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					Coalition for Smarter Growth
Presentation on Staff Recommendations for Bus Rapid Transit
Silver Spring Civic Building
February 13, 2013

              COUNTYWIDE TRANSIT
              CORRIDORS FUNCTIONAL
              MASTER PLAN
  Current Schedule

• February 21, 2013: Update to Planning Board

• March 18, 2013: Planning Board to approve advertising
                   Public Hearing Draft

• May 2013: public hearing(s)

• May-June 2013: worksessions

• Late July 2013: transmit Planning Board Draft to Council
      Montgomery County Demographic and Travel
      Forecast Summary based on the 2012 CLRP

                                                                                   Percent
                                             2013           2040    Difference    Difference
Population
                                          997,884      1,203,643      205,759        21%
Employment
                                          529,267       737,364       208,097        39%

VMT                                    21,952,932    26,795,176     4,842,244        22%

Lane Miles*                                  2,592         2,721          129        5%

Lane Miles of Congestion                       376           639          263        70%

Note: Modeled lane miles include freeways, arterials, and many collectors, but few local roads
    Existing Daily Bus Ridership




Based on data
rec’d from
ITDP
 Transportation Modeling
               Four scenarios were considered:

               • no-build

               • build as all median busway BRT (Build 1)

               • build as mostly median busway BRT with
                 some lane-repurposing (Build 2)

               • smaller network with a mix of treatments
                 (Build 2A)


Median busways were treated in the model the same as Light Rail Transit to
determine maximum desirable network.
Curb bus lanes would be accomplished via lane-repurposing, converting either
existing or planned travel lanes.
        2040 Forecast Weekday Ridership for
        Regional Transit Services by Scenario
Type                      No Build   Build 1A   Build 2   Build 2A
Mont Co BRT (incl. CCT)
                              39k       283k      276k       184k

All Other Bus Services
                             861k       789k     789k        809k

WMATA Metrorail
                           1.576m     1.553m    1.554m     1.562m

MARC Commuter Rail
                              42k        41k       41k        41k
(not incl. 3rd track)
Purple Line
                              77k        70k       70k        72k

Total
                           2.595m     2.735m    2.730m     2.668m

Growth                                 140k      134k         73k
% Growth                               5.4%      5.2%       2.8%
      2040 Forecast Daily BRT Ridership
 #   Corridor                                   Build 1         Build 2        Build 2A
10B  MD 355 South                                 49k             46k            44k
10A  MD 355 North                                 34k             32k            22k
 3   Veirs Mill Rd-University Blvd                27k             27k            18k
 4   Georgia Avenue                               24k             24k            12k
 11  New Hampshire Avenue                         22k             21k            10k
 19  US 29                                        18k             16k            16k
 14  Randolph Road                                16k             16k            11k
 5   Rockville-LSC                                14k             14k             7k
12B  Old Georgetown Road South                    11k             11k
12A  Old Georgetown Road North                    8k              8k
 7   Muddy Branch Road                            8k               8k
 8   Connecticut Avenue                           6k              7k
 20  ICC                                          6k              6k
 15  Norbeck Road                                 6k              5k
 21  North Bethesda Transitway                    4k              4k             10k
 24  University Blvd-Grosvenor                    2k              2k
                    Total                        254k            247k           150k
 Note: Corridors without ridership results were not included in the Build 2A scenario
Determining BRT Treatment
   Standard thresholds per the Transit Capacity and
    Quality of Service Manual (TCQSM)
     Median  Busway: 2,400 people in the peak hour in the
      peak direction (pphpd)
     Curb Bus Lanes: 1,200 pphpd



   MNCPPC-modified thresholds for Montgomery
    County
     Median  Busway: 1,600 pphpd
     Curb Bus Lanes: 1,000 pphpd
  Modified Treatment Thresholds

Median busway
warranted on
MD355 and
MD650.
  Modified Treatment Thresholds

Median busway
warranted on
MD355.
  Modified Treatment Thresholds

Median busway
warranted on
MD355.
Changes in Vehicle Hours Traveled
Changes in Vehicle Hours Traveled
Changes in Vehicle Hours Traveled
Changes in Vehicle Miles Traveled
Changes in Vehicle Miles Traveled
Changes in Vehicle Miles Traveled
    Recommended BRT Network (Phase 1)

