 days 50
Page 9
Financial overview 2004
Operating revenues – NOK 155bn
Other 2%
EBITDA – NOK 51bn
Aluminium 17%
Aluminium 51%
Oil & Energy 47%
Oil & Energy 82%
Other 1%
Capital Employed – NOK 86bn
Other 7% Oil & Energy 42% Aluminium 51%
Page 10
Income from continuing operations*
By quarter
4 183
NOK million
3 100 2 342
Gains from divestments
3 638 2 991 3 135 3 693 3 577
2 480 2 224 1 851 1 809 2 005
1 417
241
2002 Accumulated
2003
2004
2005
7 100
8 656
11 477
11 453
* Including the effect of change in accounting principles for 1st quarter 2003 amounting to a positive effect of NOK 281 million
Page 11
Adjusted EBITDA
NOK million
13 546 12 266 12 094 11 045 9 820 7 955 7 199 6 775 9 935 8 197 9 451 13 211 15 852 15 533 17 108
2002
2003
2004
2005
Accumulated
31 749
38 628
51 117
48 493
Page 12
Return on capital significantly improved
RoaCE, percent
13.0
8.4 7.2
2002
2003
2004
RoaCE: Earnings after tax excluding financial items, divided by average capital employed
Page 13
RoaCE by business area
Oil & Energy
23.4%
Aluminium
Adjustment for write-down of German plants Actual
16.2% 11.6%
7.0 % 4.7 % 2.7 % 3.5 %
2002
2003
2004
2002
2003
2004
Page 14
Normalized RoaCE
Percent
Assumptions:
-
7.9 6.6 6.2
-
Oil price $25/bbl Aluminium price $1 500/tonne NOK/USD 7 EUR/NOK 8
Volumes and margins are not normalized Restructuring charges and gain/loss on divestments are eliminated from normalized figures
2002 2003 2004
Page 15
Strong financial position
Debt/equity ratio
Maintain current credit rating
0.67 0.60
-
S&P: A Moodys: A2
0.44 0.38 0.34
Secure financial preparedness for potential strategic opportunities Strong balance sheet allows for variance in earnings due to cyclicality Target debt/equity ratio 0.5
0.11 0.04
1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Q3
Page 16
Capital and exploration expenditure
NOK billion
Oil & Energy Exploration Aluminium
24
Other
20
19.5
NOK 20-25 bn
2004 investments as planned 2005 increase due to higher activity level
-
Projects on track Robust against cost inflation
2004 plan
2004
2005 plan
Page 17
Dividend NOK 20 per share for 2004
20.0
9.5 7.5 8.0
10.0
10.5
11.0
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
Page 18
Total Shareholder Return
2004
Hydro Statoil BG ExxonMobil ChevronTexaco Total BP Shell RoyalDutch Alcan Alcoa -20% 0% 6% -16% 20% 40% 60% 34% 28% 26% 46% 44%
2000-2004
Hydro Total BG ChevronTexaco ExxonMobil 44% 43% 30% 23% 15% 12% -17% 0% 50% 100% 150% 70% 100% 139%
26% 24% 20% 14%
Alcan Shell BP RoyalDutch Alcoa -50%
Source: Goldman Sachs
Page 19
Oil & Energy – highlights
Record result – high oil price and good cost control Successful exploration – 7 discoveries in third quarter Ormen Lange/Langeled on track – 49% complete First operatorship in Libya Agreement to acquire Spinnaker Exploration Company
Page 20
Hydro and Spinnaker – a perfect fit
Strategic acquisition and strong international expansion Attractive and broad portfolio Significant high-margin production High-quality deepwater development opportunities Substantial exploration potential World-class competence joining forces
Page 21
Exploration success
Norway 7 discoveries
Astero Troll Brent M5 Peon Oseberg B Sør Oseberg J Stetind
12 discoveries 2005 – 7 discoveries in third quarter
Russia
Norway
Denmark 1 discovery
Hejre
Canada
Iran 1 discovery
Anaran
GoM
Iran Libya
Libya 1 discovery
Angola
NC 186 I1
Angola 2 discoveries
Perpetua 2 Lirio 2
Page 22
Oil & Energy – operating income
NOK million
12 625
Exploration and Production
Energy and Oil Marketing
Eliminations
9 842 8 621 9 447
7 818 7 184 6 175 5 384 3 707 3 686 3 652 5 322 5 994
7 521
3 170
2002 Accumulated
2003
2004
2005
15 947
21 143
31 144
31 914
Page 23
Petroleum production per quarter
1 000 boe/day
Oil
448 104 110 378 338
Gas
482 452 88
596 540 143 397 552 484 156 112 396 372 116 430 373 489 166
615 569 173 147 123 442 422 391 514
591
584 539 541 142 399
176
178 154
415
406
364
385
2002 Average
2003
2004
YTD 2005
480
530
572
554
Page 24
Production costs per barrel
NOK/boe
30
25.6 25.6 20.1
20.1
Production cost
Gas for injection
28.4 26.3 24.0 22.3
25
23.2
23.2
22.9 1.7
21.2
23.9
23.9
21.1 19.8
19.8 21.1
20
17.4
2.8 14.6
15
17.1 1.1 16.0
21.0 1.2 19.8
4.9 8.0
4.2 19.8 4.7 17.6
19.6
2.5 17.1
21.4
20.4
10
5
0
2002
2003
2004
YTD 2005
Weighted average
22.6
20.7
20.7
24.6
Page 25
Continued strong production growth
1 000 boe/day
800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 1998 1999 2000 2001 Oil NCS
