Politics Update, Rednecks for Obama

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					Politics Updates DDI 2008 <CO> Simon You

Index
Index ...................................................................................................................................................................................................... 1

Index ........................................................................................................................................................................1
Elections Tied ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 4

Elections Tied .........................................................................................................................................................4
Elections Tied ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 5

Elections Tied .........................................................................................................................................................5
Elections Tied ........................................................................................................................................................................................ 6

Elections Tied .........................................................................................................................................................6
Impossible to Predict.............................................................................................................................................................................. 7

Impossible to Predict .............................................................................................................................................7
Obama wins- Swing States .................................................................................................................................................................... 8

Obama wins- Swing States ....................................................................................................................................8
Obama will win ...................................................................................................................................................................................... 9

Obama will win ......................................................................................................................................................9
McCain Win- Rigged Elections ........................................................................................................................................................... 10

McCain Win- Rigged Elections...........................................................................................................................10
McCain will win- He‘s Fatter ............................................................................................................................................................. 11

McCain will win- He‟s Fatter.............................................................................................................................11
McCain will win- Racial matters ......................................................................................................................................................... 12

McCain will win- Racial matters ........................................................................................................................12
No political Capital .............................................................................................................................................................................. 13

No political Capital ..............................................................................................................................................13
No political Capital .............................................................................................................................................................................. 14

No political Capital ..............................................................................................................................................14
Yes Political Capital ............................................................................................................................................................................ 15

Yes Political Capital .............................................................................................................................................15
Yes Political Capital ............................................................................................................................................................................ 16

Yes Political Capital .............................................................................................................................................16
Yes Political Capital ............................................................................................................................................................................ 17

Yes Political Capital .............................................................................................................................................17
No Bipartisan-solar .............................................................................................................................................................................. 18

No Bipartisan-solar ..............................................................................................................................................18
No Bipartisan-Wind ............................................................................................................................................................................. 19 1/40

No Bipartisan-Wind .............................................................................................................................................19
No Bipartisan-tax credits/bills/solar/clean coal/electric vehicles ......................................................................................................... 20

No Bipartisan-tax credits/bills/solar/clean coal/electric vehicles .....................................................................20
Yes Bipartisan-Energy ......................................................................................................................................................................... 21

Yes Bipartisan-Energy.........................................................................................................................................21
Yes Bipartisan-Renewable Energy ...................................................................................................................................................... 22

Yes Bipartisan-Renewable Energy .....................................................................................................................22
Flip Flop-McCain................................................................................................................................................................................. 23

Flip Flop-McCain .................................................................................................................................................23
Flip Flop- Bush .................................................................................................................................................................................... 24

Flip Flop- Bush .....................................................................................................................................................24
Flip Flop- Obama ................................................................................................................................................................................. 25

Flip Flop- Obama .................................................................................................................................................25
Flip Flop- Obama ................................................................................................................................................................................. 26

Flip Flop- Obama .................................................................................................................................................26
Flip Flop-Both...................................................................................................................................................................................... 27

Flip Flop-Both ......................................................................................................................................................27
Alt energy key to Obama ..................................................................................................................................................................... 28

Alt energy key to Obama .....................................................................................................................................28
Alternative Energy Crucial to Election ................................................................................................................................................ 29

Alternative Energy Crucial to Election..............................................................................................................29
Alternative Energy Popular-Democrats ............................................................................................................................................... 30

Alternative Energy Popular-Democrats ............................................................................................................30
Alternative Energy Popular-Republicans ............................................................................................................................................. 32

Alternative Energy Popular-Republicans..........................................................................................................32
Energy policy unpopular ...................................................................................................................................................................... 33

Energy policy unpopular .....................................................................................................................................33
Alternative Energy Unpopular-GOP .................................................................................................................................................... 34

Alternative Energy Unpopular-GOP .................................................................................................................34
Alt Energy Unpopular-public............................................................................................................................................................... 35

Alt Energy Unpopular-public .............................................................................................................................35
Cap and trade popular-public ............................................................................................................................................................... 36

Cap and trade popular-public ............................................................................................................................36
RPS popular-public .............................................................................................................................................................................. 37

RPS popular-public .............................................................................................................................................37
RPS popular-public .............................................................................................................................................................................. 38

RPS popular-public .............................................................................................................................................38

Alt energies popular-public/congress ................................................................................................................................................... 39

Alt energies popular-public/congress .................................................................................................................39
Alt energies popular-public .................................................................................................................................................................. 40

Alt energies popular-public.................................................................................................................................40
Alt energies popular-public .................................................................................................................................................................. 41

Alt energies popular-public.................................................................................................................................41
Ethanol popular-public......................................................................................................................................................................... 42

Ethanol popular-public .......................................................................................................................................42

Elections Tied
Obama and McCain are Tied Gallup Daily, Gallup has studied human nature and behavior for more than 70 years. Gallup employs many of the world's leading scientists in management, economics, psychology, and sociology, August 2, 2008 Gallup Daily: McCain, Obama Remain
Tiedhttp://www.gallup.com/poll/109180/Gallup-Daily-McCain-Obama-Remain-Tied.aspx PRINCETON, NJ -- Republican John McCain and Democrat Barack Obama are once again tied in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking presidential trial heat. The results, based on a three-day rolling average of interviews conducted July 30-Aug. 1, show Obama and McCain each receiving 44% of the vote among registered voters. The candidates were also tied in Friday's update. Obama received a brief increase in support near the conclusion of his overseas trip last week, gaining a nine percentage point advantage in July 24-26 polling. But that bounce disappeared almost quickly as it emerged.

Elections Tied
Elections is officially tied Gallup Daily, Gallup has studied human nature and behavior for more than 70 years. Gallup employs many of the world's leading scientists in management, economics, psychology, and sociology, August 1, 2008 Gallup Daily: Race Tied at 44%
(http://www.gallup.com/poll/109219/Gallup-Daily-Race-Tied-44.aspx) PRINCETON, NJ -- According to Gallup Poll Daily tracking from July 29-31, John McCain and Barack Obama are now tied at 44% in the preferences of national registered voters. This is not much different from the results reported in Gallup Poll Daily tracking on Thursday, when the two were nearly tied with 45% for Obama and 44% for McCain. However, it is a substantial turnaround from earlier this week when Obama held a statistically significant lead coming off his high-profile trip to Europe, Afghanistan, and the Middle East. Obama and McCain were closely matched in each of the three nights of interviewing included in today's result, with neither candidate ahead by more than three percentage points. This suggests that the recent surge in voter support for Obama has truly subsided. The contrast between Obama's recent advantage over McCain (ranging from six to nine points) and today's result is particularly notable because this is McCain's strongest showing in over a month. The last time Gallup found the race exactly tied was in late June. By contrast, in the weeks just prior to Obama's overseas trip, he had led the race by an average of four points. (To view the complete trend since March 7, click here.) -- Lydia Saad

Elections Tied
Elections is tied now Gallup Daily, Gallup has studied human nature and behavior for more than 70 years. Gallup employs many of the world's leading scientists in management, economics, psychology, and sociology, July 31, 2008Obama 45%, McCain 44%
http://www.gallup.com/poll/109177/Gallup-Daily-Obama-45-McCain-44.aspx PRINCETON, NJ -- The race for the presidency has moved back into a statistical tie in the latest Gallup Poll Daily tracking update of national registered voters, with Barack Obama now ahead of John McCain by just one percentage point, 45% to 44%.Today's results are based on Gallup Poll Daily tracking from July 28-30. The latest three-day average confirms that Obama was unable to solidify the significant lead he briefly enjoyed among registered voters at the height of publicity surrounding his weeklong visit to Afghanistan, Iraq, the Middle East, and Europe. Gallup tracking showed Obama's lead rising at one point as high as nine percentage points (for the average from last Thursday, Friday, and Saturday), but the presumptive Democratic nominee has been losing ground since that point. The race has been very close before, with Obama holding a 1-point lead as recently as July 15-17, and the race tied for several days in late June. The story of the election through the summer months has been a close race that simply does not seem to want to change. Obama has generally been in the lead, and it is significant that McCain has never held even a 1-point lead among registered voters in Gallup Poll Daily tracking since Obama clinched the Democratic nomination in early June. Still, the relative stability of the race, even in the aftermath of such a high-visibility event as Obama's foreign trip (coupled, of course, with the McCain campaign's vigorous efforts to defuse its impact) continues to suggest that it may be the conventions in late August and early September that will offer the next potential timeframe for significant and/or sustained change.

