Triton Polling - Tenessee US Senate Survey - Topline Results _3_

					Triton Polling & Research
Top Line Weighted Results
Tennessee U.S. Senate Survey
Conducted 8/15/2013 & 8/16/2013
N = 684
Margin of Error at 95% Confidence: +/- 3.7%

            Q1: How would you rate Lamar Alexander's job performance as U.S. Senator?
                                                                                    Cumulative
                                         Frequency     Percent    Valid Percent      Percent
Valid       Strongly approve                       223            32.6            32.6               32.6
            Somewhat approve                       217            31.7            31.7               64.3
            Somewhat disapprove                    133            19.4            19.4               83.7
            Strongly disapprove                     91            13.3            13.3               97.0
            Not sure                                20            3.0              3.0               100.0
            Total                                  684           100.0           100.0



 Q2: If the Republican primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, and the choice was between
      Lamar Alexander and a credible conservative Republican opponent, how would you vote?

                                                                                                  Cumulative
                                                Frequency       Percent      Valid Percent         Percent
Valid       Definitely voting for Alexander
                                                   213            31.1            31.1               31.1
            Lean towards voting for
                                                    94            13.8            13.8               44.9
            Alexander
            Lean toward voting for
                                                   199            29.1            29.1               74.0
            conservative opponent
            Definitely voting for
                                                   140            20.4            20.4               94.4
            conservative opponent
            Not sure                                38            5.6              5.6               100.0
            Total                                  684           100.0           100.0


        Q3:  In  your  mind,  how  would  you  rate  Lamar  Alexander’s  chances  of  being  re-­elected?
                                                                                                  Cumulative
                                                Frequency       Percent      Valid Percent         Percent
Valid       Defintely will be reelected            204            29.8            29.8               29.8
            Probably will be reelected             291            42.5            42.5               72.4
            Probably won't be reelected
                                                    97            14.1            14.1               86.5
            Definitely won't be reelected
                                                    39            5.6              5.6               92.1
            Not sure                                54            7.9              7.9               100.0
            Total                                  684           100.0           100.0
 Q4: Would you be more likely or less likely to vote to re-elect Lamar Alexander if you knew he voted
                          with President Barak Obama 62% of the time?
                                                                                          Cumulative
                                            Frequency       Percent    Valid Percent       Percent
Valid       Much more likely                   61           8.9           8.9               8.9
            Somewhat more likely               74          10.8           10.8             19.7
            Somewhat less likely              182          26.6           26.6             46.3
            Much less likely                  321          46.9           46.9             93.2
            Not sure                           35           5.2           5.2              98.4
            No impact on your vote             11           1.6           1.6             100.0
            Total                             684          100.0         100.0


  Q5: Would you be more likely or less likely to vote to re-elect Lamar Alexander if you knew he had
                               voted against defunding Obamacare?
                                                                                        Cumulative
                                           Frequency      Percent    Valid Percent       Percent
Valid       Much more likely                   56           8.2           8.2               8.2
            Somewhat more likely               78          11.4           11.4             19.5
            Somewhat less likely              153          22.4           22.4             41.9
            Much less likely                  329          48.1           48.1             90.1
            Not sure                           44           6.4           6.4              96.5
            No impact on your vote             24           3.5           3.5             100.0
            Total                             684          100.0         100.0


 Q6: Would you be more or less likely to vote to re-elect Lamar Alexander if you knew he supported
               the Senate Bill to provide amnesty to 11 million illegal immigrants?
                                                                                       Cumulative
                                           Frequency       Percent   Valid Percent       Percent
Valid       Much more likely                   74          10.7           10.7             10.7
            Somewhat more likely               74          10.8           10.8             21.5
            Somewhat less likely              176          25.7           25.7             47.2
            Much less likely                  315          46.0           46.0             93.2
            Not sure                           33           4.8           4.8              98.0
            No impact on your vote             13           2.0           2.0             100.0
            Total                             684          100.0         100.0