*Compound Annual Growth Rate, 2001 baseline
8% average annual growth*
2002
2003
2004 Gas
2005E 2006E 2007E 2008E 8% CAGR*
Oil Int
Page 26
Performance
We’re on top of our projects
Projects worth USD 15 billions from 1998 delivered on time and cost Latest oil development on NCS delivered ahead time and below cost Ormen Lange 49% completed and on track
Page 27
New fields on stream 2005 - 2007
Field Hydro Plateau Plateau (boe/day) Year
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
International
Lorien Kharyaga Dalia Rosa Oseberg South J Oseberg Vestflanken
10 000 10 000 24 000 13 000 7 000 14 000 6 500 11 000 9 000 7 500 12 500 70 000 18 000 7 000 31 500 2 500 3 000 6 000 11 000
2007 2007 2007 2008 2006 2007 2008 2007 2007 2008 2009 2009 2015 2006 2007 2007 2011 2008 2016
Development PDO submittal Start production
Operator NCS Non-operator NCS
Oseberg East Drilling solution Fram Øst Vilje Njord gas phase Oseberg Delta Ormen Lange Visund gas phase Urd (Norne satellites) Kristin Ringhorne East Rimfaks/Skinfaks IOR Volve Tyrihans
2009
Page 28
Strong production growth based on attractive project portfolio
Oil price giving 10% real rate of return post tax*
Oseberg S Njord Oseberg Oseberg E Troll Ormen Lange Tune Phase 2 Oseberg S J C Vilje Oseberg S J Njord Gas Export Libya - B-field Libya - Great Mabruk Angola - Rosa Norne Satellites Åsgard Q-project Skinfaks/Rimfaks
Operator IOR NCS Operator Development Phase Operator NCS International Partner operated NCS
0
5
10
15
20
25
*Calculations based on USD/NOK exchange rate 8
Brent USD/bbl
Page 29
Core competences
E&P value chain
Explore
• Advanced seismic acquisition, processing and interpretation
Design
• Advanced wells • Reservoir management • Sub-sea development • Flow assurance • Floating production
Execute
• Large and complex projects • Modifications • Satellite tie-ins
Operate
• Commissioning and start-up • Offshore operations • Optimised production • HES
Cave
5 branch production well
Ormen Lange
Oseberg Field Centre
Page 30
An efficient offshore operator Secures field life and adds reserves
2001 2002 Hydro Hydro Hydro Hydro 2003 2004
0
10
20
30
Source: McKinsey 2004, operators in Norway and UK
Page 31
An experienced world-scale offshore producer
Benchmark 2003
1 000 900 800 700 600 500 400
Statoil Shell Petrobras BP Hydro ExxonMobil Woodside Chevron Texaco TotalFinaElf Agip-Eni
1 000 boe/day production
Offshore operator production oil and gas, boe/day *
0 500 000 1 000 000 1 500 000 2 000 000
200 100 0
Equity
300
Operator
*Deeper than 100m 22 14
Source: Infield; McKinsey
On & offshore: World-ranking (excl. national oil companies)
Page 32
Three paths to future growth
Existing portfolio
-
Increased recovery Develop technical resources
Acquisitions Exploration
Exploration
-
Increase predictability Exploit infrastructure position Entry in new regions
Existing portfolio
Acquisitions
-
Utilize our competence Capital discipline
Short term
Long term
Page 33
Existing portfolio
Additional potential from technical resources
Canada
Hebron Annapolis Murzuq B Dahra/Garian Kharyaga
Libya
Russia
GoM
Lorien
Acasia Tulipa Anturio Rosa/Lirio/Cravo Orquidea/Violeta
Norway Angola
Discoveries to be developed Plans for optimized production
Page 34
Creating value by integrating new technologies
M bbl
1 500 1358 1328 1225 1164 1408 1447
Troll 300 = 1 900 mill. bbl
Resources Production
1 000
945
649
500 353 277 208
385
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
Test prod. Petrojarl Horizontal well
PDO Troll B PDO H-wells Gas Test prod. Province Gas province
Prod start PDO I-Wells Troll B
PDO Prod. Start Troll Pilot T-wells Troll C PDO P2 wells PDO Troll C
Increased well density
Page 35
NCS Existing portfolio Oseberg IOR
Page 36
Exploration strategy paying off
Discoveries Norway and Denmark Stetind
Discoveries Norway 2005
-
Astero Peon Troll Brent Oseberg South - B South Oseberg South - J Central
Peon
Stetind Vigdis M5 Hejre (Denmark)
Vigdis
Astero Troll Brent Oseberg Sør B Oseberg Sør J
Hejre
Page 37
Acquiring resources
Assessing the deal flow:
-
-
-
Medium and small players with high exposure and limited technology National Oil Companies in need of assistance to develop North operator capabilities America Majors optimizing their portfolios Financially oriented players wanting to realize values
Norwegian Continental Shelf Russia North Africa West Africa Middle East
Applying Hydro’s competencies to create value
-