Impossible to Predict
All their evidence is useless, no one can predict election outcomes Ivan Simic, an Economics graduate. For the past decade, he has worked in various fields: business, diplomacy, and government. July 31, 2008 ―The deception of elections‖ (http://yementimes.c om/article.shtml ?i=1177&p=communit y&a=2)
An election is the decision-making process by which a population chooses an individual or a party to hold formal office. This is the usual mechanism by which modern democracy fills legislative, executive and judicial offices in both regional and local government. During an election campaign, everyone focuses on the politicians or rather, the candidates; however, some very interesting election participants aren‘t talked about as much and these are the qualified voters or electors. The candidates are the most interesting players in an election because they tell us anything that will likely lead them to great victory. They lie, deceive, promise the impossible, sing and dance, laugh and cry – all to win. In fact, they give us so many campaign promises, that if we ask about them just a few hours later, they don‟t remember them, so they make new ones in order to deceive us further. Later, if elected to formal office, they start making excuses for these lost promises in order to maintain their political power. It‘s evident that candidates tell us what we want to hear and those things with which we agree simply to make us believe that they are good, smart, dedicated and considerate people, among other things. However, nearly everything they say is written and prepared in advance by their campaign staff in an effort to attract more voters. In most cases, particularly in democratic systems, candidates rely heavily on financing from private donors, select individuals, groups and industries. If elected, they then have an obligation to reimburse supporters for their contributions by protecting and supporting their businesses, no matter what that business might be. We all know what candidates do, but what about voters? Voters are a group of people gathered to make a decision or express their opinion often through discussions, debates and election campaigns. Voters support their favorite candidates by attending rallies, listening to what they have to say, analyzing it and then ultimately agreeing or disagreeing with them. In the end, they make their final decision on Election Day. However, on that day, not all supporters vote for the candidate they supported throughout the campaign because not all voters are faithful to their candidate. To make things more clear, let‘s look at the approaching 2008 U.S. presidential election as an example, looking at candidates Barack Obama and John McCain and the qualified voters/electors. It appears that many Americans are fascinated with Democratic candidate Barack Obama, possibly more so than with any other presidential candidate in U.S. history, with many talking about him, adoring him and cheering for him. On the other side, Republican candidate John McCain was chosen in U.S. primaries a long time before Obama, so it was clear that he was the chosen one on that side. However, it appears that American aren‟t as enamored of him as they are of Obama. According to these indicators, we may believe that Obama will become the new president of the United States, but will he? The chances of Barack Obama becoming the next U.S. president may not be as good as they appear. Yes, people love him, but voters can‟t be trusted because they always like something new – radical new changes, new and different politicians, new ideas and fresh promises, among others. However, this doesn‟t necessarily mean they‟ll vote for the same. It would be better for Obama if he had less attention, which would better his chances of winning. Many people change their minds on Election Day and do the opposite of what they were saying, promising, cheering and longing for throughout the campaign. Because voters are just regular people and realizing that the show is over on Election Day, they start thinking in other directions. Voters are an interesting breed, often saying one thing but doing another. They complain about and criticize certain politicians day after day, but then end up voting for them in the end. It appears that the more mistakes and scandals a politician makes while doing nothing for the nation, the more likely voters will vote for him, particularly a second time. As an example, just look at George W. Bush, Bill Clinton, Jacques Chirac and Silvio Berlusconi, among others. In the end, democracy isn‘t like a Communist regime. In a democracy, it actually may not be as important which candidate or politician comes to power, so long as democracy continues to be the ruling mechanism and the elected individual doesn‘t seize extra power. The system will continue to work and plans and ideas will continue being executed, no matter who‘s in charge. The only thing that changes is the interests of the financiers or the ruling elite who financed the elected candidate. If the financiers are from the weapons industry, then there will be new wars; thus, we may prefer financiers from the toy industry, so that instead, there will be toys for everyone.

Obama wins- Swing States
Obama wins swing states Gallup Daily, Gallup has studied human nature and behavior for more than 70 years. Gallup employs many of the world's leading scientists in management, economics, psychology, and sociology, July 23, 2008Obama Gains Over McCain in Swing States Since
Junehttp://www.gallup.com/poll/109177/Gallup-Daily-Obama-45-McCain-44.aspx PRINCETON, NJ -- Since Barack Obama clinched the Democratic nomination and moved into a front-running position for the general presidential election in early June, he has seen his standing versus John McCain improve among voters in red states, blue states, and competitive (or purple) states. Obama has gained at least 3 points in the Obama-McCain gap in all three state groupings compared with voter sentiments in March through May. Prior to Obama's securing the Democratic nomination in early June, he and McCain were running even nationally, with each averaging 45% of the total vote in Gallup Poll Daily tracking from March through May. Since then, Obama has gained a slight upper hand, averaging a 3 percentage-point national advantage over McCain (46% to 43%) in June and July interviewing. These results are based on data from tens of thousands of interviews with registered voters in all 50 states plus the District of Columbia, so the changes -- despite their relatively small size -- are statistically meaningful. Obama's gains have come across the political and geographic spectrum, as he has improved his relative positioning versus McCain in "red states" (defined as those Republican George W. Bush won by 6 percentage points or more in 2004), "blue states" (those Democrat John Kerry won by 6 percentage points or more in 2004), and "purple states" (those in which the margin of victory for the winning candidate was less than 6 points). While Obama has gained slightly in each of these state groupings, he has gained somewhat more in the most competitive states, seeing his lead expand in these by 6 points, as opposed to 3-point gains in the ObamaMcCain gap in red and blue states. Since early June, he has averaged a 16-point lead over McCain in blue states and an 8point lead in purple states, while trailing McCain by an average of 10 points in red states (McCain trails by only 3 points overall given the greater number of voters in red states). And while the changes in voter preferences have not been great, Obama has clearly established himself as the consistent leader in purple states since late May, whereas the two candidates were more competitive in these states prior to that. Meanwhile, McCain has always enjoyed a comfortable lead in red states while Obama has done the same in blue states. Despite his growing deficit in the competitive states, McCain has been able to remain close to Obama on the national level given that more voters reside in red states (40%) than in blue states (31%). Thus, while McCain would merely need to break even with Obama in the most competitive states in order to win (he could win even if he trails Obama by a couple of points in those states), Obama needs to have at least a modest advantage in purple states in order to win the popular vote. Thus, the key to watch over the remainder of the campaign is not whether Obama has the lead over McCain in these states, but by how much. Of course, the winner of the actual election is determined by electoral votes. This analysis groups all competitive states together and assumes the better Obama does in the popular vote in these states, the better his chances of winning a greater share of these states and their electoral votes.

Obama will win
Despite McCain‟s interference, Obama will win. The Independent, Independent News and Media Limited, August 2, 2008 ―Obama: Can he prove he's a regular guy?‖(
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/americas/obama-can-he-prove-hes-a-regular-guy-883265.html)
John McCain has a new strategy: portraying his rival as arrogant and out of touch. So Barack Obama has embarked on a 'Back to Earth' tour. David Usborne joined him in Missouri and Iowa. Since he declared himself the winner of the primaries marathon two months ago; since he stood before a crowd of 200,000 in Berlin, Barack Obama has changed. Indeed, in this university gymnasium in Missouri his head does actually seem bigger. It is a change that has not escaped John McCain's notice. Unconcerned by charges that he is turning too nasty too soon, he has been ripping into Obama for being arrogant and out of touch. I, though, am talking about physical appearance. Maybe it is the summer suits and shirt-sleeves, but Obama has surely lost weight. Hence the head that seems larger. Is it the narcotic of approaching power that is stopping him eating? Or is it fear of losing? These are delicate days for the senator from Illinois. He admitted on his way home from Europe there was the risk of "flying too close to the sun". So call this his "Back to Earth Tour", in rural Missouri and in Iowa. The crowds are not huge, though still adoring. This week, he is not preaching from mountain tops. He is holding babies in the rain and serving burgers in a pigeon-pooped park shelter. Yet, Obama is not, as he would like, quite in charge of his own narrative or image. The missiles from Camp McCain are flying thick now, almost as if it were late October, not the start of August. There was the arrogance pitch and then the TV ads about celebrity, likening him to, of all people, Paris Hilton. Thereafter came the toxic suggestion that Obama (not McCain) was inserting race into the campaign mix. Even at close proximity, it is hard to divine Obama's real state of mind amid these assaults. Unlike McCain, he doesn't feel much need for personal interaction with the journalists who travel with him. A special correspondent from Newsweek on his plane has asked for a little "face-time" with the candidate. She has been told to expect 30 seconds at most. Is that a symptom of cockiness? There is a general demeanour of confidence about him. He is unfailingly deferential with people older than him. With contemporaries he is tactile – hands on shoulder – while with youngsters he can joke around. "There's a lot of carbs there," he quips, handing a burger to a teenage girl at the park barbecue in Union, Missouri. (Union and Rolla are heavily Republican, another reason Obama is back to earth.) Few see it, but as Obama steps from behind curtains into the cacophony of cheers in the gym in Rolla, he does a skip and a jump as if a featherweight prize fighter coming into the ring, sure of victory. On policy, there are signs of sureness too. On Thursday, in Cedar Rapids, Iowa, Obama is trying to make energy policy the theme of the day, excoriating McCain's call for more offshore drilling for oil. He says new oil finds will not lower petrol prices for 10 years at least and that the big oil companies have 68 million acres of government-granted leases they are not using. But many of the faces before him look a bit blank. How much easier to say as McCain does: let's go get more of our own oil. It surely helps that Obama is met everywhere by such love. And it's not just young, college-educated love. Tony Viessman, 74, a retired police officer, holds a banner outside the Rolla event proclaiming "Rednecks for Obama". "He is brilliant," he says. "And he is not an elitist, though he has the education to be." Helping clear up after the Union barbecue is Barbara Selter, 72. "It's the proudest moment I have had for a very long time, something that happens once in a lifetime," she says. "I feel that John Kennedy is right here." But if Obama likes to pretend he is above the day-to-day fray, he is not. At times, he might even be getting ratty. "Is that the best you can come up with?" Obama tartly asks in Cedar Rapids, responding to McCain's Paris Hilton TV spot. And we go nowhere without Obama making this appeal: don't let the other side scare you about me. The Republicans, he warns, are talking about his "funny name" and how he "doesn't look like all those other presidents on the dollar bills". It is a cute line that gets laughter. But it also draws the admonition from McCain that Obama is introducing the race card. More and more, this campaign looks like a referendum on Obama and much less about McCain. Are voters ready for him? Do they trust him? Does it matter that he is black? Whether he wins or loses may depend on who has control of the Obama story – him or McCain. And who the voters are listening to. The reporters who travel with Obama – and who drive most of what makes the evening news about him – can't help here because they are never allowed out of his bubble. They don't know what voters here in Missouri or in Cedar Rapids are thinking. Has McCain hit his stride or has he gone too far with the race-card charge and the Paris Hilton stunt? They can't talk, for instance, to Chuck Pederson, 53, a government worker in Rolla who wears a "NoBama" T-shirt, has "Drill Now, Drill Here!" daubed on his truck and who flatly states that Obama has refused to debate McCain except for one time, on Labour Day, a national holiday. Which isn't true. Nor can they find Chuck Mayes, 28, a Missouri construction worker. He would never back Obama. "The first reason is his name; the second is he wasn't born here," he says. First lesson: the falsehoods about Obama are still out there and those who don't like him won't hear any different. (Obama was born in Hawaii, which may not be "here" but surely is America.) Yet, as the Obama plane climbs out of Cedar Rapids, a possibly surprising consensus emerges at the bar at the Knights of Columbus – a Catholic charitable club that still only accepts men as members – on the edge of town. At one end, Rich Steepleton reckons these latest McCain attacks about Obama being big-headed are "all talk". He is minded to pay no attention at all. At the other, Tom Fagan wants a foreign reporter to know that, compared "to a few short years ago", America has "opened up" on issues like race, and the blackness of Obama won't matter in November. This is no college canteen, yet – every man's hand on a cold beer at lunchtime – they are agreed: it will be close in November, but Obama will win.

