Sir John Anderson outlines his challenges

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							D ECEMBER 2006



Sir John Anderson outlines his challenges




Sir John Anderson KBE, seen here addressing MPs and corporate members and guests at the New Zealand Business and Parliament Trust’s annual MPs’
Business Briefing in Parliament’s Banquet Hall.

  The annual MPs’ Business Briefing was           thought-provoking address entitled                and it also appears on the Trust’s website
held on Wednesday 11 October in the               “Forces, Consequences and the Future”.            which can be found www.iabp.org/nz.
Banquet Hall in Parliament’s Executive              Drawing on his wide experience in                 This year’s MPs’ Business Briefing was
Wing.                                             business, the environment and the                 held in the recently refurbished Banquet
  These Briefings are an occasion for a           community, Sir John engaged the                   Hall in the Executive Wing (Beehive) and
speaker of note to address the Trust’s            audience of parliamentarians and business         Sir John’s address was followed by a meal
parliamentary and corporate members on            representatives with a series of historical       held in the Banquet Hall.
some topic of importance on                       “snapshots” which he then linked together           In addition to our own parliamentarians,
developments in the business world and            to illustrate the paths we have traversed as      two visiting parliamentarians from the
their impact in the political scene.              a nation and to pose questions about our          Irish Parliament (Oireachtas) attended the
  This year’s address was given by Sir            future directions.                                event, accompanied by the Honorary
John Anderson KBE who delivered a                  The full text of Sir John’s address is           Consul General of Ireland in New
                                                  published as a supplement to this Bulletin        Zealand.




                                       The Trust extends Season’s Greetings and best wishes for 2007
                                                      to all its members and associates
                                           and thanks you for your support during the past year
November Parliamentary Seminar
  “I have had a great day!”                            The majority of the participants said they
                                                     found the day very informative with a good
                                                                                                      the parliamentary environment, including
                                                                                                      the demands and constraints and their
wrote Lanice McMillan of the Nuance
                                                     balance of speakers.        One of those         responsibilities to their parties and other
Group in the evaluation questionnaire she
                                                     attending said how much he enjoyed the           parliamentary colleagues.
completed at the end of the one-day
                                                     juxtaposition of viewing a select committee
Seminar held in Parliament’s Legislative                                                               The speakers at the November seminar
                                                     meeting in action versus Question Time.
Council Chamber on Wednesday                                                                          were:
                                                     However, a number also expressed
8 November.
                                                     disappointment that more time had not            Hon Margaret Wilson - Speaker of the House
  And so it seemed, did the majority of the          been allocated to witnessing both.               Mary Harris - Deputy Clerk of the House
attendees at the seminar. Lanice, like many
                                                       The Trust acknowledges the popularity of       Tim Barnett - Senior Government Whip
of the other 34 representatives of the
                                                     the experience of both these events but
Trust’s corporate membership who                                                                      Lindsay Tisch - Senior National Party Whip
                                                     unfortunately is constrained by time and
attended, said that the seminar provided “a
                                                     only able to give seminar participants a         Hon Mark Burton - Deputy Leader of the House
wonderful insight into the roles of MPs”                                                                (deputising for the Prime Minister)
                                                     very ‘small taste’ of both within the whole
and she was grateful to have had the
                                                     day’s programme, which is designed to            Gerry Brownlee - Deputy Leader of the
opportunity to attend.
                                                     give an the business community an overall                                                Opposition
  It was extremely heartening to those               insight into the work of parliamentarians,       Hon Peter Dunne - Leader of United Future NZ
involved in the organisation of the seminar          with particular emphasis on how
to hear how much those who attended                                                                   Dr Pita Sharples - Co-Leader of the Mäori Party
                                                     government is exercised through
enjoyed the day’s programme and how                  Parliament.                                      Hon David Cunliffe - Minister of Immigration
worthwhile they found it. Even those who                                                              Shane Jones - first-term Labour List MP
                                                       The Trust is particularly fortunate to have
had some knowledge of Parliament before
                                                     the support of very senior members of the        Jo Goodhew - first-term National MP for Aoraki
attending said how much their knowledge
                                                     House who are more than happy to give
had been increased and many said they                                                                 Marie McNicholas - chairperson of the
                                                     their time to speak frankly and                                       Parliamentary Press Gallery.
would firmly recommend to their
                                                     informatively about their own roles within
colleagues.




