The role of palm oil production in land-use change in tropical

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							The role of palm oil production in
     land-use change in tropical
  countries and perspectives for
            improvement
                 XVI Conferencia Internacional Sobre Palma de Aceite
                               Cartagena - Colombia,
                                Septiembre 24, 2009
                                            André Faaij
                  Copernicus Institute - Utrecht University
                    Task Leader IEA Bioenergy Task 40

Copernicus Institute
Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
           Global debate on palm oil for energy

•  Negative side-effects of rapidly
   expanding commodities such as palm oil
   in Malaysia and Indonesia, or soy
   cultivation in Argentina, also ethanol from
   sugarcane under investigation
•  Overexploitation should be avoided and
   sustainability criteria implemented
•  Sustainability criteria will have a direct
   impact on international bioenergy trade




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                                  Canada                             E. Europe
                                                         W. Europe
                                                                      & CIS
                                       USA

                                                                                              Japan



                                                                                 South East
                  ethanol
                  Ethanol
                                                                                    Asia
                                              Brazil
                  Pellets
                  pellets

                   palm &
                  Palm oiloil &
                  agricultural
                   agricultural
                  residues
                   residues




                            Wood Pellets
                            Ethanol
                            Palm Oil & Ag Residues
Copernicus Institute                                   [IEA Task 40; www.bioenergytrade.org]
Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
       Overview of existing certification systems
   Forestry: e.g. FSC, PEFC, FFCS…
   •  Developed over last 10-15 years
   •  Coverage: niche-market - >95%, depending on region
   •  Criteria mainly sustainable production
   Agriculture: e.g. EUREPGAP, SAN
   •  produced in environmental sustainable way
   •  safer or healthier for the consumer
   •  Some following ‘fair trade’ principles
   Green electricity: e.g. EUGENE, Milieukeur, ok-power
   •  In/exclusion of different biomass types & conversion
        technologies
   •  No criteria so far on biomass production
Copernicus Institute
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    Different companies with different focus and
      responsibilities for biomass certification:
      example of biomass transportation fuels




Copernicus Institute
Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation   Source: M. van Vaals, 2006
                                       Introduction
  •  Discussion of sustainability issues of palm oil
  •  Attempts to verify sustainability:
         –  RSPO, international
         –  RTFO, UK
         –  Cramer Commission, NL
  •  1 Cramer Criterion is GHG balance: bio-
     electricity must reduce GHG emissions by at
     least 50% to 70% compared to a fossil
     reference electricity system
       Case study on GHG balance of electricity
       from Malaysian CPO and PFAD (Sabah,
       Malaysia)
Copernicus Institute
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              CPO-Based Electricity
• from OP Plantation (Kalimantan,
Malaysia)                                                        CPO Production Chain

• to NG power plant (the                                                Oil palm
Netherlands)                                                           plantation



                                                                          FFB



                                                                      Palm oil mill

                                                                          CPO


                                                                      Co-firing in
                                                                      power plant
 Copernicus Institute
 Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
          PFAD-Based Electricity
                                                    PFAD Production Chain

                                                           CPO



                                                         CPO refinery



                                                           PFAD
•  Main product of CPO refining:
   RBD palm oil
•  PFAD - by-product
•  Transported to NL                                      Co-firing in
                                                          power plant
•  Co-fired with NG at Essent’s
   Copernicus Institute
   Claus power plant and Innovation
   Research Institute for Sustainable Development
                   Introduction
 •  Discussion of sustainability issues of palm oil
 •  Attempts to verify sustainability:
    –  RSPO, international
    –  RTFO, UK
    –  Cramer Commission, NL
 •  1 Cramer Criterion is GHG balance: bio-
    electricity must reduce GHG emissions by
    30% (2007) and 50% (2011) compared to a
    fossil reference electricity system
            Case study on GHG balance of electricity
       from
            Malaysian CPO (Sabah, Malaysia) based on
Copernicus Institute
            Cramer methodology
Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
                        Methodology
“Cradle-to-Grave” emissions:
   –  Land use change: Emissions from converting land from one
      land type to another (based on IPCC guidelines for national
      GHG inventories);
   –  Plantation: fossil energy inputs, fertilizer production and
      application;
   –  Mill: fossil energy inputs and emissions from by-products;
   –  Transport: fossil energy input