World-class developer World-class operator
Page 38
Aluminium – highlights Higher LME prices driven by increased raw material costs Results reflecting seasonal effects downstream
-
Weak results in Extrusion and Automotive
Primary aluminium production up 5 percent
-
Alouette expansion – producing at full capacity
Page 39
The industry provides attractive opportunities
Fast-growing regional markets 2004 - 2020 Fast-growing customsegments 2004 - 2020 High growth in smelting 2004 - 2020
Aluminium demand Mtpy
Demand increase Percent
Aluminium production increase Mtpy
35
Transportation CAGR Electrical 4.6 Consumer durables 3x Packaging Engineering 5x China 2004 2020
Source: Demand model; McKinsey metals and mining practice; team analysis
28
7
World
Construction 3-6% CAGR Demand increase Shut downs New capacity
Page 40
Aluminium A unique and differentiated portfolio
2004 and 2010E**
1 000 tonnes
Equity Medium/long term contracts
Alumina *
786
934
Equity
Electrolysis metal
1 720
3rd party Remelt
Equity
Metal products
1 720
Extrusion & Rolled
185
1 733
Automotive Other
Downstream
941
626
75
•Aluminium equivalents (2 tonnes alumina per tonne aluminium) ** Including Qatar
Page 41
Aluminium A unique and differentiated portfolio
2004 and 2010E**
1 000 tonnes nes
Equity Medium/long term contracts
a Alumina *
786
934
2 000
Equity
tal Electrolysis metal
1 720
2 000
Equity 3rd party Remelt
Metal products cts
1 720
Extrusion & Rolled
185
1 733
4 300-5 000
Automotive Other
am Downstream
941
626
75 1 800-2 000
•Aluminium equivalents (2 tonnes alumina per tonne aluminium) ** Including Qatar
Page 41
Aluminium – operating income
NOK million
Metals Extrusion and Automotive Rolled Products Other and eliminations
1 629 1 341 1 269 858 842 711 653 345 412 230 (1 951) 564 530 709 1 337
2002 Accumulated
2003
2004
2005
1 698
2 456
1 805
3 520
Page 42
Energy drives primary restructuring
Net exports, 1 000 tonnes
4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0 -1 000 -2 000 -3 000 -4 000 -5 000
* Excluding China ** Rest of the world, including the Middle East Source: CRU, Hydro Aluminium
Asia* Europe USA China Canada South America Australia and New Zeeland
CIS
ROW**
2000
2005E
2012E
Page 43
Strengthening strategic positions
Improve alumina relative cost position
Improve aluminium relative cost position
Strengthen leadership position in Europe: Metal Products, Extrusion, Rolled Products and Automotive
Selective growth outside Europe: Metal Products, Extrusion, Rolled Products and Automotive
Page 44
Increasing equity alumina at lower cost
Cash cost USD/tonne 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 25 30 35 40 45 Cumulative production, million tonnes per year * After sale of alumina plant in Germany. Bauxite to Alunorte at cost. Source: CRU 2003 : Major Western World Refineries (43 mill tons, i.e 80% of world production) Hydro Aluminium estimates 0 5 10 15 20
World weighted average 2003: USD 134/tonne
2000: Hydro average USD 165/tonne
2006*: Hydro average USD 120/tonne
Page 45
Improving relative cost position 2003-2009
Cash cost USD/tonne 2 000
1 500
Hydro ’03 Total average USD 1 097/tonne
1 000
500
0 0 20 40 60 80 100 Cumulative production (%)
Assumptions: Aluminium price USD 1 500, USD/NOK 7.0, Cumulative production 27.8 million tonnes Source: CRU, Hydro Aluminium
Page 46
Improving relative cost position 2003-2009
Cash cost USD/tonne 2 000 To be closed Høyanger SØ, 22 kt Årdal SØ, 50 kt Karmøy SØ,122 kt Hydro ’03 Total average USD 1 097/tonne 1 000 New capacity 500 Alouette, 60 kt Sunndal, 250 kt 0 0 Qatar, 280 kt 20 40 60 80 100
1 500
Hydro ’10
Cumulative production (%)
Assumptions: Aluminium price USD 1 500, USD/NOK 7.0, Cumulative production 27.8 million tonnes Source: CRU, Hydro Aluminium
Page 46
Qatar – project description
Heads of agreement signed Annual capacity
-
570 000 tonnes Expansion potential up to 1 200 000 tonnes
Investments
-
Smelter and casthouse: USD 2 - 2.5 billion Power plant: USD 0.7 - 0.8 billion
Excellent location
Hydro ownership
-
49% in smelter and power station 51% in casthouse Hydro to market total tonnage
Production start-up end 2009
HAL Technology
Page 47
Attractive power contract portfolio for Hydro
Germany a challenge
Self generation and long term contracts
Norway Australia Canada Slovakia Germany Timeline
2005
2010
2015
2020
Page 48
Aluminium downstream activities
Rolled Products Extrusion
Total revenues 2004: NOK 44 bn Europe 79% North America 13% Others 8%
Automotive
