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					FOCUS ON STATISTICS
ISSUE 1 – NOVEMBER 2008
Welcome to the first edition of our new ‘Focus on Statistics’ bulletin produced by the Policy Unit. The purpose of this document is to highlight some of the latest releases from (amongst others) the Welsh Assembly Government, Office for National Statistics and Data Unit Wales, which include useful statistics in relation to Caerphilly county borough. We will also be providing regular updates on key statistical datasets, as appropriate. A further feature will be to highlight major data releases that will potentially have a major impact on the way your service operates, such as the Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation, Population Projections and the Census. As this is the first edition of this bulletin, we are very keen to hear your views on whether this bulletin is of interest to you and whether there is any other information that we could include in future issues. The intention is to produce this bulletin on a quarterly basis. Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation 2008 The Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation (WIMD) is the official measure of deprivation for small areas in Wales. It was developed for the Welsh Assembly Government by the Assembly’s Statistical Directorate and the Data Unit (Wales). The 2008 Index replaces the index that was produced in 2005. One of the main purposes of an index of deprivation is to enable the Government, local Councils and their partners to target scarce resources towards areas experiencing the greatest need. WIMD 2008 is based on eight different deprivation domains that model differing types of deprivation. This method takes into account the assumption that multiple deprivation is a combination of different related deprivation factors e.g. poor health may be related to sub-standard housing or low income, but is still also deprivation in its own right. Domain indexes provide information about the specific deprivation related to each domain, in addition to their contribution to the overall index, and each domain index is based on a combination of relevant indicators. A report has been produced summarising the results for the county borough, and the key findings are:  13 of the 110 (11.8%) of the Lower Layer Super Output Areas (LSOAs) in the county borough fall within the 10% most deprived category for the Overall Index of Multiple Deprivation, the 8th highest proportion in Wales  the three most deprived areas in the county borough are Twyn Carno 1 (rank 8 out of 1,896 in Wales) St James 3 (rank 9) and Bargoed 4 (rank 21).  69% of the LSOAs in the county borough fall within the 50% most deprived LSOAs

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There are higher than average levels of deprivation within the county borough in all of the four most deprived categories (most deprived 10%, 20%, 30% and 50%)

If you would like more information on the Welsh Index of Multiple Deprivation 2008, please get in touch – contact details can be found at the end of this document. Population Projections 2006-2031 Population projections provide estimates of the size of the future population. They are based on assumptions about births, deaths and migration at a specific point in time. On 30th June 2008, the Welsh Assembly Government published 2006-based population projections for all 22 local authorities in Wales. This is the first time populations projections have been made available at a local authority level, and will assist the Council and its partners in effectively planning for population change over the next 25 years. A report has been produced analysing the projections at a county borough level, and the key findings are:  The total population of the county borough is projected to increase by 12,800 (7.5%) by 2030/31. This is below the average population growth (14.1%) projected to be seen across all Welsh local authorities  It is projected that more growth will be seen in the male population (8.9%) than the female population (6.1%)  The most recent actual data show that births in the county borough have seen an upward trend since 2001/02. This trend is expected to continue in the initial years of the projection and births are expected to follow the general pattern seen across all local authorities in Wales  The number of deaths within the county borough is projected to decline slightly until 2015/16 and then increase until 2030/31  The county borough is projected to have one of the highest levels of positive natural change seen across Wales  Life expectancy over the projection period is projected to continually rise from 78.5 in 2005/06 to 82.7 in 2030/31  The number of pensioners within the county borough is predicted to increase by 31.9% by 2031 If you would like more information on the population projections or the data that underpin them, please get in touch – contact details can be found at the end of this document. 2011 Census A census is a survey of all people and households in the country. It provides essential information from national to neighbourhood level for government, business, and the community. The last census took place on 29 th April 2001 and the next one is planned for 27th March 2011.

