February 2013 Monthly Digest - Nottinghamshire Police and Crime by zhouwenjuan


									Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

Welcome to the monthly Futures Scanning Digest, produced by the Nottinghamshire Office
of the Police and Crime Commissioner to bring together police and crime insights.

What is futures scanning?
The UK Government’s definition of horizon scanning is: 'The systematic examination of
potential threats, opportunities and likely developments including but not restricted to those
at the margins of current thinking and planning. Horizon scanning may explore novel and
unexpected issues as well as persistent problems or trends.'

Key Factors
The key factors are broad drivers of areas of change, and are designed to reflect the most
important topic areas shaping the future of policing and crime. Each month, we analyse
various scanning information to identify and highlight the most important emerging insights
under each of the key factors, based on the level of opportunity and risk they present, in
addition to our level of preparedness for it.

1. Police and crime reform
    • Legislation, policies and guidance
2. Crime and partnerships
    • Local and National crime, capacity, capability, connectivity, consistency
3. Corporate Social Responsibility
    • Equalities
    • Socio-demographic profiling
    • Economic, industry, consumer and stakeholder profiling
    • Environment and natural resources
    • New and emerging science, technology and innovation
4. Consultations
    • Police and crime bulletins, research, consultations and press releases
5. Other documents, news and issues
    • Research, reviews, inspections and audits across policing and crime

Measuring future insights through horizon scanning
This monthly Digest is generated from a wide variety of sources which includes the
information reviewed for the weekly e Briefings, available on the website under Horizon
Scanning: http://www.nottinghamshire.pcc.police.uk

The monthly Digest’s insights are scored and rated for the quarterly Reviews, which provide
key information for the Strategic Assessment recommendations for priority activities to
deliver for the Police and Crime Plan.

If you require any further information please contact:
Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 1. Police and Crime Reform

 Crime and Courts Bill
 Information http://services.parliament.uk/bills/
 Definition  The Justice Secretary’s assurance to give householders the right to deploy
             ‘disproportionate force’ in defending their homes was incorporated into the
             Crime and Courts Bill on 27th November 2012.
 Links       Operational Policy

 The Sexual Offences Act 2003 (Prescribed Police Stations) Regulations 2013
 Source       http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2013/300/regulation/1/made
 Definition   These Regulations apply to England and Wales only. These Regulations
              revoke and replace the Sexual Offences Act 2003 (Prescribed Police Stations)
              Regulations 2011 (S.I. 2011/1788).
 Links        Operational Policy

 “Community Trigger” needs a bullet: Committee calls for national standard for action
 on anti-social behaviour
 Source         http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-
 Definition     The Home Affairs Committee has published its Report on the draft Anti-Social
                Behaviour Bill.
 Links          Operational Policy

 The Crime (International Co-operation) Act 2003 (Designation of Participating
 Countries) (England, Wales and Northern Ireland) Order 2013
 Source        http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2013/9780111532966/introduction
 Definition    Part 1 of the Crime (International Co-operation) Act 2003 (‘the 2003 Act’)
               provides statutory powers pursuant to which the United Kingdom can both
               seek and provide various forms of mutual legal assistance concerning criminal
 Links         Operational Policy

 Home Affairs Select Committee: Report on undercover policing
 Source     http://www.publications.parliament.uk/pa/cm201213/cmselect/cmhaff/837/83702.
 Definition The Committee calls for a fundamental review of the law governing undercover
            police operations, including the Regulation of Investigatory Powers Act 2000.
            Interim report to cover concerns over public policy and the legal framework
            within which undercover police operations are authorised, which will require
            urgent action by the Government.
 Links      Information

 Radical package of Police integrity reforms announced: The Independent Police
 Complaints Commission is to be expanded to deal with all serious complaints against
 the police, the Home Secretary announced
 Source         http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/media-centre/press-releases/1155613
 Definition     The move was revealed as part of series of measures designed to ensure the
                highest standards of integrity in policing. In addition to the expansion of the
                IPCC, the Home Secretary also announced:
                    • the College of Policing will publish national registers of chief
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                      officers’ pay packages, gifts and hospitality, second jobs, and
                       their contact with the media;
                    • the College will also publish a new code of ethics to be distributed to
                      officers of all ranks. In addition, the College will work with ACPO to
                      create a single set of professional standards on which officers will be
                      tested throughout their careers;
                    • a national register of officers struck off from the police will be managed
                      and maintained by the College;
                    • disciplinary hearings against officers who resign or retire will be pursued
                      until their conclusion – with anyone found guilty of misconduct added to
                      the struck-off list; and the College will establish a stronger and more
                      consistent system of vetting for police officers, which chief constables
                      and police and crime commissioners will have to consider when making
                      decisions about recruitment and promotion.
 Links          Information

 Community Safety Fund
 Source      http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/police/police-crime-commissioners/partners/
 Definition  In 2013-14 PCCs will receive some funding from a new and temporary
             Community Safety Fund (CSF). Allocations from the CSF to PCCs were
             communicated on 19th December in a Written Ministerial Statement made to
             Parliament by the Minister for Policing and Criminal Justice. The Home Office
             will shortly issue a communication providing more details about the funding
             streams ending in March 2013. The communication will be posted on the
             Partners section of the PCC website. Grant letters and agreements for the
             Community Safety Fund will be issued to PCCs and the Mayor’s Office for
             Policing and Crime (MOPAC) shortly.
 Links       Commissioning

 Publication of draft legislation for Finance Bill 2013
 Source         http://www.parliament.uk/documents/commons-vote-office/January_2013/31-
 Definition     The Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury (David Gauke): The Government
                has published draft legislation for inclusion in the Finance Bill 2013, in addition
                to that published on 11 December. The draft legislation will be open for
                technical consultation.
 Links          Finance

 New code ends ‘tick box’ regulation in sales of age restricted products
 Source      https://www.gov.uk/government/news/new-code-ends-tick-box-regulation-in-
 Definition  A new Age Restricted Products Code of Practice published will strengthen the
             protection of young people and reduce red tape for responsible businesses
             that sell age restricted products safely, legally and profitably.