Seminar participants seen here in the Debating Chamber during their brief tour of Parliament House.


The participants were joined at lunchtime by the following parliamentary speakers as well as some Associate Members of the Trust:
  Tim Barnett (speaker)                  Jo Goodhew (speaker)                  Pita Paraone                     Lindsay Tisch (speaker)
  Gordon Copeland                        Ann Hartley                           Ross Robertson                   and Anne Tolley.
  Hon Peter Dunne (speaker)              Darren Hughes                         Eric Roy
November Parliamentary Seminar (continued)



Mary Harris, Deputy Clerk of the House,
seen here speaking to participants on “The
Business of the House” at the shared session
with Senior National Party Whip, Lindsay
Tisch (obscured) and Senior Government
Whip, Tim Barnett (far right).
Also seated at the table is Barry Dineen,
chairman of the Trust.
                                                     Hon Mark Burton, Deputy Leader of the House, speaks to participants on the session “Exercising Govern-
                                                     ment through Parliament”. Mr Burton was deputising for the Prime Minister who was unavailable to
                                                     speak on the day due to other commitments..




                                                                                                         Marie McNicholas, chairperson of the Press Gallery
                                                                                                         talks on “Reporting Parliament”.

                                      First-term National MP for Aoraki, Jo Goodhew, talks on her role
Dr Pita Sharples, Co-Leader of        as a relatively new opposition MP on the back benches, covering
the Mäori Party, addressing par-      pressure groups and lobbying, and the effectiveness and limita-       SEMINAR PARTICIPANTS
ticipants on “MMP at Work”.           tions of an MP.
                                                                                                            Alison Bamford      - Southern Cross Healthcare
                                                                                                            Steven Bartholomeusz- Shell New Zealand

   MPs Business Study Attachments
                                                                                                            Steve Bielby        - Vector
                                                                                                            Cynthia Brophy      - Transpower New Zealand
                                                                                                            Lucy Budding        - Russell McVeagh

      – a great result for 2006                                                                             Clive Bull
                                                                                                            Mike Caird
                                                                                                                                - Vector
                                                                                                                                - ABN AMRO
                                                                                                            Brian Casey         - Fonterra
     With a record number of applications from 23 members of Parliament interested in
                                                                                                            Linden Clark        - Radio New Zealand
   undertaking a study attachment with one of the Trust’s corporate members, it was
                                                                                                            Shaun Drummond - Television New Zealand
   always going to be a challenge to fully achieve those attachments in one year. So it has
                                                                                                            Claire Falck        - Rio Tinto Aluminium NZ
   proved.
                                                                                                            Bridget Fitzpatrick - GlaxoSmithKline
     As the parliamentary year has progressed, the parliamentary demands on members’                        James Gossage       - Deloitte
   time and hence availability to undertake an attachment has meant that not all of the                     Liz Hampton         - IBM New Zealand
   attachments have been able to go ahead.                                                                  Greg Harford        - New Zealand Post
     However the following twelve members of Parliament will have completed their                           Shannon Hanrahan - SKYCITY
   attachments by year’s end:                                                                               John Johnston       - Westpac
          Tim Barnett - Air New Zealand    Sue Kedgley - Foodstuffs                                         Michelle Kong       - Telecom New Zealand
        * David Bennett - Westpac        * Colin King - Auckland International Airport                      Sheryl Kurte        - Merck Sharp & Dohme
                                                                                                            Martin Kwan         - EDS New Zealand
        * Mark Blumsky - Vodafone          Moana Mackay - SKYCITY Entertainment                             Janine Legarth      - NZ Lotteries Commission
          Steve Chadwick - Fonterra        Paul Swain - Vector                                              David Libeau        - Qantas Airways
        * Tim Groser - TVNZ              *Chris Tremain - Lion Nathan                                       Nic McCondach       - Genesis Energy
        * Nathan Guy - Genesis Energy    *Judy Turner - TVNZ                                                Lanice McMillan - Nuance Group
                                                                                                            Murray Needham - Televison New Zealand
    *first time attachment
                                                                                                            Cheri Nelson        - NZ Lotteries Commission
     Of the remaining applications, 5 have been deferred to 2007, arrangements for 3 are                    Debbie Noon         - IBM New Zealand
   still being finalized and in 3 cases the decision has been made not to proceed with an                   Chris Reid          - Bank of New Zealand
   attachment at this time.                                                                                 Paul Regtien        - Southern Cross Healthcare
     The Trust is very appreciative of all of the corporate members who have been                           Lynne Sijbrant      - Russell McVeagh
   involved with this year’s applications for the time and effort they have given to this                   Dirk Tulp           - Compass Group
   important part of the Trust’s overall study programmes. Without exception, the                           Peter van Cingel    - New Zealand Refining Co
   feedback from the members who have completed their attachments has strongly                              Jeff Walker         - Southland Building Society
   emphasized the value to them of the attachment and their strong advocacy on the worth                    Mark Wilson         - TelstraClear
   of this programme for Members of Parliament.                                                             Geoff Willetts      - Telecom New Zealand
                                                               November President’s Dinner
                                                                 The third and last President’s Dinner of 2006 was held on Tuesday 14 November,
                                                               hosted by the Speaker, Hon Margaret Wilson, in her apartment. During the course
                                                               of the evening, Madam Speaker thanked each guest for his or her support of the
THE NEW ZEALAND BUSINESS & PARLIAMENT TRUST                    Trust and outlined past and future Trust developments and activities.
  “Advancing business understanding of Parliament and
     parliamentarians’ understanding of business”
           Patron - Sir Patrick Goodman PCNZM CBE


