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					HART

Peter D

RESEARCH
A SSOC I AT ES

AFL-CIO
Post-Election Survey 2006

Surveys Of Voting Union Members
 Survey

among 810 union members nationwide (margin of 455 members in Senate battleground states

of error = ±3.5 percentage points)
 Survey  Survey

(margin of error = ±4.7 percentage points)

of 463 drop-off voters in Senate battleground states: voted in 2004, but not in 2002
(margin of error = ±4.6 percentage points)

 Surveys

conducted Election Night 2006
AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Members Voting For Change
 69% disapprove of Bush’s job performance.  64% are dissatisfied with the economic
situation in the country today.

 57% believe the decision to go to war in Iraq  46% voted to send message of opposition to
AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

has made America less safe (27% say more safe).

Bush, 10% voted to send message of support.

Union Members’ House Vote

Republican
26%

Democrat
74%

Previous Years
2004 2002 70% 68% Democrat Republican 30% 32%

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Union Members’ House Vote
Democrats’ Advantage
Republican
26%

Democrat
74%

All voters White men White women White born-agains Weekly churchgoers Rural voters Married women

Union members +48 +39 +53 +15 +31 +38 +60

All voters +9 -8 even -41 -12 -2 -1

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Union Members’ Senate Vote (Battleground states only)
Republican
27%

Democrat
73%

Vote among all voters in battleground states: 55% Democrat 45% Republican
*as of 10:00 am Nov 8

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Members’ Top Voting Issues
Top One/Two Issues in my House Vote
41%
War in Iraq

32%
Economy and jobs

26%

26%

Social Health Security/ care/ Rx drugs retirement

15%

14%

13%
Taxes

Terrorism/ Immihomeland gration security +70 Dem +68 Dem

11%
Moral values

+68 Dem +68 Dem +12 GOP +14 Dem +36 Dem +26 GOP

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Biggest Concerns About GOP Congress
One/two biggest concerns about GOP candidates this year
Members who voted for Democrat in House race

Cared more about political power than doing right Rubber stamp for George Bush Supported policies that hurt working people Tolerated corruption and dishonesty Extreme positions on issues like stem cell research

37%

36%

32%

24%

16%

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Vote Among Drop-off Voters
Members who voted in 2004 but not in 2002
Democrat 76% Republican 76%
79% of union drop-off voters in battleground states report that they voted in 2006 elections.

24%

24%

House vote

Senate vote
(battleground states)

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Why Drop-off Voters Turned Out
One/two factors that motivated me to vote:
All drop-off voters

Send message that we need a change Support candidates who support working people

39% 35% 31% 20% 15% 8%

Give children/grandkids better future
To give my party the majority in Congress Referendum or initiative I felt strongly about To help a candidate I strongly supported

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Unions Reached Their Members
(% of members in battleground states saying they received election info from each source)
Mail to your home
80% 77% 54% 44% 23% 12%
93% say they received information from at least one source.

Union newspaper/ magazine/newsletter
Phone call Workplace flyer/ contact* Internet/e-mail/ Web site Home visit

*among active members only

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Survey Among Working America Members
 Survey

among 832 Working America members

 Includes

206 in Ohio, 205 in Pennsylvania, and 210 in Minnesota
Election Night 2006

 Conducted

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Senate/Governor Vote Among Working America Members
Ohio
Senate 72% Brown 28% DeWine

Pennsylvania
73% Casey 27% Santorum

Minnesota
70% Klobuchar 30% Kennedy

Governor 83% Strickland 17% Blackwell

76% Rendell 24% Swann

61% Hatch 39% Pawlenty

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Working America’s Impact Through The Fall
Ohio Senate Race
72% 63% 53%

Minnesota Senate Race
70%

32% 28% 27%

30%

August 2006

Election results

August 2006

Election results

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

2002 Nonvoters
 80%

of Working America members who had not voted in 2002 report they turned out to vote this year. voters supported Democratic candidates for Senate by 80% to 20%. voters supported Democratic House candidates by 77% to 23%.
AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

 Non-2002

 Non-2002

What Working America Members Said With Their Vote
Most important/very important factor in my House vote:
All Working America members

Improve health care coverage/access Clean up corruption in Washington

70% 65% 65% 62% 61% 60% 55%

Protect Social Security
Protect us from terrorism Raise minimum wage/ create good jobs Major change in Iraq war strategy Tough trade policies to protect American jobs

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

Union Members’ Legislative Priorities
Strongly favor Somewhat favor

Working America members

Protect employees when companies bankrupt Require Medicare to negotiate Rx prices Reform trade agreements Health care costs for average families Guarantee health coverage for all kids Strengthen protections to join/form unions Raise minimum wage to $7.25
AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

96% 94% 94%

91% 92% 89% 92% 93%

93%
93% 93% 91%

77% 87%

Union Members’ Legislative Priorities
Strongly favor Somewhat favor

Working America members

Require companies to give retirement benefits Investment in renewable energy/less foreign oil Restore college student loan funding Increase funding for homeland security End tax loopholes for sending jobs overseas Repeal Bush tax cuts for wealthiest 1% Pass Bush’s proposal to privatize Social Security

90% 87% 84% 84%

84% 87% 85% 77% 66% 66% 23%

76%
70%

16%

AFL-CIO 2006 Post-Election Survey/Hart Research

HART

Peter D

RESEARCH
A SSOC I AT ES

AFL-CIO
Post-Election Survey 2006


				
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