UNDERSTANDING ECONOMIC GROWTH • Why are we so rich
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UNDERSTANDING ECONOMIC GROWTH
• Why are we so rich and they so poor?
Output per worker in steady state is determined by the
rate of investment in private inputs such as physical
capital and skills, by the growth rate of the labour force,
and by the productivity of these inputs. Rich countries are
those that invest a large fraction of their GDP and time in
accumulating capital and skills. However, countries such
as the United States are rich not only because they have
large quantities of capital and education per worker, but
also because these inputs are used very productively.
However, the above raise additional questions. Why is it
that some countries invest much less than others? A very
important role is played by an economy’s laws,
government policies, and institutions.
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• What is the engine of economic growth?
The engine of economic growth is invention. At a
mathematical level, this is suggested by the Solow model:
growth ceases in that model unless the technology of
production improves exponentially.
• How do we understand growth miracles?
We understand growth miracles as reflecting the
movement of an economy within the world income
distribution. Something happened in the economies of
Hong Kong and Japan to shift their steady-state relative
incomes from values that were very low relative to the
United States to values that are relatively high. To make
the transition from the low steady state to the high steady
state, these economies must grow more rapidly than the
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United States. Eventually, we expect the transition to the
new steady state to be complete, and economic growth in
Hong Kong and Japan to return to the growth rate given
by the rate at which the world technological frontier
expands. The fact that all growth miracles must come to
an end doesn’t make them any less miraculous.
How does this transformation take place? If differences in
social infrastructure are a key determinant of differences
in income across countries, then changes in social
infrastructure within an economy can lead to changes in
income. Fundamental reforms that shift the incentives in
an economy away from diversion and toward productive
activities can stimulate investment, the accumulation of
skills, the transfer of technologies, and the efficient use of
these investments.
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