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					Taking a “Leap of Faith”
with Public Lands




Friends of Snodgrass Mountain, LLC
              Friends of Snodgrass Mountain
                      1,400-and-counting
Business Owners, Second Homeowners, Workers, College Students,
           Retirees, Elected Officials, Families, Visitors




                                   67 % Gunnison County
                                   14 % Colorado visitors
                                   19 % Out-of-State visitors




                                             www.ColoradoAerialViews.com
National Ski Areas Association                   USGS
 - Model for Growth - 2000                        - Geologic Hazard Report - 1996
 - Ski Industry Skier Visits 1978/79 - 2006/07   Colorado Division of Local Government
 - 2006/07 Ski Resort Ind. Research               - Colorado Population Growth
       Compendium                                Colorado Department of Revenue
 - 2005/06 Economic Analysis of US Ski Areas      - Colorado Retail Sales and Sales Tax Summaries
 - NSAA Journal – Future Demographics            Colorado Tourism Office
Colorado Ski Country USA                          - Longwoods Colorado 2005 Visitors Profile Study
 - Mountain Stats -1994/95 - 2006/07             Gunnison County Comprehensive Plan
 - Colorado Skier Visits - 1994/95 - 2006/07      - County Focus Groups
CBMR                                             Gunnison County Tourism Association
 - Crested Butte Mtn. MIP 2007                    - Branding Study
 - Snodgrass Mtn Master Plan Status &            Town of Crested Butte
       Preliminary Concept Plan - 9/2004          - Annual Snowfall Records
 - Snodgrass Mtn Conceptual Program              Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory
       Summary                                    - RMBL News
     Master Development Plan - Draft 2000         - RMBL Director Letter
- Snodgrass Mtn Conceptual Program                - RMBL Avalanche Study, Hal Hartman & Art
     Summary -1980                                  Mears, 8/2005
 - EA of Proposed Improvements - CB Mtn -        Ski Area Management Magazine
       12/1997                                    - Where’s all the Growth - 7/2006
 - Plan Amendment - 1990                         Crested Butte News
 - www.cbliving.com                              Denver Post
 - CBMR trail map                                 - Monarch Ski Area
USFS                                             Outside Magazine
 - Downhill Skiing Needs assessment - 9/2005      - Choice Rides, March 1998
 - Snodgrass Mtn Geologic Hazard Assessment      Crested Butte Land Trust
     & Geotechnical Risk Report - 10/2005         -www.cblandtrust.org
 - Snodgrass Mtn Geologic Hazards Technical      Snowsports Industries America (SIA)
     Report - 10/2006
Where’s Snodgrass?




                Snodgrass    CB Mtn.
Skiable Acres      260    1,209
Vertical         1,450    3,062
          The Snodgrass question is -
                         
       What is the “Highest and Best” use
       of our valuable public resources?




             CBMR’s proposal would:

  • Eliminate or Diminish Valuable Public Benefits

                 • Consume Water

                • Consume Energy

• Consume Government/Community time and money
EASILY-ACCESSED FREE RECREATION                         WILDLIFE MIGRATION CORRIDOR




                                               OPEN SPACE
                                           VIEWSHED PROTECTION




     RMBL BUFFER


  “This expansion could have dramatic
       negative effects on the Lab.”
   Dr. Ian Billick, RMBL Director, 11/05




                                                            A HEALTHY MOUNTAIN
      ENVIRONMENTAL IMPACTS FROM EXPANSION


“No other prescription directly results in more stream-water
depletion, wetland impacts, air pollution, permanent
vegetation change, or permanent habitat loss (than ski area
expansion).”

                 Cynthia Cody, U.S. EPA
     Director, Denver Ecosystems Protection Program
CLEARCUTTING                 SLOPE SHAPING & GRADING

               IMPACTS FROM EXPANSION
WATER LOSS                                ENERGY USE
  INCREASED AVALANCHE DANGER




          Threats to Public Safety 
            & Private Property
NEPA MEANS:
    Consumption of Limited Public Resources -
 
    • Forest Service Environmental Impact Statement (EIS)
    • Gunnison County 1041 Review
    • Joint Review Process ?
    • Time away from important community priorities

US Forest Service
US EPA
US Army Corps of Engineers
US Fish and Wildlife
Colorado Dept of Wildlife
Gunnison County
City of Gunnison
Town of Crested Butte
Town of Mt Crested Butte
CB South POA
Mt CB Water & Sanitation
                                                    www.ColoradoAerialViews.com
          Given the

       BENEFITS LOST,

     the DAMAGE DONE
           and the

   RESOURCES CONSUMED

Why expand onto Snodgrass?
                 CBMR says:

     •CBMR Has Unique Problems:
- “Precipitous Drop” in Market Share & Skier Visits
             - Fewer “Paid Skier Visits”
                     CBMR says:

         •CBMR Has Unique Problems:
    - “Precipitous Drop” in Market Share & Skier Visits
                 - Fewer “Paid Skier Visits”


•The “Mountain Business is Strong” Elsewhere
                     CBMR says:

         •CBMR Has Unique Problems:
    - “Precipitous Drop” in Market Share & Skier Visits
                 - Fewer “Paid Skier Visits”


•The “Mountain Business is Strong” Elsewhere

        •A Snodgrass Expansion would:
                    -Increase Skier Visits
                 - Improve Our Economy
         THE REST OF THE STORY
     CBMR’s “Market Share/Skier Visit Loss” due to:
    Ski Free, Shorter Season, Reduced Quality




Management Actions, Not Market Forces
          THE REST OF THE REST OF THE STORY


   CBMR Says . . .


