2009 Desalination Market Forecast - Multi-State Salinity Coalition

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					  Seawater Desalination:
An International Perspective
           Tom Pankratz, Houston, Texas




Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Desalination by the numbers

• 17.6 billion gallons per day currently online
   – 8.8% increase over last year
• 20.5 billion gallons per day online, under
  construction and/or contracted
• 747 plants with a capacity of 1.4 billion have been
  added to inventory
• Growth continues in spite of completion of major
  projects in key markets and effects of global
  economic issues



         Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Quantity versus Capacity




      Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Technology by the numbers




      Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Technology Trends




      Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
The Future




     Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Top Ten 15 Desal Markets




      Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Global Trends in Desalination

•   RO will continue to be dominant technology
•   Technology will improve incrementally
•   Increased emphasis on the environment
•   Large projects will predominate
•   Public-private Partnerships will dominate
•   Costs will not come down




          Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Office of Saline Water – 1961




   12-effect MED Plant – Freeport, Texas



                                                                     courtesy JFK Library

          Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
Desal developing slowly in US…




     1994   1996   1998   2000   2002   2004   2006   2008   2010   2015
                                                                    2015




        Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
…compared to Australia




     1994   1996   1998   2000   2002   2004   2006   2008   2010   2015
                                                                    2015




        Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
2010: Why is US desal lagging?


    q We haven’t needed it badly enough
    q Environmental issues
    q Economics
    q Poseidon

    XAll of the above
    q



       Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com
In conclusion …


                                      Desalination is not a
                                      panacea, but it is, and will
                                      continue to be, an
                                      instrumental part of the
                                      solution to growing water
                                      scarcities around the world
                                      – including in the US



      Tom Pankratz – 27 January 2012 – tp@globalwaterintel.com

				
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