President                        Chairman
Hon Margaret Wilson MP           Barry Dineen

Trustees
Simon Allen                      Rodney Hide MP
Hon Jim Anderton MP              John Key MP
Rt Hon Helen Clark MP            June McCabe*
Hon David Cunliffe MP*           Kerry McDonald*
Barry Dineen*                    Rt Hon Winston Peters MP
Hon Peter Dunne MP*              Dr Pita Sharples CBE MP JP
Jeanette Fitzsimons MP           Sir Dryden Spring
John Goulter DCNZM JP*           Lindsay Tisch MP JP*
*Board of Management

Secretariat
John O’Sullivan CNZM LVO JP Executive Director*
Diana Litton                Programme Coordinator
                                                               Seen here with Madam Speaker are (left to right) Barry Dineen (Chairman of the Trust), Steve
Corporate Members                                              Murray (EDS New Zealand), Hon Dr Michael Cullen (Deputy Prime Minister), John Weeds
                                                               (Compass Group), Tony Gibson (Maersk New Zealand), Lloyd Morrison, (Infratil), Jeanette
ABN AMRO New Zealand             Nuance Group NZ               Fitzsimons, (Parliamentary Leader of the Green Party), Todd McLeay (New Zealand Lotteries
Air New Zealand                  NZ Lotteries Commission       Commission), and Ross Smith (Southland Building Society).
Alliance Group                   NZ Post                       Also present at the dinner was John O’Sullivan (Executive Director of the Trust).
Amway of New Zealand             NZ Racing Board
Auckland International Airport   NZ Refining Company

                                                               Proposed Programme for 2007
Bank of New Zealand              Qantas Airways
Beca Group                       Radio New Zealand
Cisco Systems NZ                 Rio Tinto Aluminium (NZ)
Compass Group                    Russell McVeagh
Deloitte                         Shell New Zealand
EDS New Zealand                  SKYCITY Entertainment Group
Fonterra Co-operative Group      Southern Cross Healthcare
Foodstuffs NZ                    Southland Building Society
Genesis Energy                   Steel & Tube Holdings
GlaxoSmithKline NZ               Talley’s Fisheries
Holcim New Zealand               Te Ohu Kai Moana
IBM NZ                           Telecom New Zealand
Infratil Ltd                     Television New Zealand                                                            "                             #$        %
                                                                           !
Kensington Swan                  TelstraClear
Lion Nathan New Zealand          Todd Corporation
McDonald’s Restaurants NZ        Transpower New Zealand
Maersk New Zealand               Vector                                                                            %
Meat & Wool New Zealand          Vodafone New Zealand              &
Merck Sharp & Dohme (NZ)         Westpac