Net avoided GHG emissions are calculated by comparing
  emissions of 1 kWh from the palm oil electricity chain to 1 kWh
  from a fossil electricity chain

5 fossil electricity reference systems: Claus power plant with
   natural gas only, modern natural gas, coal, Dutch average
    Copernicus Institute
   electricityforproduction, European average electricity production
    Research Institute   Sustainable Development and Innovation
Components of GHG Balance of CPO Chain
GHG flows                               System boundaries               Byproducts:
Land use conversion
                                                 Oil palm
Fossil energy inputs                            plantation
Fertilizer production
and application                                                                   PKS and Fibre
                                                    FFB                        (feedstock for biomass
                                                                                       boiler)

                                                                                      EFB
                                                                                (spread on field as
Fossil energy inputs                          Palm oil mill                          fertilizer)

                                                                                      POME
                                                                              (methane emissions from
Fossil energy inputs                                                              ponding system)
                                                   CPO
for transport to NL
                                                                               Kernels
                                                                                                      Animal   Soy
    Combustion of CPO                         Co-firing in                               PKE           feed    meal
                                              power plant                          PKO         Surfactants     Crude
                                                                                                                oil

    Emission                                  System
  Copernicus Institute     Carbon                                 Emissions
    credit                                   boundaries
                            neutral
  Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
Components GHG Balance of PFAD Chain
 GHG emissions from:                                   CPO        Main
                                                                  product of
  Fossil energy inputs                                            refinery:
                                                 CPO refinery                  Allocation of
                                                                               emissions by
  Alternative use of                                                RBD oil    market price
  PFAD
                                                    PFAD                       Emissions
  Fossil energy
  inputs for transport                                                            Carbon
                                                                                  neutral
  to NL

      Combustion of PFAD                           Co-firing in                  System
                                                                                boundaries
                                                   power plant


                                           System boundaries
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          GHG Emissions from Palm-Oil-Based Electricity
                      vs. Fossil Electricity




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          Management Improvements
- Planting oil palm on
degraded land

- Collection of POME
biogas in a closed anaerobic
digester and production of
electricity

- Improved FFB yields

- Reduced inorganic
fertilizer application by
applying POME sludge after
treatment
   Copernicus Institute
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    GHG Emission Reductions: Comparison
     with different fossil reference systems




Copernicus Institute
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             GHG Emission Reductions:
              Methodological Issues


                                                                70%
                                                                50%




Copernicus Institute
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        GHG Emission Reductions:
         Methodological Issues

                                                                50%




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                                         Discussion
•  Allocation of emissions from land use
   change: time period is important
•  Allocation vs. system extension: limited
   impact on results, only in those cases that
   are already borderline




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                                         Discussion
•  Different fossil reference systems: low
   impact on reaching emission targets, only in
   borderline cases
•  Sensitivity: land use conversion (above
   ground biomass and soil carbon) most
   sensitive while emission factors for fertilizer
   production have only little effect on results



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                                       Conclusions
•  PFAD can already at present fulfill GHG
   emission reduction targets of Cramer
   Commission, but are not the “silver bullet”
   because of limited availability and
   underlyung methodological assumptions
•  CPO from previously natural rainforest and
   peatland have a negative GHG balance
   compared to fossil reference systems


 Copernicus Institute
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                                       Conclusions
•  From a GHG reduction perspective: new oil
   palm plantation development should ideally
   take place on degraded land: large emission
   reductions and even a net CO2 uptake can
   be achieved
•  Other improvements in management of the
   plantation and mill can increase this emission
   reduction even further


