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Public-Notice-August-Survey-Release-Final by StevenFoley

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									                                                                            MEMORANDUM	
  
DATE:	
   	
                SEPTEMBER	
  4,	
  2013	
  
	
  
TO:	
   	
                  PUBLIC	
  NOTICE	
  
	
  
FROM:	
  	
                 THE	
  TARRANCE	
  GROUP	
  
	
            	
  
RE:	
         	
            SURVEY	
  FINDINGS	
  FROM	
  NATIONAL	
  SURVEY	
  	
  
	
  
	
  
The	
  Tarrance	
  Group	
  is	
  pleased	
  to	
  present	
  this	
  summary	
  of	
  key	
  findings	
  from	
  a	
  national	
  survey	
  of	
  registered	
  
voters.	
  	
  Interviews	
  among	
  N=802	
  voters	
  were	
  conducted	
  via	
  landline	
  and	
  cellular	
  telephone	
  between	
  August	
  
25-­‐28,	
  2013.	
  The	
  margin	
  of	
  error	
  is	
  +/-­‐	
  3.5%.	
  
	
  
                                                                                  KEY	
  FINDINGS	
  
	
  
     Ø Americans	
  continue	
  to	
  be	
  focused	
  on	
  the	
  economy	
  and	
  remain	
  nervous	
  about	
  America’s	
  economic	
  
              health.	
  	
  Even	
  though	
  it’s	
  been	
  four	
  years	
  since	
  the	
  recession	
  ended,	
  nearly	
  half	
  (48%)	
  believe	
  that	
  the	
  
              worst	
  is	
  yet	
  to	
  come.	
  	
  Just	
  one	
  third	
  (33%)	
  believe	
  the	
  worst	
  is	
  behind	
  us,	
  and	
  15%	
  say	
  the	
  worst	
  is	
  
              happening	
  right	
  now.	
  	
  	
  
              	
  
              Majorities	
  of	
  Independents	
  (53%)	
  and	
  Republicans	
  (65%)	
  believe	
  the	
  worst	
  is	
  yet	
  to	
  come.	
  	
  Half	
  of	
  
              Democrats	
  say	
  the	
  worst	
  is	
  behind	
  us	
  (50%),	
  yet	
  still	
  close	
  to	
  a	
  third	
  are	
  pessimistic	
  about	
  the	
  future	
  
              (30%	
  say	
  the	
  worst	
  is	
  yet	
  to	
  come).	
  
              	
  
     Ø Just	
  27%	
  of	
  voters	
  report	
  having	
  been	
  impacted	
  by	
  the	
  sequester,	
  while	
  a	
  majority	
  (70%)	
  have	
  not.	
  	
  
              Even	
  in	
  light	
  of	
  the	
  spending	
  cuts,	
  they	
  want	
  more.	
  	
  	
  

                                    In	
  light	
  of	
  the	
  sequester,	
  which	
  of	
  the	
  following	
  do	
  you	
  believe	
  
                                                     our	
  leaders	
  in	
  Washington	
  should	
  do	
  now...	
  
                                80%	
  

                          61%	
        63%	
  

                                             43%	
  
                                                                                                                 36%	
  
                                                                                              24%	
     21%	
  
                                                                         16%	
  
                                                             11%	
   10%	
                           12%	
  
                                                                  5%	
                                                           4%	
   3%	
   6%	
   5%	
  

                             Cut	
  spending	
              Increase	
  spending	
   Leave	
  spending	
  levels	
                        Other	
  
                                                                                        where	
  they	
  are	
  	
  
                                                 All	
  Voters	
       Republican	
           Independent	
                Democrat	
         	
  
         	
  
      Ø Voters	
  believe	
  cutting	
  spending	
  is	
  good	
  for	
  the	
  economy.	
  	
  Given	
  the	
  opportunity	
  to	
  identify	
  what	
  
         helps	
  and	
  hurts	
  the	
  economy,	
  majorities	
  of	
  Americans	
  believe	
  that	
  the	
  economy	
  is	
  harmed	
  by	
  
         increasing	
  government	
  spending	
  (69%)	
  and	
  the	
  nation’s	
  debt	
  (84%).	
  
