Volatilidade Histórica - RLamarca

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Volatilidade Passada VALE5 Distribuição dos pesos de cada dia útil, para o cálculo da Volatilidade Volatilidade Histórica 7.0% 6.0% 43.05% Pesos Ajustados 5.0% 4.0% Volatilidade Ponderada 3.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.0% -10 -12 -14 -16 -18 -20 -22 -24 -26 -28 -30 -32 -34 -36 -38 -40 0 -2 -4 -6 -8 Últimos 42 Retornos 49.67% Alisamento Exponencial dos Pesos dos Retornos Ocorridos ao Longo de até 42 Dias Úteis mais recentes da Janela Temporal Especificada. Alfa Cálculo da Volatilidade a partir de Dias 0 -1 -2 -3 -4 -5 -6 -7 -8 -9 -10 -11 -12 -13 -14 -15 -16 -17 -18 -19 -20 -21 -22 -23 -24 -25 -26 -27 -28 -29 -30 -31 -32 -33 -34 -35 -36 -37 -38 -39 -40 -41 -42 -21 -22 -23 -24 -25 -26 -27 -28 -29 -30 -31 -32 -33 -34 -35 -36 -37 -38 -39 -40 Data 4/3/2008 4/2/2008 4/1/2008 3/31/2008 3/28/2008 3/27/2008 3/26/2008 3/25/2008 3/24/2008 3/20/2008 3/19/2008 3/18/2008 3/17/2008 3/14/2008 3/13/2008 3/12/2008 3/11/2008 3/10/2008 3/7/2008 3/6/2008 3/5/2008 3/4/2008 3/3/2008 2/29/2008 2/28/2008 2/27/2008 2/26/2008 2/25/2008 2/22/2008 2/21/2008 2/20/2008 2/19/2008 2/18/2008 2/15/2008 2/14/2008 2/13/2008 2/12/2008 2/11/2008 2/8/2008 2/7/2008 2/6/2008 2/1/2008 1/31/2008 Preços à Vista 51.70 51.30 51.90 50.79 50.20 50.00 49.75 47.58 46.30 44.20 44.26 47.70 46.50 48.61 48.55 48.30 48.49 46.06 47.95 48.53 49.59 48.71 49.64 49.86 52.50 51.35 51.15 51.24 51.15 50.10 50.25 48.62 48.86 46.50 47.42 47.82 47.59 47.05 45.40 44.59 45.20 47.00 44.77 Retornos Ln (Pt/Pt-1) 0.78% -1.16% 2.16% 1.17% 0.40% 0.50% 4.46% 2.73% 4.64% -0.14% -7.49% 2.55% -4.44% 0.12% 0.52% -0.39% 5.14% -4.02% -1.20% -2.16% 1.79% -1.89% -0.44% -5.16% 2.21% 0.39% -0.18% 0.18% 2.07% -0.30% 3.30% -0.49% 4.95% -1.96% -0.84% 0.48% 1.14% 3.57% 1.80% -1.36% Pesos Ajustados 5.74% 5.45% 5.18% 4.92% 4.67% 4.44% 4.22% 4.01% 3.81% 3.62% 3.44% 3.26% 3.10% 2.95% 2.80% 2.66% 2.53% 2.40% 2.28% 2.16% 2.06% 1.95% 1.86% 1.76% 1.68% 1.59% 1.51% 1.44% 1.36% 1.30% 1.23% 1.17% 1.11% 1.06% 1.00% 0.95% 0.91% 0.86% 0.82% 0.78% 5.00% 40 Pesos Originais 5.00% 4.75% 4.51% 4.29% 4.07% 3.87% 3.68% 3.49% 3.32% 3.15% 2.99% 2.84% 2.70% 2.57% 2.44% 2.32% 2.20% 2.09% 1.99% 1.89% 1.79% 1.70% 1.62% 1.54% 1.46% 1.39% 1.32% 1.25% 1.19% 1.13% 1.07% 1.02% 0.97% 0.92% 0.87% 0.83% 0.79% 0.75% 0.71% 0.68% Retornos Retorno Ponderado x 1.78% -2.54% 4.48% 2.30% 0.75% 0.89% 7.52% 4.37% 7.07% -0.20% -10.28% 3.33% -5.50% 0.15% 0.58% -0.42% 5.19% -3.86% -1.10% -1.87% 1.47% -1.48% -0.33% -3.64% 1.48% 0.25% -0.11% 0.10% 1.13% -0.16% 1.62% -0.23% 2.20% -0.83% -0.34% 0.18% 0.41% 1.23% 0.59% -0.42%

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