 Copernicus Institute
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                                      Conclusions
 •  Case study shows that current production of CPO on
    logged over forest can reduce GHG emissions by
    30% and 50%. compared to various fossil reference
    systems
 •  Improvements in management of the plantation and
    mill can increase this emission reduction even further
 •  When CPO is produced on previously degraded land
    large emission reductions and even a net CO2
    uptake can be achieved
 •  CPO from previously natural rainforest and peatland
    have a negative GHG balance compared to fossil
    reference systems
 •  Variables of CPO production show large ranges,
    which will also cause the GHG emission reductions to
    vary significantly.
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                                               Outline
•  Introduction
•  LUC in IND and MY
•  Direct causes and
     underlying drivers of LUC
•  Projections for future LUC
•  Discussions
•  Conclusions
•  Recommendations
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                                         Introduction
•  Sustainability discussion of palm oil production in
   general and its energetic use specifically, e.g.:
 o  Deforestation        o  Peatland fires
 o  Loss of biodiversity o  Land tenure & human rights conflicts
 o  GHG emissions        o  Price increases in cooking oil
        Land use change (LUC) is an important factor in
        unsustainability problem of palm oil
•  Objectives of this study
1)  Provide insight into past land use change (LUC) in Indonesia
   and Malaysia and the specific role that palm oil plantations
   have played in this change
2) Project future LUC induced by possible oil palm expansion
  Copernicus Institute
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                           LUC in IND and MY
                               Approach
Overview of past developments in land use is based
  on data from Indonesian and Malaysian Bureau of
  Statistics, other government websites and reports,
  FAO STAT, NGO reports, academic literature
Not analysing satellite images, but using results from
  satellite image analysis.
Land categories:
   o forest cover                                                o permanent crops (w/o palm oil)
   o forest plantations                                          o permanent pastures
   o shrubland and savannah                                      o mature and immature palm oil
   o grassland                                                   o degraded land
   o arable
 Copernicus Institute land                                       o rest category
 Research Institute for Sustainable Development and Innovation
                           LUC in Indonesia




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                             LUC in Malaysia




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                        Causes and Drivers
  Indonesia                                                        Malaysia
Direct causes: Palm oil alone    Direct causes:
   cannot explain the large loss  Palm oil expansion and other
   in forest cover but rather a   agricultural production
   web of interrelated direct       (Peninsular Malaysia and
   causes (including logging,        increasingly in Sabah)
   palm oil expansion and other Logging (Sabah and Sarawak)
   agricultural production and    Shifting agriculture (Sabah
   forest fires) is responsible.     and Sarawak)




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                       Causes and Drivers
 Indonesia                                                          Malaysia
Underlying drivers:                                               Underlying drivers:
  Population growth (and                                            Population growth,
    transmigration),                                                Economic growth,
  Economic growth,                                                  Agriculture and forestry
  Agriculture and forestry                                          prices,
    prices,                                                         Policy and institutional
  Policy and institutional                                          factors.
    factors.




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                         Projections for 2020
Four projections of palm oil expansion based on literature:
                                Base         Improved                                 Base    Improved
     Indonesia                  case           case                Malaysia           case      case
     Yields                       3.5              5.9             Yields               4.3        6.1
     (t CPO ha-1 y-1)                                              (t CPO ha-1 y-1)
                                                   Expansion (Mha)
     Past trends                 17.5              6.2             Past trends          2.9        1.5
     FAO                            7              0.9             FAO                  2.7        1.3
     IPOC                         4.5              0.9             MPOB                 1.1        -0.5
     Provincial                    20              7.4             9th Malaysian        4.6        2.8
     plans                                                         Plan
     (Colchester et
     al. 2006)
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               Projections for 2020 II
Reference land use projections
BAU (Business as usual):      Negative trends of deforestation
                              and agricultural production
SI (Small improvements):      expansion continue