                 Ending inconsistent regulation of sales of products, including alcoholic drinks
                 and cigarettes, will allow local authorities to focus resources on dealing with
                 rogue traders and build closer partnerships with retailers and the police.

                 As part of the government’s drive to eliminate the bureaucracy that
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                 holds back growth, practices such as routine test purchasing, not informing
                 retailers if they have passed or failed a test purchase, and targeting
                 businesses without evidence that they are selling products to under-age
                 customers, will be consigned to history.
 Links           Operational Policy

 Mental Health (Discrimination) Bill (No 2)
 Source       http://www.equalityhumanrights.com/news/2013/march/commission-
 Definition   The Equality and Human Rights Commission: new legislation to end
              restrictions on some people who have had mental health issues being MPs,
              members of the devolved legislatures, company directors and serving on
 Links        Workforce Planning

 European Union (Approvals) Bill
 Source      http://services.parliament.uk/bills/2012-13/europeanunionapprovals.html
 Definition  Second reading of the European Union (Approvals) Bill which aims to approve
             two draft EU Council decisions and one draft decision of the European Council
             (the EU Heads of State and Government).
                 • The first draft decision provides for the electronic version of the Official
                     Journal of the European Union (OJ) to be the authentic and legally
                     recognised edition of the OJ.
                 • The second draft decision provides for a new Multiannual Framework
                     for the EU Fundamental Rights Agency to operate from the beginning of
                     2013 until the end of 2017.
                 • The third draft decision maintains the number of European
                     Commissioners at one per Member State, as requested by the
                     Government of Ireland as a condition for ratifying the Lisbon Treaty in
 Links       Information

 Commons second reading of Children and Families Bill
 Source     http://www.parliament.uk/business/news/2013/february/commons-second-
 Definition MPs debated the second reading of the Children and Families Bill in the
            House of Commons on Monday 25 February 2013. The Bill passed without a
            division and will now be considered by a Public Bill Committee. The Bill seeks
            to reform legislation relating to adoption and children in care; aspects of the
            family justice system; children and young people with special educational
            needs; the Office of the Children’s Commissioner for England; statutory rights
            to leave and pay for parents and adopters; time off work for ante-natal care;
            and the right to request flexible working.
 Links      Partnership

 The Public Services (Social Value) Act 2012 (Commencement) Order 2012
 Source        http://www.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/news/significant-boost-social-enterprises-social-value-
 Definition    A new law that will open up opportunities for social enterprises to deliver public
               services has come into force
 Links           Commissioning
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 The Children (Secure Accommodation) (Amendment) (England) Regulations 2012: In force 11
 January 2013.
 Source         http://www.legislation.gov.uk/uksi/2012/3134/contents/made

 Definition     These Regulations amend the Children (Secure Accommodation) Regulations
                1991. Included in the amendments is a requirement that local authorities,
                when deciding whether to place a child aged 10 or 11 who has been detained
                under section 38(6) of the Police and Criminal Evidence Act 1984 in secure
                accommodation, must apply the criteria in section 25(1) of the Children Act
 Links          Operational Policy

 The Exchequer Secretary to the Treasury: The Finance Bill
 Source      http://www.ion.icaew.com/TaxFaculty/25999
 Definition  Draft clauses for inclusion in Finance Bill 2013 were published on 11
             December 2012 for comment by 6 February 2013 and planned to be published
             by Thursday 28 March.
 Links       Finance

 Justice and Security Bill [HL] Committee
 Source        http://services.parliament.uk/bills/2012-13/justiceandsecurity.html
 Definition    A bill to provide for oversight of the Security Service, the Secret Intelligence
               Service, the Government Communications Headquarters and other activities
               relating to intelligence or security matters; to provide for closed material
               procedure in relation to certain civil proceedings; to prevent the making of
               certain court orders for the disclosure of sensitive information; and for
               connected purposes.
 Links         Strategic Policing Requirement

 Succession to the Crown Bill 2012-13
 Source       http://services.parliament.uk/bills/2012-13/successiontothecrown.html
 Definition   The Bill would change the rules governing succession to the Crown in two
              ways. First, there would be no gender discrimination in determining
              succession, in contrast to the present rules, under which brothers stand ahead
              of sisters in line to the throne even if they are younger. Secondly, a person
              marrying a Roman Catholic would no longer be barred from becoming or
              remaining monarch
 Links        Information

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 2. Crime and partnerships

 Official launch of the College of Policing:
 Source         http://www.college.police.uk/
 Definition     The College will be the first national body to focus solely on strengthening
                professionalism in the service. Professor Shirley Pearce (Vice Chancellor of
                Loughborough University) has been appointed as non-executive Chair of the
                College of Policing.
 Links          Information

 Domestic Incident Trial
 Source         http://www.acpo.presscentre.com/Press-Releases/ACPO-comment-on-a-
 Definition     ACPO is conducting a trial in one police force that gives officers the discretion
                to decide whether to complete a Domestic Abuse, Stalking and Honour-
                based-violence (DASH) form after risk assessing and investigating a domestic
 Links          Partnerships

 Ensuring the highest standards of integrity in the police
 Source       http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/police/police-reform/police-integrity/
 Definition   Although recent reports have found that corruption is not endemic in the
              police, these reports have nevertheless made recommendations for improving
              police integrity and ensuring consistency in standards of professional
              behaviour across forces. A number of high-profile cases over the past few
              years have also demonstrated the need for action.
 Links        Professional Standards