McCain Win- Rigged Elections
Rigged Elections means the republicans win- empirically proven in florida
Guerilla News, independent news organization, to expose people to important global issues through cross-platform guerrilla programming, ―Programmer Finally Testifies: U.S. Elections Rigged‖ (http://www.guerrillanews.com/head lines/ 10754/ Pro g ammer_ Fin all y_Testifies_U_S_Elections_Rigged) A former programmer for NASA and Exxon has finally come forward to testify before the US Judiciary that he was enlisted by Republicans to create a program which could guarantee Bush‟s presidential election victory. Computer programmer Clinton Eugene Curtis testifies under oath before the U.S. House Judiciary Members in Ohio (back in 2004) (partial transcript below). Stephen Pizzo writes: If you can watch this entire video, and still use an electronic voting machine, you deserve the government you get. If your state or district has decided to use electronic voting machines this November demand an absentee ballot today. Watch this video. Then join those of us who have decided that since paper was good enough for our constitution, it‘s good enough for our vote too. Oh, and when you‘re done watching the whole video… pass it along. November is only a a few weeks off and the last thing Republicans want to see is either house returned to Democrat control. Because if that happens, hearings happen. And if hearings happen… well, who knows – someone(s) could go to jail. So, demand a paper ballot or an absentee ballot in Nov. and leave the cheaters with a pocket full of worthless Diebold electrons. Are there computer programs that can be used to secretly fix elections? Yes. How do you know that to be the case? Because in October of 2000, I wrote a prototype for Congressman Tom Feeney [R-FL]... It would rig an election? It would flip the vote, 51-49. Whoever you wanted it to go to and whichever race you wanted to win. And would that program that you designed, be something that elections officials... could detect? They'd never see it.

McCain will win- He’s Fatter
Obama is too thin to win Tony Allen-Mills, Times Online Staff Writer, August 3, 2008 News Paper of the Year, ―Too thin to win?‖
http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/world/article4428699.ece) He has been called too arrogant, too remote and too clever by half, but last week Senator Barack Obama was hit below the belt with a cruel new allegation: he may be too skinny to win the White House. Suggestions that Obama‟s slim physique is a liability in a nation of mostly overweight voters marked a dangerous new turn for the Democratic contender‟s suddenly vulnerable presidential campaign. The rapturous reception bestowed on Obama by awestruck Europeans on his recent world tour has given way to a barrage of Republican mockery and sly innuendo that has wiped out his lead in the opinion polls and turned his stately march towards the Democratic convention at the end of this month into a mud-slinging scramble. Two new opinion polls on Friday showed that John McCain, the ageing Republican senator who had seemed to be lurching from pitfall to pothole in the wake of the Obama global parade, has not only caught up with his glamorous competitor — Gallup put them level at 44% each — but has also hit upon a damaging new strategy of vicious but effective personal attack. ―This campaign was always going to be closer than many people thought it would be,‖ said one jubilant Republican strategist last week. ―Poor Obama seems to have thought it wouldn‘t be close at all.‖ Perhaps most menacingly for the man trying to become America‘s first black president, the fawning US media coverage of his visits to London, Baghdad, Berlin and elsewhere is rapidly giving way to a more barbed approach. Last week The Wall Street Journal suggested that Obama might be too thin and too fit to appeal to voters who tend to like candidates with flaws that they can identify with. Several analysts noted that widely circulated pictures of a red-faced Bill Clinton staggering into McDonald‘s after a short jog did the former president no harm at all; millions of Americans knew just how he felt. Obama‟s enthusiasm for exercise first raised eyebrows last month, when he stopped three times in one day for workouts at Chicago gyms, prompting an Associated Press reporter to wonder: ―Sometimes it‘s hard to tell if Barack Obama is running for president or Mr Universe.‖ It has also been widely noted that Obama sometimes seems appalled when presented at election meetings with the pride of local cuisine, often a fat-smothered hunk of meat or a sugary bun dripping in aerosol cream. While most candidates tend to tuck in fearlessly, thereby assuring themselves positive coverage in the local paper, Obama once visited a chocolate factory in Pennsylvania but turned down a piece of cake on the grounds that it was “too decadent for me”. He lost the Pennsylvania primary and appears to have learnt his lesson: last week he was overheard asking for ―pie‖ at a diner in Missouri. On Friday the Journal wondered if Obama might suffer from his skinniness in potential swing states such as Georgia and Tennessee, which have more overweight people than the northern states more favourable to the Democrats. Government statistics indicate that two-thirds of the overall voting population is overweight and almost a third is obese. Yet the 6ft 1in senator is reckoned to weigh 10lb-20lb less than the 190lb recommended weight for his height. The notion that Obama is too thin to win was derided by many of his supporters, but the issue underlined a disturbing reality for the Democratic candidate. Polls have consistently shown that McCain is beating him among significant groups of voters, notably working-class white males and older suburban women, who complain he appears elitist or out of touch with average Americans. Obama now appears vulnerable to the kind of character assassination that helped to do in Senator John Kerry, the Democratic contender in 2004. Kerry was successfully depicted by Republicans as an effete, windsurfing, brie-eating, French-speaking fop. While Obama‘s world tour was undeniably a diplomatic and personal triumph, its main effect domestically was to spur McCain into a negative political onslaught. The 71-year-old Republican‘s decision to launch a series of television attack advertisements mocking Obama‘s celebrity, comparing him with Hollywood brats such as Britney Spears and Lindsay Lohan and disparaging his ―divine‖ demeanour was a calculated risk: McCain had previously prided himself on his political character and had pledged a clean campaign. Some Republicans warned that McCain was squandering his image of decency and risked alienating a key group of voters whom he still hopes to woo away from Obama: disillusioned former supporters of Hillary Clinton. John Weaver, a former top McCain aide, denounced the television ads as ―childish‖ and ―tomfoolery‖. Other analysts took one look at the daily tracking polls showing McCain snapping at Obama‘s heels and predicted a summer of nonstop Republican abuse. There were signs last week that the tension is getting to Obama, who in a rare misstep unwisely lashed out at Republicans he claimed were trying to scare off voters because he is ―not like all those other presidents on the dollar bills‖. The overt racial reference to the white faces on US currency played straight into the hands of McCain, who promptly accused Obama of ―playing the race card‖ — a cardinal sin that traditionally repels American voters frightened of racial confrontation.