43%
38%
19%
Page 49
Rolled Products: Building a stronger business
Growth in high margin segments
-
New litho line in 2005 Foil mills upgraded Increased heat exchanger volume
Delivered on improvement programs
-
Cost reduction and demanning Turnaround of underperforming units Modernization of Slim plant (Italy)
Optimize plants’ product mix High capacity utilization through strong market position
Page 50
Rolled Products: Increasing focus on higher margin segments
Shipments 941 000 tonnes
Foil 16% Litho 32%
Operating income 2004: NOK 626 million
Foil 22%
Litho 16% Strip 68%
*Jan-Sep 2004: 710 000 tonnes
Strip 46%
Page 51
Extrusion: Global growth from leading position in Europe
Consolidating leadership in Europe Closing performance gap in USA Expanding in emerging and low cost markets Growing value added business Realizing system benefits
Page 52
Automotive: Building on strengths and fixing underperformance
Precision Tubing
-
Strong financial performance New plants in China and Mexico 2005
Structures
-
Improving financial performance from low level Focusing product portfolio Restructuring ongoing
Castings
-
Improved financial performance New diesel engine line in Dillingen Production shifting towards low cost countries Leeds closure to be finalized in 2005
Page 53
A unique portfolio: Higher capital turnover
Revenues / gross investments
Factor
1.4 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4
5
EBITDA / Revenues
Percent
25
Hydro 20 Aluminium Alcoa
15
Alcan Alcoa
10
Alcan Hydro Aluminium
0.2 0.0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 1H
0 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004* 2005 1H
Source: Company reports. Hydro-estimates. Proxy figures where needed to get comparative figures * Reported figures annualized
Page 54
Hydro’s gas story
www.hydro.com
Natural gas importance increasing
2004 production
1 000 boe/day
SEC reserves
million boe
Gas 155 Oil 417
Gas 1171
Oil 905
Total: 209 million boe
Total: 2 076 million boe
Page 56
Hydro’s gas position – strongest among peers
Hydro Statoil ExxonMobil ENI BP Chevron Total Royal Dutch Shell BG ConocoPhilips Amerada Hess Marathon PetroCanada
0
5
10
15
20
25
Reserve life (years)
Source: CSFB, Global Integrated Oils
Page 57
Strong growth in equity gas production
bcm 15
10
5
Existing long term commitments (expected take) and uncommitted volumes
0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
Page 58
Infrastructure positions give high flexibility
NCS
St.Fergus
Bacton
Emden
Zeebrügge Dunkirk
Page 59
Strong long term demand for gas
Europe* -Gas supply and demand
800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 0 2002 2005 2008 2011 2014 2017 2020 2023
Norway Contracted Demand Other Production Assumed prolongations
UK Gas production and demand
120 100 80 bcm 60 40 20 0 1995
bcm
2000
2005
2010
2015 Demand
2020
2025
Production
* Demand in 22 European countries. Excludes Turkey, FSU and Balkan Source: Global Insight Supply and Demand Report June 2004, MPE Facts 2004
Page 60
Strong market prices for equity gas
Forward prices gas
USD/MMbtu p/th
7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0
Ormen Lange cost to UK
NBP
Note: German import price estimate
German import**
Sources: Argus 19 Nov 2004; GO and LSFO forwards 19 Nov 2004
Page 61
Piped gas to Europe – competitive in the future
Cost of Gas delivered to NBP (UK)
Norway CNS* Ormen Lange Algeria LNG Yamal-Nenets West of Shetlands Qatargas 2 (LNG) 0.00 0.50 1.00 1.50 2.00 2.50 3.00 3.50
$/mmbtu
* New Norway Central North Sea Source: Wood Mackenzie (November 2002); Hydro
Page 62
Additional analytical information
www.hydro.com
Indicative price and currency sensitivities 2005
Based on 2004 prices and currency
NOK million Oil price per barrel Aluminium price per tonne USD Oil & Energy USD Aluminium USD before financial items USD financial items 2) USD Net income Before tax 1 150 800 7 250 2 500 9 750 (3 100) 6 650 After tax 310 560 1 960 1 750 3 710 (1 705) 2 005
1)
Change 1 USD 100 USD 1 NOK 1 NOK 1 NOK 1 NOK 1 NOK
1) 2)
Based on average 2004 prices and expected business volumes for 2005: Oil 38 USD/bbl, Aluminium 1 700 USD/tonne and NOK/USD 6.5 USD sensitivity calculated based on long-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on long-term forward currency contracts. Cash positions denominated in USD, short-term debt denominated in USD and net USD amounts sold forward on short-term forward currency contracts are excluded.