                                                                                                                   %                (
Associate Members
                                                                     '                                                       !"
Shane Ardern MP                  Dr Paul Hutchison MP
Hon Rick Barker MP               Sue Kedgley MP
Tim Barnett MP                   Hon Annette King MP                                                               %
Mark Blumsky MP                  Colin King MP
Sue Bradford MP                  Hon Winnie Laban MP                  *
                                                                   ) ' '+
Gerry Brownlee MP                Moana Mackey MP
Hon David Carter MP              Hon Steve Maharey MP
                                                                                                                   %                (
John Carter MP                   Hon Nanaia Mahuta MP
                                                                     '            ,!           ' '+
                                                                                                *                            !"
Steve Chadwick MP                Hon Trevor Mallard MP
Dr Ashraf Choudhary MP           Dr Wayne Mapp MP
Gordon Copeland MP               Ron Mark MP
Hon Clayton Cosgrove MP          Hon Damien O’Connor MP                                                             %("                   "      #
Hon Dr Michael Cullen MP         Pita Paraone MP                     '     !                                       $
                                                                                                                   #                                         %
Hon David Cunliffe MP            Jill Pettis MP                         !
                                                                      $ +-
Hon Lianne Dalziel MP            Simon Power MP
Hon Harry Duynhoven MP           Ross Robertson MP
Hon Ruth Dyson MP                Eric Roy MP                                                                       %
Jeanette Fitzsimons MP           Dr the Hon Nick Smith MP             /
                                                                   . ! 0-
Martin Gallagher MP              Hon Paul Swain MP
Sandra Goudie MP                 Nandor Tanczos MP
Tim Groser MP                    Lindsay Tisch MP JP                                                               %                (
Nathan Guy MP                    Hon Judith Tizard MP                '            1 ! 0-
                                                                                     /                                       !"
Ann Hartley MP JP                Anne Tolley MP
Phil Heatley MP                  Chris Tremain MP
Hon Marian Hobbs MP              Judy Turner MP
Hon Pete Hodgson MP              Dianne Yates MP                    Published by
Darren Hughes MP                                                       The New Zealand Business and Parliament Trust
                                                                       Parliament Buildings, Wellington 6001
                                                                       Telephone: 04 472 5365, Fax: 04 472 2016, Email: NZBPT@xtra.co.nz, Website: www.iabp.org/nz
Address by Sir John Anderson at the New Zealand Business & Parliament Trust’s 2006 MPs’ Business Briefing



                    “FORCES, CONSEQUENCES AND THE FUTURE”