• Their ‘Paid Visits’ have declined to +/- 55%, However . . .

• NSAA – “Visits attributable to paid tickets declined to
   58.7% nationally this season. . . .”




      Ski Industry Trend, Not CBMR phenomenon
                           CBMR Says:

“The number one reason for expanding to Snodgrass is to. . .
   bring more skiers.”

“Expansion onto Snodgrass Mountain . . . Is a substantial tool for
   an improved economy.”




             Dozens of previous Colorado Expansions
                  Provide Ample Evidence . .
       Colorado Terrain Expansions vs Skier Visits. . .



    • Skiable Acreage grew > 53% (13,000 acres)




1995/96 – 2006/07
           Colorado Terrain Expansions vs Skier Visits. . .
:


        • Skiable Acreage grew > 53% (13,000 acres)

        • Skier Visits grew < 1%/year (10% in 11 seasons)




    1995/96 – 2006/07
       Colorado Terrain Expansions vs Skier Visits. . .



    • Skiable Acreage grew > 53% (13,000 acres)

    • Skier Visits grew < 1%/year (10% in 11 seasons)

        - Mainly Front Range - Beaver Creek and Breckenridge




1995/96 – 2006/07
             Colorado Terrain Expansions vs Skier Visits. . .



          • Skiable Acreage grew > 53% (13,000 acres)

          • Skier Visits grew < 1%/year (10% in 11 seasons)

              - Mainly Front Range - Beaver Creek and Breckenridge

              - Season Pass Use, Not “Paid Visits”



USFS:  “Discounted season passes are attracting existing skiers to ski 
more often, rather than attracting new (participants) to the sport.”

      1995/96 – 2006/07
Experts Express Concerns about the ski industry’s growth potential:


Colorado Tourism Office: ”The main barrier to repeat visitation 
continues to be the cost factors. . . that. . . inhibit travel, including 
significantly higher fuel prices, rising room rates, an uncertain 
economic outlook, and the national trend towards shorter duration 
trips.”
Experts Express Concerns about the ski industry’s growth potential:


Colorado Tourism Office: ”The main barrier to repeat visitation
continues to be the cost factors. . . that. . . inhibit travel, including
significantly higher fuel prices, rising room rates, an uncertain economic
outlook, and the national trend towards shorter duration trips.”

Ski Area Management (SAM) magazine: “The NSAA’s Growth Initiative 
is not working . . . We’re not pulling in new participants.”   
Experts Express Concerns about the ski industry’s growth potential:


Colorado Tourism Office: ”The main barrier to repeat visitation
continues to be the cost factors. . . that. . . inhibit travel, including
significantly higher fuel prices, rising room rates, an uncertain economic
outlook, and the national trend towards shorter duration trips.”

Ski Area Management (SAM) magazine: “The NSAA’s Growth Initiative
is not working . . . We’re not pulling in new participants.”

NSAA: “The Rocky Mountains will experience a very modest 5.8% 
(<.4%/year) gain in visitation between 2004/2005 and 2019/2020.”
Experts Express Concerns about the ski industry’s growth potential:


Colorado Tourism Office: ”The main barrier to repeat visitation
continues to be the cost factors. . . that. . . inhibit travel, including
significantly higher fuel prices, rising room rates, an uncertain economic
outlook, and the national trend towards shorter duration trips.”

Ski Area Management (SAM) magazine: “The NSAA’s Growth Initiative
is not working . . . We’re not pulling in new participants.”

NSAA: “The Rocky Mountains will experience a very modest 5.8%
(<.4%/year) gain in visitation between 2004/2005 and 2019/2020.”

USFS: ”It is unlikely that the Rocky Mountain region will experience 
any significant increase in destination visits in the foreseeable future.”
•Large terrain expansions yet little growth in visits.
•Industry experts question future growth potential.


 

    • Have terrain expansions improved local economies?




                              CBMR Says:

            “Snodgrass . . . is critical to rebuilding . . .
                 a sustainable economic model
                   for the entire community.”
                                                           June 2008
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• Over 11 seasons, CB was #4 and CB/Mt. CB combined was #9.
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  • Over 11 seasons, CB was #4 and CB/Mt. CB combined was #9.