Page 64
Consolidated income statements
NOK million Operating revenues Operating income Non-consolidated investees Financial income (expense), net Other income, net Income from continuing operations before tax and minority interest Income tax expense Minority interest Income from continuing operations Net income Earnings per share from continuing operations – NOK Earnings per share – NOK 3rd quarter 2005 44 612 12 973 237 157 13 367 (9 182) (2) 4 183 4 183 16.60 16.60 3rd quarter 2004 38 176 8 047 287 307 8 641 (6 083) (78) 2 480 2 480 9.80 9.80
For calculation of EPS, 3rd quarter 2005: 250 904 886 shares, 3rd quarter 2004: 254 138 918 shares
Page 65
Oil & Energy – operating income
Operating income, NOK million Exploration and Production Energy and Oil Marketing Eliminations Oil & Energy 3rd quarter 2005 11 799 466 360 12 625 2nd quarter 2005 9 049 660 (262) 9 447 3rd quarter 2004 7 559 272 (310) 7 521
Operational data Oil and gas production (1 000 boe/day) Realized oil price, USD/bbl Realized oil price, NOK/bbl Realized gas price, NOK/Sm³ Exploration expense, NOK million
3rd quarter 2005 541 60.40 390.60 1.36 199
2nd quarter 2005 539 49.80 317.90 1.31 240
3rd quarter 2004 514 41.70 286.20 1.07 298
Page 66
Aluminium – operating income
Operating income, NOK million Metals Rolled Products Extrusion and Automotive Other and eliminations Aluminium 3rd quarter 2005 823 182 47 (210) 842 2nd quarter 2005 715 308 59 255 1 337 3rd quarter 2004 1 016 167 (8) (317) 858
Operational data Realized aluminium price, USD/tonne Realized aluminium price, NOK/tonne Primary aluminium production, kt
3rd quarter 2005 1 770 11 550 461
2nd quarter 2005 1 842 11 955 457
3rd quarter 2004 1 667 11 736 441
Page 67
Operating income
Individual operating segment
NOK million Exploration and Production Energy and Oil Marketing Eliminations Oil & Energy Metals Rolled Products Extrusion and Automotive Other and eliminations Aluminium Other activities Corporate and eliminations Total 3rd quarter 2005 11 799 466 360 12 625 823 182 47 (210) 842 (188) (306) 12 973 2nd quarter 2005 9 049 660 (262) 9 447 715 308 59 255 1 337 109 362 11 255 3rd quarter 2004 7 559 272 (310) 7 521 1 016 167 (8) (317) 858 263 (595) 8 047
Page 68
Consolidated balance sheet
NOK million Cash and cash equivalents Short-term investments Receivables and other current assets Inventories Non-current assets Total assets Short-term interest-bearing debt Current portion of long-term debt Other current liabilities Long-term interest-bearing debt Other long-term liabilities Deferred tax liabilities Minority interest Shareholders' equity Total liabilities and shareholders' equity Shareholders' equity per share, NOK 30.09.2005 16 607 16 760 38 851 14 225 131 771 218 214 4 324 397 51 406 20 456 19 462 29 206 1 357 91 606 218 214 365.30 30.09.2004 30 246 1 632 37 251 12 458 132 770 214 357 3 326 549 46 962 26 718 16 962 33 248 1 792 84 800 214 357 335.10 31.12.2004 14 366 10 970 32 219 12 851 129 837 200 243 3 785 568 41 724 19 487 17 703 29 515 1 571 85 890 200 243 342.40
Page 69
Statement of cash flow
NOK million Operating activities: Net income Depreciation, depletion and amortization Other adjustments Net cash provided by operating activities Investing activities: Purchases of property, plant and equipment Purchases of other long-term investments Purchases of short-term investments Proceeds from sales of property, plant and equipment Proceeds from sales of other long-term investments Proceeds from sales of short-term investments Net cash used in investing activities Financing activities: Loan proceeds Principal repayments Ordinary shares purchased Ordinary shares issued Dividend paid Net cash used in financing activities Foreign currency effect on cash Net cash provided by discontinued operations Net increase (decrease) in cash and cash equivalents Cash and cash equivalents at beginning of period Cash and cash equivalents at end of period
Nine months ended 30 September 2005 Nine months ended 30 September 2004
11 453 10 598 3 334 25 385 (11 819) (444) (15 162) 1 256 747 9 545 (15 877) 677 (1 663) (1 177) 56 (5 021) (7 128) (139) 2 241 14 366 16 607
8 922 10 788 4 664 24 374 (11 243) (554) (10) 475 1 143 11 (10 178) 101 (4 028) (1 684) 29 (2 811) (8 393) (4) 9 574 15 373 14 873 30 246
Page 70
Net income*
By quarter
NOK million
Gains from divestments
4 218 3 765 3 280 2 840 2 482 2 132 2 324 2 397 2 480 2 224 3 638 3 693 3 577 4 183
513
2002 Accumulated 8 765
2003*
2004
2005
10 968
12 560
11 453
* Including the effect of change in accounting principles for 1st quarter 2003 amounting to a positive effect of NOK 281 million
