Alaska’s Natural Gas Potential
Mark D. Myers
Division of Oil and Gas May 2001
Alaska Department of
Natural Resources
http://www.dog.dnr.state.ak.us/oil/
The State Revenue Pie
Petroleum Revenue Sources, (FY 2000):
Royalties, Bonuses & Rents1,2: $731.9 Million Royalties to Permanent Fund & 4 School Fund : $306.5 Million Settlements to CBRF4: $448.3 Million
(Includes Royalties & Taxes)
FY 2000 Unrestricted Revenue
Non-Petroleum 22% Petroleum 3 78%
Taxes: $910.4 Million2
(Oil & Gas Property Tax + Income Tax + Severance Tax)
1 Includes Federally shared rentals 2 Source: pg. 25, DOR Fall 2000 Revenue Sources Book 3 Source: pg. 26, DOR Fall 2000 Revenue Sources Book 4 Source: pg. 23, DOR Fall 2000 Revenue Sources Book
dhz 01/01
*Year 2000 to date
Where Our Petroleum Royalty Money Goes… (70%)* General Fund (Spending)
(29.5%)* Permanent Fund (Savings)
State Spending vs State Income
(0.5%)* Schools
**Production for new leases allocated
50% Permanent Fund 49.5% General Fund 0.5% Schools
dhz 01/01
Recent Dynamic Changes in Alaska’s Oil and Gas Business
mdm/mep 03/01
Proposed North Slope Activity - 2001
Improved Economics for Commercialization of Natural Gas
a.
b. c.
Royalty issues Oil vs. gas in proven fields Exploration in new areas and evaluation specifically with respect to gas
mdm 01/01
Proved Gas Reserves
Gas Reserves (BCF) North Slope
Badami Unit Barrow Colville River Unit Duck Island Unit Kuparuk River Unit Milne Point Unit North Star Prudhoe Bay Unit Other Undeveloped 39 34 60 843 611 14 450 23,879 5,000
TOTAL North Slope
30,930 2,564
Cook Inlet TOTAL STATE
33,494
krb/03/01
Cook Inlet Historic Gas Consumption by Type
1998
Unaccounted 3%
5.6 Bcf
Field Operations 8%
16.9 Bcf
Liquified Natural Gas 35%
78.1 Bcf
Power Generation 16%
33.4 Bcf
Gas Utilities 13%
27.4 Bcf
Ammonia-Urea 25%
53.6 Bcf
wen/03/01
North Slope Gas Resources
Prudhoe Bay Field is the Primary North Slope Gas Resource
Mi lne Pt. Uni t Kuukp ik Un it C olv ill e Riv er U nit Kup aru k R iv er Un it S andpip er Un it
0 5 10 15 20 25 Miles
Nor thstar Uni t
0.5 TCF 0.6 TCF
N u iq su t
1 TCF 26 TCFPS-1
Deadhorse
Ri v
Beaufort Sea
Duck Is lan d U nit Pt. T hom son U nit
B adami U ni t
r ve Ri
v ol i ll e
Pr ud hoe Bay Un it
va ni r k
C
5 TCF
r ve
er
Sa
ga
t ok
Camden Ba y U nit
Ca
i nn
ng
Ri
DO &G 4/ 99
jrc 2/99
Prudhoe Bay Field
Top Ivishak Structure
LEGEND FAULTS CONTOURS GAS-OIL CONTACT OIL-WATER CONTACT WEST END/MAIN AREA BOUNDARY EARLY DISCOVERY AND DELINEATION WELLS CONTOUR INTERV 200' AL ALL DEPTHS ARE TVDSS
Modified from ARCO Exhibit A-6 to PBU MGP Expansion Ap plication Testimony, DNR/AOGCC Hearing November 1991.
Generalized North Slope stratigraphic column displaying oil and gas reservoirs and associated accumulations
AGE M.Y. B.P.
2
LITHOSTRATIGRAPHY
SOUTH GUBIK FM NORTH
SEISMIC SEQUENCE
NORTH SLOPE FIELDS AND ACCUMULATIONS
CENOZOIC
QUAT.