 Police Service Strength England and Wales, 30 September 2012
 Source        Police Service Strength England and Wales, 30 September 2012 (PDF file -
               Data tables - Police Service Strength England and Wales, 30 September 2012
               (Microsoft Excel file - 142kb)
               Statistical news release for Police Service Strength England and Wales, 30
               September 2012 (PDF file - 100kb)
               Pre-release access to Police Service Strength England and Wales, 30
               September 2012 (PDF file - 39kb)
 Definition    Home Office Statistical Bulletin 01/13 contains the police service strength
               statistics for the 43 police forces of England and Wales and for British
               Transport Police, as at 30 September 2012.
 Links         Workforce Planning

 £4 million to help rape victims rebuild their lives
 Source         http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/
 Definition     Victims of sexual assault and rape will be ensured access to vital support to
                help them recover from these devastating crimes thanks to £4million in
                Government funding over the next year, Victims Minister Helen Grant
                announced 21 February.
 Links          Partnerships

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 National Audit Office report: The UK cyber security strategy: landscape review
 Source        http://www.nao.org.uk/publications/1213/cyber_security.aspx
 Definition    A National Audit Office review of the Government’s strategy for cyber security
               indicates that, although it is at an early stage, activities are already beginning
               to deliver benefits.
 Links         Strategic Policing Requirement

 HMIP: Children and young people who sexually offend: Missed opportunities to
 prevent reoffending
 Source        http://www.justice.gov.uk/downloads/publications/inspectorate-
 Definition    A joint inspection of the effectiveness of multi-agency work with children and
               young people in England and Wales who have committed sexual offences and
               were supervised in the community.
 Links         Partnerships

 Howard League for Penal Reform: Intelligent Justice: Balancing the effects of
 community sentences and custody
 Source      http://d19ylpo4aovc7m.cloudfront.net/fileadmin/howard
 Definition  Paper on the debate over whether ‘prison works’, written by three leading
             criminologists on behalf of the Howard League, provides a framework for new
             thinking that might provide an escape from the current prisons crisis.
 Links       Partnerships

 Police and crime commissioners: The first hundred days: Reports at the end of
 Source        http://www.policingtoday.co.uk/police_and_crime_commissioners_the_first_
 Definition    PCCs entered the policing landscape at a critical time. Falling budgets,
               increasingly complex demand and rising public expectation all mean that they
               will have to deliver much more for much less if they are to meet their election
               pledges. Last year Her Majesty’s Inspectorate of Constabulary reported that
               forces need to collectively save a further £2.4 billion from their budgets by
               2015, of which £768 million was unfunded in current force plans.
 Links         Police and Crime Plan

 Home Office: Table 1: Home Office crime, drugs and community safety grants 2012-13.
 Source       http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/police/police-finance/table-
 Definition   Given the introduction of the CSF, the vast majority of existing Home Office
              drugs, crime and community safety funding streams will end in March 2013
              (i.e. will not receive direct funding from the Home Office).
 Links        Commissioning

 National Alcohol Campaign
 Source        http://www.dh.gov.uk/health/2013/02/c4l-alc/
 Definition    The Department of Health have launched a national campaign Change4Life
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                which urges people to think about the health risks associated with drinking too
 Links          Partnerships

 Planning measures will make best use of underused buildings for providing new
 Source      https://www.gov.uk/government/news/planning-measures-will-make-best-use-
 Definition  New permitted development rights will allow office space to be converted into
             homes without the need for planning permission.
 Links       Estates

 Health and social care spending could double by 2061 and amount to half of all
 Government public spending according to a report by the King’s Fund.
 Source       (FT; Telegraph; Guardian; Mail).
 Definition   The Chief Executive of the NHS Confederation, Mike Farrar, said: “Addressing
              these issues will require some tough choices and it is essential that we have
              open and honest conversations with the public about what we can afford in the
              future and how we will fund it”
 Links        Partnerships

 An audit carried out by the Department of Health has revealed that only one-third of
 Accident & Emergency departments are successfully sharing gun and knife crime data
 with police and local councils, as part of a Coalition pledge to reduce crime.
 Source        (Independent; BBC Online).
 Definition    An audit carried out by the Department of Health has revealed that only one-
               third of Accident & Emergency departments are successfully sharing gun and
               knife crime data with police and local councils, as part of a Coalition pledge to
               reduce crime.
               In Cardiff, where non-confidential data on these crimes have been shared in a
               community safety partnership scheme, there was a 35 per cent decrease in
               the number of assault victims treated between 2000 and 2005 .
 Links         Operational and Partnerships

 Department for Communities and Local Government The Cost of Troubled Families
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_
 Definition   This report makes the case for all local agencies (local authorities, the police,
              health services and others) to examine what they spend on troubled families,
              how they spend it, and how effective that expenditure is in helping turn lives
              around and preventing the emergence of future troubled families.