 The Hon. Margaret Wilson, Barry                         The gold standard had been                              Snapshot
Dineen, Members of Parliament and                      dropped, oil prices had surged, and
members of the New Zealand                             inflation’s bloated taint was spreading
Business and Parliament Trust.                         its tentacles into unsuspecting nations    The float
Thank you for inviting me to speak to                  and their economies.
you tonight on the topic of forces,                                                                 The day was fine and warm, the sun
consequences and the future.                             By the early 1980’s the northern         streaming in the window at the city
                                                       hemisphere economies were well             end of the dealing room.
                                                       prepared to deal with inflation. New
  The French painter and writer                        Zealand’s long protectionist and             The noise was loud, with shouting
Gauguin, in the 1890’s, ran away from                  regulated environment found New            from every desk. Pandemonium had
Paris, his family and a stock broking                  Zealand deficient in skills and            been continuous since the float
career, to paint (and bed) native girls                experience to deal with some of the        announcement four days ago, telex
in the tropics. In 1897, a steamer                     severe consequences of these               machines clattered insistently in the
docked at Tahiti bringing him terrible                 changes.                                   background.
news, Gauguin’s favourite child Alice,
had died suddenly from pneumonia.                        Perhaps the 70’s and the 80’s are
                                                       the periods to start to address             Then from the hubbub a shrill voice
   After months of poverty and despair,                Gauguin’s first question, where do we      was heard “Broadbank need $5
the artist harnessed his grief to                      come from? And to do this perhaps a        million, they are offering 1200%
produce a vast painting. He wrote the                  peek at some snapshots from a              overnight, who can book me 5.”
title boldly on the image, three                       private diary from the 80’s, give a          Further voices joined in from the
childlike questions, simple but                        flavour of that decade and the effects     fixed interest desk
profound.                                              on society, business and the
                                                       community:-                                 “I have $10 million           2   year
“Ou venons nous? Que sommes                                                                       governments at 35%”
nous? Ou allons nous?”                                                                             “DFC have 90 bills available at
                                                                      Snapshot                    230%”
Where do we come from? What are
we? Where are we going?                                                                             Then the currency trader chipped in
                                                                                                  “NZ/US rate up another 150 points.”
                                                       Interest rate regulations                   The voices, and their plaintive sing
  Today, I would like to focus on
                                                                                                  song, lasted well into the night
Gauguin’s questions, in a reflecting                     All the representatives of the finance
context on New Zealand, the wider                      industry were crowded around the                          Snapshot
financial and economic markets, and                    table, except for the small but
more particularly the forces that have                 charismatic figure, who sat alone at
and will influence our existence and                   the end, oozing and emanating power
our future.                                                                                       The float aftermath
                                                       as his gaze went around the room.
                                                                                                     Sir Spencer sat perfectly still –
  The business, economic and                             “You banks, you know the rules, you
                                                                                                  flanked by all his reserve bank
financial markets in New Zealand in                    play the game or you will suffer the
                                                                                                  officials - it was only the small tendril
the 1970’s were dominated by                           consequences.”
                                                                                                  of smoke from his ever-present
regulation
                                                        His glinting eye then settled on us.      cigarette that broke the air. Across
                                                                                                  the table Geoff Thompson, bankers’
  Government took all the risks; and
                                                        “Well, he barked, merchant bankers,       association chairman, was in full
ruled the market’s behaviour with an
                                                       what do you have to say for                flight, “these rates are killing us, it’s
iron hand. The real asset markets
                                                       yourselves?”                               been 18 days, the banking system is
such as shares and property, had
                                                                                                  in disarray, you have to act now.”
languished for some time, the
                                                         “Prime Minister, we are the price
currency was fixed, as were deposit                                                                 Spencer lifted one eyebrow, as he
                                                       takers, you and the Reserve Bank are
and lending rates.                                                                                was wont to do, and shifted his gaze
                                                       the price makers”
                                                                                                  “governor it does not seem logical to
  This period was dominated by                           Shaking his head like a bulldog he       simply try and punish those who left
governments who endeavoured to                         snarled “we will set the rates, you,       funds offshore before the float, and in
keep New Zealand in a cocoon of                        and all of you, keep to them…..or          doing so push the whole financial
safety, protected from the winds of                    else”                                      system into a systemic risk position
change that were sweeping through                                                                 that could cause the financial sector
the western economies and world                         Regulation in it’s finest hour.           to collapse.”
markets.
                                                                                                   Basically, it was time we stopped
                                                                                                  acting like a banana republic.

NZBPT Information Bulletin Issue 3 2006 - supplement
                           “FORCES, CONSEQUENCES AND THE FUTURE”

