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					                     THE                    THE INDEPENDENT AND NON-PARTISAN SURVEY




                   FIELD
                                            OF PUBLIC OPINION ESTABLISHED IN 1947 AS
                                            THE CALIFORNIA POLL BY MERVIN FIELD




                   POLL
                                            Field Research Corporation
                                            601 California Street, Suite 900
                                            San Francisco, CA 94108-2814
                                            (415) 392-5763 FAX: (415) 434-2541
                                            EMAIL: fieldpoll@field.com
                                            www.field.com/fieldpollonline


Release #2462                                                 Release Date: Tuesday, April 8, 2014
                                                              IMPORTANT: Contract for this service is
UNLIKE THE U.S. PUBLIC, A MAJORITY OF                         subject to revocation if publication or
CALIFORNIANS CONTINUES TO APPROVE                             broadcast takes place before release date or
OF OBAMA'S JOB PERFORMANCE.                                   if contents are divulged to persons outside of
                                                              subscriber staff prior to release time.
                                                              (ISSN 0195-4520)

By Mark DiCamillo and Mervin Field

While nationally a majority of Americans disapprove of President Barack Obama's job
performance, his standing with California voters is much more favorable.

The average findings of the major polls reflecting national public opinion show 53% of Americans
disapproving and 43% approving of the job Obama is doing as President. By contrast, the latest
Field Poll, conducted among 1,000 registered voters in California, finds nearly the opposite, with
53% approving of the President's performance and just 41% disapproving.

In sixteen of its eighteen periodic statewide measurements taken since Obama first took office in
2009 a majority of Californians has reported approving of the job he is doing as President. In just
two polls, both completed in late 2011, did the proportion of California voters giving Obama
positive job marks dip below 50%.




                        Field Research Corporation is an Equal Opportunity Employer
The Field Poll                                                                                #2462
Tuesday, April 8, 2014                                                                       Page 2


                                               Table 1
                         Trend of Barack Obama’s job performance as President
                                  (among California registered voters)
                                                    Approve     Disapprove      No opinion
       April 2014                                     53%           41               6
       December 2013                                  51%           43               6
       July 2013                                      52%           35              13
       February 2013                                  62%           33               5
       September 2012                                 58%           35               7
       July 2012                                      55%           39               6
       May 2012                                       53%           39               8
       February 2012                                  53%           39               8
       November 2011                                  48%           44               8
       September 2011                                 46%           44              10
       June 2011                                      54%           37               9
       March 2011                                     54%           37               9
       September 2010                                 53%           41               6
       July 2010                                      54%           39               7
       March 2010                                     52%           37              11
       January 2010                                   56%           34              10
       October 2009                                   60%           31               9
       March 2009                                     65%           21              14


How Obama compares to previous Presidents during their sixth year in office

Four of the six men who served as President immediately prior to Obama were elected to serve two
terms. When comparing Obama's current job rating in the sixth year of his presidency to those four
predecessors, two, Republicans George W. Bush and Richard Nixon, were much more unfavorably
regarded by Californians than Obama. On the other hand, Republican Ronald Reagan and Democrat
Bill Clinton were viewed more favorably than Obama is presently.
The Field Poll                                                                                                                        #2462
Tuesday, April 8, 2014                                                                                                               Page 3


                                               Table 2
                      Comparing President Obama's job ratings to other Presidents
                         at comparable points in their sixth year as President
                                 (among California registered voters)
                                                                          Approve              Disapprove             No opinion
       Barack Obama (D) – April 2014                                        53%                    41                      6
       George W. Bush (R) – April 2006                                        32%                     62                      6
       Bill Clinton (D) – April 1998                                          62%                     32                      6
       Ronald Reagan (R) – March 1986                                         73%                     26                      1
       Richard Nixon (R) – April 1974                                         33%                     64                      3
       Note: For Field Polls conducted prior to 1994, the original survey used a five-point response scale, which was converted to
             the current approve/disapprove scale for comparative purposes.
       (D) denotes Democrat    (R) denotes Republican



Contrasting views of Obama across voter subgroups in California

As has been the case in every previous Field Poll about Obama, the opinions of Democrats and
Republicans are virtually mirror images of one another. Among California Democrats 80% approve
of Obama and 15% disapprove. Among Republicans 80% disapprove and just 16% approve. The
views of California voters with no party preference or who are registered with a minor party fall
about mid-way between, with 49% approving and 41% disapproving.

Very large majorities of Latino (66%) and African American (84%) voters approve of Obama. By
contrast, a slightly larger proportion of white non-Hispanics disapprove (49%) as approve (46%) of
the President’s performance.

Regionally, Obama gets his highest approval ratings among voters living in the heavily Democratic
nine-county San Francisco Bay Area and in Los Angeles County. More voters living in the South
Coast and in the Central Valley disapprove than approve of Obama.

