Docstoc

Chapter 5 on energy balances - Oslo Group

Document Sample
Chapter 5 on energy balances - Oslo Group Powered By Docstoc
					                                                                  1




Chapter 5 on energy balances

Ann Christin Bøeng,
Senior adviser
Division for energy and environmental statistics, Department of
economics, energy and the environment
Statistics Norway



                                                                  1
Outline for this presentation

• Work process with the chapter
• Comments from last Oslo group meeting in Helsinki
• Current structure in the chapter and changes since last
 meeting
• Comments from the virtual meeting in April this year
• Questions
• First annotated outline of the chapter: Does the chapter
 follow UNSD’s planned outline.



                                                             2
Comments and discussion on last OG meeting
•   The first draft of chapter 5 was presented in Helsinki in October 2012.
•   Statistics Norway wrote the main part of the first draft.
•   The following countries / organizations volunteered to contribute;

     Country/Organization                                   Representative

     IEA                                                    Karen Treanton

     Canada/Statistics Canada                               Andy Kohut

     China/ National Bureau of Statistics of China          Xie Xin


     Cameroon/Ministère de l'Energie et de l'Eau (MINEE)    Defo Wafo Sylvain

     Congo/Ministère de l'Energie                           Willy Kipoy S. Musalu

     Ghana/Energy Commission of Ghana                       Salifu Addo


     UK/UK Department of Energy and Climate Change (DECC)   Iain MacLeay

     UNSD                                                    
                                                                                    3
Some of the comments from the meeting in Helsinki were
the following:

• Start with description of energy commodity balance and
 then explain how to convert it to an energy balance.
• Ensure that the chapter follows IRES
• It was a discussion whether the chapter should explain how
 to estimate the renewable energy share in the balance
• IRES sais that the energy balance should contain an ”of this
 renewable” column, and it was agreed to explain this in the
 chapter.




                                                               4
Several comments on the chapter (continues)
• Give more practical guidance on how to compile the
 balance
• Explain better what an energy balance is and what is the
 purpose with it.
• Include more country practices or refer to places where
 practical examples on how to do things could be found
• Needs of some restructuring
• Describe better conversion from physical units to energy
 units.
• Describe ”energy losses” better!
• Make it more easy to understand
                                                             5
Changes made in the chapter

• A somewhat modified draft was published on the
 virtual meeting the 15th. April this year.
There are now 4 main parts in the chapter and an appendix.
• Part A: Introduction / Importance of energy balances. (one
 page)
• Part B: General information pertinent to both commodity
 balances and energy balances (describes flows etc.)
• Part C: Compilation of energy balances.
• Part D: Country spesific examples
• Appendixes
                                                               6
Part B: Information pertinent to both balances and commodity balances

•   1. Level of detail
•   2. Yearly, quarterly or monthly balances?
•   3 Timeliness, preliminary and final balances
•   4. Scope of commodity balances and energy balances
•   - 4.1 Energy products (SIEC)
•   - 4.2 Energy flows
•   5 : Domestic supply and transfers (describes prod., bunkers etc.)
•   6. Transformation (examples on transformation processes)
•   7: Energy industries own use
•   8: Losses
•   9; Final consumption
•   10: Statistical difference
•   11: Possible elements for reconciliation
                                                                        7
Part C Compilation of energy balances

•   1 Calculating an energy balance
•   2 Net or gross calorific values? (NCV recommended)
•   3 Choice of the primary energy form
•   4 Calculation of the primary energy equivalent : How to calculate
    nuclear, hydro, solar etc., when only the electricity produces is known.
•   5 . Hydro pumped storage plants: Different treatment in balances and
    commodity balances
•   6 Example of an energy balance (EB for Austria as example)
•   7 Checking the energy balance (checking transformation losses,
    statistical difference, generation efficiency)
•   8 Presentational issues in an energy balance (transformation, transfer)
•   9 How to calculate the renewables column

                                                                               8
Part D Country-specific examples

•   1. Statistics Norway’s energy balance
•   2. Statistics Austria’s energy balance
•   3. Aggregated energy balance for the United Kingdom



•   Appendix A. Heat production from heat pumps
•   Appendix B. Calculation of the primary energy equivalent




                                                               9
Changes in the chapter

• Most modifications was done by me and Karen Treanton in
    IEA (who has now retired- gone sailing)
•   The current draft now starts with describing commodity
    balances, before explaining how to compile energy
    balances.
     - One challenge was that existing recommendations on
    how to compile commodity balances are limited. Appendix C
    in IRES gives only a short general description of this.