Q7: Would you be more or less likely to vote to re-elect Lamar Alexander if you knew he voted for the
                                         Internet Sales Tax?
                                                                                        Cumulative
                                           Frequency      Percent    Valid Percent       Percent
Valid       Much more likely                   79          11.6           11.6             11.6
            Somewhat more likely              101          14.7           14.7             26.3
            Somewhat less likely              170          24.8           24.8             51.2
            Much less likely                  242          35.4           35.4             86.6
            Not sure                           75          10.9           10.9             97.5
            No impact on your vote             17           2.5           2.5             100.0
            Total                             684          100.0         100.0
   Q8: Do you believe that as a Republican, Senator Alexander is very conservative, conservative,
                                  moderate, liberal or very liberal?
                                                                                       Cumulative
                                          Frequency       Percent    Valid Percent      Percent
Valid      Very conservative                    53            7.8          7.8            7.8
           Conservative                        141            20.6        20.6           28.3
           Moderate                            303            44.3        44.3           72.6
           Liberal or progressive              143            20.9        20.9           93.6
           Not sure                             44            6.4          6.4           100.0
           Total                               684           100.0       100.0


                           Q9: How would you describe your political views?
                                                                                      Cumulative
                                            Frequency       Percent   Valid Percent    Percent
Valid      Very conservative                   350            51.2        51.2           51.2
           Conservative                        242            35.4        35.4           86.6
           Moderate                             72            10.5        10.5           97.1
           Liberal or progressive                5             .8          .8            97.8
           Not sure                             15            2.2          2.2           100.0
           Total                               684           100.0       100.0


                                                Gender
                                                                                      Cumulative
                                            Frequency       Percent   Valid Percent    Percent
Valid      Female                              342            49.9        49.9           49.9
           Male                                343            50.1        50.1           100.0
           Total                               684           100.0       100.0


                                                  Age
                                                                                      Cumulative
                                            Frequency       Percent   Valid Percent    Percent
Valid      40 & under                           57            8.3          8.3            8.3
           41-50                               117            17.1        17.1           25.5
           51-60                               147            21.5        21.5           47.0
           61-70                               184            26.9        26.9           73.8
           71-80                               129            18.8        18.8           92.7
           81 and higher                        50            7.3          7.3           100.0
           Total                               684           100.0       100.0


                                       Political Party Affiliation
                                                                                      Cumulative
                                            Frequency       Percent   Valid Percent    Percent
Valid      Republican party                    684           100.0       100.0           100.0
                                           Voting History
                                                                                    Cumulative
                                           Frequency     Percent    Valid Percent    Percent
Valid   Vote in every single election
                                              578           84.5        84.5           84.5
        Vote in most elections                106           15.5        15.5          100.0
        Total                                 684           100.0      100.0


                                        Congressional District
                                                                                    Cumulative
                                           Frequency     Percent    Valid Percent    Percent
Valid   1                                      93           13.6        13.6           13.6
        2                                      89           12.9        12.9           26.5
        3                                      75           10.9        10.9           37.5
        4                                     102           14.9        14.9           52.4
        5                                      30            4.4         4.4           56.8
        6                                      91           13.3        13.3           70.1
        7                                      88           12.9        12.9           83.0
        8                                      93           13.6        13.6           96.6
        9                                      24            3.4         3.4          100.0
        Total                                 684           100.0      100.0


                                                 City
                                                                                    Cumulative
                                           Frequency     Percent    Valid Percent    Percent
Valid   Knoxville                              40            5.8         5.8           51.9
        Memphis                                26            3.8         3.8           69.2
        Cleveland                              24            3.6         3.6           15.6
        Nashville                              15            2.2         2.2           78.0
        Crossville                             15            2.1         2.1           23.1
        Maryville                              13            1.9         1.9           64.0
        Chattanooga                            13            1.9         1.9           10.3
        Bartlett                               12            1.8         1.8           3.8
        Lawrenceburg                           11            1.6         1.6           55.2
        Murfreesboro                           11            1.6         1.6           75.7
        Savannah                               11            1.6         1.6           85.9
        Franklin                               11            1.6         1.6           32.2
        Collierville                           10            1.5         1.5           17.7
        Less than 10                          471           68.8        68.8           86.5
        Total                                 684           100.0      100.0

				
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posted:8/18/2013
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