 Council savings and growing demand for public services
 Source       (FT; Times; BBC Online).
 Definition   Local councils have only delivered half of the savings they need to make by
              2015, while their ability to absorb spending cuts is decreasing due to a growing
              demand for public services, the National Audit Office (NAO) has warned.
              The NAO report warns that although overall council income is expected to fall
              by 14 per cent, the impact on individual local authorities is likely to vary, with
              reduction in total spending power ranging from 1.1 per cent to 8.8 per cent.
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 Links          Information

 Millions of low income households could face council tax increases
 Source        (The Independent; BBC Online).
 Definition    A report by the Resolution Foundation has found that millions of low income
               households could face council tax increases as most councils in England will
               pass on the 10 per cent cut on the total subsidy budget imposed by central
               However, the Government has put forward £100 million of support for those
               councils that limit the council tax increase for those on benefits or low pay to
               8.5 per cent.
 Links         Strategic Assessment

 Councils will not meet the Healthwatch deadline
 Source        (Guardian).
 Definition    A Freedom of Information request by the Labour Party has revealed that 35
               councils are unable to confirm that they will meet the deadline to introduce
               local Healthwatch bodies created by the Health and Social Care Act. 29 per
               cent of the councils that responded to the request admitted they might not
               have the bodies up and running by the deadline of 1 April 2013.
 Links         Partnerships

 Mental health patients are being 'detained in all but name' – overcrowding on wards
 Source        http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2013/jan/30/care-quality-commission-
 Definition    The Care Quality Commission finds mental health patients denied information,
               and staff inadequately trained. A 5 per cent rise in the number of people
               sectioned under the Mental Health Act over the past year has led to severe
               overcrowding on wards, with many being held at risk of neglect and abuse
               according to a report by the Care Quality Commission (CQC).

                The CQC inspections found that as a result of the rise in patients, control and
                containment were being prioritised over treatment and support

                More people are being sectioned under the Mental Health Act and too many of
                those detained are subjected to unnecessary restrictions and get too little help
                to recover, the NHS watchdog reports today.

                The Care Quality Commission's (CQC) annual report into the working of the
                Mental Health Act 1983 (MHA) paints a picture of some pockets of excellent
                practice, where patients are treated with dignity and respect. But it also
                highlights concerns that "some hospitals have allowed cultures to develop
                where control and containment are prioritised over treatment and care".
 Links          Partnerships

 lessons from Sweden’s public service reforms
 Source       (City A.M.).
 Definition   Will Tanner, Senior Researcher at Reform, has written an op-ed in City A.M. on
              lessons from Sweden’s public service reforms. Will argues that Sweden’s
              successful extension of choice and competition in the public sector “not only
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                reveals the limitations of the coalition’s achievements, it also shows the value
                of consistent policy, even in the face of opposition”.
 Links          Efficiency Policy

 Removal of overseas students from migration targets
 Source       (BBC Online).
 Definition   The Prime Minister, David Cameron, has been urged to remove overseas
              students from migration targets. In a letter from the chairmen of five
              parliamentary committees, Mr Cameron was been warned that restricting the
              lucrative movement of students to the UK could act as a brake on economic
 Links        Strategic Assessment

  World Health Organisation: Alcohol problems in the criminal justice system: an opportunity
 for intervention:
 Source          http://www.euro.who.int/__data/assets/pdf_file/0006/181068/e96751-ver-2.pdf
 Definition      Alcohol and crime, especially violent crime, are linked. Many prisoners are
                 incarcerated because of alcohol related crime. Alcohol is not permitted in
                 prisons except for a very few exceptions, and illicit use of alcohol in prison is
                 not a major problem. Imprisonment does, however, give an opportunity to
                 tackle alcohol problems in prisoners, with the potential for positive effects on
                 their families and friends and a reduction in the risk of re-offending, the costs
                 to society and health inequalities.
 Links           Partnerships

 Local Government Association: Evaluation of sector-led improvement.
 Source      http://www.local.gov.uk/web/guest/research-performance-and-improvement/-
 Definition  The evaluation of sector-led improvement is running over a two year period
             until early 2014, with the aim of understanding whether, in the context of
             reduced resources within the sector. :
                 • the approach to sector-led improvement has the confidence of the
                     sector and the government, and the trust of the public
                 • the sector has been able to strengthen local accountability
                 • the sector is adopting the sector-led improvement approach and
                     continues to improve with a reduced burden of inspection, and in the
                     absence of top down performance assessment
                 • the tools offered to the sector have had a positive impact on the sector's
                     capacity to improve itself.
             Further evaluation reports will be published in two phases – an interim report
             towards the end of spring 2013 and a final report late 2013/early 2014.
 Links       Information

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 3. Corporate Social Responsibility

 Lack of diversity still a problem according to ACPO workforce lead Sir Peter Fahy
 Source      http://www.policingtoday.co.uk/lack_of_diversity_still_a_problem_according_to_
 Definition Association of Chief Police Officers' workforce development lead Sir Peter Fahy
             has suggested forces should be made to positively discriminate in order to
             address the lack of black and ethnic minority officers.
 Links       Workforce Planning / Equalities

 Committee calls for stronger safeguards in Government proposals to extend the use of
 secret courts
 Source        http://www.statewatch.org/news/2013/feb/uk-jchr-justice-security-bill-second-
 Definition    The Joint Committee on Human Rights (JCHR) publishes its second Report on
               the Justice and Security Bill ahead of the Bill’s Report stage in the House of
 Links         Human Rights

  The Equality and Human Reports Commission launches guidance on managing
 religion or belief in the workplace
 Source         http://www.equalityhumanrights.com/news/2013/february/commission-
 Definition     Equality and Human Rights Commission has published new guidance in
                February to help employers and employees deal with the expression of religion
                or belief at work and avoid conflict and costly court cases.