                                                             10
Commodity balances

• Energy commodity balances varies among countries.
• Some countries present commodity balances separately for
 each energy product, while others present complete
 commodity balances for all products.
• Most countries do not include the primary form of electricity
 and heat (hydro, wind, nuclear) in their commodity
 balances, but Eurostat does.
• Most countries and institutions does also include both
 primary and secondary energy production in the top row in
 the commodity balance (but not Eurostat)


                                                                  11
Several changes
• The chapter gives a description on common practices for
 compiling commodity balances.
• We approve that layouts may differ of various reasons, such
 as different preferences or energy situations in the countries
• Furthermore; There is a lot of common elements in the
 energy balance and commodity balance;
• Most of the flows and the products are the same, but it is
 just restructured, and presented in different units.
• That is why we use the following title on part B of the
 chapter (which describes flows and contents in the balance)
• - Information pertinent to both balances and commodity
 balances
                                                               12
Other changes in the draft

• There are added more practical examples on certain
 technical issues, - such as calculating hydro and geothermal
 in the balance.
• To convert from commodity balances to energy balances, it
 is necessary to calculate the primary energy equivalent
 (hydro, wind, sun, nuclear etc.) on basis of the output of
 electricity and heat.
• This is described in part part C in the chapter.



                                                              13
Physical energy content method

• The partial substitution method and physical energy content
 method is described. The physical energy content method is
 recommended.
• It is added calculation example on how to calculate the
 primary energy equivalent for hydro, nuclear, wind, etc. on
 basis of electricity and heat output (in table 5.5)
• This is simply done by converting the primary energy
 products to a joint unit; Petajoule
• No losses are assumed for hydro and wind, but for nuclear
 and geothermal it is assumed losses (efficiency = 33 % for
 nuclear and 10 % for electricity from geothermal)

                                                               14
Table 5.5 Calculation of primary energy using
the physical energy content method




                                                15
Conversion

• This means that for 10 PJ electricity produced from
 geothermal we need an input of 100 PJ geothermal.
• These efficiencies are provided by IEA. However, I think the
 efficiencies used may vary among countries.
Conversion from tonnes to PJ;
• It is also added tables (table 5.4) that shows how to convert
 oil products from physical units to energy units (by
 multiplying with the net calorific value) for energy balance
 purposes.
• Net calorific values are taken from IRES.

                                                                16
Validation rules
• It is included several validation practices in the balance;
  - Such as checking efficiency in transformation processes
 (for instances refinery plants) . Losses should not be too
 large or too small and it should not be an energy gain.
• In refineries the losses in the transformation process from
 crude oil to oil products, should be around 0.5-2 per cent.
• It is also added a table with expected
  generation efficiency in thermal power
  plants and heat plants.
• Statistical differences is another useful
 check for the balance

                                                                17
Other changes

• There is included a section on how to calculate the
 renewable part of the balance in the chapter.
• This is a challenge for electricity, because
  it might be traded among countries.
• A few countries are very dependent of
  imported electricity
• In the chapter we propose that countries
 should calculate the RE part of electricity
 according to the renewable production
 in the country.
                                                        18
Renewable column
• However, if the country are very dependant of electricity
 imports, it might be wrong to calculate this share on basis of
 production.
• One solution is to assume that all imported electricity is non-
 renewable.
• Another possibility is to estimate the RE-share in  imported
 electricity (on basis of production technology in the
 countries) and take also this into account . This is proposed
 in cases were import dependency of electricity is high.
• Other changes in the draft:
• There are added country practices; for Austria, Norway,
 Azerbaijan and UK.