McCain will win- Racial matters
McCain Will Win- Racial matters Alan Caruba, PR firm The Caruba Organization, director of communications for the American Policy Center, 29 July 2008, ―Why
McCain Will Win‖ (http://www.borderfirereport.net/alan-caruba/why-mccain-will-win.html) The nice thing about politics in America is that everyone can have an opinion and even the experts are Alan Carubaoften as wrong as the rest of us. Take, for example, the way the Democrat Party has selected an astonishing bunch of losers to run for President since the days Harry Truman exited the White House. Republican Dwight Eisenhower took over. Here are the Democrats who won: John F. Kennedy, Lyndon B. Johnson, Jimmy Carter, and Bill Clinton. JFK was canonized by assassination, but did well handling the Cuban Missile Crisis and he launched the space program. It was, however, JFK that took over the Vietnam conflict from the French. It was Lyndon Johnson who compounded that mistake to the tune of some 55,000 dead American soldiers. Despite civil rights legislation, LBJ is mostly recalled for making such a hash of things he declined to run for a second term on his own merits. If Richard Nixon, a Republican, had not been totally paranoid, he might have left office a hero for ending the Vietnam War and opening up China, but instead he gave us Watergate and set us up for Jimmy Carter. People tend to forget how utterly incompetent Carter was, but the Iranians made the point by holding U.S. diplomats hostage for 444 days until Ronald Reagan ushered in two of the best terms of the Presidency America has known. Bill Clinton much-touted charisma did nothing for his wife‘s run for the office. He can count himself fortunate that his first term cost the Democrats the loss of Congress. The legislation the Republicans passed was some of the best in years for which he, of course, took credit. When you say Clinton these days, the only thing that comes to mind are endless scandals. Let‘s look at the Democrat nominees for President since 1972 starting with George McGovern, 1984's Walter Mondale, 1988‘s Michael Dukakis, 2000‘s Al Gore, and 2004‘s John Kerry. It is hard to imagine are lamer bunch of candidates. Voters looked at them and went ―ugh!‖ This brings us to Barack Obama. Thus far he has been unable to convince at least half the registered voters to give him the nod. The bounce in the polls that followed his triumphal tour of the Middle East and Europe disappeared within a day or two after he got back to the U.S. Who will not vote for Barack Obama? The first and most obvious answer is, of course, Republicans. Lots of Republicans. When you begin to look at various demographic groups, Obama will not do well among senior citizens. He has already touched the third rail of politics by suggesting he wants to mess around with Social Security. Bad move. Moreover, he wants to tax all those forms of income that old people depend upon to pay the mortgage, rent or groceries. Most importantly, old people come out and vote, and they are a large portion of the population these days. Veterans vote too. Veterans don‟t like what they hear and see in Barack Obama. They don‘t like the people who he hangs out with like former Weatherman terrorists, convicted real estate developers, and ministers who say bad things about the U.S.A. Evangelicals, still a potent voting block, are aghast at the brand of Black Liberation theology Obama listened to for twenty years. The anti-American views of Rev. Jeremiah Wright are a drag on his candidacy. The days when the unions wielded any clout are over, but the Democrat Party which depends heavily on their money and manpower may discover on Election Day that a lot of union members will have voted for McCain. Obama simply does not resonate among working people. He lacks the common touch, if, indeed, he ever had one. Let‟s also throw in the gun-owners too, 80 million of them, who did not take kindly to his “clinging to guns” remarks. There are also all those people in ―fly over‖ America who don‘t much care what those on the East and West Coast think. There‘s not much point getting into the various religious groups, but it is safe to say that Jews, traditionally Democrat, may find it difficult to vote for anyone named Barack Hussein Obama. That could cost him Florida. Too much parsing of various ethnic, religious, and racial groups is essentially useless with the exception of Afro-Americans. They will surely vote for Obama. Not generally known, however, is that Hispanic-Americans outnumber blacks in America these days and how they will vote remains to be seen. Obama‟s biggest problem is that the majority of Americans racially are white. Even Hispanics, racially, are white. Once you get by all the usual politically correct blather about race, the likelihood that whites will vote for Obama is slim to none when they get in the privacy of the voting booth. That is why John McCain, unless he selects a serial killer as his vice president running mate, is likely to be the next President of the United States of America.

No political Capital
Bush has no more political capital-Democrats control Congress David Lightman, McClatchy Staff Writer, the third-largest newspaper company in the United States, a leading newspaper and internet publisher dedicated to the values of quality journalism, free expression and community service, July 18, 2008 ―Is Bush
going out with 'a whimper'?‖ (http://www.mcclatchydc.com/257/story/44730.html) WASHINGTON — The White House wants the American public to think it's on the rebound, scoring important triumphs in Iraq and North Korea and on domestic spying while taking tough stands on oil drilling and relief for homeowners. The White House, the experts and the polls say, however, is wrong. President Bush hasn't begun a comeback. "All this is pretty much a lot of noise. He's going out with a whimper," said Erwin Hargrove, presidential scholar at Vanderbilt University and the author of "The Effective President." Adam Warber, professor of political science at Clemson University, had similar thoughts. "It's very difficult for him now. His public approval is so poor, he doesn't really have a lot of political capital," Warber said. Congress is run by Democrats reluctant to give Bush any domestic victories, and his approval ratings have remained at or near a dismal 30 percent for about a year. Bush is the nation's fifth lame duck since the 22nd Amendment limited presidents to two terms, beginning with Harry Truman's successor in 1952. One was Richard Nixon, who resigned because of Watergate-related scandals 19 months into his second term.

No political Capital
Bush has no more political Capitall Massimo Calabresi, Times Staff Writer, Jul. 09, 2008 ―More Theater Over Iran's Nukes‖ (http://www.time.com/time/n
ation/article/0,8599,1821465,00.html?imw=Y) George W. Bush and the Iranians are locked in a diplomatic game of "Who's crazier?" With six months left in office, no political capital at home or abroad, and a uniformed military ready to rebel at the first talk of a new war, the Bush Administration is left with simply the threat of military strikes, kept eternally "on the table" in hopes of bluffing Tehran into a compromise on its nuclear program. Tehran's response has been predictable enough: After Iran tested nine medium-range missiles on Wednesday, the country's state news agency quoted a representative of Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, saying that if the U.S. or Israel attacked Iran, "Tel Aviv and the U.S. fleet in the Persian Gulf would be the first targets to burst into flames receiving Iran's crushing response." Tehran's message was clear: If Bush wants to play Crazy Cowboy, we're happy to play Mad Mullahs right back at him. The crazy talk, in fact, is mostly theater. U.S. and Iranian flashpoints in Iraq and the Persian Gulf have been quiet recently, as both sides have been careful to avoid a sustained clash that could escalate into outright conflict. And Iran showed no new military capabilities with the tests. At the same time, diplomacy is deadlocked as Iran takes advantage of soaring oil prices to trump U.N sanctions, while the U.S. sticks to its insistence that Iran suspend its uranium enrichment program before Washington will hold negotiations. European efforts to end the impasse have so far served largely as a convenient stalling mechanism for the Iranians.

Yes Political Capital
Bush has political Capital, he‟s just saving it Jay McDonough, Burlington Staff Writer, July 19, 2008 ―Iran and the U.S. Eye Diplomacy‖( http://www.examiner.com/x-243Progressive-Politics-Examiner~y2008m7d19-Iran) Recent moves by the White House suggest a more open relationship with Iran is in the works. Recent news that Under Secretary of State John Burns would be joining the Iran-P5+1 negotiations this weekend in Geneva and reports the U.S. would be establishing a diplomatic station in Tehran was encouraging to those hoping to head off a oft threatened military confrontation between the two countries. At the heart of the impasse is Iran's unclear nuclear ambitions. While Iran maintains its nuclear development is solely for domestic energy purposes and the most recent U.S. National Intelligence Estimate concluded Iran had abandoned its intent to leverage the technology into nuclear weapons, the White House (and Israel) have continued to insist Iran's end goal is the development of a nuclear weapons capability. Complicating any efforts to understand Iran's intent is the U.S. efforts to isolate Iran for the last 29 years. As a result, we don't know them and we don't talk to them. Any signals or efforts to reestablish a relationship are met with suspicion from both sides, political capital is at stake, and saving face is all important.

Yes Political Capital
Bush has political capital, he‟s just not using it, education proves Sara Mead, New America Foundation Staff Writer, July 9, 2008, ―Put PK-3 First, with or without Reading First‖ (http://
www.newamerica.net/blog/early-ed-watch/2008/put-pk-3-first-or-without-reading-first-5053) In late June both the House and Senate Appropriations Committees approved separate versions of the Labor-HHS-Education appropriations bill, which funds federal education programs. Both the House and Senate committee bills would zero out funding for the Reading First program, which funds scientifically-based reading programs in grades K-3. If the bill passes in its current form, Congress will have cut funding for PK-3 literacy by $1 billion over two years. And that‘s something early education advocates, regardless of their views on Reading First per se, should be up in arms about. The current Committee Bills are not necessarily the death knell for Reading First. Appropriations bills still need to pass in the full House and Senate, go to conference committee, and either get the President‘s approval or overcome a veto (which President Bush has already threatened for the bill). During that process, funding levels for many programs will change. Assuming, of course, that congress can even complete work on a Labor-HHS-Education bill this year at all. But right now the outlook for Reading First is certainly grim. All the more so, because the Bush administration and Secretary of Education Margaret Spellings aren‟t expending much political capital to preserve their signature initiative. Looks like it‘s time for the early education advocacy community to gird up its loins and start pressuring congress to keep Reading First funding focused where it counts—on children from preschool through third grade.

