The Washington Poll Election 2008

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The Washington Poll Election 2008

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10/28/2008
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About the Poll The Washington Poll is a non-partisan, academic survey research project sponsored by the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity & Race (WISER), a research center at the University of Washington in the School of Social Sciences. Dr. Matt Barreto, an Assistant Professor of Political Science is the Director of WISER and a co-principal investigator on this survey. The survey was administered by telephone, by Pacific Market Research, in Renton, WA, based on a randomly selected list of phone numbers using a list of registered voters. The survey was in the field from October 18 – 26, 2008. A total of 600 registered voters throughout the state of Washington were interviewed, yielding in a 4.0% margin of error. Percentages may not add up to 100% due to rounding. A second poll of 400 registered voters will be fielded Oct 27- Nov 1 2008, and results will be released on Nov 1. Questions/Comments: info@washingtonpoll.org The Washington Poll 2008 Presidential Vote Choice: If the election for president were held today, and the candidates were Barack Obama, the Democrat, John McCain, the Republican, Ralph Nader, the Independent, Bob Barr the Libertarian, or Cynthia McKinney the Green, for whom would you vote? Obama – Certain Obama – could change Undecided – lean Obama 51 % 3 1 32% 55% McCain – Certain McCain– could change Undecided – lean McCain 2 0 5% 6% 34% Someone Else Undecided/Don’t know Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% The Washington Poll 2008 Presidential Vote Choice: If the election for President were held today, who would you vote for? ( read across  ) Obama McCain Other Democrat Republican Independent Puget Sound region Eastern Washington 96% 8% 52% 61% 40% 2% 86% 26% 28% 51% 1% 2% 12% 5% 5% Undec. 2% 4% 11% 6% 4% Other part of state Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 56% 32% 6% 7% The Washington Poll 2008 Gubernatorial Vote Choice: If the election for Governor were held today, and the candidates were Christine Gregoire, the Democrat, or Dino Rossi, the GOP candidate, for whom would you vote? Gregoire – Certain Gregoire – could change Undecided – lean Gregoire 48 % 3 0.4 43% 51% Rossi – Certain Rossi – could change Undecided – lean Rossi 1 1 45% Undecided/Don’t know Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 3.5% The Washington Poll 2008 Gubernatorial Vote Choice: If the election for Governor were held today, who would you vote for? ( read across  ) Gregoire Rossi Democrat Republican Independent Puget Sound region Eastern Washington 90% 7% 48% 57% 34% 7% 93% 47% 40% 61% Undec. 4% 0% 5% 4% 5% Other part of state Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 55% 43% 1% The Washington Poll Initiative 985: On statewide ballot initiative 985 -- a transportation measure that would open carpool lanes to all traffic during non-peak hours and ask that toll money only be spent on the highway where it was collected, and other provisions -- will you vote yes or no on 985 ? Yes I-985 – Certain Yes I-985 – could change Undecided – lean Yes No I-985 – Certain No I-985– could change Undecided – lean No 36 % 6 3 39% 45% 3 1 12% 43% Undecided/Don’t know Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% The Washington Poll Initiative 985: On statewide ballot initiative 985, a transportation measure that would open carpool lanes to all traffic during non-peak hours and ask that toll money only be spent on the highway where it was collected, and other provisions, will you vote yes or no on 985? Yes Democrat Republican Independent Puget Sound region 33% 56% 49% 47% No 55% 27% 44% 40% Undecided 12% 18% 7% 14% Eastern Washington Other part of state Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 46% 42% 41% 52% 13% 7% The Washington Poll Initiative 1000: On statewide ballot initiative 1000 -- a measure that would allow terminally ill adults with six months or less to live to receive a prescription for a life-ending medication -- will you vote yes or no on 1000? Yes I-1000 – certain Yes I-1000 – could change Undecided – lean Yes No I-1000 – certain No I-1000 – could change Undecided – lean No Undecided/Don’t know Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 51 % 3 2 35 3 0 6% 56% 38% The Washington Poll Initiative 1000: On statewide ballot initiative 1000 -- a measure that would allow terminally ill adults with six months or less to live to receive a prescription for a life-ending medication -- will you vote yes or no on 1000? Yes Democrat Republican Independent Puget Sound region 75% 25 60 55 No 21% 66 35 39 Undecided 5% 9 5 7 Eastern Washington Other part of state Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 53 62 41 35 6 4 The Washington Poll Initiative 1029: On statewide ballot initiative 1029 -- a measure that would raise standards for long-term care workers, such as increased training and examinations -- will you vote yes or no on 1029? Yes on I-1029 – certain Yes on I-1029 – could change Undecided – lean Yes No on I-1029 – certain No on I-1029 – could change Undecided – lean No 55 % 7 3 17% 3 0 65% 20% Undecided/Don’t know 15% Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% The Washington Poll Initiative 1029: On statewide ballot initiative 1029 -- a measure that would raise standards for longterm care workers, such as increased training and examinations -- will you vote yes or no on 1029? Yes Democrat 72% No 16% Undecided 12% Republican Independent Puget Sound region Eastern Washington Other part of state Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% 52 68 64 69 63 28 19 20 19 22 20 14 17 12 15 The Washington Poll Proposition 1: On Proposition 1 -- a public transit measure that would expand light rail into the Seattle suburbs at the cost of 17.9 billion dollars -- will you vote yes or no on Proposition 1? Yes on Prop. 1 – certain Yes on Prop. 1 – could change Undecided – lean Yes No on Prop. 1 – certain No on Prop. 1 – could change Undecided – lean No Undecided/Don’t know 38% 7 5 36% 4 3 7% 50% 43% Only among voters in RTID ~ sample = 211, margin of error is +/- 6.7 The Washington Poll Proposition 1: On Proposition 1 -- a public transit measure that would expand light rail into the Seattle suburbs at the cost of 17.9 billion dollars -- will you vote yes or no on Proposition 1? Yes Democrat Republican Independent King County Pierce/Snohomish Statewide sample = 600 registered voters, +/- 4% No 24% 80 37 41 45 Undecided 9% 4 10 6 10 68% 15 53 53 45 Additional Results If you have additional questions, and would like to see any additional, or more specific results, please send us an email and we will try to accommodate your request mbarreto@washington.edu lorenc2@u.washington.edu

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