                                                               19
Comments during the virtual meeting

• During the virtual meeting from 15. April 2013, we got
 comments from UK, Poland, Ireland, UNSD and Egypt
• First of all;
• Many thanks to all who have given comments;
• They were all very useful




                                                           20
Some of the comments

• Proposal to recommend countries to include heat pumps in
 the energy balance
• Better explanation of stocks (as in IRES)
• How to allocate fuels input between electricity and heat ion
 CHP plants
• Calculation of renewable part of electricity, taking trade into
 account.
• Correct errors in the renewable table (table 5.9)
• Remove repeating text about heat pumps
• Some restructuring of the introduction part of the chapter
                                                                    21
Other comments

• Give better explanations certain places or rephrase some of
 the text.
• Use the term ”energy products” (not energy commodities)
 everywhere in the chapter.
• Emphasize, and describe annual energy balance before
 quarterly or monthly balances
• Better explanations of treatment of electricity in hybrid cars.
• Consider the text on backflows / petrochemical plants
  (is it necessary to explain it)
• Delete appendix C on calculation of ”useful energy”
                                                                22
Comments

• Most comments are implemented;
• However, I do not recommend to include energy from heat
 pumps in energy balances, due to the uncertainty in the
 calculations, but it is recommended to have additional tables
 for it. Furthermore, IRES doesn’t recommend it to be
 included.
• Explanation of electricity used in hybrid cars
 are challenging.
This text could be reviewed



                                                            23
Current text on hybrid cars;

•   Electricity in hybrid cars and electric motor cars: Hybrid cars have a battery and
    produce their own electricity from fossil fuels. Own electricity production from
    fossil fuels in the car should not be included in energy balances. Certain hybrid
    cars (plug-in hybrid cars) can also be charged, in addition to that they can
    produce their own electricity. Electricity charged by plug-in hybrid cars and
    electric motor cars should be estimated and included as electricity consumption
    in road transport in the energy balance. The figures can be estimated on basis
    of mileages (for instance from the vehicle registry) and information about
    electricity charged per km. driven (usually around 0,2 kWh/km). Furthermore, it
    is necessary with surveys that indicate how much plugin hybrid cars are charged
    vs. producing its own electricity. The surveys must also contain information on
    where the cars are charged. If the cars are charged at home 30 per cent of the
    time, the corresponding quantity of electricity has to be deducted from electricity
    consumption in households, in order to avoid double counting of electricity.



                                                                                     24
Some points for discussion

• Heat pumps in energy balances
• Calculation of electricity i hybrid cars
• Calculation of renewable electricity consumption
• Efficiencies used to calculate the primary energy equivalent
 (hydro, nuclear, geothermal etc.) on basis of the output of
 electricity and heat. Are they the same for all countries /
 institutions ?
• Does the current chapter follow the earlier outlines of the
 chapter?
• Other things?

                                                                25
Memorandum of annotated draft outline of
chapter 5 (which was tabled at the OG meeting in
canada 2009)
• Chapter 6 Compilation of energy balances
• This chapter will provide details on good practices in
 compilation of various types of energy balances focusing on
 the reconciliation of data obtained from different sources and
 other technical issues. Examples of energy balances
 compiled by several countries will be included.
• Also, the balance formats used by UNSD, IEA and Eurostat
 will be presented together with a correspondence between
 them and the rationale for use of these formats.


                                                             26
More detailed guidelines for chapter 5, prepared
by UNSD and the OG secretariat says the
following;
This chapter will provide practical guidance for the
 compilation of energy balances. In particular, it will describe
 how to use the data items presented in Chapter 6 of IRES
 (and discussed in Chapter 4 of the ESCM) in the balances.
 Data editing and the validation rules inherent to the energy
 balances will also be addressed here.

This chapter will also discuss secondary data sources that
 can be used for the compilation of balances when only
 partial data items are available, as well as associated data
 estimation and reconciliation methods.

                                                                27
   outline by UNSD / OG secretariat continues.

• A. Commodity balances
  How to compile commodity balances from the data items in
 Chapter 4. In the absence of some of the data items, this
 section will describe secondary sources that can be used for
 compiling the commodity balances
• B. Energy Balances
 How to go from commodity balances to energy balances;
 description of the methods for setting the value of primary
 energy (physical energy content vs. partial substitution
 methods), use of calorific values;
• C. Validation rules
                                                               28
Thank you for your attention


Contact info: Ann Christin Bøeng.
      E-mail: abg@ssb.no




                                    29

				
DOCUMENT INFO
Shared By:
Categories:
Tags:
Stats:
views:1
posted:5/13/2014
language:English
pages:29