Treatment              Build 1 Build 2 Build 2A   Staff Draft

Two Lane Median         152     140      29           19

Two Lane Side Busway                                  1

One Lane Median                                       20

Curb Lanes                      12       41            4
Managed Lanes                                          1
Mixed Traffic                            17           34
Total                   152     152      87           79
25%




                               Annotated with
                               Area-Specific
                               Mode Share Goals


      30%



                                30%* (White Oak
            50%                 Staff Draft)
                   30%




            37%          50%

             39%
    Recommended BRT Network (Phase 2)

Treatment              Build 1 Build 2 Build 2A Recommended

Two Lane Median         152    140     29          31

Two Lane Side Busway                               1

One Lane Median                                    31

Curb Lanes                     12      41           5
Managed Lanes                                       1
Mixed Traffic                          17          10
Total                   152    152     87          79
Coalition for Smarter Growth
Presentation on Staff Recommendations for Bus Rapid Transit
Silver Spring Civic Building
February 13, 2013

              COUNTYWIDE TRANSIT
              CORRIDORS FUNCTIONAL
              MASTER PLAN
             Aspen Hill

                              Colesville

            Veirs Mill/Randolph


            Kensington
                    Forest Glen Metro
Montgomery Mall          Four Corners
     NIH-Navy      Silver Spring CBD West
                              Piney Branch/University
                               Takoma-Langley Crossroads*
                                 *recommended in PB Sector Plan Draft
                            Takoma Park




Bicycle Pedestrian Priority Areas
MARC Brunswick Line Expansion
   Our preliminary recommendation is that the segment
    between the Frederick County line and Metropolitan
    Grove be included in the Functional Plan.
Build 1 Traffic Impacts (AM)
Build 1 Traffic Impacts (PM)
     Overview of Modeling Effort
                                      Districts created across Montgomery County and
                                      the region to summarize transportation impacts




Three scenarios were considered:
• no-build
• build as all median busway BRT
• build as mostly median busway BRT
  with some lane-repurposing

Final model run will include the actual
recommended treatment.
Choices for our Transportation Future

     No-Build
       High levels of congestion
       Lack of capacity to accommodate growth

     Build   additional lanes for transit
       Capacity  to accommodate growth
       Good improvement in traffic conditions
       High cost

     Repurpose    existing travel lanes for transit
       Capacity to accommodate growth
       Some improvement in traffic conditions
       Lowest cost in dollars, environmental and community impacts
           VMT Change              % Speed Change
District   NB – B1      NB – B2     NB – B1         NB – B2
   1         -5,383       -6,190      3.04%           2.64%
   2         -4,665       -4,190      5.68%           4.99%
   3        -10,951       -9,585      7.43%           6.91%
   4         -7,001       -5,750      5.58%           4.50%
   5         -6,626       -5,968      7.70%           6.62%
   6         -5,402       -3,655      3.97%           3.76%
   7        -10,718       -8,918      9.36%           8.65%
   8         -5,814       -5,482      9.11%           7.79%
   9         -8,806      -10,462      8.37%          10.56%
  10         -8,344       -7,904      6.84%           5.82%
  11         -8,341       -9,629      7.60%           9.58%
  12         -6,524       -6,434      8.12%           8.35%
  13         -6,867       -6,431      7.08%           7.13%
  14        -12,544      -45,233      5.05%           -0.46%
  15         -5,812      -17,103      6.06%           1.73%
  16         -4,995       -6,226      2.08%           2.73%
  17         -9,804      -24,002      4.37%           -1.49%
  18         -6,261       -5,763      8.70%           7.33%
  19        -59,063      -41,579      3.16%           1.85%
 Total     -193,921     -230,504      5.20%           3.77%
 Choices for our Transportation Future


            Accommodates   Construction   Alternative to   Community
            growth         cost           congested        impacts
                                          roads



No-Build    No             None           No               None
Construct   Yes            Higher         Yes              Higher
new
pavement
Repurpose   Yes            Lower          Yes              Lower
existing
lanes
           VMT Change              % Speed Change
District   NB – B1      NB – B2     NB – B1         NB – B2
 Total     -193,921     -230,504      5.20%           3.77%

				
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