Renters also hold a more favorable view of Obama than do homeowners.
The Field Poll                                                                               #2462
Tuesday, April 8, 2014                                                                      Page 4


                                          Table 3
        Appraisal of Obama's job performance across subgroups of the voter population
                            (among California registered voters)
                                                        Approve   Disapprove   No opinion
       Total registered voters                            53%         41            6
       Party registration
          Democrats                                       80%        15             5
          Republicans                                     16%        80             4
          No party preference/other                       49%        41            10
       Gender
          Male                                            51%        44             5
          Female                                          54%        39             7
       Age
          18-29                                           55%        30            15
          30-39                                           52%        34            14
          40-49                                           51%        48             1
          50-64                                           56%        42             2
          65 or older                                     49%        48             3
       Race/ethnicity
          White non-Hispanic                              46%        49             5
          Latino                                          66%        27             7
          Black *                                         84%        13             3
          Asian/other                                     53%        36            11
       Area
          Coastal counties                                56%        39             5
          Inland counties                                 46%        47             7
       Region
          Los Angeles County                              62%        33             5
          South Coast (San Diego and Orange counties)     41%        54             5
          Other Southern California                       46%        47             7
          Central Valley                                  44%        50             6
          San Francisco Bay Area                          63%        29             8
          Other Northern California*                      48%        45             7
       Education
          High school graduate or less                    55%        40             5
          Some college/trade school                       46%        47             7
          College graduate                                54%        41             5
          Post-graduate work                              60%        34             6
       Tenure
          Homeowner                                       47%        49             4
          Renter                                          60%        32             8
      * Small sample size
The Field Poll                                                                             #2462
Tuesday, April 8, 2014                                                                    Page 5


Obama gets mixed reviews regarding his handling of the economy and foreign policy

California voters are divided when asked to assess Obama's handling of the economy. Statewide
48% approve, while 47% disapprove. Obama fares slightly better when voters are asked about the
President’s handling of foreign policy, with 49% approving and 44% disapproving.


                                            Table 4
                    How Californians rate the job President Obama is doing
                          in handling the economy and foreign policy
                              (among California registered voters)
                                               Approve     Disapprove No opinion
           The economy
             April 2014                          48%            47         5
             December 2013                       49%            45         6
             September 2010                      48%            47         5
             July 2010                           47%            44         9
             January 2010                        44%            50         6
             October 2009                        60%            35         5
             March 2009                          61%            31         8
           Foreign policy
              April 2014                         49%            44              7
              December 2013                      49%            40             11
              October 2009                       58%            29             13
              March 2009                         63%            16             21



                                            – 30 –
The Field Poll                                                                                           #2462
Tuesday, April 8, 2014                                                                                  Page 6


                                            Information About The Survey
Methodological Details
The findings in this report are based on a Field Poll completed March 18-April 5, 2014 among a random
sample of 1,000 registered voters in California. In order to cover a broad range of issues and still minimize
possible voter fatigue, some of the questions in this report were asked of a random subsample of 493
registered voters statewide. Interviewing was conducted by telephone using live interviewers working from
Field Research Corporation's central location telephone interviewing facilities in San Diego. Up to six
attempts were made to reach, screen and interview each randomly selected voter from the state's registered
voter rolls on different days and times of day during the interviewing period.
Interviewing was completed on either a voter's cell phone or a regular landline phone, depending on the
source of the telephone listing from the voter file. In this survey about 59% of all voters were contacted on
their cell phone, while 41% were contacted on a regular landline phone. After the completion of
interviewing, the overall registered voter sample was weighted to demographic, geographic and party
registration characteristics of the state's registered voter population.
Sampling error estimates applicable to the results of any probability-based survey depend on sample size as
well as the percentage distribution being examined. The maximum sampling error for results from the overall
sample is +/- 3.2 percentage points at the 95% confidence level, while findings from the random subsample
have a sampling error of +/- 4.5 percentage points. The maximum sampling error is based on results in the
middle of the sampling distribution (i.e., percentages at or near 50%). Percentages at either end of the
distribution (those closer to 10% or 90%) have a smaller margin of error. There are other potential sources of
error in surveys besides sampling error. However, the overall design and execution of the survey sought to
minimize these other possible sources of error.
The Field Poll was established in 1947 as The California Poll by Mervin Field, who is still an active advisor.
The Poll has operated continuously since then as an independent, non-partisan survey of California public
opinion. The Poll receives annual funding from media subscribers of The Field Poll, from several California
foundations, and the University of California and California State University systems, who receive the data
files from each Field Poll survey shortly after its completion for teaching and secondary research purposes.
Questions Asked
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the way Barack Obama is handling his job as President?
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job President Obama is doing in handling the nation’s
economy?*
Overall, do you approve or disapprove of the job President Obama is doing in handling of the nation’s
foreign policy?*




* Question asked of a random subsample of 493 registered voters statewide.

				
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