The Ubicomp Future by p00ol2

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									The Ubicomp Future
Tijmen Schep
In welke toekomst geloof je?
The future is: what you believe in
You have to believe in something
Man-made heaven
Technologie als probleemoplosser
file:///R:/documenten/pics/cairo-798772.jpg
Peak oil?
Carl Sagan - Cosmos - Spaceship earth
I worry about the future..
Gaat technologie die problemen
          oplossen?
     2 3
1.




     The History
             Of the Future
In the beginning
Enlightenment and Modernity
1968: hippies become nerds
Inner directed




Corporate change




Technological change
Marshall McLuhan. “The medium is the message”
Californian Ideology
Richard Stallman. They look like hippies
Sharing, FLOSS
   Whenever logical processes of
thought are are employed – that is,
 whenever thought for a time runs
along an accepted groove – there is
  an opportunity for the machine.
           - Vanevar Bush,
             “As we may think”
             1945
Gordon Moore
1946
1950
1963
1974
1984
1        3
    2.       My research
Information overload
Automating daily life
      through
invisible technology
Extelligence
From PersonalComp to UbiComp
The discrepancy between dream and reality
Problem 1: The assumption that the world is easy to analyse
Lucy Suchman and the smart copying machine
     Social reality is
    - highly complex
- very difficult to predict
The world is messy (and out of focus)
Weiser recognises this
“The solution is in the future”
(and it has been for 20 years..)
“Within 5 to 10 years”
“the 21 century”
        st


   “the ... age”
“the ... revolution”
Problem 2: the expectation horizon
The future is where society
  safeguards her ideals
- Grant Mc Cracken, 1988
   When a prediction
becomes unmaintainable
 a new one takes its place
The old one soon forgotten
 But even if we could..
..would we even want it?
Simplicity
   vs
 Control
Technological Paternalism.
Nerds are arrogant
While we dream
about revolutions
 the real future
    evolves
The mobile phone
 “TV means the end of war”
    “The paperless office”
“We will all live in cyberspace”
 Moravec and
Transhumanism
“The Singularity”
      Dreaming isn't bad
“we are the mythmaking species”
Nerds like to dream
Course Overview
         Week 1-4
     Prove me wrong:
    optimise daily life
    automate daily life
automate daily life invisibly
            week 5-9
         Locative media
Create experiences in public space
    using wireless technoloy

								
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