Sus (Sustainability): no deforestation, limited agricultural (w/o
                    palm oil) expansion according to FAO
                    projections
Palm oil expansion
BAU: on all land
SI:        only on land with previous non-forest cover,
Sus: only on degraded land; assuming that all degraded
           land is available (point for discussion)
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               Matching land
      requirements with land availability
                                                              Indonesia               Malaysia
Palm oil projections                                BAU            SI     Sus   BAU      SI      Sus
                                base                              X      X     X        X       X
Past trends
                                improved                                                    X
                                base                                         X        X       X
FAO
                                improved                                                    X
                                base                                                        
IPOC / MPOB
                                improved                                                    
Provincial plans /              base                              X      X     X        X       X
9th MY plan                     improved                                     X        X       X
   Copernicus Institute
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          LUC until 2020 Indonesia
 Business as Usual –                                                Sustainability –
Provincial plans (base)                                          Past trends (improved)



                                                   Land
                                                   area
                                                   (Mha)




                                      Projection                                 Projection




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                    Discussion -
                   Degraded Land
•  Availability?
        Uncertainties in, for example, area, location and
       level of degradation, and current use affects
       availability

•  Indirect land use change?
        Current users of degraded land may be displaced
       (possibly into still forested land)

•  Reduced yields?
              Use of degraded land is likely to result in reduced
             yields which in turn would require more land to
             produce the same amount of palm oil as from higher
             quality land
 Copernicus Institute
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                               Discussion –
                            Yield Improvements

How to improve yields ?
  – Practise good harvesting standards;
  – Quick transport (FFA content of oil);
  – Appropriate replanting programme, including
    planting the latest high yielding planting materials
  – Etc.

                                                                 Source: Jalani et al. 2002



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                                        Conclusions
•  LUC and palm oil expansion
  –  Data availability problems
  –  Palm oil has certainly played a role in
     LUC
•  Degraded land
  –  Large uncertainties (amount of land,
     location, current use and ownership,
     and level of degradation)
  –  Current users
•  Palm oil production expansion
  –  yield improvements are very important

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                           Recommendations
                                                                           Research
     Palm oil producers                                           –  Causes and chain of
–  Improve yields;                                                   causes of LUC;
–  Proper replanting;                                             –  Extent and availability of
–  Improve oil extraction rate.                                      degraded land; and
                                                                  –  Palm oil production on
                                                                     degraded land.

           Governments and international community
          – Stimulate improved management and use of
            degraded land by various policies;
          – Set up case studies on degraded land; and
          – Implement measures to stop deforestation.
  Copernicus Institute
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                                   Thank you
                               for your attention!
For more information see:
• Report:
• Website:
   www.chem.uu.nl/nws

       Contact information:
        b.wicke@uu.nl

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                              Final remarks (I)
  •  Future land use for palm (and LUC) depends on:
  •   the size of the projected expansion
  •  the kind of land converted.
  •  best management practices of palm oil production are
     implemented
  •  earlier replanting with higher yielding planting
     materials takes place,
  •  new plantations are being established on degraded
     land only.
  •  Research on expected palm oil yields on degraded
     land and how they can be further improved.

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                             Final remarks (II)
•  Strategies for improving the impact of palm oil production growth
   on LUC can be incorporated in sustainability certification systems.
   RSPO includes management practices (Principle 4) and the use of
   degraded land for new plantations is encouraged (Principle 7).
•  The use of degraded land for palm oil production, however, should
   be combined with an investigation current uses and ownership of
   degraded land in order to avoid indirect LUC, land tenure conflicts,
   and other possible environmental and social impacts.
•  Other direct causes and underlying drivers for LUC, also need to
   be implemented.
•  include the REDD (reduced emissions from deforestation and
   degradation) mechanism in the post-2012 climate change regime
•  Key conditions for better land use planning and policy are
   improved monitoring of land use and more research to uncover
   the complexities and dynamics of the numerous causes and
   drivers of LUC.

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