Train-to-Gain-and-Skills-Pledge-200708-Period-10-MI-Report
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Train-to-Gain-and-Skills-Pledge-200708-Period-10-MI-Report
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Leading learning and skills
Train to Gain
and Skills
Pledge
2007/08
Period 10 MI
Report
Published
July 2008
Introduction
1 This MI Report on the Train to Gain (TTG) Service and the Skills Pledge details
progress made between August and May 2008. Also available is an Annex that
contains further detailed information.
2 Following the receipt of final full-year data for 2006/07 we have revised information
previously reported for 2006/07. Figures previously published regarding brokerage
and learner activity have therefore been updated.
Summary
3 The highlights of this report are:
Employers
Since the inception of TTG in April 2006 the LSC has engaged with 93,000
employers
In the period August 2007 and May 2008, employer engagements have risen to
41,390, a 10 per cent increase since last month.
Skills Pledge
So far over 3,700 employers have signed the Skills Pledge, which covers over 4.3
million employees.
Starts
We now have 249,760 confirmed TTG starts between August 2007 and May 2008,
this exceeds the starts delivered in 16 months of 2006/07
There has been a 14 per cent increase in overall starts from end of April to May
In the period April 2006 to May 2008, 488,480 people have engaged in learning
funded through TTG – the number of Skills for Life starts now exceeds 50,000.
Achievements
Since April 2006 212,980 learners have achieved full Level 2 qualifications
(including Level 3 jumpers).
So far this year, the number of Level 2 achievements (including Level 3 jumpers) is
106,940 - 72 per cent of the expected profile year to date.
Performance Issues and Actions in Progress
4 There have been a number of actions taken since the last report was published in
early June. We expect these to have a significant impact on performance in 2008/09.
These include:
Mark Haysom writing to all providers to describe the trajectories – for 2008/09 and
for the remainder of the CSR period, as well as the new flexibilities
A TTG focus at the annual National Consortium of Colleges event
Briefing of the Skills Broker Association and individual skills broker organisations
Partnership teams commencing discussions with colleges and providers to agree
TTG allocations
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 2 of 10
Comprehensive, and ongoing, briefing of LSC Staff, including the launch of a new
TTG Bulletin and website to improve the dissemination of information and develop
knowledge and understanding
New TTG provider web pages were launched week commencing 7th July 2008.
Employer Engagement
Table 1: Employer Engagement
2006/07 2007/08
Previous Actual Final (Period Planning Planning Previous Latest actual
(Period 16) 16) assumptions assumptions Actual (Period 1-10)
(to end of (Year-to- (Period 1-9)
academic Date)
year)
Number of employers engaged 50,740 1 51,580 1 46,880 37,470 41,390
Proportion of hard to reach 73% 73% 51% 51% 75% 74%
employers referrals
Brokerage engaged 41,230 45,420
of which Leadership and
2,990 3,230
Management
Number of employers signing
3,090 3,710
the Skills Pledge
Employer satisfaction with
80%
brokerage
1
Excludes 4,000 employers that were formerly engaged in ETP prior to July 2006
5 Table 1 confirms that in the ten months to May the number of employer engagements
was 41,390. However, data for the North West and East Midlands regions has not
been received for the month of May. We will work to ensure that this data is included
in the report to be published in August. The regions for which data are missing are
highlighted in the accompanying data annex.
6 As demonstrated in Chart 1, performance for the year to date remains below
trajectory, but some of this is due to missing data returns. Regions remain confident
that the year end target of 52,000 engagements will be met.
Chart 1: Employer Engagements (Actual vs Profile); Cumulative in 2007/08
50,000
45,000 Profile Actual
40,000
35,000
Engagements
30,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
0
November
December
May 2008
March 2008
October 2007
January 2008
September
February
April 2008
August 2007
2008
2007
2007
2007
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 3 of 10
7 Brokerage referrals have increased by 9 per cent since the end of April and now stand
at 45,420. Over 3,200 of these have been to Leadership and Management. Chart 2
contains further information regarding brokerage and shows that almost half of all
referrals are to LSC-funded providers.
8 In recent months brokers have also provided additional data regarding historic
engagements that were previously not recorded. This has increased the number of
engagements in 2006/07 from 50,740 to 51,580. These volumes do not include the
4,000 employers who were formerly engaged through the Employer Training Pilots.
9 Since the inception of Train to Gain in April 2006 the LSC has engaged with 93,000
employers. This excludes the 4,000 engagements mentioned above.
