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					Community Profile of: City or Township: Zip Code:

LOCUST VALLEY OYSTER BAY 11560

2000 CENSUS POPULATION DATA
Nassau County 0 - 6 Years 7 - 20 Years 21+ Years TOTAL 0 - 4 Years 5 - 9 Years 10 - 14 Years 15 - 19 Years 20 Years 0 - 20 Years Female Male Median Age Median Family Income 1989 1999 124,164 248,613 961,767 1,334,544 86,628 96,192 93,441 82,662 13,854 372,777 181,087 191,690 38.5 Town of Oyster Bay 27,457 52,182 214,286 293,925 19,153 21,292 20,501 16,379 2,314 79,639 38,552 41,087 39.8 11560 - Locust Valley Zip-Code Area 675 1,173 4,967 6,815 478 478 482 355 55 1,848 923 925 40.1

$60,619 $81,246

$63,665 $87,461

$68,258 $95,176

1980-2000 YOUTH POPULATION FOR LOCUST VALLEY
2,034 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 1980 1990 2000 1,655

1,848

7-20 Years 0-6 Years

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 2

2000 POPULATION PROJECTION DATA

Nassau County

Town of Oyster Bay

11560 -Locust Valley Zip-Code Area

0 - 6 Years 7 - 20 Years 21+ Years TOTAL 0 - 4 Years 5 - 9 Years 10 - 14 Years 15 - 19 Years 20 Years 0 - 20 Years

118,978 231,792 978,505 1,329,275 83,639 90,106 82,042 79,040 15,943 350,770

22,496 49,305 218,082 289,884 16,110 16,875 17,814 17,385 3,618 71,801

519 1,354 5,068 6,940 370 371 508 508 116 1,872

1990-2000 LOCUST VALLEY POPULATION PROJECTIONS FOR FOUR AGE GROUPS
600

500

400 0-4 300 5-9 10-14 15-19 200

100

0 2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 3

TEMPORARY ASSISTANCE TO NEEDY FAMILIES (Formerly AFDC) (NUMBER OF INDIVIDUALS)

Town of Year 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Nassau County 15,963 15,337 13,321 12,410 11,950 12,607 15,317 16,528 20,129 20,622 20,229 17,800 14,940 12,706 10,825 Oyster Bay 1,051 946 807 782 704 737 898 963 1,245 1,366 1,211 954 836 695 695

16-20 y Zip-Code Area 46 43 40 24 20 18 31 29 29 39 34 29 14 12 15

1987-1999 LOCUST VALLEY, NASSAU COUNTY AND TOWN OF OYSTER BAY AFDC RATES PER 1000 RESIDENTS
16.00 14.00 12.00

Rate Per 1,000

10.00 8.00 6.00 4.00 2.00 0.00 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

Nassau County

Oyster Bay Town

16-20 y

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 4

11560 ZIP-CODE AREA RESIDENT YOUTH OFFENSES 7-15 Years Old Station Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Arrests 3 2 0 15 1 1 2 2 13 Adjustments 6 5 14 15 5 4 8 7 9 16-20 Years Old Subjects of Investigation 11 5 11 9 3 8 2 8 7 Subjects of Investigation 2 0 10 0 5 4 1 4 9 Totals 11 7 24 35 11 9 11 13 31 All Ages Total Incidents* 43 29 42 50 21 31 22 35 50

Year 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Arrests 21 16 7 5 7 14 9 14 8

Totals 32 22 18 14 10 22 11 22 19

Locust Valley and Nassau County Youth Offense Rates Per 1,000: 1988-1999
60.0 50.0

Rate Per 1,000

40.0 30.0 20.0 10.0 0.0 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

Locus Valley

Nassau County

* Total incidents include arrests, station adjustments and subjects of investigation for 1988-1999. Youth offense data does not include data on convictions following from some of these arrests.