               The guidance has been issued on the same day that the Commission has
               provided a briefing to MPs on the Marriage (Same Sex Couples) Bill as it is
               scrutinised in Parliament. Both publications will help to clarify two complex
               areas of law that will have a direct impact on people's lives.
 Links         Workforce Planning / Equalities

 Court of Appeal condemns the treatment of an autistic boy by the police
 Source       http://www.equalityhumanrights.com/news/2013/february/court-of-appeal-
 Definition   The Court of Appeal has dismissed an appeal by the Metropolitan police
              against a finding that they had violated the human rights of a 16-year-old
              autistic boy, saying that nothing could have justified the manner in which
              officers restrained him at a swimming pool.
 Links        Operational Policy

 Strengthening Disabled People’s User-Led Organisation (DPULO) Programme –
 ‘Making a Difference on disability hate crime’
 Source         http://odi.dwp.gov.uk/odi-projects/user-led-organisations/difference-
 Definition     Further information about the DPULO Programme, as well as copies of the
                report can be downloaded from the ODI
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 Links          Equalities

 Reports of Disability Hate Crime have trebled in Blackpool
 Source        http://www.dwp.gov.uk/newsroom/press-releases/2013/jan-2013/dwp011-
 Definition    Reports of disability hate crime have trebled after the Government worked with
               a local charity to encourage disabled people to come forward.
 Links         Equalities / Strategic Assessment

 Mental Health Foundation Losing Track of Time
 Source       http://www.mentalhealth.org.uk/content/assets/PDF/publications/losing-track-
 Definition   Report on dementia presenting a looming problem for prisons responsible for a
              rapidly growing population of older people, yet to date it remains largely
 Links        Equalities

 Together in Service
 Source       : https://www.gov.uk/government/news/baroness-warsi-launches-together-in-
 Definition   A major new programme to celebrate, promote and link the huge variety of
              social action undertaken by faith communities has been launched by the
 Links        Equalities

 Socio-demographic profiling
 Department for Communities and Local Government: The Cost of Troubled Families:
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/the-cost-of-troubled-families
 Definition   This report makes the case for all local agencies (local authorities, the police,
              health services and others) to examine what they spend on troubled families,
              how they spend it, and how effective that expenditure is in helping turn lives
              around and preventing the emergence of future troubled families.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 Low income households could face council tax increases
 Source      http://www.resolutionfoundation.org/media/media/downloads/CTB_
 Definition  A report by the Resolution Foundation has found that millions of low income
             households could face council tax increases as most councils in England will
             pass on the 10 per cent cut on the total subsidy budget imposed by central
             However the Government has put forward £100 million of support for those
             councils that limit the council tax increase for those on benefits or low pay to
             8.5 per cent.
 Links       Strategic Assessment

 Home Office: Crime Against Businesses: Headline findings from the 2012 Commercial
 Victimisation Survey
 Source        http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/science-research-
 Definition    This is the first release of data from the 2012 Commercial Victimisation Survey
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                (CVS), which examines the extent of crime against businesses in England and
                Wales. The CVS was previously run in 1994 and 2002, and is planned to be
                repeated in 2013 and 2014.
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 National Treatment Agency
 Source        http://www.nta.nhs.uk/statistics.aspx
 Definition        • Drug treatment activity in England 2011-12
                   • Alcohol treatment activity in England 2011-12
                   • Substance misuse among young people: the data for 2011-12
 Links         Strategic Assessment

 Office for National Statistics Crime in England and Wales Year Ending September 2012
 Source         http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/rel/crime-stats/crime-statistics/period-ending-sept-
 Definition     Latest figures from the Crime Survey for England and Wales (CSEW) estimate
                that there were 8.9 million crimes against adults in England and Wales in the
                year ending September 2012, an 8% decrease compared with the previous
                year’s survey. This reduction was driven by statistically significant decreases
                in vandalism, burglary and vehicle-related theft.
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 Policy Exchange Paper: Outcomes, Not Just Incomes: Improving Britain’s
 understanding and measurement of child poverty
 Source       http://www.policyexchange.org.uk/images/publications/outcomes
 Definition   Reducing child poverty is a vital part of improving the lives of some of the
              most disadvantaged children in society.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 Department for Communities and Local Government
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/english-housing-survey-2011-to-
 Definition   English Housing Survey 2010 – Headline report.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 Department for Communities and Local Government
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/statistical-data-sets/live-tables-on-
 Definition   Live tables on homelessness.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 Department for Communities and Local Government
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/rough-sleeping-in-england-
 Definition   Rough sleeping in England: Autumn 2012.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

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 Department for Transport
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/reported-road-casualties-great-
 Definition   Reported road casualties Great Britain: Provisional estimates Q3 2012.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 Office for National Statistics
 Source         http://www.yjb.gov.uk/publications/Resources/Downloads/Youth%20Justice
 Definition     Focus on Violent Crime and Sexual Offences 2011/12
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 Road traffic estimates for Great Britain: quarter 4 2012
 Source         Road traffic estimates for Great Britain: quarter 4 2012
 Definition     This statistical release presents data on road traffic statistics in Great Britain
                up to Q4 (October to December) 2012.
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 Ministry of Justice
 Source         http://www.justice.gov.uk/statistics/reoffending/local-adult-reoffending
 Definition     Local Adult Re-offending 1st October 2011-30th September 2012. The
                quarterly release presents statistics on the reoffending of adults under
                supervision of the Probation Service in England and Wales. Data are available
                at the regional, probation area and local authority level.
                Quarterly Criminal Justice Statistics Update – September 2012.
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 Department for Education
 Source     http://www.education.gov.uk/schools/careers/payandpensions/a00210462/participation-
 Definition Participation in education, training and employment by 16-18 year olds in England.
 Links      Strategic Assessment

 Department for Communities and Local Government
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file
 Definition   English housing survey 2011-2012: Headline report:
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 30 million in employment – ONS
 Source       http://www.publicsectorexecutive.com/Public-Sector-News/30-million-in-
 Definition Almost 30 million people were in employment at the end of 2012, new figures from
              the ONS show. This is an increase of 154,000 on the quarter to September and is
              the highest total since records began in 1971.
 Links        Strategic Assessment
Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 New Local Government Network: Great Expectations: The next steps for a new generation
 Source      : http://www.nlgn.org.uk/public/2013/great-expectations-the-next-steps-for-a-
 Definition  Young people face a widening ‘expectation gap’ as their dreams of a stable
             career, home and family become ever more unattainable, localism think tank
             NLGN warns today in its report Great Expectations: The Next Steps for a New
 Links       Strategic Assessment