                Snapshot                      It was no consolation that the          worth examining, and the
                                            shareholders got fair value. This was     consequences which are still with us.
                                            his greatest role, now in ruins, as his
Investment company collapse                 haggard and wan face peered over the        Following the world’s real asset price
                                            now empty room and gazed upon his         collapse of the late 80s, the new cadre
 The Brisbane day was hot and               beloved whakatu. The largest and          of management consultants in the
balmy, as it normally was in January.       finest meat works in New Zealand now      northern hemisphere actively advised
While the air conditioned building was      to be scrapped.                           major world corporations that instead
cool, the stench of sweat struck us as                                                of stakeholder value being the priority,
we entered the 19th floor boardroom                                                   rather shareholder value alone was
and nervous tension electrified the air.    To move to Gauguin’s           second     the purpose for which companies
                                            question – “what are we?”                 should operate.
  Fifty bankers, who had been waiting
far too long, ringed the enormous table                                                 Correspondingly,     the “Anglo/US.”
“gentlemen, apologies for lateness.         The 1990’s- the determinant of            Model which I will refer to after this as
You all represent $2.63 billion of          what we are today                         the “US. Model” evolved with the
unsecured debt of Ariadne. If any one                                                 following main features:-
of you take action to recover your            By the mid 1990’s the consequences
debt, you and the rest of you will suffer   of change from the 70’s and 80’s were      Boards should set financial targets of
huge losses, if not your total loan         dealt with and New Zealand was more       annual EPS growth that met or
capital.                                    in step with the world economies and      exceeded the market expectations.
                                            markets.                                    This would ensure the maximum
   There is a way forward to salvage                                                  share price will occur, and capital
the position, it’s known as a                 From 1994, New Zealand has              growth of the stock plus dividends
lifeboat….”                                 experienced an almost tranquil period     would maximize the companies share
                                            of growth and prosperity.                 price in the short term.
               Snapshot                      The previous global issues now             To ensure management are focused
                                            seemed almost irrelevant:                 on this objection, huge incentives,
                                                                                      mainly in the form of stock options/
                                             Inflation had been tamed in western      shares and cash bonuses, were
DFC                                         economies.                                provided to management if they
                                                                                      reached or exceeded the targets.
 The Japanese bankers were                    Free market policies were now in a
normally impeccable in their manner;        better balance with regulation. There       Basically, the model resulted in self-
however this was not the case today.        was a better understanding that           interest driving behaviours, at the
Their hands twitched and their eyes         regulation would ebb and flow over        expense of future earnings,
widened as they made their                  time, as it had over previous             infrastructure investment, growth and
submission once more.                       generations.                              the community.

 “We lent to DFC when it was owned            The rise of Islam, at a time              One might say “so what”, self-
by the government, DFC are still            Christianity was in decline, was not      interest has always been a part of the
owned by the government, through the        new; the juxtaposition between these      incentive sets that drove behaviour in
government super fund                       two forces had been the subject of        any industry or profession.
                                            conflict over past centuries.
 Please explain why the government                                                      However, the material difference in
will not stand behind DFC now and             However, the new free markets, now      this case is the extent of self-interest.
settle their loans with us, please          free of the shackles of two world wars    As the publication ‘governing the
explain…….. Please explain!!! ”             and their aftermaths were spawning        corporations’ highlighted “the world is
               Snapshot                     new influences that have had, and will    increasingly cynical and disillusioned
                                            continue to have, far-reaching            by a system that pays CEOs and
                                            consequences for New Zealand and          senior executives 400 times more than
                                            the world.                                the company’s average worker when
Meat industry regulation                                                              there is simply no economic theory
                                             The major influences are as follows:-    that can justify this level of income
  Clear as a bell, the clock struck six.                                              imbalance”.
Wearily he gazed around the                   The advance of technology that has
boardroom once more, the portraits of       transformed electronic communication        The conventional business model
his predecessors – great chairmen in        worldwide.                                had been the Rhineland model, which
great ages of pioneering, industry                                                    instead of focusing on shareholder
development and prosperity.                  And;                                     value alone; rather a company invests
                                                                                      money in its customers, employees,
 The dealmakers had all left, their           The ongoing move in western             the environment and the rest of
excited voices clammering, his board        economies by businesses to a              society. Instead of worrying about
members had scurried away, eyes             different business model.                 quarterly returns, it challenges the
averted, after the long and agonising                                                 financial markets by insisting on taking
meeting.                                     The brief features of this model are     a long term view.
                         “FORCES, CONSEQUENCES AND THE FUTURE”
  It focuses on customer service and           Consequences - snapshot              new tools to help to ensure stability.
looking after its employees.                                                        They questioned both the pursuit of
Concepts like fun, family, virtues and                                              low inflation as central banks
values are embraced.                        For those who have studied the          principal goal, and their reliance on
                                          Enron story you will know how their       interest rates as the sole instrument
   Gayle Avery, from Macquarie            energy traders, having secured their      to achieve this.
university, has since 1999                market position, organised for
researched a large number of              Enron’s generating plants to be             Pursuit of low inflation had
northern hemisphere companies and         closed for maintenance, almost all at     delivered economic performance, but
the outcome of the different models       the same time.                            repeated boom to bust financial shifts
and summarised these in her book                                                    and the build-up of ‘credit – financial
‘leadership for sustainable futures’.       The consequences were severe            imbalances’ shown by bubbles in the
                                          blackouts in California and prices        prices of assets such as houses,
  The outcome was startling. The          moving from US$10 a unit to               show a bigger toolkit of policies is
Rhineland model showed that boards        US$1,000 per unit. Overall, a profit      needed.”
and executives were able to lead          of US$2 billion a year resulted.
their organisations to greater            Those traders received huge
sustainability on shareholder value       bonuses while society suffered both             Consequences - snapshot
over a long term period.                  the damage, inconvenience and cost.