Yes Political Capital
Bush only has a little political capital left, he would use it for good use John Jessup, CBN News Washington Correspondent July 10, 2008 ―Take 2: Iran Test-fires More Missiles‖( http://www.c
bn.com/cbnnews/406751.aspx) This week, Iran's President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad dismissed the possibility of war with the U.S. or Israel as "a funny joke." But administration officials see this as anything but a laughing matter. "The reality is that there is a lot of signaling going on, but I think everybody recognizes what the consequences of any kind of a conflict would be," Defense Secretary Robert Gates said. In response, Israel today is putting an advanced spy plane on public display. It's equipped with sophisticated intelligence systems to collect information on Iran's nuclear program, raising suspicion that an attack may be imminent. Terrorism analyst Daveed Gartentenstein Ross said the possibility of an Israeli strike on Iran this year was "well under 50 percent." He added, "On the flip side… Bush is a lame duck and he wouldn't have a whole lot of political capital to lose," Ross told CBN News. Despite all the rhetoric and the show of force, the Bush administration says it is committed to a diplomatic and economic approach to dealing with Iran and trying to get the regime to peacefully resolve its differences with the international community.

No Bipartisan-solar
Renewable Energy not bipartisan, Senate repeatedly failed to extend solar tax credits Eric Savitz, Barron‘s Staff Writer, July 31, 2008, ―Senate Again Fails To Extend Solar Tax Credits‖ (http://blogs.Barrons .
com/techtraderdaily/2008/07/31/senate-again-fails-to-extend-solar-tax-credits/) The U.S. Senate yesterday failed yet again to approve a measure that would extend solar tax credits, which are due to expire at the end of 2008. As Reuters notes, a measure which would have extended the tax credits for eight years failed a key procedural vote. In a statement, Solar Energy Industry Association president Rhonse Resch warned that a failure to extend the tax credit could damage the domestic solar industry: For the eighth time since June 2007, the Senate was unable to reach a bipartisan compromise to extend solar tax credits which are vital to the solar industry and our economy. Time is running out to extend the solar tax credits and without passage in the immediate future, tens of thousands of jobs and billions of dollars will be lost in new solar investment. Already companies are putting projects on hold and preparing to send thousands of jobs overseas - real jobs that would otherwise be filled by American workers. Failure to extend the solar tax credits is a severe blow to an industry that has proven to be an economic engine for the U.S. at a time when we need it most. The Senate now has little time left this year to extend these tax credits. I strongly urge the Senate to figure out a bipartisan compromise and immediately extend the solar tax credit when they return from their August recess. While industry observers expect the credit will eventually be extended, there are concerns on the Street that the uncertainty about the future of the credits - and the potential that they will not be renewed until after a new administration is installed early next year - will cause U.S. installation of solar systems to temporarily grind to a halt.

No Bipartisan-Wind
Renewable Energy not bipartisan, wind energy proves Chris Green - Harris News Service Staff Writer, August 1, 2008 ―Bipartisan stalemate over offshore oil drilling issue is stalling
tax-break extension‖( http://www.hutchnews.com/Localregional/standoff2008-07-31T20-50-49) TOPEKA - A stalemate in the U.S. Senate related the expansion of offshore oil drilling is blocking the continuation of tax breaks that could further spur the development of wind energy in Kansas. A sweeping bill that included a yearlong extension of the wind energy production tax cut credit beyond 2008 failed to advance in the chamber Wednesday amid maneuvering by both parties. The state's two Republican senators, including Pat Roberts, who is standing for re-election in November, joined most of the their party in opposing an end to debate on the measure. But both say they also strongly support extending the credits. Roberts and fellow U.S. Sen. Sam Brownback blamed Democrats for not working in a bipartisan fashion on the bill. "Kansans should be disappointed in Pat Roberts and his failure to support the renewable energy tax credits," said Abbie Hodgson, a spokeswoman for former U.S. Rep. Jim Slattery. "Our nation requires a comprehensive energy plan, and renewable energy sources like wind are an essential part of the plan."

No Bipartisan-tax credits/bills/solar/clean coal/electric vehicles
Renewable Energy Not Bipartisan-Tax Credits, bills, solar, clean coal, electric vehicles prove Jim Abrams Associated Press, Jul. 31, 2008, ―Energy tax credits stalled in Senate‖ (http://www.p hilly.c om/philly
/news/nation_world/20080731_Energy_tax_credits_stalled_in_Senate.html) WASHINGTON - For the fourth time this summer Republicans have stopped the Senate from taking up wide-ranging legislation that provides tax credits to an array of renewable-energy entrepreneurs and extends tax breaks for teachers, businesses and parents. Major business groups, which usually are GOP allies, have implored Congress to act on the tax credits, many of which expired at the end of last year or will run out at the end of this year. But for many Republicans, it's a matter of principle and politics: Many oppose what they say are new tax increases to pay for parts of the package and nearly all say the Senate's only business now should be to act on an energy bill that promotes drilling and other measures to boost domestic oil supply. The vote yesterday was 51-43, nine short of the 60 needed to begin floor debate on the bill. Among area senators, Arlen Specter (R., Pa.) was the only one to vote against the measure. "All the Republicans want to do is not pay for anything, and we know the House would not accept that," said Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D., Nev.), anticipating the defeat. Sen. John Cornyn (R., Texas) said his party saw a "need to dispose of the pending energy bill to help bring down the price of gas at the pump before turning to other matters." The bill would extend $18 billion in renewable-energy tax credits, helping out investors in wind and solar power, clean coal, plug-in electric vehicles, and a variety of others. The bill, S. 3335, also seeks to extend the research-and-development tax credit that expired in December, and revive tax credits for the deduction of state and local general sales taxes, higher-education tuition, and teacher expenses. The package would cover the cost of the tax breaks by raising $54 billion over 10 years by preventing hedge-fund managers and others from deferring certain overseas profits and by delaying a tax break for multinational corporations. In another partisan standoff yesterday, a Democratic proposal in the House to counter oil-market speculation fell victim to the dispute over offshore drilling for oil, failing, 276-151. All area representatives voted in favor of the measure except Joseph R. Pitts (R., Pa.) and H. James Saxton (R., N.J.). That was nine votes short of the two-thirds needed for approval because the measure had been offered under expedited rules imposed by the Democrats to avoid GOP attempts to attach a provision enabling offshore drilling.

Yes Bipartisan-Energy
Renewable Energy is Bipartisan- Energy Proves Fox News, We report, you decide, August 01, 2008, Senate ―'Gang of 10' Offers Bipartisan Energy Plan‖(
http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,395942,00.html) WASHINGTON — A bipartisan group of 10 senators offered an energy plan Friday aimed at producing more domestic oil via offshore drilling, reducing energy prices, and aiding the troubled economy. The plan also would require automobiles to be more fuel efficient and would provide research money for improved batteries to move away from petroleum-products in cars: the plan calls for 85 percent of vehicles to run on non-petroleum-based fuel in 20 years. Senators said the bill also would promote more renewable energy sources and nuclear energy, as well as carbon capture techniques to reduce greenhouse gas production through tax and other incentives. "This bill would do more to lower gas prices at the pump" than any other plan, Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., told reporters at a Capitol Hill news conference. "Any change in production would send a powerful signal to markets" that would ease back on speculation that primarily Democrats have blamed as one reason for sky-high oil prices. Reid issued a statement ahead of the news conference, offering mild support: "This proposal includes some very good ideas to address our country‟s many energy-related challenges, and while I do not agree with every part of it, I very much appreciate the bipartisan spirit in which it was constructed. ... "I am hopeful this plan can begin to break the current legislative stalemate on the Senate floor. The American people deserve a real debate with productive Senate action on bipartisan proposals to help make energy more abundant, secure and affordable for America‟s families and businesses."

Yes Bipartisan-Renewable Energy
Renewable Energy is Bipartisan- Renewable Energy Proves Ian Talley, Of Dow Jones Newswires, 08-01-08, ―As Parties Fight, Bipartisan 'Gang' Offers Energy Package‖
(http://money.cnn.com/news/newsfeeds/articles/djf500/200808011312DOWJONESDJONLINE000792_FORTUNE5.htm) WASHINGTON - (Dow Jones) - As Democrats and GOP leaders excoriate each other's energy policies as key tenets of their electionyear strategies, a bipartisan group of lawmakers may be charting a solution that could attract the majorities needed to push their energy proposal into law. The proposal, which the politicians expect could be brought to the floor in September, appeals to both parties by taxing Big Oil and funneling those funds into alternative and renewable fuels -- but opens up major portions of the Outer Continental Shelf currently closed to exploration. The "Gang of Ten" Senators who formed the proposal is made up of five Democrats and five Republicans. "Nothing gets done in this body without 60 votes, and you don't get 60 votes without a true bipartisan effort," said Saxby Chambliss, R-Ga., who along with Kent Conrad, D-N.D., led the group. "It hopefully does break down some of the barriers around here," said Sen. John Thune, R-S.D. Conrad said a number of Senators had already expressed interest in the proposal. While Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid, D-Nev., said he didn't agree with all of the provisions in the proposal, he said, "I am hopeful this plan can begin to break the current legislative stalemate on the Senate floor." Specifically, the proposal would open up sections of the OCS 50 miles off the shores of Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina and Georgia and off Florida's west coast in the Gulf of Mexico. All of those states except Florida would be able to opt for leasing of the acreage off their coasts, and revenue from the leases from 50 to 100 miles out would be shared between the federal and state governments. Revenue from leases beyond 100 miles would be federal funds. The proposal would fund a conversion of the nation's petroleum-guzzling vehicles to 85% non-oil fuel sources such as batteries and alternative fuels within 20 years, contributing $15 billion for research and development and helping auto manufacturers retool their plants. It would offer a $7,500 tax credit to purchase advanced vehicles. It also would extend renewable energy and efficiency tax credits through 2012, some of which expire at the end of this year.