TERTIARY
QU MU
SAGAVANIRKTOK FM
BROOKIAN SEQUENCE
Hammerhead Kuvlum Flaxman Island, Badami Ugnu West Sak, Schrader Bluff Tarn, Tabasco, Meltwater Umiat Gubik Kuparuk River, Milne Point, Pt. Thomson, Pt. McIntyre, Aurora, Niakuk, Midnight Sun, Kemik, Fiord Colville Delta / Alpine, Fiord
CRETACEOUS
COLVILLE GP 100 NANUSHUK FM GP TO R O K
FORTRESS MTN
BU RIFT SEQUENCE LCU
MESOZOIC
PEBBLE SHALE KUPARUK C-KEMIK
KUPARUK A
SILURIAN DEVONIAN MISSIS- PENNSYL- PERMIAN TRIASSIC JURASSIC SIPPIAN VANIAN
KINGAK SHALE
BARROW SAND SAG RIVER FM
UPPER ELLESMERIAN SEQUENCE
JURASSIC SANDS
Barrow
200
P
SHUBLIK FM
P
P P
P
P
SAD
O LE R GP
T CHI
IVISHAK FM KAVIK FM ECHOOKA FM PU
Prudhoe Bay, Eider, Sambucca, Northstar
PALEOZOIC
LOWER ELLESMERIAN SEQUENCE
300
LISBURNE GP
Lisburne
ENDICOTT GP
EU
Endicott, Liberty
?
400 NERUOKPUK FM
OIL GAS OIL & GAS
DEPOSITIONAL UNCONFORMITY EROSIONAL UNCONFORMITY
SANDSTONE CONGLOMERATE ARGILLITE
P P
FRANKLINIAN SEQUENCE
SHALE LIMESTONE DOLOSTONE CALCAREOUS, PHOSPHATIC MUDSTONE/SILTSTONE
DO&G 12/00
Oil and Gas Trapping Mechanisms
Anticline
Normal Fault
Gas Oil
ck Ro r
ck Ro ck ap C Ro oi r v ser Re ck Ro rce u So
R
i vo er es
Cap Rock
k Roc Cap
Gas Oil
Reservoir Rock Source Rock
Reservoir Rock Source Rock
Stratigraphic
Thrust Fault
Cap Rock Gas
k Roc Cap Oil
Gas
Cap R
ock
oir rv s e ck ck Re Ro Ro ce ur So
Oil
Reservoir Rock
rce Sou
k Roc
Unconformity
Gas
Oil
Cap Rock Reservoir Rock
Source Rock
North Slope Foothills
Cretaceous Depositional System Study
3-D Seismic Survey Miles in Alaska
Area Permitted in Square Miles
3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000
Year
North Slope 3-D Seismic Survey Areas
Alaska Oil & Gas Leasing Program
178° 174°
A R C T I C
170°
166°
162°
158°
154°
Barrow
O C E A N
Prudhoe Bay
150°
146°
142°
138°
134°
130°
126°
122°
118° 68°
R
H U
ORT
68°
National Petroleum Reserve Alaska
ALASKA
(1002 Area)
EA
C
l ill
ve
DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES
DIVISI ON OF OI L AND GAS
MARK MYERS, DIRECTOR
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
I
N
JANUARY 2001
North Slope Sales
Kotzebue
c t ic
rc
T la A
Fort Yukon
ie
a
64°
Foothills Areawide 2001 May 2001 Areawide 2001 Oct 2001 Areawide 2002 Oct 2002 Areawide 2003 Oct 2003 Areawide 2004 Oct 2004 Areawide 2005 Oct 2005
64°
U A
sk
Nome
Fairbanks
Beaufort Sea Sales
Areawide 2001 Areawide 2002 Areawide 2003 Areawide 2004 Areawide 2005 Oct 2001 Oct 2002 Oct 2003 Oct 2004 Oct 2005
60°
r
Mc Grath Talkeetna Valdez Anchorage Bethel Kenai Seward Dillingham
it St ra
e
Cook Inlet Sales
Areawide 1991 Areawide 2002 Areawide 2003 Areawide 2004 Areawide 2005
0 100
60°
S
E
May 2001 May 2002 May 2003 May 2004 May 2005
200 MILES
Base Map: Transposed from AK, DNR, LRIS, data. Albers Equal Area Projection. Redrawn by M. Pritchard & O.D. Smith in CorelDraw.
Yakutat Juneau
Homer
I
F
L
Kodiak
of ik
A
Sitka
56°
Petersburg Ketchikan
A
TO
56°
Sh
el
Cold Bay
IFIC
Unalaska
166° 162° 158° 154° 150° 146°
O
142° 138° 134°
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
D. Houseknecht, USGS Energy Resources Program 03/01
Gas Hydrates
commonly occur in Arctic regions and deep ocean continental margins. is a crystalline substance composed of water and methane gas. The solid water lattice accommodates gas molecules in a cage-like structure. One cu. ft. of methane hydrate will contain as much as 180 cu. ft. of gas. represent a large world wide resource, 500 to 1,200,000 tcf of gas.