  It also showed the US. model will                                                   New Zealand explored compulsory
always be a sunset model once                  Consequences - snapshot              superannuation, in the early 70’s and
economic downturns occur in their                                                   early 90’s, but followed different
industries or in general.     It also                                               options without a full understanding
highlighted how the model                   The fight against inflation in the      of the long term consequences.
encouraged executives to act in their     early 80’s was necessary and
own financial self-interest and at a      important, with business and                In the early 1990’s Australia did
cost to the company, the industry, the    consumer behaviour adjusting to high      introduce        compulsory
law and society.                          interest rates.                           superannuation and the
                                                                                    consequences are huge. By 2010 an
  However, the US model continues           However from the early to mid 90’s,     estimated three trillion dollars of
to gather momentum and the                in the enhanced communication age,        savings will have accumulated, by
cascade effects on world markets          the policies so effective in the          2020 the amount will be four times all
and government policy are becoming        previous decade, were now subject         the trading bank deposits in
a real concern.                           to attack from the new business           Australia.
                                          world.
 What are some of the                                                                 Already in New Zealand the
consequences of the US model?               Central banks, in trotting out its      overflow of investment funds from
                                          prescribed formula for dealing with       Australia, riding the artificial levels of
                                          inflation, namely high interest rates     the New Zealand dollar are now
Clash with governments free               and a low inflation target, became        changing the very nature of
market ideologies                         prey to the hedge funds and currency      ownership and sovereigncy of New
                                          speculators, who in effect had a one-     Zealand companies, which in turn
  The 1980’s and 1990’s evidenced         way bet with no thought for the           following the us model, has serious
the rolling back of the state sector in   consequences on nations’                  consequences from the clash
Britain, New Zealand and other            economies. George Soros became            between community and business
western economies.                        famous for bringing Indonesia and         objectives.
                                          the bank of England into serious
  The ideology was based around the       monetary disadvantage and losses.
premise that governments should not                                                       Consequences - snapshot
own and manage businesses, rather           Small economies, such as New
the private sector would achieve          Zealand, have provided easy feeding
more efficiency and effectiveness,        ground for these financial sharks,         US. The world’s most powerful
thereby benefiting the people.            and as with the California electricity    economic nation since the second
                                          users, society have paid the cost with    world war, has in recent times taken
  In part this was true, particularly     artificial interest rates and exchange    a shift in environmental policies, that
where it applied to ancillary             rates, distorting the economy and         have aligned the government to the
businesses, that were not essential       international trade.                      us. model in developing policies.
utilities underpinning the structure
and fabric of society.                      As the Basle-based bank of                For example, since taking office on
                                          international settlements argued in its   9 January 2001, the administration
  An example of the clash is the          annual report this year                   has dismantled the nation’s
reform of the US Energy markets                                                     environmental laws, delivering the
from the 1980’s, which followed the         “Globalisation has changed the          government departments and
market model. However when the            workings of economics in ways that        agencies responsible for delivering
converts of the US business model         may force central banks to overhaul       the nation’s air, water and public
became involved, the consequences         their strategies radically, and to seek   lands, into the hands of anti-
were scandalous.
                         “FORCES, CONSEQUENCES AND THE FUTURE”