Flip Flop-McCain
McCain is the biggest flip flopper in history WorldNetDaily, an independent news company dedicated to uncompromising journalism, seeking truth and justice and revitalizing the role of the free press as a guardian of liberty, August 01, 2008 ―McCain wins gold for flip-flops‖
(http://www.wnd.com/index.php?fa=PAGE.view&pageId=71107) The 2008 Summer Olympics haven't even begun, but the first gold medal has already been awarded to John McCain: for trouncing all contenders in the International Flip-Flopping competition. Indeed, even though he's almost 72 years old, McCain is still remarkably agile. He's performed more flip-flops than any other presidential candidate in history. This week alone, McCain flipped on three issues: taxes, affirmative action and offshore drilling. As recently as July 7, McCain told a town hall meeting in Denver: "Senator Obama will raise your taxes. I won't." And on March 16, he had promised radio talk show host Sean Hannity he would never raise taxes. "Do you mean none?" Hannity asked. "None," McCain replied. Yet on July 27, appearing on ABC's "This Week," McCain indicated he was open to raising Social Security taxes. "I don't want tax increases," he told George Stephanopoulos. "But that doesn't mean that anything is off the table." Conservatives howled. So two days later, McCain reverted to claiming he would never raise taxes. Flip, flop, flip. Ten years ago, McCain opposed a resolution in the Arizona Legislature that would have asked voters to eliminate affirmative action programs in the state based on race, gender or ethnic origin. At the time, he called such ballot initiatives "divisive." But this year, McCain has endorsed an identical measure, now on the ballot, to ban affirmative action. Flip, flop.

Flip Flop- Bush
Bush is currently flip flopping a lot Max Elbaum, member of War Times/Tiempo de Guerras, a group represented on the steering committee of United for Peace and Justice, 07/31/08, ―Reality Bites. Bush Blinks. Tough Road Ahead.‖ http://mrzine.monthlyreview.org/elbaum31 0 708 .h tml
This month the Bush administration finally blinked. After years of bluster about "staying the course" and "not rewarding evildoers by talking to them," a shift in White House declarations indicated that failure is forcing even this President to adjust. First, about Iraq: Three months ago Bush was promising an imminent "Status of Forces Agreement" that would grant the U.S. long-term bases, provide immunity from Iraqi law for U.S. troops and military contractors, and allow U.S. commanders to launch operations and arrest Iraqis at will. This month the White House has retreated to talk about an interim, one-year "understanding" with no promise of bases, no immunity for contractors, and possibly limits on the U.S. military's right to act unilaterally. And with the Iraqi Prime Minister saying that Iraqis want a timetable for U.S. withdrawal, Bush was even forced to say he accepted a "time horizon" for getting out. Such language was previously banned from the Neocon dictionary. Next, Iran: Ever since he included Tehran in his "axis of evil," Bush had insisted that there would be no direct contact until Iran first agreed to Washington's demands. This month came the flip-flop. The President sent top-ranking diplomat William Burns to sit in on talks between European and Iranian negotiators. A front-page assessment in the New York Times (July 16) drew the direct link between these shifts and six years of failure: "The U.S., Israel and some of their European allies have begun to recognize that their policy of trying to defeat their enemies by isolating and vilifying them has failed." (The so-called newspaper of record might have added: shooting, bombing, and torturing them has failed too.) The admission that Washington could no longer carry through on White House threats also came from the head of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Admiral Michael Mullen: "Opening up a third front right now would be extremely stressful for us," he told a reporter, referring to the prospect of a direct clash with Iran. "This is a very unstable part of the world, and I don't need it to be more unstable."

Flip Flop- Obama
Obama flip flops on major offshore drilling issue David Lightman, McClatchy Newspapers Staff Writer, August 1, 2008, third-largest newspaper company in the United States, a
leading newspaper and internet publisher dedicated to the values of quality journalism, free expression and community service.‖ In major change, Obama says he'll support offshore drilling‖( http://www.mcclatchydc .com/home page/story/46174.html) WASHINGTON — Barack Obama Friday dropped his opposition to offshore oil drilling, saying he could go along with the idea if it was part of a broader energy package. Obama made his comments in St. Petersburg during an interview with the Palm Beach Post. "My interest is in making sure we've got the kind of comprehensive energy policy that can bring down gas prices," he said. "If, in order to get that passed, we have to compromise in terms of a careful, well thought-out drilling strategy that was carefully circumscribed to avoid significant environmental damage - I don't want to be so rigid that we can't get something done," the paper quoted Obama as saying. The change is dramatic because Obama often pointed to his opposition to drilling as a key difference between himself and presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain. "I will keep the moratorium in place and prevent oil companies from drilling off Florida‘s coasts," Obama said in Florida in June. Friday, he said he was still not a fan of drilling, telling the Palm Beach paper, "I think it's important for the American people to understand we're not going to drill our way out of this problem."Obama also said, in a separate statement issued by his campaign, that he supported the bipartisan energy plan offered by 10 senators Friday."Like all compromises, it also includes steps that I haven't always supported," he said. "I remain skeptical that new offshore drilling will bring down gas prices in the short-term or significantly reduce our oil dependence in the longterm, though I do welcome the establishment of a process that will allow us to make future drilling decisions based on science and fact."The proposal would end most of the ban on drilling. It would allow a 50-mile buffer on the east coast, as well as Florida's west coast. Virginia, North Carolina, Georgia and South Carolina would be permitted to start oil and natural gas exploration outside the buffer.

Flip Flop- Obama
Obama is a known flip flopper Yael T. Abouhalkah, Kansas City Star Editorial Page columnist, July 11, 2008, ‗Obama's FISA flip-flop angers liberal bloggers‖
(http://voices.kansascity.com/node/1632) Turns out Barack Obama can make mistakes, even in the eyes of his true believers on the Internet. Take his recent flip-flop on the federal surveillance law. First, he opposed an updated Foreign Intelligence Surveillance Act (FISA) because it would give telecommunications companies such as Sprint immunity from lawsuits even if they helped President Bush's warrantless wiretapping program. Good for Obama; the president's actions violated Americans' civil liberties. But Obama now says he voted for the updated law this week to help protect the nation. He and his defenders say that its a good law, even with the immunity piece in there. That position has angered a number of Obama's online backers who have used the Internet -- as he told them to do -- to collect supporters and cash for the candidate.

Flip Flop-Both
Both Parties flip flop- it‟s just a matter of finding them. Mike Madden, He attended University of Pennsylvania, worked with Arizona Republic Gannett and The Philadelphia Inquirer as a Suburban Staff Writer, July 17, 2008, ―Flip-flopping to the White House‖(
http://www.salon.com/news/feature/2008/07/17/flip_flop/) WASHINGTON -- At first, when the chant started at the Republican convention four years ago, it was hard to figure out what was going on. What were George W. Bush's faithful shouting back and forth across Madison Square Garden at each other? And why, even before the night's first speaker had taken the podium, did it look like the GOP delegates were doing the wave? Before long, though, the meaning became clear: the Republicans were chanting, "Flip," "Flop," "Flip," "Flop," alternating from one side of the arena to the other, and waving back and forth as they did it. The target, of course, was John Kerry, and in case you haven't noticed who's in the White House these days, the attack was a hit. So it shouldn't be surprising that, in the same spirit, John McCain's campaign and the Republican National Committee are going after Barack Obama on similar grounds. Just in the last week, the RNC has sent out two detailed press releases titled "Obama vs. Obama," and forwarded around a few news articles with headlines like "Flipping and Flopping." Meanwhile, McCain and his aides and allies are hammering Obama for changing his mind on whether the troop surge in Iraq has helped calm the situation there. "It seems to me this is not just the kind of normal political flip-flop, back and forth," Sen. Joe Lieberman, the Democrat-turned-independent who has become one of McCain's most aggressive surrogates, said on "Fox & Friends" Wednesday morning. McCain, though, is a surprising choice to be a charter member of the U.S. Consistency Patrol. He's done his fair share of "reversals," as the Republicans call Obama's shifts, in this campaign. He changed his position on offshore oil drilling (from opposed to in favor), on sweeping immigration reform (from in favor to opposed), and on tax cuts (from opposed to in favor). Democrats are trying to spotlight that track record, themselves; the goal is to chip away at McCain's image as a maverick -- to remind voters that in fact, he agrees with his fellow Republicans far more than he disagrees. For someone who named his campaign bus the "Straight Talk Express," the moves add up to a potential vulnerability. This summer's focus on flip-flops has managed to obscure meaningful discussion of policies. The campaigns and the media alike are rolling up procedural issues (Obama's decision not to take public financing for the general election) with substantive ones (McCain's decision that tax cuts he once said he "could not in good conscience" vote for weren't so bad after all) into one big, catch-all category. Aides on both sides sound eerily similar.