North Slope Gas Hydrates
were confirmed in 1972 at N. W. Eileen with cores and tests. overlie the eastern part of Kuparuk Field and the western part of Prudhoe Bay Field. occur in the Tertiary Sagavanirktok Formation (Ugnu sands). occur between depths of 700 and 3000 feet with free gas below 3000 feet. reserves range from 37 to 44 tcf (15 times that contained in the Messoyakha Field). Free gas reserves estimated at about 1 tcf. Geologic conditions being similar to those at the Messoyakha Field suggests Alaskan gas hydrates may also be producible.
Prudhoe/Kuparuk Complex
W
GAS HYDRATES
E
PERMAFROST
FREE GAS
UGNU WEST SAK KUPARUK RIVER PT. MCINTYRE MILNE PT. NIAKUK WEST BEACH CASCADE KUPARUK FM
West Sak Sands
Ugnu Sands
PRUDHOE BAY NORTH PRUDHOE BAY SEAL ISLAND GWYDYR BAY SANDPIPER LISBURNE ENDICOTT TERN ISLAND
RNE LISB U L IM E STON E
IV IS H A K
SA N
NE D STO
KEK
NG K CO IKTU
LOME
R AT E
Oil
NOT TO SCALE DO&G 6/95
Pa r ks
Hw y
GRI Houston 1
Cook Inlet Activity
Ar m
Lewis River Stump Lake Fire Is.
ts uc od
Pretty Creek Beluga River Anadarko Lone Creek 2 Moquawkie Albert Kaloa Nicolai Creek Granite Point Trading Bay North Middle Ground Shoal McArthur River W. McArthur River West Forelands Forcenergy Kustatan Field 1 Forcenergy Redoubt Unit 1
Middle Ground Shoal
Li n
e
Ivan River
ANCHORAGE
M ili ta ry
North Cook Inlet
Tesoro
Pr
Tyonek Deep
Tur nag ain
Arm
S ew ard
Hw y
P ro d uct s
Gl enn
Kn ik
Hw
y
0
5
10
15
20
25 Miles
Pioneer Unit (Generalized Bdry) BLT-1RE, 3 CBM Wells
Palmer Wasilla
Chickaloon Bay
Girdwood
Li ne
Hope
Birch Hill
Whittier
Swanson River
Beaver Creek
Nikiski
Redoubt Shoal Kenai Cannery Loop Kenai West Fork Sterling
Map Legend
Unit Boundary Oil Field / Accumulation Gas Field / Accumulation Selected Wells Proposed / Active Wells Platform Pipelines Production Facility
Drift R iver Terminal
Sterling
Hwy
Seward
Kalgin Island
Hw y
Soldotna
Marathon Cannery Loop Unit 6
Hwy
Falls Creek
Inl
et
Marathon Grassim Oskolkoff 1
Seward
ok
Ninilchik
Sterling
Map Area
Co
North Fork Gas-Pro North Fork well
Homer
c Ka
h
a em
k
y Ba
Gulf of Alaska
DO&G 01/01
Seldovia
jrc/mep 01/01
Parks
Sk wentna
Highway
Cook Inlet 3-D Seismic Survey Areas
Lake Clark National Park
ad Tr in g
Willow Sutton
Hous ton Palmer Wasilla
Big Lake Susitna
Rive r
Knik
A rm
Eklutna
Beluga Lake
Susi tn
a
Kn
ik
Chugach State Anchorage
et Inl
Tyonek
G
y Ba
Co
ok
Chick aloon
Seward
Tu rna gain
w ay High
Bay
Hope
Arm
& Preserve
y
Drift River Terminal
Ba
Nikiski
Salamatof Kenai
Se wa
Sterling
r
ed ou bt
Sterling
High way Kenai
rd
Soldotna
Ke na i
e Riv
R
Cooper Landing
River
Moose Pass
le nn
Park
Girdwood
Chugach National Forest
S ki lak Lake
i na Ke
La ke
Kenai
Kasilof
ay Highw
Bo
un
da
National
Clam Gulc h
Tu s tu me n a La k e
ry
Tuxedni
Bay
Wildlife
Seward
y
Hig
Refuge
Bay
Ninilchik
ard
hw a
Bou nda ry
National Park
Sterling
Inle
Resurrection
Kenai Fjords
Se aw
t
sk Ala
a
Anchor Point
Co ok
Seaward
Homer
Kachemak
Kachemak
Alaska
Bay
Kachemak Bay State Park
Gulf
of
Alaska
3D Seismic Survey Areas
A la
sk
a
Se aw ard
Nikolaevsk
Bou nd
ary
mep 01/2001
Coalbed Methane Potential in Alaska
NT? XTE MA TURIT IN E Y? BAS PER MEA BILIT Y? ? SIONS T? EN TEN IR DIM CON SERVO RE GAS CL E TE AT CT DEV ON ELO IC PM ENT RE ? GI ME ?