The Office for National Statistics (the body responsible for managing the census within England and Wales) has recently held a series of workshops sessions to share information on progress with the different stages of the planning process required to hold a census. This was a very useful session that highlighted the vast amount of activity that needs to take place over the next two years or so in order for the census to be undertaken effectively. A rehearsal for the 2011 Census will be held with three authorities in England and Wales (Lancaster, Newham and Isle of Anglesey), and will take place on 11th October 2009. The purpose of this rehearsal is to:  rehearse the field operations and processing activities for a defined set of addresses  pilot and evaluate all aspects of the 2011 Census design and operations that will be ready  identify aspects for improvement, and changes to meet the quality and cost targets  develop effective ways of working together with local authorities, community groups and other stakeholders A network of Census Regional Champions (CRCs) has been formed to support the contribution of local authorities in maximising response rates. They will be responsible for raising awareness of the 2011 Census amongst local authorities, their strategic partners and community groups; helping ONS to create effective partnerships with local authorities; advising ONS on communication strategies and engagement plans with local authorities; and sharing best practice across regions and other CRCs. The details of the Regional Champions have yet to be announced. Some of the most important aspects of the planning for the 2011 Census that will involve local authorities are address checking and community liaison. ONS will be contacting the Local Land and Property Gazetteer (LLPG) custodian within each local authority in England in Wales for help in checking the address lists that provide the basis for delivery of census forms. Local authorities will also be asked to assist in ensuring that traditional hard to reach groups are involved in discussions about how best to contact them and appropriate ways of making contact. Both these aspects are extremely important in ensuring that as many individuals are possible are counted on census night. If you require any further information on the planning for the 2011 Census, or the information available from the 2001 Census, please get in touch. Latest Statistical Releases Absenteeism from Secondary Schools 2007/08 The latest National Statistics on absenteeism from Secondary Schools in Wales produced by the Welsh Assembly Government were released on 30th October 2008. This data includes information for Wales up to the late May Bank Holiday in 2008 and for England for the period up to the end of the Spring term 2008. Information relating to Caerphilly county borough is given on page 5 of the document. http://new.wales.gov.uk/statsdocs/schools/sdr170-2008.pdf?lang=en

Absenteeism from Primary Schools 2007 This Statistical First Release summarises the results of a survey on absenteeism by pupils of compulsory primary school age in Wales. Information relates to the 2006/07 academic year. Information relating to Caerphilly county borough can be found on page 2 of the document. http://new.wales.gov.uk/docrepos/40382/40382313/statistics/schools/schools2008/sd r23-2008.pdf?lang=en Municipal Waste Management Report 2007/08 The latest National Statistics on municipal waste produced by the Welsh Assembly Government were released on 30th October 2008. The release includes information about the amount of municipal waste collected from household and non-household sources and the levels of recycling in Wales. Information relating to Caerphilly county borough is highlighted on pages 4 and 5 of the document. http://new.wales.gov.uk/statsdocs/env/sdr177-2008.pdf?lang=en Substance Misuse 2007-08 The latest statistics for Substance Misuse in Wales produced by the Welsh Assembly Government Department for Social Justice and Local Government, were released on 30th October 2008. Statistics on substance misuse in Wales include data on clients seen at drug and alcohol treatment agencies in Wales for the year to the end of March 2008. The main source of the data is the Welsh Database for Substance Misuse held by Health Solutions Wales. The data only relates to people presenting to treatment services for substance misuse and these may constitute only a proportion of all substance misusers. The report also includes additional information from other sources including hospital, mortality and police force data. http://new.wales.gov.uk/topics/housingandcommunity/safety/substancemisuse/stats/ ?lang=en Social Landlords Possessions and Evictions 2007-08 The latest National Statistics on Social Landlords possessions and evictions in Wales produced by the Welsh Assembly Government were released on 29th October 2008. This Statistical Release presents information on possession orders and eviction warrants obtained against tenants of social landlords (local authorities and registered social landlords - RSLs) in Wales during 2007/08. The release also presents information about other legal action that social landlords have taken against anti-social behaviour by their tenants. Information relating to Caerphilly county borough can be found on page 5 of the document. http://new.wales.gov.uk/statsdocs/housing/sdr176-2008.pdf?lang=en Annual Population Survey Household Data 2004 to 2007 The Office for National Statistics (ONS) recently released household datasets from Annual Population Survey for the first time. These datasets cover the years 2004 to 2007 and enable analyses to be carried out at a Local Authority level. The main analyses that can now be carried out at this level are for people in workless households, children in workless households, lone parents and housing tenure. At the time of release ONS provided some analyses of workless households at a Local

Authority level. In January, a bulletin containing estimates of lone parents for each local authority will be released, as well as other analyses relating to workless households. For Caerphilly county borough between January and December 2007, 22.3% of households were defined as workless households (a workless household is a working-age household where no-one aged 16 or over is in employment). See map link below for comparisons with the UK. http://www.statistics.gov.uk/downloads/theme_labour/finalmaplowres.pdf Council Tax Dwellings 2008-09 This First Release analyses the number of households in each Council Tax band, the number of Band D equivalent dwellings, and the proportion of households eligible for discounts or exemptions, for each local authority in Wales. http://new.wales.gov.uk/docrepos/40382/40382313/statistics/locgov/locgov2008/sdr1 -2008a?lang=en Statistics on Migrant Workers 2008 This article brings together information from statistical surveys and administrative sources on migrant workers in Wales, with a focus on those from countries that joined the European Union in 2004, the Accession 8 or A8 countries. Information relating to Caerphilly county borough can be found on pages 4, 5 and 8 of the document. http://new.wales.gov.uk/statsdocs/economy/sa19.pdf?lang=en

This document has been produced by: Vicki Doyle Policy Officer (Statistics & Funding) Policy Unit Caerphilly County Borough Council Tel: 01443 864403 E-mail: doylevm@caerphilly.gov.uk


				
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