 Cabinet Office
 Source         http://communitylife.cabinetoffice.gov.uk/
 Definition     Community Life Survey
 Links          Strategic Assessment

 Outcomes Map: Crime and Public Safety
 Source      http://www.thinknpc.org/publications/outcomes-map-crime-and-public-safety/
 Definition  Break down of the outcomes and indicators which can be used by social
             investors, charities, funders and social enterprises to measure the success of an
             intervention in crime.
 Links       Strategic Assessment

 Economic, industry, consumer and stakeholder profiling
 UK Investment Barrier to Growth
 Source       http://www.ft.com/cms/s/0/be5c4d8e-6afb-11e2-9670-00144feab49a.html
 Definition   The instability of the UK political process has been identified as a key factor
              behind insufficient investment and thus a barrier to growth in a study
              conducted by the London School of Economics Growth Commission.

                The Commission stated: “The UK has failed to create an enabling
                environment in a number of important areas for growth. The result is a costly
                cocktail of political procrastination, institutional churn and poor decision-
 Links          Economy

 Entrepreneur migration route
 Source       http://www.ukba.homeoffice.gov.uk/visas-immigration/working/tier1/
 Definition   The Minister of State for Immigration (Mark Harper): The Home Secretary
              lay before the House a Statement of Changes in the Immigration Rules that
              will bring about urgent changes to tackle abuse in the Entrepreneur migration
              route while protecting genuine entrepreneurs. The changes took effect on 31

                Following tightening of other migration routes, the Entrepreneur route is now
                being targeted by applicants seeking to abuse the immigration rules. There is
                strong evidence that funds to prove eligibility are being re-cycled amongst
                different applicants and that artificial businesses are being created. There will
                be tightening of current rules to allow for a meaningful assessment of the
                credibility of an applicant for this route.
 Links          Economy

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 New Philanthropy Capital: Collaborating for impact
 Source       http://www.thinknpc.org/publications/collaborating-for-impact/
 Definition   Collaborating for impact: Charities and commissioners increasingly see
              collaboration as a way to access new funding, grow and improve services. But
              that doesn’t mean it’s easy. To avoid the risks, charities need to understand
              what makes collaboration a success. NPC and Impetus have joined forces to
              explore collaboration because we believe it has the potential to improve the
              sector’s collective impact.
 Links        Economy

 Launch the OECD 2013 UK economic survey
 Source       http://www.oecd.org/about/secretary-general/economic-survey-united-
 Definition   Sowing the seeds of an enduring recovery.
 Links        Strategic Assessment

 A new £59 million fund is to be set aside by the Government to boost areas of
 depressed economic growth and encourage the development of enterprise zones.
 Source        (Telegraph).
 Definition    Eric Pickles, the Local Government and Communities Secretary, said:
               “Enterprise Zones have all the raw ingredients and growth incentives -
               simplified planning, low tax, super fast broadband and inward investment.
               They need to translate their potential into jobs and growth success”
 Links         Strategic Assessment

 Environment and natural resources
 Draft Climate Change Levy (Combined Heat and Power Stations) (Amendment)
 Regulations 2013:
 Source        http://www.legislation.gov.uk/ukdsi/2013/9780111533147/contents
 Definition    These Regulations, which come into force on 1 April 2013, amends the
               Climate Change Levy (Combined Heat and Power Stations) Regulations
 Links         Environment

 Policy Exchange Create Streets:
 Source       http://www.policyexchange.org.uk/images/publications/create%20streets.pdf
 Definition   There is an overwhelming housing crisis in London. It is perhaps the biggest
              issue many people in the capital face. But this crisis is also an opportunity.
 Assessment Environment

 Green Deal Framework
 Source       SI 2013/139 - The Green Deal Framework (Disclosure, Acknowledgment,
              Redress etc.) (Amendment) Regulations 2013
 Definition   These Regulations amend the Green Deal Framework (Disclosure,
              Acknowledgment, Redress etc.) Regulations 2012 (S.I. 2012/2079) (“the
              Framework Regulations”).
 Links        Environmental Policy

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 New and emerging science, technology and innovation
 Young offender education to be provided by academies
 Source      opinion@publicsectorexecutive.com
 Definition  Academies and free schools could provide education in young offender
             institutes (YOI), justice secretary Chris Grayling has proposed. The move
             could create ‘secure training colleges’ and cut the reoffending rate.
 Links       Partnerships

 Computer Programming to become ‘fourth science’
 Source      (Times; BBC Online)
 Definition  Lessons in computer programming are to be given enhanced status as a
             “fourth science” in schools in a move to encourage a new generation of coders
             and digital entrepreneurs. GCSEs in computer science are to be placed on a
             par with physics, chemistry and biology in school performance measures.