Chart 2: Referrals by Destination; Cumulative in 2007/08
Provider (LSC)
Generalist Broker
Provider (Non LSC)
Leadership and Management
IiP Advisor
Sector Skills Broker
IAG
Business to Business Netw ork
Connexions
Job Centre Plus
Other
Skills Pledge
10 We can report that as at the end of May, 3,700 employers have signed the Skills
Pledge. This is an increase of 630 pledged employers since last month.
Employer Satisfaction - Brokerage
11 The results published in May 2008 showed that 80 per cent were satisfied with
brokerage, a fall of 6 percentage points lower than the last survey in 2006. In order to
rectify this decline more frequent satisfaction surveys and reporting will be re-
introduced, to enable regions and National Office to monitor employer satisfaction
more closely in 08/09. Updated employer satisfaction survey results will be available
in the September report.
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 4 of 10
Learner Participation
Table 2: Learner Starts
2006/07 2007/08
Previous Final Planning Planning Previous Latest actual Latest
Actual (Period 16) assumptions assumptions Actual (Period 1-10) Actual inc Cumulative
(Period 16) (to end of (Year-to- (Period 1-9) data lag since April
contract Date) (Period 1-10) 2006
year)
Total starts 235,910 238,720 433,750 336,190 219,010 249,760 267,340 488,480
of which full level 2 199,200 200,070 344,890 266,720 171,790 194,510 207,840 394,580
of which full level 3 jumpers 12,930 12,970 16,490 18,730 19,960 31,700
of which level 3 pilots 2,160 2,160 37,830 29,610 7,400 9,190 9,980 11,350
of which Skills for Life 21,630 22,800 51,030 39,860 23,330 27,320 29,550 50,120
12 Table 2 shows that between August 2007 and May 2008 there have been 249,760
confirmed starts. If we include an estimate for data lag1 then this number increases to
267,340. We have 213,240 confirmed full Level 2 starts (including Level 3 jumpers),
80 per cent of our expected profile at this stage of the year.
13 There was an increase of 30,760 starts from the end of April to May, 68 per cent of the
planned starts for May, and leaves the year to date profile at 76 per cent. Starts on
Level 3 pilots and Skills for Life showed the largest percentage increase, 24 per cent
and 17 per cent respectively.
Chart 3: Monthly and Cumulative Train to Gain Starts
40,000 600,000
500,000
Cumulative Starts
30,000
Monthly Starts
400,000
20,000 300,000
200,000
10,000
100,000
0 0
November 2007
December 2007
May 2007
June 2007
May 2008
July 2007
March 2007
March 2008
September 2007
October 2007
January 2008
February 2008
April 2007
April 2008
August 2007
Month Cumulative
Notes: This chart shows the additional number of starts recorded in each month, and not the month in which they actually
started; starts for August 2007 are estimated as data were not published as at the end of August.
14 Final data for 2006/07 show an increase in starts in that year. We can now confirm
238,720 starts last year.
15 The number of starts delivered the first ten months of 2007/08 (249,760), exceeds
what was delivered in the first 16 months of Train to Gain from April 2006 to July 2007
(238,720). However, despite this increase we forecast that we will deliver 326,000
starts in the current contracting year, well below our initial planning assumption of
433,750.
1
The data lag assumption is that, in the current period, 36 per cent of data are missing, lowering to 12 per
cent, 5 per cent and 2 per cent moving back over the preceding periods
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 5 of 10
Chart 4: Train to Gain starts by month (2006/07 and 2007/08 to date cumulative)
500,000
2006/07 A ctual 2007/08 A ctual
2007/08 P ro file 2007/08 Fo recast
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
0
November
December
March
June
October
September
May
July
January
February
April
August
Note: Includes Actual starts with estimated data lag and are the latest available data for the months
16 In addition we have delivered 9,190 Level 3 pilot starts, which equates to 31 per cent
of the year to date profile. Although we have not seen the anticipated take-up in Level
3 Pilots in 07/08, starts increased by 1,790 (up 24 per cent) between April and May.
17 The number of Skills for Life starts since August 2007 is now 27,320, which equates to
69 per cent of the year-to-date profile. We have now delivered in excess of 50,000
Skills for Life starts since Train to Gain began.
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 6 of 10
Learner Achievement
Table 3: Learner Achievements
2006/07 2007/08
Previous Final Planning Planning Previous Latest actual Cumulative
actual (Period 16) assumptions assumptions Actual (Period 1-10) (April 06 to
(Period 16) (to end of (Year-to- (Period 1-9) current
Contract Date) period)
Full level 2 achievements 102,650 102,860 year) 203,370
206,800 148,710 76,450 100,510
of which ETP 38,890 38,800 38,890
Level 3 'jumper' achievements 3,110 3,180 4,510 6,430 9,610
Level 3 pilot achievements 160 160 18,330 13,460 1,200 1,720 1,880
Skills for Life achievements 14,640 14,910 36,270 25,970 8,840 11,810 26,720
18 Final ILR data for 2006/07 report an increase in the number of achievements from that
previously reported. There has been an increase of 1,410 achievements; this brings
the total achievements delivered for 2006/07 to 121,980.