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 5

11560 ZIP-CODE AREA RESIDENT YOUTH OFFENSES

Youth Offense Rate Per 1000 Resident Youth For Combined Offense Types and Total
Drug & Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Violent & Property 7.2 5.5 1.8 3.6 9.2 6.3 4.3 3.7 1.9 3.8 Status 5.4 0.9 0.9 8.1 5.5 1.8 4.3 0.9 8.5 7.6 Theft 7.2 16.4 7.4 3.6 10.1 1.8 3.5 2.8 5.7 8.6 Criminal Nonconf 0.0 1.8 3.7 1.8 3.7 1.8 0.0 0.0 1.9 1.9 Other 0.0 4.5 2.8 8.1 2.7 0.9 3.5 0.9 0.9 7.6 Total 28.7 39.1 26.8 37.7 45.8 18.9 26.9 20.5 33.2 47.8 Alcohol Threatening 6.3 2.7 4.6 1.8 0.9 4.5 6.9 4.7 0.9 4.8 2.7 6.4 5.5 6.3 13.7 1.8 4.3 7.4 7.6 9.6

Youth Offenses For Combined Offense Types and Total
Year 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Drug & Violent & Alcohol Threatening 7 3 3 7 5 6 2 7 1 15 5 2 8 5 1 5 5 8 8 10 Property 8 6 2 4 10 7 5 4 2 4 Status 6 1 1 9 6 2 5 1 9 8 Theft 8 18 8 4 11 2 4 3 6 9 Criminal Nonconf 0 2 4 2 4 2 0 0 2 2 Other 0 5 3 9 3 1 4 1 1 8 Total 32 43 29 42 50 21 31 22 35 50

1990-1997 Violent & Threatening, and Drug & Alcohol Youth Offense Rates in Locust Valley and Nassau County
16.0 14.0 12.0 10.0

Per 1,000

8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1990

1991 1992 1993 Nassau County Alc/Drug /k Locust Vly Alc/Drug /k

1994

1995 1996 1997 Nassau County Violent/Threat/k Locust Vly Violent/Threat/k

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 6

1997 YOUTH OFFENSES IN LOCUST VALLEY: THE OFFENDERS' COMMUNITY OF RESIDENCE
Other NYS 5% Suffolk 5% NYC 5% Bayville 5% Glen Cove 5% Locust Valley 74%

Total Offenses in Locust Valley: 19

WHERE WERE LOCUST VALLEY YOUTH COMMITTING OFFENSES IN 1997?
Manhasset 5% Bayville 14%

Westbury 18%

Locust Valley 64%

Total Offenses by Locust Valley Youth: 22

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 7

Resident Locust Valley Runaway and Homeless Youth by Age Group
1991-97 Percent 1997 Change 0
0.0%

Age 10 Yr & Less
%

1991 0
0.0%

1992 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

1993 0
0.0%

1994 0
0.0%

1995 0
0.0%

1996 0
0.0%

11 to 12
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

13
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

14
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

1
20.0%

0
0.0%

2
40.0%

1
100.0%

15
%

1
100.0%

2
20.0%

1
20.0%

1
100.0%

0
0.0%

0 -100.0%
0.0%

16
%

0
0.0%

2
20.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

17
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

2
40.0%

0
0.0%

18
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

2
40.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

0
0.0%

19 to 20
%

0
0.0%

1
10.0%

1
20.0%

0
0.0%

1
20.0%

0
0.0%

Locust Valley Total
Rate Per 1,000

1 0.8 5.19

0 0.0 6.63

10 7.5 8.98

5 3.7 8.68

1 0.7 7.52

5 3.6 7.23

1 0.7 7.30

0.0% -13.2% 40.5%

Nassau County
Rate Per 1,000

1991-1997 Male and Female Runaway and Homeless Youth Rates Per 1,000 for Locust Valley and Nassau County
12.0 10.0 8.0 6.0 4.0 2.0 0.0 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

Locust Valley Female Locust Valley Male

Nassau County Female Nassau County Male

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 8

PUBLIC SCHOOL ENROLLMENT IN LOCUST VALLEY CSD
European Year American African American Latino Asian American Native American Total

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999

1,840 1,771 1,671 1,682 1,711 1,714 1,748 1,797 1,825 1,861 1,920

34 28 32 26 38 43 31 32 33 37 33

44 47 54 58 65 78 90 85 121 115 94

44 41 48 35 38 48 48 60 38 56 47

2 1 2 0 0 1 0 2 1 1 0

1,964 1,888 1,807 1,801 1,852 1,884 1,917 1,976 2,018 2,070 2,094

1,882 24 121 78 1 2,106 1,908 36 134 43 0 2,121 Net Change in School Enrollment Between 1987 and 1999 European African Asian Native 1987-99 American American Latino American American Change in Number 68 2 90 -1 -2 Change as Percent 4% 6% 205% -2% -100% Net Change in School Enrollment Between 1993 and 1999 1993-99 Change in Number Change as Percent European African American American 160 5 9% 16% Asian Latino American 44 -5 49% -10% Native American 0