               Computer science will be added to the so-called English Baccalaureate
               collection of approved academic subjects whose results are recorded by the
               Government for league tables.
 Links         Workforce Planning

 Commons Select Committee takes evidence on e-crime, social networks and social
 media sites
 Source      http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-
 Definition  Social networking has become the most popular online activity, accounting for
             19% of all time spent online. Over half of UK households now use social
             networking sites. As users flock to social networks criminals follow, Norton
             estimates that 4 / 10 users have been the victim of crime on a social network
             and 1/6 have had their account hijacked by someone who impersonated them.
             Chair Keith Vaz, has requested a ‘Call for evidence’ - to hear from anyone
             who has been targeted by scams or abuse on social networks. Particularly
             around what was done to resolve the issues once they have been reported,
             how long it took to resolve and whether or not the action taken was
 Links       Information

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 4. Consultations

 Powers of entry - draft code of practice consultation
 Source        http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/about-us/consultations/powers-of-
 Definition    There are a number of powers of entry that exist beyond the traditional
               enforcement used by state officials or members of private organisations who
               undertake administrative, public or regulatory functions. To standardise
               approaches to powers of entry, and help drive transparency and
               accountability, the government intends to create a new statutory code of
               practice for all powers where none currently exists. This will provide a
               framework for the use of such powers across government. The government is
               now consulting on the draft code of practice
 Close date    5 March 2013.

 Community Remedy consultation
 Source      http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/about-us/consultations/community-
 Definition  This consultation seeks views on proposals to introduce legislation to allow
             police and crime commissioners (or the relevant local policing body) to give
             victims of low-level crime (such as low-level criminal damage and low-value
             thefts) and antisocial behaviour a say in the punishment of the offender.

                The Community Remedy consultation will gather knowledge, expertise and
                opinions of policing and criminal justice stakeholders, and the public more
                widely, to ensure that the final policy takes account of the potential impact of
                the changes on all affected parties.

                Aimed at making sure victims and the public agree that the punishments used
                are meaningful, proposed through the introduction of the Community Remedy

                This would be used when low level crimes and antisocial behaviours were
                dealt with out of court - either as part of an informal community resolution or a
                more formal conditional caution.
 Close date     7 March 2013

 Forensic Science Regulator Consultation
 Source       http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/about-us/consultations/forensic-
 Definition   The Forensic Science Regulator has launched a consultation on three draft
              appendices to its Code of Practice and Conduct, in order to gain the feedback
              necessary to finalise each appendix. The appendices consulted on cover
              DNA analysis, digital forensics services, and video analysis.
 Close date   10 March 2013

 Sentences for Sexual Offences
 Source        http://sentencingcouncil.judiciary.gov.uk/consultations-current.htm
 Definition    The Sentencing Council has launched a consultation seeking views from
               interested parties including criminal justice professionals on a new guideline
               for sentencing sexual offences.
Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 Close date     14 March 2013

 Regulation of CCTV and other surveillance camera technology
 Source        http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/publications/about-us/parliamentary-
 Definition    This written ministerial statement on the regulation of CCTV and other
               surveillance camera technology was laid in the House of Commons on 7
               February 2013 by James Brokenshire, and in the House of Lords by Lord
               Taylor of Holbeach. The Government favours the use of CCTV and automatic
               number plate recognition (ANPR) systems as a crime fighting and public
               protection tool. It supports the use of overt surveillance in a public place
               wherever its deployment is in pursuit of a legitimate aim, necessary to meet a
               pressing need, proportionate and compliant with any relevant legislation. Like
               the public, the Government expects that where CCTV is deployed it is as
               effective as it can be in meeting its stated purpose and has appropriate
               privacy safeguards.
 Close date    21 March 2013

 Proposals on how people join the police force
 Source       https://www.homeofficesurveys.homeoffice.gov.uk/v.asp?i=68945munng
 Definition   New proposals to allow people to join the police force without starting at
              constable rank were at the end of January by the Home Office. Currently all
              recruits to the police have to start at the lowest rank and work their way up,
              meaning new recruits have to serve at least 20 years before becoming a chief

                Tom Winsor, in his independent review of police pay and conditions,
                recommended allowing skilled applicants from outside policing to join at
                inspector, superintendent or chief constable level. The Home Office accepted
                his recommendations in principle and have launched a consultation to seek
                views on how it should be done.

                The consultation considers four main objectives for the future of the police
                force. It asks contributors to the consultation to consider how the proposals
                would make policing:
                    • open and connected to the public
                    • representative of the communities it serves
                    • attract the brightest and the best candidates
                    • have the right skills, expertise and professionalism
 Close date     28 March 2013

 Drink Drive Campaign
 Source        http://shop.dft.gov.uk/THINKShop/
 Definition    Following the Following the recent Christmas advertising burst, the
               THINK! drink drive campaign will continue during February and March.
               This update gives you an overview of planned activity and the suite of
               campaign materials available to stakeholders such as the police, road safety
               professionals, the fire service and members of the public.
 Links         March

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 Businesses and families invited to shape process for shared parental leave
 Source       https://www.gov.uk/government/news/reform-of-flexible-parental-leave

 Definition     Businesses and working families are invited to submit their views on how the
                system for shared parental leave and pay will work. The consultation will look
                at how the new system will work and fit together with current arrangements for
                maternity and paternity leave and adopters, as part of the government’s
                commitment to create a modern workplace. This will influence how the
                government legislates under the Children and Families Bill 2013, introduced
                early February which includes the proposals for shared parental leave and
                flexible working.

                Acas is separately seeking views from employees and employers, particularly
                small businesses, who have difficulties managing requests for flexible working
                fairly. Their draft Code is designed to offer short, practical advice to make it
                easier for employers to handle requests which they can adapt to fit their own
                workplace procedures. Both consultations will run for 12 weeks. Responses to
                the Acas consultation can be submitted by email or letter, email address is:
 Close date     March

 CIPFA Corporate Services Benchmarking - Still time to sign up
 Source      http://www.cipfastats.net/news/newsstory.asp?content=16140
 Definition  There is still time to sign up to our 2013 Corporate Services Benchmarking
             Clubs, which provide an excellent opportunity to measure the effectiveness of
             back-office services, with the first set of questionnaires being issued in March.
             The clubs continue to be the market leader and have been delivered to over
             300 local authorities across the UK over the last three years.
 Close date  March

 Education reform to youth custody
 Source        https://consult.justice.gov.uk/digital-communications/transforming-youth-
 Definition    Radical plans for reforming youth custody that focus on young offenders
               receiving better education and training so they can turn their backs on crime
               for good have been published. The Green Paper ‘Transforming Youth
               Custody: Putting education at the heart of detention’ is currently out to
 Close date    30th April 2013

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 5. Other documents, news and issues

 Local authorities plan to outsource 32 per cent of all services by 2014/15, according to the
 latest research undertaken by YouGov for Interserve.

