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					                                                                     MEMORANDUM
DATE:                  DECEMBER 10, 2013

TO:                    PUBLIC NOTICE

FROM:                  THE TARRANCE GROUP

RE:                    FINDINGS FROM SURVEY OF VOTERS NATIONWIDE



VOTERS	
  DISAPPROVE	
  OF	
  OBAMACARE	
  
	
  
       Ø Half	
  (50%)	
  of	
  voters	
  disapprove	
  of	
  the	
  President’s	
  healthcare	
  law,	
  or	
  Obamacare.	
  	
  Just	
  40%	
  approve	
  
           of	
  the	
  law.	
  	
  Intensity	
  is	
  strongly	
  against	
  Obamacare,	
  as	
  43%	
  strongly	
  disapprove,	
  while	
  only	
  25%	
  
           strongly	
  approve.	
  	
  A	
  majority	
  of	
  voters	
  within	
  key	
  groups	
  disapprove	
  of	
  Obamacare,	
  including	
  
           women	
  18-­‐44	
  (51%),	
  employees	
  of	
  small	
  businesses	
  (57%),	
  households	
  with	
  children	
  at	
  home	
  
           (56%),	
  and	
  voters	
  who	
  have	
  attempted	
  to	
  shop	
  on	
  the	
  health	
  care	
  exchange	
  websites	
  (52%).	
  	
  	
  
           	
  
       Ø Voters	
  are	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  react	
  negatively	
  than	
  positively	
  to	
  Members	
  of	
  Congress	
  who	
  supported	
  
           Obamacare.	
  	
  Just	
  38%	
  are	
  more	
  likely	
  to	
  vote	
  to	
  re-­‐elect	
  their	
  Member	
  if	
  he	
  or	
  she	
  supported	
  
           Obamacare,	
  while	
  46%	
  are	
  less	
  likely	
  to	
  vote	
  for	
  re-­‐election.	
  	
  	
  	
  
	
  
VOTERS	
  SAY	
  KEY	
  GROUPS	
  ARE	
  NEGATIVELY	
  IMPACTED	
  BY	
  OBAMACARE	
  
Voters	
  were	
  presented	
  with	
  a	
  number	
  of	
  key	
  groups,	
  and	
  were	
  asked	
  if	
  Obamacare	
  would	
  help	
  or	
  hurt	
  each	
  
group:	
  
                                                            IMPACT	
  OF	
  OBAMACARE	
  ON	
  EACH	
  
                               	
                                      Help	
   Hurt	
   Unsure	
   No	
  Impact	
   Net	
  Hurt	
  
                                    Small	
  businesses	
              30%	
   55%	
            13%	
                 2%	
                  +25	
  
                                              Doctors	
                28%	
   52%	
            17%	
                 3%	
                  +24	
  
                                    The	
  economy	
  as	
  a	
  
                                                                       38%	
   51%	
             7%	
                 4%	
                  +13	
  
                                               whole	
  
                                     Our	
  health	
  care	
  
                                                                       41%	
   47%	
             9%	
                 2%	
                   +6	
  
                                              system	
  
                                      Big	
  businesses	
              29%	
   46%	
            16%	
                 9%	
                  +17	
  
                                      Senior	
  citizens	
             38%	
   45%	
            11%	
                 6%	
                   +6	
  
                                      The	
  insurance	
  
                                                                       38%	
   45%	
            15%	
                 3%	
                   +6	
  
                                             industry	
  
                                      Young	
  people	
                48%	
   40%	
            10%	
                 2%	
                   -­‐8	
  
	
         	
             	
            	
             	
        	
      	
         	
           Questions	
  asked	
  among	
  half	
  sample	
  
	
  
Voters	
  clearly	
  see	
  negative	
  impacts	
  for	
  small	
  businesses,	
  doctors,	
  and	
  even	
  the	
  economy	
  as	
  whole.	
  	
  Six	
  in	
  ten	
  
(61%)	
  voters	
  who	
  say	
  that	
  they	
  are	
  employed	
  by	
  a	
  small	
  business	
  believe	
  Obamacare	
  will	
  hurt	
  small	
  
businesses.	
  	