       Ø A	
  majority	
  (61%)	
  of	
  voters	
  support	
  keeping	
  in	
  place	
  the	
  bipartisan	
  spending	
  limits	
  put	
  in	
  place	
  from	
  
          the	
  Budget	
  Control	
  Act.	
  	
  Just	
  28%	
  support	
  abandoning	
  the	
  2011	
  agreement	
  and	
  agreeing	
  to	
  a	
  
          combination	
  of	
  spending	
  and	
  tax	
  increases.	
  	
  	
  
          	
  
       Ø Voters	
  handily	
  reject	
  the	
  current	
  practice	
  of	
  automatic	
  spending	
  increases	
  for	
  federal	
  government	
  
          agencies.	
  	
  More	
  than	
  four-­‐in-­‐five	
  voters	
  (82%)	
  say	
  agencies	
  should	
  not	
  get	
  an	
  automatic	
  budget	
  
          increase,	
  while	
  just	
  13%	
  support	
  the	
  automatic	
  increases.	
  
          	
  
       Ø When	
  it	
  comes	
  to	
  the	
  debt	
  limit,	
  a	
  majority	
  (58%)	
  think	
  that	
  dollar-­‐for-­‐dollar	
  cuts	
  as	
  part	
  of	
  a	
  debt	
  
          ceiling	
  deal	
  is	
  just	
  right	
  or	
  not	
  enough	
  spending	
  cuts	
  (34%	
  say	
  the	
  cuts	
  would	
  be	
  just	
  right	
  and	
  24%	
  
          say	
  the	
  cuts	
  are	
  too	
  little).	
  	
  That’s	
  almost	
  six	
  in	
  ten	
  who	
  think	
  an	
  increase	
  in	
  the	
  debt	
  ceiling	
  
          should	
  be	
  accompanied	
  by	
  at	
  least	
  dollar-­‐for-­‐dollar	
  cuts.	
  	
  Just	
  32%	
  of	
  voters	
  say	
  that	
  dollar-­‐for-­‐
          dollar	
  cuts	
  as	
  part	
  of	
  a	
  debt	
  ceiling	
  deal	
  are	
  too	
  much.	
  
	
  
                                 	
        With	
  a	
  debt	
  limit	
  increase,	
  dollar-­‐for-­‐dollar	
  cuts	
  would	
  be…	
  
                                 	
          Too	
  little	
              Just	
  right	
    Too	
  much	
              Other	
  
                         All	
  voters	
       24%	
                        34%	
                32%	
                   9%	
  
                        Republican	
           37%	
                        36%	
                20%	
                   7%	
  
                       Independent	
           33%	
                        28%	
                24%	
                   15%	
  
                         Democrat	
                9%	
                     35%	
                47%	
                   9%	
  
	
  
	
  
       Ø In	
  addition	
  to	
  cutting	
  spending	
  with	
  the	
  debt	
  limit	
  deal,	
  Americans	
  are	
  open	
  to	
  the	
  following:	
  
          	
  



                Requiring	
  food	
  stamp	
  recipients	
  to	
                                                                      86%	
  
              actively	
  look	
  for	
  work	
  or	
  participate	
  in	
                   12%	
  
                  job	
  training	
  and	
  civic	
  activities	
                  3%	
  



                                                                                                                      54%	
                       Support	
  
                               Making	
  changes	
  to	
  Medicaid	
                                   34%	
                                      Oppose	
  
                                                                                            11%	
  
                                                                                                                                                  Unsure	
  


                                                                                                                      53%	
  
                 Reducing	
  Social	
  Security	
  benecits	
  for	
  
                                                                                                            42%	
  
                               the	
  wealthy	
  
                                                                                    4%	
  

                                                                                                                                                                   	
  
                                                                        	
  
                                                                        	
  
                                                                        	
  
                                                                                   ###

								
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