Page 71
Normalized RoaCE
Per business area
Oil & Energy
13.0% 11.4% 9.2%
Aluminium
Adjustment for write-down of German plants Normalized
5.0 % 4.1 % 2.9 %
1.5 %
2002
2003
2004
2002
2003
2004
Page 72
Dividend policy
A steady development in line with the growth in the company’s results
-
Buyback and dividend
NOK million Dividend Buyback
2004 dividend above normal level due to the very strong financial position
981
30% payout ratio over time
5021
Buyback of shares – a supplement when high earnings
-
1684 1599 763 2094 1604 1718 1718 1155 555 2711 2811 2470 2576
New authorization of 10 million shares approved 1 December
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Page 73
Investment criteria
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
Strategic fit Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax Mid-cycle price assumptions
-
Oil price
USD-04/bbl 45
Hurdle Average Forward Historical
40 35 30 25 20 15 10 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Oil $25 per barrel Aluminium $1 500 per tonne USD/NOK 7 Aligned with business planning assumptions
Testing robustness at $20 / $1 400
Page 74
Investment criteria
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
Strategic fit Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax Mid-cycle price assumptions
-
Aluminium price
USD-04/tonne 2 200
Hurdle Average Forward Historical
Oil $25 per barrel Aluminium $1 500 per tonne USD/NOK 7 Aligned with business planning assumptions
2 000 1 800 1 600 1 400 1 200 1990 1995 2000 2005 2010 2015 2020
Testing robustness at $20 / $1 400
Page 75
Investment criteria
Capital discipline – basis for future profits
Strategic fit Hurdle rate 10% real IRR after tax Mid-cycle price assumptions
-
USD/NOK
10 9 8 7 6 5 1990 Historical Average Hurdle
Oil $25 per barrel Aluminium $1 500 per tonne USD/NOK 7 Aligned with business planning assumptions
Testing robustness at $20 / $1400
1994
1998
2002
2006
2010
Page 76
The Ormen Lange development concept
Nyhamna plant
Hydro’s technologies and expertise make a difference 49 percent complete
Multiphase transport Gas export
Steep and uneven terrain
Seabed development (850-1100m deep)
Page 77
Key facts Ormen Lange and Langeled project
Total field & pipeline investments Production start Ormen Lange Operations start Langeled Recoverable gas reserves Recoverable condensate Gas production Condensate production Water depth Profitable
NOK 66 bn (10 bn USD) 2003 October 2007 October 2006 397 Bcm (14 TCF) 28.5 Mcm 21.4 Bcm/yr (2.100 mmcfd) 40.000 bbl/d 850 – 1 100 metres Above $13/bbl > 10% IRR after tax
Page 78
21 billion barrels left to discover
Barents Sea: 6.2 billion barrels
High risk – high potential Oil-play potential
Norwegian Sea: 7.7 billion barrels
High risk – medium/high potential
North Sea: 7.5 billion barrels
Moderate risk – smaller structures High value per barrel
Source: NPD
Page 79
Canada Mature area opportunities in highly profitable portfolio
Existing portfolio Hibernia and Terra Nova optimization Hebron development solution Exploration Near infrastructure led exploration Mature current licence portfolio Assess risk/volume in immature basins Acquiring resources Increase technical resources in the Grand Banks area
Page 80
Angola
Diversified opportunities in profitable growth portfolio
Existing portfolio Girassol and Jasmim optimizations Dalia/Rosa development projects 3rd production hub selection Exploration Commercialize Block 4 discovery Alternative potential in Block 34 New opportunities with Sonangol P&P Significant mid-sized prospect potential Acquiring resources Additional opportunities based on proven reserves
Page 81
Russia
Legacy asset opportunities through long-term commitment
Existing portfolio Further development of Kharyaga Exploration Pursuing business opportunities Acquiring resources Shtokman Co-operation with Gazprom on the development concept
Page 82
Libya
Existing exploration potential in long-term core area
Existing portfolio Mabruk developments Murzuq developments
Exploration Exploration drilling Co-operation with Wintershall EPSA exploration round V
Acquiring resources Actively pursuing additional value creating growth opportunities
Page 83
Iran
Exploring for oil in key petroleum province
Exisiting portfolio Anaran and Khorramabad exploration acreage
Azar Well
Exploration Well testing Azar 2 - positive results Basis for long term development in Iran
Page 84
Gulf of Mexico
Commercial mindset and deep-water competence
Existing portfolio Telemark development (operator) Lorien development (non operator) Exploration Successful lease sales Operator blocks Acquiring resources Actively pursing additional value creating growth opportunities
