Proposal _Community Survey_, Hercules 2009

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							                                          September 8, 2009



                                          Ms. Doreen Mathews
                                          City Clerk
                                          City of Hercules
                                          111 Civic Drive
                                          Hercules, Ca 94547
    G. Gary Manross, Ph.D.                Re: Proposal for Community Survey
    Chairman/CEO


                                          Dear Doreen,
    G. Gary Manross, Ph.D.
    Political Communications
    & Media Effects
                                                 The intent of the present letter is to serve as a formal proposal for
                                          STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE (hereafter referred to as SRI) being commissioned to
    Richard R. Miller, Jr., Ph.D.
    Urban & Regional Planning             partner with the City in the design and implementation of a Community Survey
                                          and Needs Analysis.
    Michael D. Cozzens, Ph.D.
    Communication Research &
    Organizational Communications
                                          1.0    Situation Analysis & Scope of Services
    Debra L. Schultz, Ph.D.
    Speech Communications                        The intent of this research effort is two-fold.
    & Persuasion
                                                 1.1     Measure public opinion in the City of Hercules in 2009
    Mary Ann Williams, M.A.
    Sociology                                            and compare it, on specific dimensions, with four (4)
    Senior Research Associate                            prior points in time: 2007, 2003, 1999, and 1996…with
                                                         the idea being to secure the “intelligence” needed for
                                                         identifying useful and instructive trends and patterns,
                                                         over time.
                                                 1.2     Determine likely support among local property owners
                                                         for authorizing an increase in the City’s LLADs (one
                                                         Citywide LLAD and nine Zones of Benefit).
      Research &                                 1.3     In addition, the study will be designed to determine if local
     Consulting for                                      property owners will support a standardized CPI, in order to
   Strategic Planning                                    control for normal inflation with respect to keeping the public
                                                         landscaped areas throughout the community — and street
                                                         lighting — properly maintained, thus protecting property values
                                                         throughout the City, while addressing a key public safety issue
                                                         by maintaining good street lighting throughout Hercules.
WWW.SRI -CONSULTING.ORG
                                                  In effect, this is the “next step” toward CONSENSUS BUILDING among
Northern California Southern California   registered voters and property owners in the City with respect public policy, in
925♦372-3788            714♦447-4884
                Toll Free                 general; and, more specifically, the need to maintain public landscapes and
           800♦224-7608
                                          lighting throughout the community.
   Corporate FAX 714♦447-4537

P.O. Box 6548    Fullerton, CA 92834                                           An Institute for CONSENSUS BUILDING
City of Hercules                                                                Prepared September 2009



2.0      Deliverables

2.1      Research Instrument.

         SRI researchers and strategic planners will work closely with Francisco & Associates and
         representatives of the City of Hercules (e.g., professional staff, elected officials, other
         members of the consulting team) in developing a Research Instrument (questionnaire)
         for gathering the precise form of “intelligence” desired by the Client.

         We will employ the appropriate question formats and response scales (from both the
         scientific and applied perspectives) that are needed in order to address the research
         question(s) in the respective survey.

         Given a “team” approach between SRI researchers, Francisco & Associates, and City
         officials, the research design(s) being advocated here by SRI holds special promise in
         terms of achieving the precise goals and expectations that underlie the on-going needs
         of the project at hand.

2.2      Administer survey: Once we have an approved Research Instrument, SRI will administer the
         scientific survey; this will include, but not necessarily be limited to, the following:

         2.2.1     Data collection. Trained callers will conduct telephone interviews until the
                   requisite number of respondents have completed the entire survey.

         2.2.2     SRI will clean the dataset, then administer data analysis, employing BOTH
                   descriptive and advanced statistical analysis, where appropriate.

         2.2.3     Create graphs, charts, and tables in which the “findings” are presented in a USER
                   FRIENDLY fashion.

         2.2.4     DEBRIEF the Client and the City’s Consultant(s) regarding: (ii) matters that could
                   impact public policy and (ii) preparing for moving forward with securing approval
                   from local property owners regarding matters having to do with the Citywide LLAD
                   and the various Zones of Benefit, as well as incorporating a permanent CPI in all
                   zones of benefit.

         2.2.5     Prepare and submit to the City a formal report which, at a minimum, will include
                   the following:
                    •   Key findings
                    •   SRI’s interpretations of the findings
                    •   SRI’s conclusions
                    •   SRI’s recommendations for how best to move forward.