DE H? PT
Bituminous Subbituminous Lignite
COAL BASINS and OCCURRENCES
After Merritt and Hawley, 1986
Alaska contains nearly 1/2 of the United States coal reserves or hypothetical resources that exceed 5.5 trillion short tons
Alaska’s Coals
Are mostly Cretaceous and Tertiary in age.
Underlie about 9% of the land.
Consist of 55% bituminous rank, 40% subbituminous, and 5% lignite.
AK CBM-1 Well rig Shallow Gas Exploration
tns
Conclusions from AK-94CBM-1
Multiple seams encountered. Shallow reservoir targets. Increasing gas content with increasing depth. Excellent desorbed gas contents exceeding 245 cf/ton DAF. Coals are fractured and cleated.
Alaska’s coals could contain as much 1,000 TCF of gas
Proposed - Division of Oil and Gas Studies•Public Consultant Studies •Address Four Key Issues: •In-State Demand •Royalty Gas Valuation •Prudhoe Bay – Pt. Thomson Reservoirs
•Potential Undiscovered Resources
Alaska’s Onshore Basins
Barrow
CHUKCHI
Prudhoe Bay
Chukchi Sea
NPRA ANWR
COLVILLE
MIDDLE TANANA
TAPS
YUKON-KANDIK
Fairbanks
Nome
MINCHUMINA
COPPER RIVER
HOLITNA
Anchorage
COOK INLET
Valdez Juneau
Gulf of Alaska
0
500 Miles
Shallow Natural Gas Leasing
Statewide Program
Allows drilling down to a depth of 3000 ft. Excludes areas included in Oil & Gas Leasing Program Purpose
-- Provide energy supply to rural areas -- Encourage exploration in remote areas -- Supplement declining Cook Inlet reserves
Incentives
Reduced rents -- 50 cents/acre Reduced royalty -- 6.25% First-come, first-served No bonus bid, $500 application fee only Exempt from c-plan Exempt from Best Interest Finding Reduced financial responsibility requirement Exempt from waste discharge permit during drilling
Applications to Date -- 302
Northwest Arctic - 8 (Red Dog Mine) Interior - 100 (Nenana, Fairbanks, Big Delta) Railbelt - 194 (Talkeetna to Homer)
jjh 01/01
Shallow Natural Gas Lease Applications
N. P. R. A.
Red Dog Mine
l ill
ve
Arctic National Wildlife Refuge
Kotzebue Fort Yukon
T
ie
Fairbanks
a Al a sk
Nome
r
Mc Grath
e
Townships Containing SNG Applications
Talkeetna Valdez Anchorage
Bethel
Kenai Seward Homer
Dillingham
Exploration Licensing
Issued -- Copper River Basin
State's first license: Issued October 1, 2000 Anschutz Exploration Corp 318,756 Acres Exploration commitment: $1.42 million Term of license: 5 years
Proposed -- Susitna Valley
Forest Oil Corp (Forcenergy Inc.) submitted two proposals 474,240 Acres each, located west of the Susitna River Exploration commitment for each: $3 million DNR will determine terms of licenses & final configurations Preliminary Best Interest Finding (BIF) to be issued in April Final BIF and Decision to be issued in October
jjh 01/01
In-State Demand Study
DEMAND
Competing Energy Sources by region (Cook Inlet)
Delivered Price of Gas in various regions of the State
Royalty Gas Valuation Study
ANS Oil – Valued by Settlement ANS Gas – Valued by Lease (“Major Gas Sale”) Study Will Examine the Netback Price of Gas
Markets Netback Mechanisms
Value Drivers
Royalty Share: In-Value vs. In-Kind
End