Lorien Telemark
Page 85
Production per field – 3Q 2005
Boe/day
(oil including NGL and condensate)
Share % 38.00 34.00 17.65 34.00 6.65 10.00 9.00 9.60 9.78 15.00 9.78 13.28 5.00 25.00 9.42 8.10 15.00 13.28 20.00 20.00 40.00 34.00
3Q 04 115 000 163 000 191 000 83 000 311 000 186 000 240 000 185 000 133 000 89 000 165 000 57 000 207 000 46 000 55 000 105 000 0 67 000 31 000 25 000 16 000 32 000
Hydro 3Q 04 43 836 55 451 33 709 28 210 20 667 18 568 21 601 17 717 12 961 13 367 16 165 7 565 10 325 11 608 5 170 8 496 0 8 955 6 142 5 075 6 237 10 822
3Q 05 195 000 151 000 168 000 79 000 345 000 192 000 208 000 186 000 131 000 79 000 106 000 74 000 187 000 31 000 82 000 95 000 49 000 54 000 35 000 30 000 15 000 18 000
Hydro 3Q 05 73 951 51 347 29 660 26 726 22 914 19 206 18 683 17 900 12 779 11 908 10 376 9 885 9 346 7 803 7 728 7 706 7 414 7 160 7 051 6 053 5 994 5 983 21 309 398 883 141 795 540 678
Grane Oseberg incl C Snorre Oseberg South Ekofisk Girasol/Jasmin Gullfaks inclu. Sat C Åsgard Troll B Terra Nova Troll C Vigdis Hibernia Fram Sleipner Area Norne Kvitebjørn Tordis Njord Brage Kharyaga Oseberg East Other Oil Gas Total production
Page 86
Production per field
Total 1,000 boe/day Oseberg fields 115.7 Troll 74.9 Snorre fields 58.1 Grane 46.3 Åsgard 37.7 Sleipner fields 32.8 Tune 33.4 Gullfaks fields 28.6 Ekofisk fields 28.5 Fram Vest 12.3 Norne 11.3 Visund 6.2 Brage 6.1 Girassol 19.0 Terra Nova 16.5 Hibernia 10.2 Kharyaga 6.7 Other fields 27.7 Total 572.0 2004 Oil Gas 1,000 boe/day million CF/day 95.3 104.3 32.1 247.6 56.2 10.7 46.3 21.3 92.4 10.4 122.9 6.1 144.8 23.0 32.0 24.0 23.4 12.3 10.1 7.2 6.2 5.7 2.1 19.0 16.5 10.2 6.7 16.0 65.0 417.4 852.4 Total 1,000 boe/day 115.1 80.0 67.5 5.5 40.6 35.2 30.8 26.0 28.2 2.9 13.2 6.6 7.3 19.5 20.1 10.1 5.5 16.1 530.2 2003 Oil Gas 1,000 boe/day million CF/day 103.0 59.6 37.0 248.1 65.0 12.8 5.5 24.2 91.6 12.0 127.0 7.8 122.0 21.2 26.8 23.9 23.0 2.9 12.2 5.9 6.6 7.0 1.9 19.5 20.1 10.1 5.5 10.2 33.9 393.7 752.6
Page 87
Operating costs per boe
NOK/boe
100 80 60 40 20 0 Exploration Net transportation Other cost/income Deprec.& aband. Gas for injection Prod. cost
99.7 83.8 82.1 87.3
2002 20.3 9.0 1.4 46.4 0.4 22.2
2003 8.1 6.8 1.7 46.4 0.7 20.0
2004 6.0 8.3 0.7 46.4 2.8 17.9
YTD 2005 4.9 9.3 2.3 46.1 5.1 19.5
Production million boe
175
194
209
151
Page 88
Exploration activity and costs
NOK million
1 500 1 200 900 600 300 0 - 300
2002
Activity Expensed old wells
Expensed share
2002
2003
2004
Refund insurance Iran
2005
Capitalized share
Cost reduction Angola
Page 89
Average realized gas prices
NOK/Sm 1.50
1.20 1.07 0.98 0.89 0.86 0.99 1.03 1.01 1.06 1.10 0.98 1.07
3
1.47 1.31 1.36
1.00
0.50
0.00 2002 2003 2004 2005
Page 90
UK gas prices – NBP forward curves
Pence/th
95 85 75 65 55 45 35 25 15 Jan-04 Jan-05 Jan-06 Jan-07 Jan-08 Jan-09 End Q4 2003 End Q1 2005 End Q3 2004 End Q2 2005 End Q4 2004 End Q3 2005
Page 91
Nordic power market – forward curves
NOK/MWh
400 350 300 250 200 150 2005 End Q2 2004 End Q1 2005 End Q3 2004 End Q2 2005 End Q4 2004 End Q3 2005
2006
2007
2008
Page 92
Western World* demand expected to grow in the coming years
1 000 tonnes
40 000 35 000 3 000 30 000 25 000 20 000 15 000 10 000 5 000 0 2001 2003 2005E 2007E 2 400 2 400 4 800 5 600 5 000 8 000 2 700 2 500 5 000 5 900 5 100 2 800 2 800 5 300 6 300 5 400 3 000 5 600 6 500 5 700
% growth per segment
4.1 4.1 2.8 2.7 2.3 4.3
8 400 9 300 10 100
Other Durables Electrical and engineering B&C Packaging Transportation
* World excluding Central and Eastern Europe, China, Russia, Ukraine, North Korea Sources: BrookHunt; Hydro Aluminium
Page 93
Primary aluminium production
Primary production (1 000 tonnes) *
Karmøy Årdal Neuss Sunndal Kurri-Kurri Høyanger Søral (49.9% ownership interest) Stade Slovalco** Other
2004
278 222 223 306 155 76 82 69 157 152
2003
271 215 221 210 156 74 79 69 178
2002
273 206 173 153 122 73 67 48 138
Total
* ** Full consolidation of Slovalco from 2004 Slovalco introduced 100% from 2004
1 720
1 473
1 253
Page 94
Aluminium – operational data
Volumes and prices
Primary production (1 000 tonnes) * Total metal products sales excluding trading (1 000 tonnes) LME realized (USD/tonne) including hedges USD/NOK realized including hedges ** LME realized (USD/tonne) excluding hedges USD/NOK realized excluding hedges ** Rolled Products external shipment (1 000 tonnes) Extrusion and Automotive external revenues (NOK million) Extrusion order intake (indexed, 1996=100) * **
Q3 2005
461 741 1 770 6.53 1 796 6.44 244 6 146 194
Q2 2005
457 835 1 842 6.49 1 886 6.27 243 6 909 223
Q1 2005