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         Message Strategies, Ballot Language:       SRI will partner with Francisco and Associates in
         developing MESSAGE STRATEGIES and BALLOT LANGUAGE for whatever funding mechanism is
         ultimately brought forward to Hercules property owners through the appropriate noticing and
         balloting procedure.1

3.0      Research Design & Methodology

         3.1       Research Design:                     Telephone Survey
         3.2       Sample Size:                         N=400 registered voters in Hercules2
         3.3       Sample Characteristics:      Stratified Random Sample of Registered voters;
                   will accommodate a true random sample representing the community-at-large
                   (including the communitywide LLAD); plus, approx. 50 completed interviews in
                   each Zone of Benefit.
         3.4       Pre-test:                       N=20 Respondents. The instrument
                   (questionnaire) will be pre-tested on 20 respondents. Any and all necessary
                   adjustments will be made, then we will enter the field full force.
         3.5       Length of Survey:                    Not to exceed 20 minutes
         3.6       Level of Statistical Analysis:       Descriptive and Advanced Statistical Analysis
                        Telephone surveys conducted by competing research firms are often limited
                   to “descriptive” statistical analyses that include frequencies, percentages, and
                   cross-classifications (known as “cross-tabs”). Clearly, these analytical procedures
                   are “necessary”; seldom are they “sufficient”.
                        In other words, if you wish to have benefit of a comprehensive
                   interpretation and understanding of the findings, you should normally call for
                   applied advanced statistical analysis of the data (also called “inferential
                   statistics”). These statistical procedures may include, but are NOT necessarily
                   limited to, the following:
                       •   correlation analysis,
                       •   regression analysis,
                       •   discriminant analysis,
                       •   factor analysis,
                       •   structural equation modeling (testing for cause and effect relationships
                           between predictors of behavior and desired outcomes),
                       •   and other tests deemed appropriate for the situation at hand.


1
 These professional services will be compensated through SRI’s monthly retainer fee and are NOT calculated into
the Pricing Matrix that will be presented elsewhere in this proposal.
2
 At 95% confidence level, an N=400 yields sampling error, 4 to 5%; therefore, the “findings” from the present
scientific survey will be robust and highly representative of the population being surveyed. It might be interesting
to note here that the present population of the United States as a whole exceeds 300 million people; a typical
survey of the entire nation typically ranges between N=1,000 and 1,500.
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                          SRI researchers will conduct both descriptive and advanced statistical analysis
                   on the data set, as needed. This is the only way to ensure that our predictions of
                   “actual” voting behavior will be as definitive as humanly possible.

         3.7       Cost: $19,0003

                           Because SRI is under contract with the City of Hercules and, as a result, is
                   compensated based upon a monthly fee, we are granting Hercules a DEEP discount
                   in the fee for the present scientific survey. The fee for designing and administering
                   the present study will be $19,000.

                           Those costs associated with SRI’s professional staff crafting the Research
                   Instrument, conducting statistical analysis, preparing charts & graphs, DEBRIEFING
                   the Client, report writing, et al. will be covered through our monthly retainer.

                          To place this deep discount into perspective, we are providing a cost matrix
                   below that shows the NORMAL fee structure associated with six different research
                   designs. As you can see, the cost for the present scientific survey would normally be
                   $24,500; thus, we are discounting the present voter survey by $5,500 (which
                   represents nearly 2months of SRI’s retainer fee).

                                                   17 minutes                   20 minutes

                               N=300                 Option 1-A                    Option 2-A
                             Sampling error
                              ±4.5 to 5.8%           $19,500                      $23,500

                                                     Option 1- B                   Option 2-B
                               N=400
                             Sampling error
                              ±4.0 to 5.0%          $20,500                     $24,500
                                                     Option 1- C                   Option 2-C
                               N=500
                             Sampling error
                              ±3.5 to 4.5%           $21,500                      $25,500

                                                                              95% confidence level
                                                          Sampling error varies with size of sample


        3.8        Payment terms: It is SRI policy to be paid one-half of the fee (in this case, $9,500)
                   upon signing of the contract; one fourth (in this case, $4,750) when data collection is
                   completed; and the final one-fourth (again, $4,750) when the Final Report is submitted
                   to the Client.


3
 In 2007, Hercules paid $22,000 for a 17-min survey of N=400 completed interviews; thus, before accounting for
normal inflation in SRI’s fee schedule, the $19,000 fee represents far more than a $3,000 discount based even
when comparing 2007 rates. Why? Because the present survey is a 20-minute survey; the 2007 survey was a 17-
minute survey. The extra three (3) minutes are essential in order to provide the additional “intelligence” needed
for testing the various combinations involving the City’s LLADs, the CPI, and other dimensions that were NOT part
of the 2007 Community survey.
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         3.9       Time Table:         The final report is normally delivered within four weeks of the final
                   version of the instrument (questionnaire) being approved by the Client. In the present
                   case, we will expedite the study as much as possible, but with NO ADDED COST to the
                   Client.

4.0      Staffing

        The lead consultant will be SRI’s Chairman/CEO, Dr. G. Gary Manross, Ph.D. He will be
supported by other senior consultants and strategic planners, as well as by SRI’s administrative
staff support personnel.