  	
  Also,	
  with	
  numerous	
  polls	
  showing	
  the	
  economy	
  as	
  Americans’	
  top	
  concern,	
  it	
  should	
  be	
  a	
  point	
  
of	
  caution	
  to	
  Obamacare	
  supporters	
  that	
  Americans	
  believe	
  the	
  law	
  will	
  hurt	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  	
  
	
  
REACTIONS	
  TO	
  STATEMENTS	
  ON	
  OBAMACARE	
  
Voters	
  were	
  presented	
  with	
  several	
  statements	
  about	
  Obamacare,	
  and	
  were	
  asked	
  if	
  they	
  agree	
  or	
  disagree	
  
with	
  each.	
  	
  A	
  majority	
  of	
  these	
  results	
  reveal	
  voters’	
  tendency	
  to	
  agree	
  with	
  statements	
  highlighting	
  the	
  
harmful	
  effects	
  of	
  the	
  law:	
  
	
  
                                                            	
                                                   Agree	
      Unsure	
   Disagree	
  
        While	
  just	
  27,000	
  have	
  selected	
  plans	
  through	
  the	
  Obamacare	
  
         website,	
  4.8	
  million	
  have	
  had	
  their	
  health	
  insurance	
  cancelled	
              59%	
             7%	
             35%	
  
               because	
  of	
  Obamacare.	
  	
  It	
  is	
  making	
  things	
  worse.	
  
        According	
  to	
  the	
  non-­‐partisan	
  Congressional	
  Budget	
  Office,	
  even	
  
          after	
  Obamacare	
  is	
  fully	
  implemented,	
  there	
  will	
  still	
  be	
  31	
  
                                                                                                               56%	
            14%	
             31%	
  
         million	
  Americans	
  without	
  health	
  insurance.	
  	
  It	
  still	
  will	
  not	
  do	
  
                             what	
  President	
  Obama	
  promised.	
  
            President	
  Obama	
  is	
  shifting	
  the	
  blame	
  of	
  his	
  healthcare	
  law	
  
         failing,	
  and	
  is	
  not	
  taking	
  responsibility	
  for	
  millions	
  of	
  Americans	
      55%	
             5%	
             41%	
  
                                         losing	
  their	
  health	
  coverage.	
  
             President	
  Obama’s	
  failed	
  promises	
  on	
  Obamacare	
  make	
  it	
  
                                                                                                               54%	
             3%	
             43%	
  
                        difficult	
  to	
  trust	
  him	
  and	
  his	
  administration.	
  
          While	
  Obamacare	
  has	
  had	
  a	
  rocky	
  start,	
  we	
  should	
  still	
  support	
  
              it	
  because	
  the	
  law	
  will	
  give	
  millions	
  of	
  Americans	
  health	
           52%	
             4%	
             45%	
  
                                          insurance	
  for	
  the	
  first	
  time.	
  
          Obamacare	
  and	
  the	
  website	
  healthcare	
  dot	
  gov	
  pose	
  a	
  threat	
  to	
  
                                                                                                               47%	
            15%	
             38%	
  
                                                 patient	
  privacy.	
  
                                                                                                       Questions	
  asked	
  among	
  half	
  sample	
  
	
  
This	
  survey	
  was	
  conducted	
  among	
  N=803	
  registered	
  voters	
  throughout	
  the	
  country	
  between	
  December	
  1-­‐5,	
  
2013.	
  	
  Interviews	
  were	
  conducted	
  by	
  live	
  interviewers,	
  with	
  75%	
  of	
  the	
  interviews	
  coming	
  from	
  respondents	
  
on	
  landline	
  phones,	
  and	
  25%	
  from	
  respondents	
  on	
  cell	
  phones.	
  	
  The	
  sample	
  has	
  a	
  +/-­‐	
  3.5%	
  margin	
  of	
  error,	
  
and	
  was	
  a	
  combination	
  of	
  Random	
  Digit	
  Dial	
  (RDD)	
  and	
  listed	
  sample,	
  obtained	
  by	
  Survey	
  Sampling	
  
International	
  (SSI).	
  	
  Interviews	
  were	
  weighted	
  to	
  ensure	
  demographic	
  groups	
  were	
  fully	
  represented	
  in	
  the	
  
final	
  data.	
  

				
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