 Humberside PCC proposes new chief . Tayside Chief Constable Justine Curran is set to
 become the new Chief of Humberside after being proposed by Police and Crime
 Commissioner Matthew Grove.

 Met to put Tasers on patrol cars. The Metropolitan Police Service is considering equipping
 nearly 6,000 more response vehicles in London with Tasers.

 Whitehall departments could face real-terms cuts of 30 per cent, as the Treasury
 begins a new spending review for 2015-16. Potential cuts during the election year include
 nearly £700 million from the defence budget, £1 billion to the Business, Innovation and Skills
 department, and further decreases in local government budgets (FT).

 The Public Accounts Select Committee has said central government should better
 scrutinise how local authorities are investing in transport, as funds may be diverted
 away from their intended purposes. The Committee’s report revealed that the Department
 for Transport failed to monitor how the £1.2 billion specifically given to local councils for road
 repairs and travel was spent. The Local Government Association has labelled the
 Committee’s call for a return of Whitehall oversight of local spending on transport a
 “retrograde step” (Times, BBC Online).

 Employment Tribunal to Judge the legality of A19: Has started to hear allegations that
 the use of Regulation A19 was illegal in that it contravened age deiscrimination legilslation.
 The ET, to begin on 4 February in London, is being brought by the Superintendents
 Association of England and Wales and the Police Federation against five Police Forces
 which employed A19 in recent years. The five forces involved in this litigation, and denying
 the claim, are Devon and Cornwall Constabulary, Nottinghamshire Police, North Wales
 Police, South Wales Police and West Midlands Police.

 Government proposals could provide influx of foreign chiefs: Senior officers from New
 Zealand, Australia and America could be set to move to the UK under a proposed shake-up
 of British police forces.

 The Metropolitan Police Service has launched a comprehensive website that outlines the
 choices available to victims of rape and serious sexual assault. www.mydecision.co.uk

 Lessons learnt at the London 2012 Olympics are helping to update the Government’s
 National Cyber Security Strategy, which was launched a year ago. Cyber plans will include
 a new national cybercrime unit and a dedicated ‘reserve’ of IT security specialists.

 Alarming new trend in online sexual abuse: Highlighted by the Child Exploitation and
 Online Protection Centre the alarming new trend of sex offenders grooming children over the
 internet for the sole purpose of online sexual abuse. http://ceop.police.uk/Media-
Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 Research by Reform revealing that the average police station in London receives visits
 from 1.9 people an hour. The article quotes Andrew Haldenby, Director of Reform, saying
 that: “this evidence suggests that the Metropolitan Police is absolutely right to question the
 fabric of existing police stations in order to deliver services that the public want.

 The results of the 31-month enquiry into failings at Mid Staffordshire NHS Trust have
 been released: The report by Robert Francis QC makes recommendations that a statutory
 “duty of candour” will be demanded of medical staff to report concerns over patient care.

 Crime Minister speaks out against female genital mutilation: Crime Prevention Minister
 Jeremy Browne has condemned Female Genital Mutilation (FGM) as child abuse and urged
 everyone to confront this 'barbaric practice'. Speaking on the International Day of Zero
 Tolerance to FGM he urged professionals not to shy away from the issue because of
 'misplaced cultural sensitivities'.

 Centre for Public Scrutiny: Your right to know? The future for transparency in
 England: This report sets out thinking about transparency in public life and ways to meet its
 objectives now and in the future. The report defines some key terms:
     • Open data – quantitative and qualitative information freely available to be used and
         reused in different formats, which can lead to;
     • Transparency – openness about decision-making processes and the culture, values
         and assumptions that underpin decisions, which can lead to;
     • Accountability – allowing others to judge credibility of decisions and policies..

 “Community Trigger” needs a bullet: Committee calls for national standard for action
 on anti-social behaviour: The Home Affairs Committee publishes its Report on the draft
 Anti-social Behaviour Bill on Friday 15 February (Twelfth Report, Session 2012-13, HC 836).

 Apps make child abuse more common say NSPCC and CEOP: Children's charity the
 NSPCC and senior officers from the Child Exploitation Protection Centre have joined
 together to call for greater controls on smartphone apps, which they say are making it "easier
 than ever before for people to be bullied and abused online".

 IOM and Social Enterprise: The Home Office, in partnership with Clinks and Social Firms
 UK is undertaking a short piece of work to explore the role of social enterprises and
 community interest companies in enabling offenders (both adult and young offenders) in
 accessing training and employment opportunities. The aim is to capture and share some of
 the current key learning and effective practice through the development of a set of effective
 practice resources. http://www.homeoffice.gov.uk/crime/reducing-reoffending/iom/

 Disability hate crime helpline launched: A new free telephone helpline for people with
 learning disabilities who have been victims of disability hate crime has been launched.

Monthly Futures Scanning Digest
Issue 2: February 2013

 This is Abuse: A series of hard hitting TV adverts have been launched as part of the ‘This is
 Abuse’ campaign to raise awareness and challenge abusive behaviour in teen relationships.

 Advisory Council on Misuse of Drugs: The advice recommends changes to the Misuse of
 Drugs Regulations 2001 to extend prescribing for Allied Health Professionals.


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