        In particular, Dr. Manross will be assisted by two or three members of SRI’s professional
team. These will include, but not necessarily be limited to, Dr. Richard Miller, Dr. Debra Schultz,
Ph.D., Ms. Mary Ann Williams, M.A.; and perhaps Dr. Michael Cozzens, Ph.D. All of these
individuals have extensive experience in specific elements of the Plan of Action being proposed
herein. Their bios are included as Addenda ‘A’ to the present proposal.

5.0      Unique Qualifications

         SRI is uniquely qualified to partner with the City of Hercules for four (4) specific reasons:

  (1)    For the past two decades, we have been assisting public Agencies in California with
         projects virtually identical to the one being undertaken by the City of Hercules; in fact,
         more often than not, our research and consulting Institute is commissioned to conduct the
         benchmark voter surveys (and necessary tracking polls); and, remain with the respective
         Agency in a consulting capacity until the funding measure is successful at the polls.
  (2)    SRI was commissioned to partner with the City in designing and administering the
         benchmark survey for this very project. Clearly, no one is better positioned to have a
         comprehensive understanding of the “intelligence” that comes out of this scientific
         survey; and, no one knows more about how to employ this form of “intelligence” in a
         fashion that maximizes the likelihood of success when the measure is placed before voters
         in the relatively near future.
  (3)    Having SRI’s on board on a monthly retainer fee makes it possible for us to significantly
         DISCOUNT both our consulting fees, as well as any research that may be needed or desired, such
         as the present study.
  (4)    We have a long-standing relationship with Francisco and Associates; we’ve worked with most (if
         not all) Engineering firms that are in this business. Clearly, Francisco and Associates stand out
         among the other firms. We work well together, and (more importantly) they know how to
         employ the form of “intelligence” that comes out of an SRI survey. As a result, the likelihood of
         success is maximized when our respective firms are working together on the same project.

       I’m also providing professional references in Addendum B; feel free to contact any of
them for a referral. However, since we’ve been working with you for some time, now,
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combined with the fact that we brought Francisco & Associates to the proverbial table, it may
not be necessary to spend time contacting our professional references. That said, you are most
welcome to do so.

       I hope this proposal provides you with the information you need; assuming it does,
please advise and I’ll have my support staff prepare a formal contract for our joint signatures;
and an invoice for the 1st installment. If not, please advise and we will provide any additional
information you deem to be necessary and/or useful.

        Because we have a long-standing relationship with the City, we will NOT wait to secure a
formal contract for this study before moving forward; indeed, with this Proposal, I’m including
the 1st draft of the Research Instrument (questionnaire) for your review. I’ll look forward to
receiving your feedback.

Warmest regards,




800-224-7608 office
909.239.8757 cell

Cc:      Ms. Michelle Harrington




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                                        Addendum ‘A’

                                  Biographical Sketches


                               Dr. G. Gary Manross , Ph.D.
                                      Chairman/CEO
                               STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE


     Dr. Manross is a behavioral scientist with more than two decades of experience in
communication management, political communications, and marketing communications.

        Prior to founding STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE, he held executive-level positions
with the largest Public Relations agency in the world, Hill & Knowlton, Inc., and the largest state
trade association in America, the California Association of Realtors®. He began his career as a
reporter, and later Business Editor, of a Mid-West daily metropolitan newspaper.

       He has taught political communications at UCLA and mass media effects at the
University of Southern California; for eight years, he was professor in the California State
University system, where he held a joint appointment in Advertising and Public Relations.
When he left academe, he was Chair of the Advertising Sequence in the Communications Dept.

        His publishing record includes numerous scholarly works that have been published in
refereed academic and professional journals alike. His research is routinely cited in both the
scholarly and popular press, and in classic textbooks, such as Diffusion of Innovations. He is the
senior author of a paper that will submitted to the Harvard Business Review within the next few
weeks, in which he will be introducing a new diffusion model to corporate America. He is the
author of a book entitled: The Impact of Theory-driven Public Opinion Research in Strategic
Planning for Winning Campaigns.

        His academic credentials include a Ph.D. in Communication Research, with an emphasis
in Political Communications and Media Effects, from the Annenberg School of Communications
at the University of Southern California. He also holds two MA degrees (one in Communication
Management and one in Communication Theory), and two undergraduate degrees, one in
Journalism and one in Public Relations from U.S.C.




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                                Dr. Richard Miller, Jr., Ph.D.
                              Senior Consultant/Strategic Planner
                                STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE



       Dr. Miller began his career as a planner for the Honolulu Department of General
Planning, where his responsibilities included evaluating Development Plan changes based upon
population distribution and land use policies, as well as forecasting growth on the island of
O’ahu by aggregate and discrete geographic areas.

        He earned his doctorate is in Geography, with an emphasis on economic geography and
spatial analysis, and an M.A. degree in Urban and Regional Planning, both from the University
of Hawaii.