Total 157 8%

Total 204 11%

1993-99 Percent Change in Locust Valley CSD Enrollments by Race/Ethnicity
50% 40% 30% 20% 10% 0% -10% -20% European American African American Latino Asian American Native American Total

* The Native American percent increase is omitted from this chart because enrollment changes that begin or end with 10 or fewer students distort comparisons among the various enthic groups.

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 9

REPORTED LIMITED ENGLISH PROFICIENT ENGLISH LANGUAGE LEARNERS (LEP/ELLs) IN LOCUST VALLEY CSD*
Reported Number and Percent of LEP/ELL Students in Locust Valley CSD, Oyster Bay and Nassau County Locust Valley CSD
Year Number Percent of Total Enrollment

Town of Oyster Bay
Number Percent of Total Enrollment

Nassau County
Number Percent of Total Enrollment

1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999
1999 Total Enrollment

66 68 55 68 70 68 68 68 2,121 3.0%

3.5% 3.5% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.2% 3.2% 3.2%

837 873 874 879 883 1,009 1,026 1,125 42,287 34.5%

2.2% 2.3% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 2.7%

6,044 6,963 7,492 7,823 8,276 9,219 9,353 10,077 195,804 66.7%

3.5% 4.0% 4.2% 4.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.1%

1992 - 1999 % Change

* In the 1998-1999 school year, there were 77 different languages spoken by students enrolled in Nassau County public schools.

Reported 1992-1999 Locust Valley CSD LEP/ELLs and Total Non-LEP/ELL Enrollment
80 70 60 # of LEP/ELLs 50 40 30 20 10 0 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 Year LEP/ELL Students Total Non-LEP Enrollment 2100 2050 2000 1950 1900 1850 1800 1750 1700 Non-LEP/ELL Enrollment

** The annual number of reported LEP/ELLs enrollment is based upon the number of Limited English Proficient English Language Learners in the local district as reported on the State Education Department/ The University of the State of New York, Commissioners Regulations Part 154 Application.

Community Profile of :

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 10

Dropout Percents in Locust Valley CSD, Town of Oyster Bay, & Nassau County DROPOUT NUMBERS & PERCENTS OF HIGH SCHOOL ENROLLMENT* Year District-# District-% Town-#** %** County-# %

1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998

1 9 8 4 1 2 11 1 9 2 7 8

0.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.2 0.4 1.9 0.2 1.6 0.4 1.3 1.4

260 267 160 114 71 81 69 52 67 80 58 85

1.8 2.1 1.3 1.0 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.8

1284 1177 932 759 613 654 630 724 531 477 479 489

2.0 2.0 1.7 1.4 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.4 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9

*Dropout Rate = Dropouts divided by 9-12 grade enrollment including ungraded secondary enrollment. A dropout is defined as any pupil who left school prior to graduation & did not enter another school or program leading to a GED.

1987-98 HIGH SCHOOL DROPOUT PERCENTS IN LOCUST VALLEY CSD, TOWN OF OYSTER BAY, AND NASSAU COUNTY

2.5

2.0

1.5

1.0

0.5

0.0 1987

1988

1989

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

Locust Valley CSD

Town of Oyster Bay**

Nassau County

**Town data based on a weighted average of communities which are fully or partially located within town boundaries.

Community Profile of:

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 11

1982-97 Total Births and Fertility Rates For Locust Valley 11560 Nassau County and New York State*
Locust Valley Fertility Year 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997
84 82 80 78 Number of Births 76 74 72 70 68 66 64 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 Year

Nassau County Fertility Births 14,342 14,541 14,758 15,247 15,567 16,504 17,072 17,700 18,180 17,864 18,065 17,931 17,903 18,084 17,722 17,100 Rate 49.0 49.8 50.6 52.3 53.5 56.8 58.8 61.1 62.8 62.2 63.3 63.2 64.6 66.0 63.8 62.0