Alt energy key to Obama
Unique link- Energy policies give Obama Ohio- a key swing state in the election Thomson Reuters UK. 7-22-08 ―Alternative energy a popular stop in U.S. campaign‖
http://uk.reuters.com/article/environmentNews/idUKN2143903020080722?pageNumber=2&virtualBrandChannel=0 More importantly, analysts believe embracing coal-to-liquid technologies and others like it may offer Obama a way to win over white working class voters in the area, an economically depressed but culturally conservative region that supported rival Hillary Clinton in the Democratic nominating process. Obama has a track record of supporting coal, since coal mining is also a staple of his home state, Illinois. But whether that will be enough to win over voters concerned about his race or reputation as a liberal elite is not clear."Right now Obama has the more difficult challenge in this region than McCain, but the economy is in lousy shape so Democrats should be able to connect," said Herb Asher, a professor of political science at Ohio State University,"It's an important area -- only 10 percent of (Ohio's) vote but it can move back and forth. I think at this stage it's a challenge for Obama but he doesn't have to carry it -- even if he loses, the votes he gets could make the difference."Polls show Obama with a small lead over McCain in Ohio, but the state is considered too close to call.Chris Gagin knows the district can swing politically. The district director for Democratic Rep. Charlie Wilson, who supports the Baard plant, Gagin sees people every day who voted strongly for his own Democratic boss and the state's Democratic governor -- but also elected Bush in 2000 and 2004. Obama, he admitted, will be hard-pressed to win over the region's working class voters."The whole Muslim issue, and race issue, is something nobody talks about, but it's there," said Gagin. "Clean coal is a way for Obama to introduce himself to these folks (to show what) they have in common, but it won't be the determining factor for most of them."

Alternative Energy Crucial to Election
Energy policies crucial- whoever takes credit for the plan wins the election
Jake Stump, Daily Mail Capitol Reporter. 7-17-2008. ―Oil drilling booms as an issue in several big campaigns‖http://www.dailymail.com/News/200807170175?page=2&build=cache

"The party that will win on this issue is the one that gives voters a sense that they have real answers and can find a way
to deliver," he said. "Neither party nor presidential nominee has achieved that as yet. Energy is vital to this year's election because it is directly tied to the No. 1 issue, the economy. So the party or candidate who cracks the code on energy can have a leg up." Energy has surfaced as a dominant issue already in West Virginia congressional campaigns, particularly in the 2nd District race between Rep. Shelley Moore Capito and her Democratic challenger Anne Barth.

Alternative Energy Popular-Democrats
Democrats support every type of alt energy policy Hammond, 4 -- Founder of Carlist.Com, Guest Reporter on MSNBC for alternative energies and technologies, host of
Motortrend rado, writer for Wired magazine, writer for Auto Aficionado, writer for Green Car Journal (Lou Ann, ―The Greenest Democratic Convention Ever‖ http://www.cerc04.org/press/inthenews_sa_071204.html) <"Democrats have regularly promoted renewable energy, recycling mass transportation, and reducing pollution that leads to global warming," said Bruce Hamilton, National Conservation Director of the Sierra Club. The DFC300A is the hardware that takes natural gas and internally creates hydrogen, which in turn creates electricity without combustion Convention organizers are powering the convention with renewable energy, supplied by Constellation New Energy (a subsidiary of Constellation Energy Group, a Baltimore-based Fortune 500 national energy company). The media centers at the Convention will use renewable sources including wind, hydroelectric power, biomass and solar energy. Each of these renewable energies emit lower levels of greenhouse gases and displace energy derived from power plants that depend on fuel from overseas. The Convention will also utilize a 250-kilowatt fuel cell power plant, supplied by Connecticut based FuelCell Energy Inc to power the Democratic National Convention to be held at the Fleet Center in Boston July 26-29, 2004.. Fuel Cell Energy's DFC300A power plant has enough power to provide the base load electricity requirements of a 300-room hotel. The power plant will directly convert natural gas, supplied by Keyspan Energy, into the hydrogen needed to electrochemically produce electricity. Fuel Cell Energy's DFC power plants generate power without combustion and, due to their favorable emissions profile, are an ultra-clean product since they meet the most stringent air quality standards in the nation. The DFC300A fuel cell, combined with FuelCell Energy's 30 other customer installations throughout the world have generated more than 41 million kilowatt hours of electricity. "Being the first fuel-cell powered Convention is just one of the ways this event will make history," said Boston Mayor Thomas M. Menino. "We are very pleased that Boston and the Democratic National Convention will be a showcase for how an environmentally sound energy policy is good for Boston and for America." "The DFC power plant clearly shows the flexibility of stationary fuel cells for commercial and industrial applications," said Herbert T. Nock, Senior Vice President of Marketing and Sales of FuelCell Energy. "We delivered, set up and started the power plant in less than two weeks. The unit is so clean it can operate in downtown Boston with no impact on air quality. And it uses half the fuel because it is twice as efficient as comparably sized power plants." With temperatures looming in the 80s and humidity running around 30-70 percent Boston will be feeling the heat and added congestion during the Convention. What they won't have to be as concerned with is clean air. The DFC300A power plant produces 99.9 percent less harmful air pollution and 59 percent less carbon dioxide than traditional combustion-based fossil fuel power plants. General Motors will be providing hybrid pickup trucks and buses to the Democratic National Convention Center. Hybrids, which get the best mileage under 25 MPG, generally known as city use, will provide 60 percent greater fuel economy and 90 percent fewer emissions than regular transit buses. Accusations by Kerry/Edwards against the Bush government "In President George Bush's government, where polluters actually write environmental laws and oil company profits matter more than hard science and cold facts, protecting the government doesn't matter at all." "Even though 133 million Americans already live with unhealthy air, the Bush administration bowed to energy industry lobbying and rewrote rules to allow 20,000 facilities to spew more smog, soot and mercury in the air." "Even though overwhelming scientific evidence shows that global climate change is a scientific fact, this administration has rewritten government reports to hide that fact." "We reject the false choice between a healthy economy and a healthy environment." Democratic Platform stance on OPEC, EPA, CAFE, energy incentives and vehicle manufacturing So, what is Kerry/Edwards proposing for the United States if they are elected to govern us in November? According to the 41 page Democrat platform, the Democrats want; Energy-efficient vehicles 
 "We support creating more energy-efficient vehicles, from today's hybrids to tomorrow's hydrogen cars. We support the American people's freedom to choose whatever cars, SUVs, minivans and trucks they choose, but we also believe American ingenuity is equal to the task of improving efficiency. We support improving fuel standards, and because of the challenges this poses, we will offer needed incentives for consumers to buy efficient vehicles, and for manufacturers to build them." Hydrogen 
 "We are committed to developing hydrogen as a clean, reliable domestic source of energy. Our economy cannot convert to hydrogen overnight, so we will fund research to overcome the obstacles to hydrogen fuel and continue our other efforts to achieve energy independence." Renewable Energy 
 "Our plan begins with commonsense investments to harness the natural world around us - the sun, wind, water, geothermal and biomass sources and a rich array of crops to create a new generation of affordable energy for the 21st century. By mobilizing the amazing productivity of America's farmers, we can grow our own cleaner-burning fuel. We support tax credits for private sector investment in clean air, renewable sources of energy, and we will make ethanol work better for farmers. And we will ensure that billions of gallons of renewable fuel are part of America's energy supply while striving for strong, national renewable energy goals." To move beyond OPEC 
 "We can improve our energy security in other ways. We will seek more diverse sources of oil around the world and here at home. We support balanced development of domestic oil supplies in areas already open for exploration, like the western and central Gulf of Mexico. We support the expansion of new infrastructure to develop supplies from non-OPEC nations like

Russia, Canada and nations in Africa. We will increase efficiency of natural gas use, develop Alaska natural gas pipeline, and enhance our nation's infrastructure to help supply natural gas more effectively. Coal 
 "We will work to create new technology (scrubbing) for producing electricity in a better, more efficient manner. Coal accounts for more than one-half of America's electric power generation capacity today. We believe coal must continue its important role in a new energy economy, while achieving high environmental standardss. We will invest billions to develop and implement new, cleaner coal technology and to produce electric and hydrogen power."