444 802 1 783 6.58 1 812 6.35 239 6 511 210
Q4 2004
446 735 1 678 6.65 1 707 6.61 231 6 580 184
Q3 2004
441 752 1 667 7.04 1 691 6.87 234 6 572 205
Q2 2004
418 776 1 647 7.10 1 669 6.89 235 6 476 232
Q1 2004
415 786 1 525 7.13 1 530 6.90 240 7 459 223
Full consolidation of Slovalco from 2004 Difference between realized exchange rate and spot rate at the transaction date is reported as currency gain/loss and not included in EBITDA (except currency hedges where hedge accounting is applied)
Page 95
Inventories – primary aluminium
1 000 tonnes
5 000 4 000 3 000 2 000 1 000 0
1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005*
Sources: IAI and LME, 2005* as of end-August
IAI (Producers' inventories)
LME (London Metal Exchange)
Page 96
Operating income – Adjusted EBIT – Adjusted EBITDA
Full year 2004
NOK million
Operating income Noncons. investees Interest income Selected fin. items Other income Adj. EBIT Depr. and amort. Adj. EBITDA
Exploration and Production Energy and Oil Marketing Eliminations Oil & Energy Metals Rolled Products Extrusion and Automotive Other and eliminations Aluminium Other activities Corporate and eliminations Total
28 363 2 650 131 31 144 830 626 277 72 1 805 312 (1 414) 31 847
4 73 (2) 75 281 (13) 113 381 170 2 628
46 35 81 5 3 15 23 130 739 973
3 (3) 1 1 107 (1) (5) 101 108 (20) 190
59 59 110 169
28 416 2 814 130 31 360 1 223 615 400 72 2 310 830 (693) 33 807
9 752 664 2
10 418
38 168 3 478 132 41 778 5 396 1 361 1 827 72 8 656 1 363 (680) 51 117
4 173 746 1 427 6 346 533 13
17 310
Page 97
Operating income – Adjusted EBIT – Adjusted EBITDA
Third quarter 2005
NOK million
Operating income Noncons. investees Interest income Selected fin. items Other income Adjusted EBIT Depr. and amort. Adjusted EBITDA
Exploration and Production Energy and Oil Marketing Eliminations Oil & Energy Metals Rolled Products Extrusion and Automotive Other and eliminations Aluminium Other activities Corporate and eliminations Total
11 799 466 360 12 625 823 182 47 (210) 842 (188) (306) 12 973
58 (1) 57 129 (6) 11 134 46 237
3 7 10 2 4 6 26 185 227
3 1 4 38 (1) (1) 36 56 5 101
-
11 805 532 359 12 696 990 177 61 (210) 1 018 (60) (116) 13 538
2 316 178 2 494 438 166 326 930 141 5 3 570
14 121 710 359 15 190 1 428 343 387 (210) 1 948 81 (111) 17 108
Page 98
Pensions
NOK million
Total Pension Obligations Pension Plan Assets Funded status of the plans Net accrued pension recognized on balance sheet Unrecognized prior service costs and net loss
2004
(25 399) 16 504 (8 895) (1 371) (7 524)
2003
(23 456) 14 669 (8 787) (852) (7 935)
2002
(19 422) 12 116 (7 306) (265) (7 041)
Funded status of the plans Termination benefits and other pension plans Total net unfunded pension obligation Total net periodic pension cost
(8 895) (1 161) (10 056) 2 121
(8 787) (1 184) (9 971) 2 073
(7 306) (1 111) (8 417) 1 322
Weighted-average assumptions at end of year
Discount rate Expected return on plan assets Rate of compensation increase
2004
5.2% 6.3% 3.1%
2003
5.9% 7.0% 3.5%
2002
6.7% 7.9% 3.5%
Page 99
Financial solidity – calculation
Amounts in NOK million [A] [B] [C] [D] [E] [F]=[A]+[B] +[C]+[D]+[E] [G] [H] [I]=[G]+[H] [J] [K]=[F]+[I]+[J] [L] [M] [N]=[L]+[M] [O] [P] [Q]=[N]+[O]+[P] Cash and cash equivalents Short-term investments Bank loans and other interest-bearing short-term debt Current portion of long-term debt Long-term debt Net interest-bearing debt Net pension liabilities at fair value Expected income tax benefit 30% Net pension liabilities tax adjusted Operating lease commitments discounted at 4.8% (2004: 10%) Adjusted net interest-bearing debt Net pension liabilities not recognized without equity effect Expected income tax benefit 30% Equity adjustment off-balance sheet pension liabilities Minority interest Shareholders' equity Adjusted shareholders’ equity and minority 31 December 2001 27 148 2 421 (8 458) (1 966) (37 853) (18 708) (2 133) 640 (1 493) (5 072) (25 272) (2 767) 830 (1 937) 1 051 74 793 73 907 31 December 2002 5 965 2 647 (7 306) (1 958) (30 902) (31 554) (10 107) 3 032 (7 075) (4 924) (43 552) (6 994) 2 098 (4 896) 1 143 75 867 72 114 31 December 2003 15 249 1 581 (5 569) (1 242) (28 568) (18 549) (11 973) 3 592 (8 381) (4 916) (31 846) (7 862) 2 358 (5 504) 660 88 080 83 236 31 December 2004 14 366 10 970 (3 785) (568) (19 487) 1 496 (10 056) 3 017 (7 039) (3 500) (9 043) (6 341) 1 902 (4 439) (1 571) (85 890) (83 022) 30 September 2005 16 607 16 760 (4 324) (397) (20 456) 8 189 (10 879) 3 264 (7 615) (4 062) (3 488) (6 340) 1 902 (4 438) (1 357) (91 606) (88 525)
[R]=[K] / [Q]
Adjusted debt / equity ratio
0.34
0.60
0.38
0.11
0.04
Page 100
Page 101