19 The number of achievements recorded in period 10 was significantly higher than in
previous months. Almost 25,000 full Level 2 achievements were recorded, and we
can now report that in the first 10 months of 2007/08 we have delivered 106,940 full
Level 2 achievements (including Level 3 jumpers), which is 72 per cent of the year to
date profile and 52 per cent of our planning assumptions for the year. In addition
there were 1,720 full Level 3 pilot achievements.
20 We have delivered 11,810 Skills for Life achievements, which is 45 per cent of our
year-to-date profile and 33 per cent of our planning assumption for the year.
21 To date 212,980 Full Level 2 achievements (including Level 3 jumpers) have been
delivered through Train to Gain..
Chart 5: Train to Gain achievements by month (2006/07 and 2007/08 to date
cumulative)
300,000
2006/07 Actual
2007/08 Actual
250,000 2007/08 Profile
2007/08 Forecast
200,000
150,000
100,000
50,000
0
November
December
March
June
October
September
May
July
January
February
April
August
Note: Includes Actual achievements with estimated data lag and are the latest available data for the months
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 7 of 10
Finance
Table 4: Train to Gain Budget and Spend for 2007/08 (August 2007 to May 2008)
2007/08 Financial Expenditure May 2008
Spend to Date Budget to Variance
(£m) Date (£m) (£m)
Delivery £267.8 £311.5 -£43.8
Higher Pilots
of which Level 3Skills £7.4 £56.3 -£48.9
for Women £4.0 £10.3 -£6.3
Brokerage £31.4 £42.3 -£11.0
Marketing £8.6 £5.9 £2.7
Wage
Compensation -£16.6 £7.5 -£24.1
Evaluation £0.7 £1.7 -£1.0
Total £291.8 £369.0 -£77.2
22 We continue to under spend on Train to Gain As mentioned previously in this report,
we did not deliver the volume of starts that we had planned to deliver in May, and as a
result the under spend remains high. As at the end of May we have an under spend
of just over £77 million, £44 million of which relates to delivery expenditure.
23 Chart 6 below shows the gap between the cumulative budget and spend to date in the
2007/08 academic year. Note that no data was available for April, as the end of year
accounts were being prepared, the cumulative position is reported in May.
Chart 6: Train to Gain spend and budget by month (2007/08 to date cumulative)
450
400
350
300
250
£m
200
150
100
50
0
Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb March April May June July
Actual Expenditure Budget (£)
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 8 of 10
Notes
24 This document contains information obtained from four main sources:
The Broker Contract Management System (BCMS), which contains data uploaded
monthly from skills brokers
ILR, which contains data on learner activity
TTG profiles updated from original modelling estimates used in previous reports
Broker Extranet, which contains information regarding the Skills Pledge.
25 This report includes estimates for data lag in starts on TTG.
26 The next MI report is due to be published the week commencing 5th August 2008.
27 For presentational purposes, numbers are rounded to the nearest ten. Therefore,
some totals may differ from the sum of their component parts.
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 9 of 10
Regional Data
Total Starts
2006/07 2007/08 Total
(April 2006 - (August 07 -
Region July 2007) May 08)
East Midlands 21,640 24,410 46,050
East of England 18,420 20,730 39,150
Greater London 22,310 35,980 58,290
National Employer Service 29,950 14,390 44,340
North East 17,830 14,490 32,320
North West 37,810 35,410 73,220
South East 21,190 28,640 49,830
South West 17,160 18,390 35,550
West Midlands 30,170 34,430 64,600
Yorkshire and the Humber 22,230 22,880 45,110
Total 238,720 249,760 488,480
Total Achievements
2006/07 2007/08 Total
(April 2006 - (August 07 -
Region July 2007) May 08)
East Midlands 6,400 10,540 16,940
East of England 8,430 10,300 18,730
Greater London 7,780 12,570 20,350
National Employer Service 22,020 10,860 32,880
North East 11,670 9,530 21,200
North West 20,550 18,340 38,890
South East 9,810 12,450 22,260
South West 8,850 9,870 18,720
West Midlands 13,740 15,440 29,180
Yorkshire and the Humber 12,740 10,620 23,360
Total 121,980 120,520 242,500
Note:
i) the sum of the regional figures may not agree with the total due to rounding
LSC 2007/08 Train to Gain MI Report - Period 10 - Published July 2008 10 of 10
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