Alternative Energy Popular-Republicans
Republicans support alternative energy Adam Putnam – Chairman of the House Republican Conference - 08 5-21-2008, ―House Republicans Unveil Energy Plan,
Real Solutions for American Families‖ http://www.gop.gov/c/journal_articles/view_article_content?groupId=1&articleId=1647&version=1.0 At a news conference on the steps of the U.S. Capitol today, House Republicans unveiled our plan to deliver real energy solutions and lower gas prices for Americans facing pain at the pump. Congressman Adam Putnam (R-FL), Chairman of the House Republican Conference, issued the following statement: ―Washington is broken, and it is no more apparent than on soaring energy and gas prices under the Democrat Congress. ―More than two years ago, Speaker Pelosi promised a „commonsense plan to help bring down skyrocketing gas prices.‘ Since Democrats took control of Congress, gas prices have risen more than 60 percent and Americans are paying a hefty Pelosi Premium at the pump. This is not the change Democrats promised Americans, and it is the not the change Americans deserve. ―The American people are hurting from a slowing economy, the housing crunch and rising costs of living. They are tired of waiting for the long-promised „commonsense plan‟ to lower gas prices. They are impatient with a Democrat energy policy that is chock full of job-killing tax hikes, burdensome regulation and no new American energy. ―Today, House Republicans unveiled an energy plan that offers meaningful solutions for American families. Through this agenda, we will increase production of American-made energy – including next-generation oil, natural gas, clean-coal, renewable and alternative energies – while protecting our nation‘s natural resources. We will cut red tape and increase energy supplies by spurring the construction of new refineries and nuclear power plants, as many European nations are doing. And we will make America more energy efficient by offering significant conservation tax breaks to Americans who invest in green technologies for their home, car or business. ―The American people have had it with skyrocketing gas prices and a Democrat Congress that offers no meaningful solutions. Our House Republican plan provides real solutions to produce American-made energy, help lower gas prices and make us more energy independent. That is the change America deserves.‖

Energy policy unpopular
Energy policy is unpopular Mayer, 7 – Money-in-politics reporter for Center for Responsive Politics (Lindsay Renick, PBS, ―Big Oil Big Influence‖ 11-23-2007
http://www.pbs.org/now/shows/347/oil-politics.html ) <"I think [the new leadership] generally puts the issue on the agenda for legislative action. It puts it higher on the agenda. But it's not clear Congress will actually be able to do very much in terms of getting the votes for legislation, because energy policy in reality is very controversial and often very expensive," Victor said. "That's something that both parties have a difficult time dealing with.">

Alternative Energy Unpopular-GOP
GOP hates alternative energy policies CQ 08 (Congressional Quarterly, ―Stalled for Now, Climate Change Bill May Find Broader Support in Future‖, June 6,
http://www.cqpolitics.com/wmspage.cfm?docID=news-000002890955) Shift in GOP Sentiment To be sure, this doesn‟t mean Republicans are abandoning what has long been the center of their energy policy: increasing domestic oil drilling. As passionate as the newfound GOP support for renewables may be, even an advocate such as Alexander says the starting point has to be “exploring for more oil and gas. When you talk about a new Manhattan Project, you need to start with more oil drilling.‖ And Cornyn, who hails from the nation‟s chief oil state, backs initiatives that would seek to boost solar and wind power, but dismisses ideas that do not also include drilling as part of the solution. There‘s a large consensus of people who think we need to be good stewards of the environment. We all realize we can‘t live on a petroleum-based economy indefinitely,‖ Cornyn said. ―But the problem with our friends in the Democratic majority is that they do not believe in producing more energy as a solution.‖ Still, Democrats see promise in the new Republican renewables movement. ―There‘s greater support on the Republican side for conservation and alternative energy,‖ Bingaman said. ―We are hoping to be able to move ahead in that area. I think the prospects are much better on those issues than they have been.‖ In the House, Adam H. Putnam of Florida, chairman of the House Republican Conference, said that skyrocketing gasoline and utility prices are the ―game-changers.‖ ―The lines that were drawn clearly about what would or would not be supported by Democrats and Republicans in the 2005 energy bill — those are changing. Those old battle lines aren‘t necessarily true anymore,‖ he said.

Alt Energy Unpopular-public
Alt energy policies are unpopular with the public Nothstine, 08 -- Associate Editor at the Acton Institute, and Managing Editor of Religion & Liberty, B.A. in Political Science
from The University of Mississippi in Oxford, free-lance writer for Institute on Religion and Democracy, staff member for U.S. Congressman Gene Taylor (Ray, Action Institute, ―Washington‘s Unpopular War on Energy‖ 06-18-2008 http://www.acton.org/commentary/459_washington_unpopular_war_on_energy.php ) Most Americans have little faith in the federal government to represent their interests. Who can blame them, when their fears are constantly affirmed by Washington‘s shenanigans? According to polls, presidential and congressional approval ratings are hovering around an all time low. Just 17 percent of American voters believe the federal government represents the will of the people. That this skepticism is well placed is bad news for citizens who are looking to Washington to solve the problem of rising fuel and energy prices. It‘s even more dire news for Americans on fixed and limited incomes. With energy prices already skyrocketing, federal lawmakers wreaked more havoc by trying to pass heavy-handed regulatory legislation known simply as “cap and trade.” The legislation would impose stringent emission limits on energy and manufacturing industries. At the same time, many environmentalists admit that the legislation would have little to no impact on climate change. However, the bill would greatly increase hidden taxes and costs on consumers. The poor and middle class would be hardest hit.

Cap and trade popular-public
The public supports Cap and Trade Opinion Research Corporation , 08 (Angus Reid Global Monitor : Polls & Research ―Americans Support Cap-and-Trade
Scheme‖ June 14, 2008, http://www.angus-reid.com/polls/view/americans_support_cap_and_trade_scheme/) Many adults in the United States would welcome a cap-and-trade scheme to reduce global warming, according to a poll by Opinion Research Corporation released by CNN. 52 per cent of respondents support a proposal to have the government set a limit on the amount of emissions that a company could produce each year, with companies being allowed to buy credits from those who pollute less.

RPS popular-public
Public support is growing for a national RPS Joshua P. Fershee, 08 – Assistant Professor of Law at the University of North Dakota School of Law
(., Energy Law Journal, ―Changing Resources, Changing Market: The Impact of a National Renewable Portfolio Standard on the U.S. Energy Industry,‖ 29 Energy L. J. 49, Lexis-Nexis Academic) Public opinion polls, growing support from utilities, and continually increasing state RPS legislation indicate that support for a renewable energy mandate is stronger than ever. However, opposition remains strong. Rightly or wrongly, the majority of Americans appear ready to take a calculated risk to find out if renewable energy can fulfill its promise. The question remains: Is Congress?

RPS popular-public
RPS is popular with the public UPI, 07 Rosalie Westenskow, United Press International, ―Analysis: Nation ripe for a federal RPS,‖ 6-8-2007,
http://www.upi.com/Energy/Analysis/2007/06/08/analysis_nation_ripe_for_a_federal_rps/4681/ Despite failure of similar legislation in the past, the prospects for approval look good this year, said Barry Rabe, professor in the Gerald Ford School of Public Policy at the University of Michigan. "These policies have proven popular in a number of states," he said. "The majority of American citizens already live in Congressional districts with an RPS."

Alt energies popular-public/congress
Climate policies are highly popular with Congress and the public.
JOHN M. BRODER and MARJORIE CONNELLY. April 27, 2007. Public Remains Split on Response to Warming Americans in large bipartisan numbers say the heating of the earth‟s atmosphere is having serious effects on the environment now or will soon and think that it is necessary to take immediate steps to reduce its effects, the latest New York Times/CBS News poll finds. Ninety percent of Democrats, 80 percent of independents and 60 percent of Republicans said immediate action was required to curb the warming of the atmosphere and deal with its effects on the global climate. Nineteen percent said it was not necessary to act now, and 1 percent said no steps were needed. Recent international reports have said with near certainty that human activities are the main cause of global warming since 1950. The poll found that 84 percent of Americans see human activity as at least contributing to warming. The poll also found that Americans want the United States to support conservation and to be a global leader in addressing environmental problems and developing alternative energy sources to reduce reliance on fossil fuels like oil and coal.

Alt energies popular-public
Alternative energies are popular with the public
JOHN M. BRODER and MARJORIE CONNELLY. April 27, 2007. Public Remains Split on Response to Warming Americans broadly support using renewable energy sources like solar and wind power and say fueling vehicles with ethanol, which is now made largely from corn, is a good idea, the survey found. They also are nearly evenly split on building nuclear power plants to reduce reliance on imported energy sources. When asked whether they would accept a nuclear plan in their community, they said no, 59 percent to 36 percent.

Alt energies popular-public
Public loves alternative energy policies
Ruy Teixeira, May 23, 2008. Public Calls for Energy Transition Away from Oil Gas and oil both reached record highs this week, just in time for Memorial Day weekend travelers to hit the road. Gas clocked in at $3.83 a gallon yesterday, and oil hit $135.09 a barrel in trading Wednesday night. There‘s little sign that these prices are hitting their peaks, either. A Goldman Sachs analyst predicts that prices of ―$150-$200 per barrel seems increasingly likely over the next six to 24 months,‖ and this week‘s numbers seem to be proving him right. The public agrees, too. A late January survey by WorldPublicOpinion.org found that 88 percent believe that the price of oil will be much or somewhat higher 10 years from now than it is today. Just 7 percent thought it would remain the same, and 6 percent thought it would be lower. In the same survey, 76 percent said that our government should assume that the supply of oil is running out and that we must make a major effort to replace oil with other sources of energy. Just 23 percent believe enough new oil will be found to allow oil to remain a primary energy source in the future.

Ethanol popular-public
Ethanol is highly popular with the public Public Opinion Strategies. July 10, 2008 Public Support for Ethanol.
The findings of a new bipartisan report by Greenberg Quinlan Rosner and Public Opinion Strategies find that despite a barrage of criticism about ethanol in the media and in environmental circles, voters on both sides of the aisle are supporting the increased use of this alternative energy. The research, which was commissioned by the Renewable Fuels Association, found that the pro-ethanol majority is big and broad - crossing party lines and capturing conservatives and environmentalists alike - and that voters view corn-based ethanol favorably, and not as problem contributing to the rising cost of food.


				
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Description: Tony Viessman, 74, a retired police officer, holds a banner outside the Rolla event proclaiming "Rednecks for Obama". "He is brilliant," he says. "