New York State Fertility Births 246,889 248,222 250,436 258,826 263,045 271,355 279,976 290,528 297,468 292,523 287,531 282,377 277,945 271,042 263,611 256,976 Rate 59.6 59.6 59.9 61.6 62.3 64.0 65.8 67.9 69.3 68.1 67.2 66.3 65.6 64.3 63.0 61.8

Births** 74 77 73 73 74 77 81 83 83 79 73 71 71 75 78 79

Rate 36.2 39.1 38.9 40.7 42.8 47.1 52.4 56.5 60.0 56.4 52.0 50.1 50.7 53.3 55.7 56.9

1982 - 1997 Locust Valley Total Births

* Fertility rate based on live births per 1,000 female population 15-44. Data for 1990-97 reflect zip code boundaries. Data for prior years reflect the local zip-code community based upon census tract data. ** The number of births to mothers in the Locust Valley area is a three year "running" average for all years. Source: Nassau County & New York State Departments of Health.

Community Profile of:

LOCUST VALLEY

Page 12

1984-97 Births To Teen Mothers and Fertility Rates For Locust Valley 11560*, Nassau County and New York State**
Locust Valley Teen Fertility Births Rate 2 6.9 2 7.5 1 3.5 2 6.5 3 11.7 3 13.2 3 15.2 2 9.3 1 2.9 1 5.6 1 5.9 2 9.0 3 11.2 3 12.3 Nassau County Fertility Births Rate 668 12.2 711 13.4 685 13.4 677 13.8 663 14.1 679 15.0 674 15.6 672 16.0 629 15.1 700 18.4 682 18.2 668 18.0 637 15.8 561 13.9 New York State Fertility Births Rate 25,658 35.7 25,470 36.4 25,134 37.0 25,080 38.0 25,861 40.3 26,593 42.7 26,553 44.0 26,216 44.1 25,330 43.4 25,515 44.3 25,852 45.3 24,805 43.6 23,864 41.8 22,185 38.5

Year 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997

1984-1997 Teen Births in Locust Valley, Nassau County and NYS as a Percentage of Total Births
12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0%
Locust Valley

0.0%
1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 Year 1996 1997

Locust Valley

Nassau

NYS

* The number of birth to teen mothers in the Locust Valley area is a three year "running" average for all years. ** Fertility rate based on live births per 1,000 female population 15-19. Data for 1990-97 reflect zip code boundaries. Data for prior years reflect the local community as comprised by census tracts. Source: Nassau County & New York State Departments of Health.

Community Profile for the Zip-Code Community of Locust Valley
Prepared by the Office of Planning at the Nassau County Youth Board 40 Main Street, Hempstead, New York 11550 August, 2000 Thomas R. Suozzi, County Executive Donald M. McLean, Chairman George Siberón, Executive Director

Data Sources and Acknowledgements
Youth offense data courtesy of the Nassau County Police Department, Juvenile Aid Bureau and the following Village/City Police Departments in Nassau County: Freeport Kings Point Oyster Bay Cove Garden City Long Beach Port Washington Glen Cove Lynbrook Rockville Centre Hempstead Malverne Sands Point Kensington Analysis of youth offense data and calculation of rates prepared by Youth Board staff. Total births and births to teen mothers courtesy of the Vital Statistics data files made available to the Youth Board by the New York State and Nassau County Departments of Health. Special thanks to the Nassau County Department of Health for their cooperation in the design and planning of health data presentation included in this profile. Fertility rates and teen births as a percent of total births prepared by Youth Board staff. Temporary Assistance to Needy Families data courtesy of the New York State & Nassau County Departments of Social Services. Rates prepared by Youth Board Staff. Demographic Data collected from the U.S. Department of Commerce, Bureau of the Census. The 1990 data were abstracted from summary tape files on CD ROM with the support of the Nassau County Planning Commission. Population projection data prepared by Youth Board Office of Planning Staff. Enrollment and Dropout Data provided by the New York State Education Department. LEP/ELLs data provided by Nassau County BOCES BETAC program. Comparisons of County, Town and local school districts prepared by Youth Board staff.

Participating Research Staff: Randall Simmons, Coordinator of Research (572-1397), Sha-nae Anderson, Research Analyst (572-1356), and Maria Kontorinakis, Research Analyst (572-1358)


				
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