  • More recently (’02-’07), Crested Butte was #2 and CB/Mt CB #4.
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• Most of Colorado’s 1% Skier Visit growth was at Beaver 




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               Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07                    Skier Visit Change '95 - '07
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        • Most of Colorado’s 1% Skier Visit growth was at Beaver Creek and Breckenridge.
        • Vail and Winter Park each had net losses in skier visits.
               Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07                   Skier Visit Change '95 - '07
  250                                            350000

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        • Most of Colorado’s 1% growth was at Beaver Creek and Breckenridge.
        • Vail and Winter Park each had net losses in skier visits.
        • CBMR’s loss was due to:
              - Ending Ski Free
              - Shorter Ski Season
              - Poor Quality
               Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07                   Skier Visit Change '95 - '07
  250                                            350000

                                                 300000
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        • Statewide Skier Visit Growth was less than 1%/year.
        • Most of Colorado’s 1% growth was at Beaver Creek and Breckenridge.
        • Vail and Winter Park had net loss in skier visits.
        • CBMR’s loss was due to:
                  - Ending Ski Free
                  - Shorter Ski Season
                  - Poor Quality
        • There is no apparent relationship between Sales Taxes and 
        Skier Visits.
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                                                                                                                                            Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07




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   Acres.



                                             Cr
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                                                                                                                                            Skier Visit Change '95 - '07




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• These Graphs compare actual Visits and
• CBMR used percentages for comparison.
        Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07                     Skier Visit Change '95 - '07
  250                                  350000

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                                                 • CBMR used percentages for comparison.
                                                 • These Graphs compare actual Visits and
                                                    Acres.
                                                 • Recent and permitted additions 
                                                     on CB Mtn = 242 acres.
                                                 • Snodgrass would = 262 acres.
        Sales Tax % Growth '95 - '07                     Skier Visit Change '95 - '07
  250                                  350000

                                       300000
  200
                                       250000
  150
                                       200000

  100                                  150000

                                       100000
  50
                                        50000
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                                             0




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                                                 • These Graphs compare actual Visits and
                                                    Acres.
                                                 • CBMR used percents for comparison.
                                                 • Recent and permitted additions
                                                    on CB Mtn = 242 acres.
                                                 • Snodgrass would add 262 acres.
                                                 • No apparent Correlation between Terrain
                                                    Expansion, Skier Visits & Sales Taxes.
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                                                                                                                                                             200000
                                                                                                                                                                      250000
                                                                                                                                                                               300000
                                                                                                                                                                                         350000




                                                                                                                     -50000
                                                                                                                                  50000

                                                                                                                              0




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                                                                                                                                                                                              Skier Visit Change '95-'07




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                                   The "Leap of Faith”

• Colorado’s Previous Terrain Expansions Have Failed to . . .
        -Increase Skier Visits
        -Improve Ski Town Economies
                                    The "Leap of Faith”

• Colorado’s Previous Terrain Expansions Have Failed to . . .
        -Increase Skier Visits
        -Improve Ski Town Economies

• Nevertheless, CBMR said on 6/9/08: 
    - “We are assuming (expansion) will be successful.” 
    - They ask the public to take a “Leap of faith” with our National Forests - 
       a “Leap of Faith” that Expansion would have different results here . . .
                                    The "Leap of Faith”

• Colorado’s Previous Terrain Expansions Have Failed to . . .
        -Increase Skier Visits
        -Improve Ski Town Economies

• Nevertheless, CBMR said on 6/9/08: 
    - “We are assuming (expansion) will be successful.”
    - They ask the public to take a “leap of faith” with our National Forests -
       A “Leap of Faith” that Expansion would have different results here . . .


    Would you commit your valuable private assets 
    to “assumptions” and “Leaps of Faith” with:
        - No Business Plan? 
        - No Realistic Performance Projections?
        - No Risk Disclosures? 
        - No Means of Measurement? 
        - No Recourse?
        - A History of Non-Performance? 
What is "Pre-NEPA”?


GMUG Forest Supervisor Charles Richmond said:


"The Forest Service has learned that with ski area expansion,
it's really important to address the main issues before you get
into the NEPA phase. Too many times a ski area comes up
with a proposal and the Forest Service takes it into the NEPA
phase, where it gets stalled. We could get caught into the
NEPA process for several years. Then it's sort of a losing
proposition for all the parties involved. . . “



                                             www.ColoradoAerialViews.com
What is "Pre-NEPA”?


GMUG Forest Supervisor Charles Richmond identified:


   Three Snodgrass pre-NEPA “Main Issues”-
      • Geology: under review and unresolved.
      • RMBL concerns: unresolved
         (Increased avalanche dangers, transportation)
      • Community Support: unresolved.




                                                www.ColoradoAerialViews.com
Federal NEPA process - the Environmental Impact Statement (EIS)




• Effective at evaluating alternatives, disclosing on-site impacts and
    defining mitigation requirements for the Physical Environment.

• Ineffective at evaluating Off-site, Socio-Economic factors.

• NEPA answers “How,” not “Why.”

               Community input and direction is important.


                                                     www.ColoradoAerialViews.com
Friends of Snodgrass Mountain request:




• Follow-up Letter to Forest Supervisor Richmond:

    - In support of all pre-NEPA conditions.
          • Geology
          • RMBL concerns: increased avalanche dangers, transportation
          • Community Support

    - In support of in-depth, third-party economic cost/benefit analyses that
          would have substantial influence in the USFS Final Decision.
Thank You !




              friendsofsnodgrassmountain@gmail.com




                           www.ColoradoAerialViews.com

				
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