regulatory zealots, many of whom          differing cultures and political            years, only bought down                  by
came from the same polluting              systems, at the economic level there        napoleon’s conquest in 1797.
industries they are charged with          is only one big civilisation, feeding on
regulating.                               the whole planet’s natural capital.           Perhaps future direction of
                                                                                      government and business is to
  The us model favours old                   If civilisation is to survive, it must   challenge the self-interest models,
technology which is mainly based on       live on the interest, not the capital, of   and work together in achieving long
the use of fossil fuels. It is more       nature.                                     term sustainability of our environment
profitable to burn coal, than rely on                                                 and our societies.
other energy alternatives that are not      If we read the flight recorders in the
destructive to the environment.           wreckage of crashed civilisations, our        Certainly one must question the
                                          present behaviour is typical of failed      idea that the world must be run by
  As India, and in particular china,      societies at the zenith of their greed      stock markets for shareholder value
with it’s huge open cast mines, follow    and arrogance.”                             alone, which is as mad of a theory as
the cheap and profitable route to                                                     any other fundamentalist delusion or
short term growth the consequences         Is civilisation going to tread the path    ideology.
are dire.                                 epitomised by the Easter Islands?
                                          Once a bountiful place - forests, birds       We are now in “the age of
                                          and abundance.                              consequences” and it is essential
 To summarise perhaps as to where                                                     that all society understands and
we are:-                                    Settled during the 5th century ad,        faces this reality.
                                          the settlers multiplied over six
  We are stuck in a dominant world        centuries to ten thousand people.             To conclude I return to where I
based on the industrial age that is       The clans each honoured their               started, Gauguin’s vast painting and
diametrically opposed to where we         ancestry with impressive stone              his view of the future.
have evolved to be successful.            images. Each generation of images
                                          grew bigger than the last, demanding          Gauguin’s painting is a panorama
  The influences of the new business      more timber and rope for hauling to         of enigmatic figures amid scenery
paradigm in western economies has         the altars. Trees were cut faster than      that might be the groves of Tahiti or
spread fast, and with enhanced            they could grow, until at last the          an unruly garden of Eden,
communication and technology, the         woods had been utterly destroyed,           worshippers of gods, cats, birds, a
effect on societies is material.          and today the islands are desolate          resting goat, a great idol with a
                                          and bare except for their wind-swept        serene expression and uplifted hands
  The effect on behaviours is             god-like images.                            seeming to point to a central figure –
however more serious, the Enron,                                                      Eve – the mother of mankind and
world com, Fannie Mae and other             The people had been seduced by a          goddess of the future, who is not
scandals of unethical and arrogant        kind of progress that becomes a             shown as a voluptuous innocent like
cultures of profit manipulation,          mania.                                      other women in Gauguin’s work, but
perhaps pale in comparison with the                                                   a withered hag with a piercing eye
global consequences as businesses           In their epilogue to their book           inspired by a Peruvian mummy.
and governments grapple with the          Easter Island in 1992, the
new forces.                               archaeologists Bohn and Flenley are
                                          explicit “the islanders”, they write –
                                          “carried out for us the experiment of
 We now       have    Gauguin’s    last   permitting unrestricted population
question:-                                growth, proliferate use of reserves,
                                          destruction of the environment and
       “Where are we going?”              boundless confidence in their religion
                                          to take care of the future.”
  What are the consequences of the
forces that are currently dominating        The result was an ecological
behaviour?                                disaster leading to a population
                                                                                         Sir John Anderson, shown here,
                                          crash…..do we have to repeat the
                                                                                       has been and still remains a leading
 Perhaps the most             severe      experiment on a grand scale?
                                                                                       figure in the NZ business scene.
consequence is facing us.
                                            Is the human personality always the          Overall, Sir John’s career and
  Ronald Wright, in his Canadian          same as that of the person who felled        outstanding contributions in many
series of lectures in Canada, had this    the last tree?                               fields - business, sport, environment
view:-                                                                                 and community - equips him with
                                            What are the alternatives? There           unique perspectives as a guest
  “what we cannot overlook is that we     are many examples of government              speaker and his achievements as an
are part of a world civilisation where,   and society working together.                outstanding leader were recognised
over the past 30 years there has          Perhaps one of the finest is the             last year when he was the inaugural
been a massive onslaught of               example of Venice, where the ruling          recipient of the Blake Medal,
progress and destruction.                 doge’s and the merchants created a           regarded as the ultimate award for
 While in the world we still have         trading empire that lasted a thousand        leadership in New Zealand.

						
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