        Immediately prior to joining SRI, Dr. Miller was Business Planning Manager for Health
Net, Inc., where he was responsible for all business development, including the HMO’s
marketing research, new product development, and competitive analysis

       While with Kaiser Permanente Medical Care, he held the following positions: (a) Senior
Market Research Analyst, (b) Land Use/Real Estate Manager for southern California, where he
was responsible for all real estate transactions and securing land use entitlements; and (c)
Director of Facilities Planning and Property for the HMO’s Hawaii medical facilities.

       Dr. Miller is an award-winning planner, earning the Exceptional Contribution Award
from the Society of American Institute of Architects.




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                                  Debra L. Schultz , Ph.D.
                               Director of Qualitative Research
                               STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE


       As SRI's Director of Qualitative Research, Debra L. Schultz, Ph.D., is an expert in
 advanced interviewing techniques, strategic planning, persuasion, business communications,
 and multi-cultural communications. Prior to joining SRI, Dr. Schultz was a professor of
 communications at UCLA; prior to that, at New York University (NYU).

        While in New York, Dr. Schultz was a member of the research staff of ABC's
 Goodnight America and Good Morning America; she also headed her own literary agency
 representing screenwriters, playwrights and other artists.


      Her academic credentials include a Ph.D. in Communication, Arts and Science from New
 York University.

        Dr. Schultz oversees the qualitative aspects of the Institute's research projects. These
activities include, but are not limited to, field research (involving person-to-person interviewing),
facilitating in focus group research (including in-depth probing strategies), descriptive research,
library research and other secondary sources of information gathering.




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                              Dr. Michael D. Cozzens , Ph.D.
                              Senior Consultant/Strategic Planner
                               STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE

       Michael D. Cozzens earned his doctorate in Communications Research, with an emphasis
in “Organizational Communications,” from the Annenberg School of Communications at the
University of Southern California. In addition to a B.A. in psychology from U.C. San Diego, he
holds an M.A. in communication theory and research from U.S.C., and an M.A. in rhetoric from
U.C. Berkeley.

       Dr. Cozzens is a senior consulting and strategic planner for SRI. He routinely facilitates
Town Hall type meetings, meetings of Community Advisory Committees, and focus group
research, which SRI is commissioned to design and administer.

        Dr. Cozzens has more than six years experience teaching research and communication-
related courses in both the University of California system (U.C.L.A., U.C. Santa Barbara and
U.C. Berkeley) and in the California State University system (Cal-State Fullerton), as well as at
U.S.C. He teaches both the undergraduate and graduate level courses.

       He is a “reviewer” for such noted academic journals as: Communication Research. and
Human Communication Research; as well as for the prestige National Science Foundation
(NSF).




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                                      Mary Ann Williams, M.A.
                              Senior Consultant/Strategic Planner
                               STRATEGY RESEARCH INSTITUTE


       Mary Ann Williams is COO (Chief Operating Officer) for STRATEGY RESEARCH
INSTITUTE (SRI); she oversees the administrative support services for every Client project.

        Ms. Williams has nearly two decades of experience in communication management,
administration (including human resource management), and related areas of responsibility. She
is an expert in data management and data collection. Ms. Williams earned her M.A. and B.A.
degrees in Sociology in the California State University system; California State University at
Los Angeles and Cal-State University, Fullerton, respectively.

        Mary Ann is responsible for Client services. In so doing, she works personally with
virtually every SRI Client to ensure that all of their needs are being addressed in a
comprehensive and timely fashion.

         As such, Ms. Williams functions as a primary contact person for the Institute's Clientele




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                              Addendum ‘B’




                                              SRI References

                                                Marc S. Grisham
                                                    City Manager
                                                Matt Rodriguez
                                                 Asst. City Manager
                                              City of Pittsburg
                                                   65 Civic Avenue
                                             Pittsburg, CA 94565-3814
                                                   925♦252-6900



                                                   Pat O’Brien
                                                  General Manager
                                   East Bay Regional Park District
                                             2950 Peralta Oaks Court
                                          Oakland, California 94605-0381
                                            510♦635-0138 Ext. 2000



                                                 Bob Overstreet
                                            City of Sacramento
                                             1231 “I” Street, Suite 4000
                                              Sacramento, CA 95814
                                                  916♦ 264-1190


                                                   Kirk Hunter
                                               Chief Executive Officer
                                 Southwest Transportation Agency
                              (JPA for busing half the school children in Fresno County)
                                                 16644 S. Elm Ave.
                                                Caruthers, CA 93609
                                                   559♦ 644-1019


                                                   Tony Borin
                                                  Deputy Director
                                   Fresno Council of Governments
                                            2100 Tulare Street, Suite 619
                                                Fresno, CA 93721
                                                  559♦ 233-4148




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